Milton Filho
Analyst · macroeconomic conditions, market risks and other factors
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our third quarter 2021 earnings conference call. First of all, I would like to talk about our numbers. Our managerial result was BRL 6.8 billion with a growth of 3.6% in the quarter, and we had a 38.8% year-on-year increase in our profit. When we look to our managerial return on equity, on the consolidated basis, we are posting a 19.7% return on equity. And in Brazil, we are having 20.5, which is an increase of 1.1 points in the return on equity. The most relevant highlights, I would say, on the credit portfolio, we grew 5.9% in the quarter. We especially had a very good quarter in credit cards, 9.8% growth. On our individual mortgage, 12.2%. SME is 10.3%. So we delivered a very good growth in the general portfolio of the bank, and that resulted in a very good margin with client grow of 4.7%, where we got to BRL 17.6 billion. On the issued card, we achieved 4.7 million credit cards. It's an important increase even comparing to the last quarter, which was a very good one. On commissions and insurance, we grew 2.1, achieving BRL 11.6 billion, and our efficiency ratio calculated in the way we believe it's the proper way of doing that. We achieved the most 42.1% in Brazil, which is the best in the segment with comparable banks, which is a very good achievement. Looking about -- talking about iti, our digital bank, we achieved 10 million total clients in September '21. We still have a challenge to achieve 15 million by the year-end, knowing that in this last quarter, we achieved 2.2 million new clients. But it's worth to mention that 85% of those clients are no account holders. On the other hand, we grew 109% credit card sales quarter-on-quarter. Another important figure is that we acquired 5.7 million clients digitally in the third quarter of 2021. We had a very good quarter last one, but in this one, we still increased 21% in what we call O2O, which is online to offline. We achieved BRL 14 billion in volume in the 9 months of this year, and this is -- has to do with our strategy of investing a lot in what we call phygital and omnichannel we experienced that I will give more detail later on. On the next slide, it's very relevant to mention the numbers and the achievement we've been having on digital sales, in our digital channels. So when you look in terms of share, you will see on the left-hand side that we achieved a 62% in market share in our digital channel, growing 2.8x what we had in the third quarter of 2019. And our engagement hits and user per month, it's increasing as well. So clients are using more per month our digital channels than they used to. It's a 30% increase in 2 years. When we look at the sales in all digital channels in credit, we grew 2.5x. In insurance and premium bonds, we increased 2.6x third quarter of 2019. In investment, 2.8x. And in cards, 5.2x. In all of them, as you can see, we are achieving a very important share in the digital channels. More important than that is that we say that we are a one-stop shop, and we should have by the year-end '21, 100% of products in mobile. So this is how we see that, and it's very relevant for our strategy. On the next slide, talking about phygital, this is the way we believe we should have related to our -- serve our clients and having a footprint, a physical bricks-and-mortar branches and also having the digital channels. So this is very relevant for our offer. This is by conviction. So when we look, we're talking about a new way of serving our client, single point of contact to access all products and service offer at the branches, a more modern and tech-based environment, a new way of being present. As you can see here, we have a click to human. So any time a client is going through navigating our digital channels, he can click and migrate and start talking to a human. We have 100% of the channels capturing automated leads. And then we -- whenever we know the information about the client where he is going through and what channels, what he's simulating. We have an important conversion when we transfer this lead to the manager sales. We have a hit ratio of 25%, which is very relevant. Nowadays, we have 75% of our products within omnichannel experience. 50% reduction in managers' time to action and a 75% reduction in new offers launch time. So this is how we are serving on our phygital way our clients. When we go to the next slide, you can see this is Itaú BBA at a glance. So the idea here is to share with you a little bit more about our Itaú BBA wholesale operation. First of all, we support 20,000 clients in this segment. We have 4 major segments: corporate investment banking, large corporate, middle market and agribusiness. And we have some industries, some niches like real estate, financial institutions, multinationals and tech companies. The value proposition of Itaú BBA is a long-term relationship, complete offer of products and service, a specialized service model, and a few highlights that I think it's important to share. First of all, our bottom line grew 50% when we look 9 months of 2021 when compared to 2020. The cash management, when we lead, we had an important growth of 35% on volumes of payments and receipts, which is very