Operator
Operator
Good morning, and thank you for joining Lincoln Financial Group's first quarter 2016 earnings conference call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will announce the opportunity for questions, and instructions will be given at that time. If you need assistance at any time during the call, please press the star key followed by the zero, and someone will assist you. Now, I would like to turn the conference over to our Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Chris Giovanni. Please go ahead, sir. Christopher A. Giovanni - Senior Vice President & Head-Investor Relations: Thank you, Lithania. Good morning, and welcome to Lincoln Financial's first quarter earnings call. Before I begin, I have an important reminder. Any comments made during the call regarding future expectations, trends and market conditions, including comments about sales and deposits, expenses, income from operations, share repurchases, and liquidity and capital resources are forward-looking statements under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from current expectations. These risks and uncertainties are described in the cautionary statement disclosures in our earnings release issued yesterday, and on our reports on Forms 8-K, 10-Q and 10-K filed with the SEC. We appreciate your participation today and invite you to visit Lincoln's website, www.lincolnfinancial.com, where you can find our press release and statistical supplement, which include a full reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures used in the call, including income from operations and return on equity, to the most comparable GAAP measures. Presenting on today's call are Dennis Glass, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Randy Freitag, Chief Financial Officer. After their prepared remarks, we will move to the question-and-answer portion of the call. I would now like to turn things over to Dennis. Dennis R. Glass - President, Chief Executive Officer & Director: Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone. First quarter results were disappointing as operating earnings fell short of our expectations. Importantly, most items that negatively impacted our earnings appear to be temporary, and we anticipate a nice recovery in the second quarter. Randy will describe this in more detail. While earnings can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter, our balance sheet and capital position continue to be very strong and resilient as we continue to grow book value per share and actively deploy capital. Our franchise also remains a competitive advantage. Product breadth and innovation, coupled with our distribution reach, gives us confidence in our ability to capitalize on long-term growth opportunities, while also delivering on our strategic priorities, including shifting our new business mix towards products without long-term guarantees. This quarter, some examples of this included: sales of Life products without guarantees increased 13%. Group sales grew 5%, marking our first year-over-year increase since 2013. RPS deposits of $1.8 billion increased 5%, and nearly 50% of our Annuities sales did not have guaranteed living benefits. Before turning to business line results, let me provide a high-level view of how the final DOL rule seems to impact Lincoln's business model. In general, as we anticipated, the final rules mostly moved in a constructive direction. On the positive side the rule clearly documents the use of commissions alongside fees as appropriate compensation. Specifically, the DOL agreed in the final rule that commissions can be more cost-effective for investors who do not trade frequently, as would be the case with annuity purchasers. In its discussion of annuities, the DOL also emphasized that the BIC exemption is designed to preserve commissions, allowing investors to choose the payment structure that works best for them. The inclusion of grandfathering addressed the concern of a major disruption related to a backward application of the new rules. The rule acknowledges the benefit of lifetime income guarantees, which significantly differentiates Annuities from other financial products. The expansion of the education definition leaves our high-touch retirement business value proposition intact. Somewhat negative, but generally not expected to seriously impact Lincoln, would be the inclusion of indexed annuities in the BIC will take some extra work in the independent channels, where the compliance ecosystem is not as comprehensive as it is for registered products sold through broker dealers. In the first quarter, only 3% of our total Annuities sales are fixed indexed annuities sold through non-registered insurance agents in the qualified space. Adding the group variable annuity to the BIC may have eliminated a competitive advantage under the proposed rule, but we believe it leaves us in a competitively neutral position. Our distribution partner response so far is generally consistent in the expectation that they will use the BIC for commissions. It also may prove out that distribution partners will need to trim shelf space and focus on fewer higher-quality companies, which I believe would be an advantage to Lincoln over the long term. Our efforts are now turning to working with the DOL, our distribution partners, and internally, to be sure that an effective compliance system is developed to reduce the right of action risk