Operator
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the First Quarter 2016 Grand Canyon Education Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will have a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host for today's conference Mr. Brian Roberts, General Counsel. Sir, you may begin. Brian M. Roberts - Secretary, Senior Vice President & General Counsel: Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today on this conference call to discuss Grand Canyon's 2016 first quarter results. Speaking on today's call is our President and CEO, Brian Mueller; and our CFO, Dan Bachus. This call is scheduled to last one hour. During the Q&A period, we will try to answer all of your questions. And we apologize in advance if there are questions that we are unable to address due to time constraints. I would like to remind you that many of our comments today will contain forward-looking statements with respect to GCU's future performance that involve risks and uncertainties. Various factors could cause GCU's actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. These factors are discussed in GCU's SEC filings, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K, for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015; our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q; and our current reports on Form 8-K. We recommend that all investors thoroughly review these reports before taking a financial position in GCU, and we do not undertake any obligation to update anyone with regard to the forward-looking statements made during this conference call. And with that, I will turn the call over to Brian. Brian E. Mueller - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Grand Canyon University's first quarter fiscal year 2016 conference call. In the first quarter of 2016, enrollments grew by 8% and revenues grew by 16.9%. New online enrollments grew in the mid-single digits. Operating margins are at 30.3% for the quarter. We had another good quarter, and I want to thank our faculty and staff for the hard work they continue to put in to make this happen. At this time, I want to briefly review our most important initiatives. The first initiative is to build a high-quality student body. Our traditional campus growth is going as planned. We are on track to start fall with about 17,500 students. The average income in GPA of our new students will be approximately 3.5. The Honors College is growing rapidly as well. We expect enrollment in the college to be approximately 1,200 students with average income GPAs of approximately 4.1. Our online student body also continues to grow from a quality perspective. 48.5% of our working adult students are studying at the graduate level, which is 190 basis points up from a year ago. 67.4% of our students are studying in areas that provide the highest graduation rates, which is 110-basis-point improvement from one year ago. Our first quarter online student persistence rate was 92.7%, which is up 30 basis points over first quarter of the prior year. We'll continue to grow the online campus at between 6 percentage points and 8 percentage points per year. The second initiative is to continue to improve the quality of instruction in the classroom, which is already very high. As our student body grows, it is important that the highly supportive caring community-oriented culture of GCU become even stronger. We are keeping our average class size to less than 25 on a traditional campus, and less than 16 on the online campus. This stands a stark contrast to many universities that continue to raise tuition and fees and crowd students in the large lecture halls or online classrooms of 500 or more. We have embedded academic excellence centers into almost every residence hall. Most students don't have to leave their dorm to get additional one-on-one academic support. I want to thank our faculty for their total commitment to student success. To give just one example, our entire math faculty, on a traditional campus, shows up twice a week in the evening to lead special group sessions. We've continued to expand our Early Alert system, and add virtual learning networks and special learning communities to provide ground and online students with additional support. It's important to note that we are adding these support systems while freezing tuition on our traditional campus for the eighth consecutive year. This discussion is important, because it's a demonstration of how the terms not-for-profit, then for-profit and traditional and non-traditional are no longer terms that have their historic meaning. We think it's very important in the future, universities are evaluated based on the results they are producing with their students, and not on completely unrelated items like tax catch (4:55). Third, last quarter I mentioned a new STEM programs that we've recently rolled out or are rolling out in the fall. Programs in computer science, mechanical engineering, information technology, electrical engineering, biomedical engineering, computer programming, business information systems, biochemistry, molecular biology, environmental science, electronic engineering technology and mechanical engineering technology. Students will return in the fall to a new 170,000-square-foot STEM building, full of state-of-art class rooms and laboratories. By this fall start, we will have 200 academic programs across nine colleges, offered on a new and modern campus for the 150 of those programs offered online. Most unique aspect of this education model is that the economy does not have to take a hit in the short run in order to produce educated students that will make a contribution in the long run. We are educating students that will make a contribution to the economy in the long run, but we are doing it while making a significant economic contribution by growing our employee base, paying $97 million in taxes and not requiring state subsidies. Fourth, our co-curricular areas are going to reach new heights this coming year. Visitors frequently talk about the vibrancy of our campus. There