relevant as well. And the credit portfolio grew 11.9%. When we look to agribusiness segment, there is an important growth of 27.5%. It's important to say that on the investment banking side, we've been leading the 3 ranks. So equity capital markets, we had a growth. We achieved the first position. Managers -- mergers and acquisitions, the same way around and local fixed income on the same as well. So as you can see, you have the volumes and the distributed in all those products, investment banking. But the most relevant information here is that we are doing that, and we're still increasing -- the customers increase it that we have very focused on the last years. So we achieved 77 points on the NPS. It's 10 points above what we had in the same period looking on September '20. In the next slide, talking a little bit more about our credit portfolio. We have an important group in individuals. As you can see, credit cards, personal loans, payrolls and more relevant still in auto loan and mortgage and this is important for the way we manage our portfolio. When you look only the total of Brazil, we had a 6.6% growth. And when you take out the foreign exchange rate variation, we had a 4.8% and 15.7% growth. It's important to mention that our reprofiled portfolio that used to be BRL 53.5 billion up in September '20 had an important reduction, 34%, throughout this year, and 57% of the portfolio are collateralized. We had in the quarter a reduction of 13.2%, which is very good, knowing the reason why we made this portfolio that had a pandemic connection. When we look to the grace period, we had only 1.2% in grace period. So it's basically all the credits are due, and we have the delinquency ratio of 15-90 days of 4.4% and the over 90 days at 8.3%. When we look now on the right-hand side, we have the loans average balance. It's important to mention that the personalized credit that has to do with this reprofiled portfolio as well. There is an important decrease of 7.7. When we look to 2019, it's still above the figures we used to have, but this has a relation to all the program that we put in place last year to help our clients to go through the crisis. On the other hand, the overdraft and unsecured loans are growing, even though the overdraft is still behind the average balance that we had in 2019. But on the other hand, the unsecured loans are now above what we had in 2019. So there is a new dynamic in terms of growing portfolio as you can see here. In the next slide, it's important to say that we believe this is a very sustainable growth in the individual portfolios. When we compare the third quarter of 2021 to the third quarter 2020, you can see on the credit card, 25.1 growth, 20% growth in the payroll. But as you can see, in all of them, we are growing the portfolio and increasing our NPS, the Net Promoter Score, the way the clients evaluate our service or our journey. So on the credit card, we increased 6 points. On the payroll, we increased 5 points. In personnel loans, 16 points, and we grew 80%. In auto loans, we increased 12 points, and we grew 30.8%. The overdraft, we grew 13.2, and the NPS increased 15 points. In the mortgage, we grew 4 points. In the NPS, we increased and we had a -- we grew 54.2 in the portfolio. It's important to say, it's worth it to mention that when you look at the down payment in the auto loans, and we're still working with a very small -- with a very relevant down payment, it used to be 37, now it's 41. And the average term, it's still the same, 45 to 46 months. And the loan to value are showing how healthy is our portfolio. When we look on the vintage, the average LTV of 55 now, used to be 61 one year ago. And also on the portfolio basis, we have 46% now. It used to be 39%. So it's -- they are very good figures when we look this way. And also on the individual portfolio, this major growth that we had on the secured portfolio made us to increase the secured portion of our portfolio to 56. It used to be 49 two years ago. And the unsecured in consequence, it's 44. But as you can see, we are growing the portfolio as a whole. So this is our portfolio way of managing the secure and then unsecured. And you can see the NPL, the delinquency over 90 days in a very good figure of 3.6%. On this next slide, it's important to highlight the margin with clients. As you can see on an annualized base, we are pretty much flat in respect to the other quarter. But when we look to the NII, you can see an important growth here of BRL 800 million, as you can see, most related to the average volume that I just showed to you. And also we have a small growth, and this should increase in the next quarters, which comes from the working capital. And this has relation with the interest rate hike and also with the accumulated capital that we have throughout this period. On the next slide, it's -- I'm talking here about the financial margin with the market. As you can see, we have 3 very strong quarters when we look to the average that we had in 2020 and 2019. We still had a few changes in mix when we look LatAm and also Brazil. But as you can see, Brazil is delivering 3 quarters of very strong pace, much higher than we used to have looking to the previous quarters. The last quarter, it's more difficult to still have 2 months ahead, but