that remains a part of the rule. Now, turning to our business segments, starting with Annuities. A 4% decrease in average account values and lower variable investment income resulted in Annuity earnings declining from the prior year. However, strong recovery in equity markets later in the quarter led to account balances ending the quarter flat with year-end, which positions us well for subsequent periods. Total Annuities sales were $2.4 billion and net outflows were modest at just $35 million. Over the past year, net flows have added $1.3 billion to account balances. As I have noted in the past couple of quarters, market volatility has dampened consumer demand for equity-sensitive products, and there appears to be some regulatory impact as well. Higher persistency has helped net flows. Although sales are lower than last year, as we said we would, we used some of the capital that was to be allocated towards Annuities sales to buy back stock at attractive levels. So, while we have experienced lower sales recently, longer-term, our consistent approach and commitment to the Annuity business positions us well to grow this high-quality source of earnings as marketplace headwinds subside. Turning to Life Insurance, we recognize there will be a focus on our mortality experience this quarter. While we typically expect higher claims in the first quarter, we also saw an unusual number of early duration claims. In terms of sales, total individual Life Insurance sales in the quarter were $132 million, a 5% decrease from the prior year quarter. Importantly, our focus on selling more products without long-term guarantees continues to gain traction. As I noted upfront, sales of these products increased 13% and represented 71% of our total Life Insurance sales, up from 62% of our sales last year. Included in this are many exciting product stories. For example, Term sales increased 32% as we continue to benefit from product enhancements made in the third quarter. Indexed Universal Life sales increased 20% as we were helped by our mid-year product launch. Additionally, regulation that began last September required many competitors to make significant reductions in maximum illustration rates, resulting in an improvement in our competitive position. MoneyGuard sales increased 5%, which is impressive coming off record annual sales in 2015. We continue to remain opportunistic with respect to executive benefit sales, which contributed $7 million to total Life sales. Looking forward, our pipeline remains very strong, and given our product breadth and strength of our distribution, we remain optimistic about our new business opportunities. Turning to Group Protection, we are pleased with the year-over-year earnings increase driven by the significant improvement in our non-medical loss ratio, which continues to benefit from our repricing efforts and enhancements to our claims management processes. First quarter sales of $59 million increased 5% from the same period last year, which marked our first year-over-year sales increase since 2013. As our pricing actions have stabilized, the degree of market disruption has been reduced. As a result, we expect improvement in sales activity and growth to persist. As I noted last quarter, this will be important as we look to drive future margin improvement by growing premiums while sustaining pricing discipline. In Retirement Plan Services, earnings, deposits and net flows were generally consistent with our outlook. First quarter deposits of $1.8 billion were up 5% from a year ago. Recurring deposits increased 6% and benefited from both employee and employer contributions. First-year sales grew by 3%, and notably, our pipeline continues to be very strong, which should benefit sales in the second half of the year. Our focus on specific markets and our differentiated customer experience is working and helped drive positive net flows for the Retirement business, which marked the fourth time this has occurred in the past five quarters. Over this period, flows had added more than $0.5 billion to RPS account balances. While we continue to anticipate lumpiness quarter-to-quarter in net flows, we expect annual net flows to exceed 2015 levels. Confidence in our growth momentum is driven by our alignment with the fastest growing markets and an ability to distinguish ourselves in the marketplace with a high-touch service model. Spending a minute on Investment Management, we put new money to work in the first quarter at an average yield of 4%, which was down 30 basis points from the fourth quarter. The decrease in new money rates was due to a drop in treasury rates as we invested at 210 basis points over the average 10-year treasury in both periods. Our alternative investments generated an $8 million loss in the quarter. Headwinds from our hedge fund portfolio, which represents one-third of our alternatives carrying value, and the impact of lower energy prices on our private equity investments were the primary drivers of this result. Over the last four years, our alternatives portfolio, which is now $1.2 billion of assets, has averaged a 10% annual return, a level we expect to achieve over the long run. Let me also update you on our fixed income energy portfolio where we continue to proactively monitor and manage our credit exposure. Following nearly a $1 billion decrease in energy holdings in 2015, we trimmed almost $500 million in the first quarter and