are hundreds of activities that come out of our theater, music, dance, debate a very large intramural and club sports program as well as 21 Division I athletic programs that keep the campus alive and active. All these activities give our students an opportunity to get connected and become part of the community, which is why we believe we are exceeding our retention goals. The quality and character of our students, the involvement of our faculty having an alcohol-free campus policy, the commitment we have made to our own 160 person police force and the vibrancy of positive activity has led to having a very safe campus. This has become an attractive feature given the sexual assault and other crime problems many universities are experiencing. I want to take a moment to discuss our attempt to move the university to a not-for-profit status, which would have been supported by for-profit service company. The structure proposed was almost identical to the structure that exists between many not-for-profit universities and for-profit service companies. The HLC visiting team, we believe, did an outstanding job. We're appreciative of your professionalism and very thorough work. They recommended to the board that we'd be granted approval to move forward. We believe the IRS would also have granted us approval. The board turned down the visiting team's recommendation with no path forward. Again, we still have a hard time understanding the board's decision given what we were proposing is common practice in higher education today. We understand that there have been bad actors in the for-profit space. We have absolutely nothing in common with most of the institutions in the for-profit space as the vast majority of them are nationally accredited vocational technical institutions such as refrigeration, cosmetology, truck driving et cetera. In addition, Grand Canyon University has no problem with current or proposed rules to regulate for-profit institutions. Evaluating whether an institution provides for the public good should have nothing to do with tax status. Our work in the community is transforming in intercity neighborhood and I want to thank our students, faculty and staff for their commitment to this mission. In addition to educating students, property values are up 30% in our neighborhood and crime is down 30%. Going forward, we hope to be evaluated based on the results we are achieving independent of our tax status. Net revenues were $227 million in the first quarter of 2016, an increase of $32.9 million or 16.9% from the $194.1 million in the prior-year period. Operating margin for quarter one 2016 was 30.3% compared to 28.8% for the same period in 2015. Included in operating expenses during the first quarter of 2016 was $1.2 million in legal and other professional fees related to our proposed move back to a not-for-profit status. Excluding these expenses, our operating margin for quarter one 2016 would have been 30.8%. Net income was $43.7 million for the first quarter of 2016 compared to $34.2 million in the prior-year period. After-tax margin was 19.2% compared to 17.6% for the same period in 2015. Instructional costs and services grew from $78.7 million in the first quarter of 2015 to $94.7 million in the first quarter of 2016, an increase of $16 million or 20.3%. This increase is primarily due to the increase in the number of faculty and staff to support the increasing number of students attending the university and increased benefit cost between years. In addition, we continue to see an increase in occupancy costs including depreciation and amortization as a result of us placing into service additional buildings to support the growing number of grounds for additional students, and an increase in dues, fees and subscriptions and other instructional supplies primarily due to increased licensing fees related to educational resources and increased food costs associated with a higher number of residential students. As a percent of revenue, IC&S increased 120 basis points to 41.7%, due to the factors described earlier. Admissions advisory and related expenses, as a percent of revenue, decreased to 13% primarily due to our ability to leverage our admissions advisory personnel across an increasing revenue base. Advertising expense, as a percent of net revenue, decreased 100 basis points from 10.3% in quarter one of 2015 to 9.3% in quarter one of 2016. Marketing and promotional expenses, as a percent of net revenue, increased 10 basis points from 0.9 of 1% in quarter one of 2015 to 1% in quarter one of 2016. With that, I would like to turn over to Dan Bachus, our CFO, to give a little more color on our 2016 first quarter and talk about changes in the income statement, balance sheet and other volumes as well to provide the detailed information on our guidance in 2016. Daniel E. Bachus - Chief Financial Officer & Head-Investor Relations: Thanks, Brian. Revenue per student was up year-over-year due to the 17% student growth in our ground enrollment, while online enrollment increased 6.1% over the prior year. When factoring in room, board and fees, the revenue per student is higher for ground students than for our online students. Online revenue per student was up this quarter due to the extra day of revenue earned due to Leap Year and the 1% tuition price increase in the September of 2015. Scholarships, as a percentage of revenue, decreased from 19.3% in Q1 2015 to 19.1% in Q1 2016, due primarily to a decrease in the traditional scholarship rate year-over-year as a percentage of total revenue due to an increase in ancillary revenues. Online scholarships, as a percentage of related revenue, were flat year-over-year. Bad debt expense, as a percentage of revenue, stayed flat at 2% year-over-year. Our effective tax rate for the first quarter 2016 was 38% as compared to 38.8% in the first quarter of 2015. The lower tax rate in the first quarter of 2016 over the prior year was primarily due to the continued phase-in of market sourcing for apportionment of Arizona sales and a slight decrease in the Arizona corporate tax rate. As Brian mentioned earlier, we incurred $1.2 million in legal and other professional fees in the first quarter of 2016 related to proposed not-for-profit conversion. These expenses are included in general and administrative expenses. Included in interest and other income is $1.7 million related to the proportional share of equity income related to our ownership interest in LoudCloud. Excluding these one-time events, our diluted EPS would have been $0.92 per share. We repurchased 396,000 shares of our common stock at an aggregate cost of $14.6 million during the first quarter 2016, and we increased our share repurchase authorization by $100 million in March of this year and extended our authorization date repurchases to December 31, 2017. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flows, total cash unrestricted and restricted and short-term investments at March 31, 2016 was $195.4 million. Accounts receivable net of allowance for doubtful account is $7.5 million at March 31, 2016, which represents 3.4 days sales outstanding compared to $6.7 million or 3.4 days sales outstanding at the end of the first order 2015. CapEx in the first quarter 2016 excluding our offsite development of $7.7 million was approximately $49.8 million or 21.9% of net revenue. As we've discussed previously, this was greater than originally anticipated, as we are able to acquire some large parcels of land east of our campus. Construction on three more apartment-style residence halls, a 170,000-square-foot classroom building for our College of Science, Engineering and Technology, a student service center and a fourth parking structure for the fall 2016-2017 school year continues. We still estimate that 2016 CapEx will be approximately $180 million excluding the offsite office building and parking garage that I'll discuss in a second. We have no further material land acquisitions planned, although if opportunities similar to those that occurred in Q1 2016 occur, we will strongly consider them. Included in offsite development in 2016 is approximately $7.7 million related to an offsite office building and parking garage that is in close proximity to our ground traditional campus. Employees that work in two leased office buildings in the Phoenix area will be consolidated into this new building when it's completed in Late 2016. Although the university is currently funding the construction of the building and parking garage, the university has been marking these along with a recently refurbished office building in the same development, that's part of a sale lease back transaction. Although, we have received a number of offers, we still have not received an offer at an attractive enough cap rate for us to sell. Our cash flows from operations along with the availability on our line of credit gives us flexibility to continue to own these assets. Last, I'd like to provide updated color on guidance we have provided for 2016. As you probably knows, we have again provided estimates for each quarter of 2016. We do this because our financial results continue to become more seasonal due to the significant growth of our ground traditional campus. A large percentage of these students only attend class between the end of August and the end of April. However, a large percentage of the ground traditional campus costs are fixed and these costs continue to grow due to our growth. We must hire additional support staff, if service increasing student body in the spring or summer of each year, so that they are trained and can start working with the soon-to-be students when these students are ready to be registered for the fall semester. Thus, we anticipate our margins will be up year-over-year in the first quarter and fourth quarter, and down in the second quarter and third quarter. Our quarter-end online enrollment was slightly lower than what we expected. Graduates were up 16.5% between Q1 2015 and Q1 2016, and March online new starts were slightly below our expectation. Online new starts were at or above our expectations until the last week in March, and we believe the last week in March was significantly affected by the timing of Easter. April starts were in line with our expectation. We have lowered our enrollment expectations by 600 students for the second quarter, primarily due to us anticipating less ground traditional summer school students than originally expected. We have also reduced enrollments estimates slightly as we're recruiting slightly less students into our non-degree programs than originally planned as program changes were made that incorporated certain portions that had been prerequisite. We have not adjusted revenue guidance though as ground traditional summer school and non-degree students do not generate significant revenues and we anticipate the loss in revenues from these students will be made up by higher ancillary revenues than originally expected. As a reminder, our revenue per student is being slightly impacted by changes between 2015 and 2016, when the traditional campus semesters begin and end, and when the online breaks occur. We estimate the effects of these changes are $1.9 million of additional revenue in Q1, $1.3 million less than revenue in Q2, $5.5 million less revenue in Q3 and $4.5 million additional revenue in Q4. The net change of $400,000 is revenue that will be pushed into 2017, and the large movement of revenue between Q3 and Q4 is due to the fall semester beginning four days later in August this year. On the expense side, expenses in the first quarter were slightly under our expectations in most categories other than advertising, where we're approximately $1 million under budget due to dining differences in spend. Expenses were in line with our expectations in April, and we expect them to be in line through the summer months. We have increased our estimate of weighted average shares outstanding slightly for the rest of the year due to a higher average stock price and higher option exercises. I will now turn the call over to the moderator, so that we can answer questions.