I have been seeing more volatility in the market. So maybe we should have not so relevant quarter in margin with marketing, the last one as we've been seeing here in these last 3 quarters. Moving to the next slide. We give here a highlight in our credit card portfolio. So we've been growing the credit cards and debit cards 17% and 4.7%, the other when compared to September of 2020. On the other hand, we grew 4.7 million cards issued in third quarter of 2021, 280, 18% 9 months -- against 9 months and 138 quarter-on-quarter. And as you can see, our NPS -- global NPS achieved 70 points, growing 6 points when compared to September '20. So we are growing with a lot of quality and client centricity. In volumes, we are seeing important volumes on the credit card quarter-on-quarter. We are growing credit and debit 11.7%. When we look third quarter 2021 and third quarter 2020, 26.6%. The credit card portfolio achieved BRL 97 billion. It's very important to mention that out of this BRL 97 billion, 85% is -- doesn't bear interest. And when we look, the installment with interest and revolving, we are talking about 15% of the portfolio, but this is how the dynamic that we have in Brazilian market. We are growing the issuing income, 17% quarter year-on-year, which is very important, but with a different mix. On the interchange, we are growing 31%. In the annual fees, we are decreasing 22.4%. And this is our strategy to keep increasing on the interchange. And we made an important change in our portfolio recently. I told about that in the last quarter, and we believe that we should have less annual fees in the mid- to long term, then we have interchange. So this is our strategy to increase the lifetime value of our clients, reduce the churn that we have with those clients as well. On the next slide, talking about hedge, it's very important to say that we believe we have a unique position to deliver value from hedge the acquiring business as also the banking business, current accounts, credit, payments, cards. So this combo, it's very relevant for us, and we are working through this direction. And we do believe that in one side, we have a very good acquiring business to deliver, but also we have all the capabilities, especially on the credit side, to deliver a very strong combo to this segment that knowing models, experience in the segment, it's very important for credit. On the growth side, what we show here is that we have a 25% reduction in churn, more than 100 software houses in the partners we have in Conexão Rede. We've been delivering more than 3,000 smart POS machines per month. We've been leading the prepayment of receivables in the third quarter. We achieved BRL 50 billion, 55% one-off retail prepayment. And the penetration of prepayment of sales in installments, we had an increase of 10 percentage points and 35 percentage points in new clients, which is very relevant. In the satisfaction, we see 80% of the POS machines delivering in up to D+1. 49%, we are delivering D+0. 80% of the eligible customers are taking advantages of the D+2 that we've been delivering to our account holders, being Itaú or others. Best market approval rate in e-commerce, which is very important, knowing that we have 30% of market share on the issuing side combined with our acquired platform in the e-commerce. We have the most relevant approval, and it's very important for the client to convert sales. We are the acquirer now with the lowest number of complaints per active base in Reclame Aqui. And on the efficiency side, we have 14 points percentage points growth in the customer using digital channels, and we had a reduction of 17% of the cost of acquisition of new customers at the 110 hubs that we have distributed throughout Brazil as well. The next chart, I mentioned here, our transformation in the investment journey. We have around 53 regional offices up to date. We should have around 90 by the year-end, where we have specialists dedicated to be assessing or helping our clients to make better investment. It's a new arena for us somehow. We used to have only the manager taking care of the client. Now we have the manager and also the specialists. We should have by the year end of 2022 around 2,000 people taking care of our clients -- around 500,000 clients with this dedicated service. And also since we launched the ion app, which is very recent. We had more than 400,000 downloads, 20,000 portfolios aggregated in 2 months. 5,000 clients feedback, and it's -- the idea is not only to be a consulted app, but we can do all the transactions inside the app. From transactional fixed income, we're going to be open for nonaccount holders by the beginning of 2022. So this is a new journey for us, and we are very happy to what we achieved up to now. And also, we've been working through our journalist content platform, focused pretty much on investment. We had a partnership with Editora Globo in Brazil. There are 3 fundamental pillars: The first one, it's -- we have an exclusive journalists’ newsroom with Grupo Globo content, a very independent content production. Then we have the network of digital influencers. We are bringing digital influence that talk about investment that it's very diverse, talking to our society. And also we have a wide dissemination and distribution of