another $250 million in the second quarter. In total, this represents a 17% reduction in energy holdings over this period. Our sales, targeted securities most likely to be at-risk of credit loss in a sustained period of low-energy prices. In the quarter, we did experience some negative ratings migration from the energy sector. However, the RBC impact was manageable and downgrades have slowed. The increase in oil prices have helped reduce our energy net unrealized loss, which was $375 million at quarter-end, an improvement of $100 million from year-end. Bottom line, we feel very comfortable with our energy exposure and the overall quality of our investment portfolio. Turning to distribution, the depth and breadth of our retail, wholesale and worksite teams continue to differentiate Lincoln. The strength of our distribution force has enabled a shift in sales mix to the point that now 75% of enterprise sales do not have long-term guarantees, up from 65% a year ago. While we continue to have success shifting sales to products without long-term guarantees, as I noted in the business sections, sales of our individual products were lower. This reflected the impact of market volatility on consumer demand which keeps money on the sidelines, combined with some impact from regulatory uncertainty. That said, you have heard me say many times distribution is a competitive advantage for Lincoln and I expect Lincoln to once again differentiate itself as market headwinds subside and distributors adapt to regulatory changes. In closing, I'm looking beyond the first quarter as I anticipate items that impacted the quarter to abate or reverse, and I expect our earnings to return to levels you have been accustomed to seeing Lincoln produce. Our strong franchise, balance sheet and capital position create a lot of flexibility and opportunity. I will now turn the call over to Randy. Randal J. Freitag - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thank you, Dennis. Last night, we reported income from operations of $314 million or $1.25 per share for the first quarter, $0.10 below the prior year. As Dennis mentioned, there were several items that negatively impacted our results this quarter. While we do consider these items to be part of normal volatility, at this time we do not expect them to reoccur in the second quarter. First, group results were negatively impacted by accelerated amortization of DAC, which ran $18 million or $0.07 a share above our typical quarterly run rate. I will provide more detail on this later, but we fully expect amortization to moderate. Next, alternatives were below our expected results by $25 million, which negatively impacted the quarter by $0.10. While it is too early to comment on our expectations for the second quarter, the recent recovery in the broader equity and energy markets are likely to have a positive impact. The equity market recovery should also boost our fee-based earnings. First quarter results were impacted by a decline in average account balances though by the end of the quarter account balances were largely unchanged from year-end. As a result, this should add roughly $0.05 to our quarterly run rate. Lastly, consistent with first quarter results the past few years, we experienced elevated mortality, which negatively impacted individual life earnings by $30 million or $0.12. We estimate that roughly two-thirds of this was the seasonally high mortality that we typically see in the first quarter, and we'll comment more on mortality in the Life section of my comments. Now, shifting to key performance metrics. Operating revenue increased less than 1% in the quarter as another quarter of positive net flows was offset by a decline in equity markets, resulting in a 2% decrease in average account values. G&A net of capitalized expenses decreased slightly and notably trailed revenue growth. Book value per share excluding AOCI grew more than 7% to $53.25, an all-time high. Finally, our balance sheet remains an important source of strength even with interest rates at or below levels we saw during the first quarter. This gives us significant financial flexibility, which we once again exhibited this quarter with $260 million of capital deployed to shareholders. Net income results for the quarter included an investment-related legal settlement, $27 million of variable annuity net derivative losses and a similar amount of general account investment losses. Now, we'll turn to segment results and starting with Annuities. Reported earnings for the quarter were $218 million. A decline in average account values and lower variable investment income, which includes income from alternative investments and prepayments, were drivers of the 9% year-over-year decrease in earnings. Operating revenues declined 2% from the first quarter of 2015 after excluding an increase in fixed income annuity deposits. Over the trailing 12 months, net flows totaled $1.3 billion. This 1% organic growth rate was more than offset by headwinds from equity markets. Return metrics remain strong as ROE came in at 20%, consistent with our average return over the last decade. ROA decreased 4 basis points versus the prior year and stands at 74 basis points. Given the equity market recovery, we expect Annuity earnings and returns to see a nice boost in subsequent quarters. In Retirement Plan Services, we reported earnings of $31 million, down from $35 million in the prior year, primarily due to a decline in variable investment income. First quarter revenue decreased 2% year-over-year, consistent with the change in average account balances as positive net flows of $415 million over the 12 trailing months were offset by unfavorable equity markets. Although average account values declined, end-of-period balances totaled more than $54 billion, in line with the prior quarter and prior year. Spreads, excluding variable investment income, compressed 3 basis points versus the prior-year quarter, better than our expectation for spreads to decline by 10 basis points to 15 basis points annually in the Retirement business. Our return on assets was 23 basis points for the first quarter. However, more normal variable investment income would produce an ROA at the low end of the 25 basis point to 30 point basis point range we have discussed in the past. Turning to our Life Insurance segment, earnings of $75 million were down as a result of unfavorable mortality and $17 million of lower alternative investment income. This quarter, mortality negatively impacted earnings by $30 million. And again, roughly two-thirds of this reflects typical seasonality. Included in this quarter's mortality result were an unusual number of early duration claims, which represented approximately $8 million and explains why our mortality experience exceeded normal seasonality. To provide some context, during the first quarter we had claims on 16 large policies that were underwritten within the past two years versus a quarterly average of three policies over the past couple of years. Turning quickly to the Life earnings drivers, average account values were up 3% with average in-force face amount up 4%, both consistent with recent performance. Normalized spread decreased 11 basis points, just above the top end of our 5 basis point to 10 basis point expectation. So the first quarter, once again, experienced typical seasonality. However, consistent with prior years, we do expect mortality to improve over the course of the year. Group Protection earnings of $5 million compared to a loss of $6 million in the prior-year quarter, with both periods impacted by accelerated DAC amortization. Importantly, we saw significant improvement in our non-medical loss ratio, which came in at just under 70%, our best ratio since the fourth quarter of 2009 and an 850 basis point improvement from the prior-year quarter. This quarter's loss ratio clearly benefited from strong experience across all of our businesses. Notably, life and disability continue to benefit from our pricing actions while the latter saw further improvement in claims management. These positive earnings drivers were offset by a couple negative impacts from lower persistency, owing to our extensive repricing of policy renewals. Notably, non-medical earned premiums declined 9% and we experienced accelerated amortization of DAC. As I noted upfront, the acceleration of amortization reduced earnings by approximately $18 million when compared to our typical quarterly run rate. As the first quarter is our heaviest renewal period, the amortization impact is greatest in this period but decreases in subsequent quarters. In fact, this is exactly what we saw last year as well, which gives us confidence that group's earnings power will continue to improve. Let me discuss liquidity, our capital position and capital management before we turn to Q&A. Holding company cash ended the quarter at $539 million, above our target of $500 million. Statutory surplus stands at $8.4 billion and we estimate our RBC ratio to be approximately 480%, slightly below year-end despite active capital management and a roughly 10 point negative impact from ratings migration. Additionally, I would note that we executed on a reinsurance transaction in early April which generated approximately $400 million of capital. This capital provides a buffer for uncertain macro environments while also giving us incremental capital to deploy. This quarter, we repurchased $200 million of Lincoln shares as we took advantage of our strong capital position, the decline in our share price, and capital that was freed up owing to lower Annuity sales. While I remain very comfortable with our long-term free cash flow outlook of 50% to 55% of operating earnings being available for buybacks and dividends, I do see upside to this number this year given the strength of our capital position. As we've noted in the past, returning capital to shareholders remains a priority for Lincoln. As a result, we expect to go to the board in a few weeks to ask for increase in our share repurchase authorization, consistent with past practices. So wrapping things up, earnings were short of our expectations but we see clear signs that our earnings power will recover in the very near term. As Dennis noted, our strong franchise gives us confidence in our ability to capitalize on long-term growth opportunities while the strength of our balance sheet and capital generation capabilities allows us to continue actively deploying capital. With that, let me turn the call back over to Chris. Christopher A. Giovanni - Senior Vice President & Head-Investor Relations: Thank you, Dennis and Randy. We'll now move to the Q&A portion of the call. As a reminder, we ask that you please limit yourself to one question and only one follow-up, then re-queue if you have additional questions. With that, let me turn it over to the operator.