content. We not only will have this in the channels of Grupo Globo, ValorEconômico, O Globo, G1. Also on the social media, now we have Facebook, Instagram, Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube and also on commercial breaks of global news on the television. So it's a new way of delivering content to our clients and also to increase the audience of ion, delivering a very good role of content inside this platform as well. In the next page, I comment here on commission and insurance. We had a very good quarter as well. As you can see here, we grew 2.1% in the quarter, 4% year-on-year. But when we take out the XP, remember that the spinoff was made on accounted based on May 31. That means that we had, in the last quarter, 2 months with XP and 1 month without XP. That explained the BRL 300 million that you can see here on the second quarter of 2021 when you look at result of investment in XP. In this quarter, we didn't have XP, even though we grew in the quarter. But when we exclude XP, we grew 4.8% and 8.3% year-on-year. So we're having a very strong year in the office. On the insurance side, the good news is that we start to see a relevant change here in the dynamic. We believe we still have a lot of room to increase our business in insurance. We had a 6.2 increase in earned premiums, 21.5 in underwriting margin, 8.4 decline in the combined ratio, which is good news and 8.9 percentage points in claims ratio as well. And it's important to say that the financial margin from the insurance was lower than we used to have in the last quarter. That means that the operational margin of insurance is growing more, okay? So it's good news, and we still believe we have a lot of room to work here. On the next page, talking a little bit more about the credit quality. First of all, I would like to highlight that we had a cost of credit of 2.2%. It's a very good figure. And in line, I've been telling you in the previous quarters, our expectation about the cost of credit. It's natural to increase, and this has to do with the growth that we had in the portfolio that I just mentioned. And also the average balance of the delinquencies. It's a nominal basis. It's a little bit higher. That means a little bit more of cost of credit, but when you compare to the portfolio, it's absolutely healthy. On the other hand, it's important to explain the coverage ratio NPL 90 days. So coming from above -- from below, you can see, on the retail Brazil, we are pretty much flat in terms of coverage. And when we look to that, we profile our portfolio. We are talking about 176 coverage, which is very good as well. The 2 major impacts that we had on the Latin America has to do with one specific client. As I've been mentioning in the previous quarters, this client -- it's a client where we have an activity. We have shares given us in guarantee, and we've been making provisions to this client in the previous quarter. So what happened is that as the wholesale is the same, we anticipate our provision on our expected loss model. And whenever we have the delinquency, you have an impact in coverage, as you can see over here. So in the Latin America, it's only one client. It's not booked in any of our entities outside Brazil, it's booked in our branch in Cayman. But it's important to mention that this is completely -- it's completely provisioned on the clean part of the credit, which is completely fine, and we don't have any P&L impact on this provision here. And the wholesale in Brazil, something very similar, 3 clients that are completely provisioned in the clean part, and we are very comfortable with the level of provision we have. But those clients, they are now on delinquency over 90 days. This is the reason why they consume the coverage ratio. When we look at our delinquency in the short term, the good news is that on the individuals, we still have been reduction. And it's important to mention that we didn't sell any portfolio, anything active portfolio. So this is life as it is. And also on the very small and middle market companies, we've been seeing a reduction as well. So those are the 2 good news here when we look at the short-term delinquents. When we look to the long-term delinquency, as you can see, on the individuals, it's still performing very good. And also on the very small and middle market companies, we are pretty much flat, 2.6%, which is good news as well. What is important to mention that when we exclude this only specific client in Latin America, our total delinquency 90 days would be 2.4%. When you look at the American -- Latin America figures would be 1.2% instead of 2%. That shows that only one case has this impact, but as I was saying before, it's -- there is no impact in the P&L. It's a client that's been provisioned for a long time. On the next slide, talking about noninterest expenses, a few messages for you. First of all, total Brazil, when we look at the 9 months of 2021 compared to the 9 months of 2020, we had only 1.1% growth, almost flat. But we cannot forget that we had a salary readjustment, an inflation index of 10.2. Another inflation index, which is IGPM, of 24.9, even though we've been able to deliver 1.1%. And when we look to our efficiency ratio, the 42.1, is the best indicator in the industry when we compare to comparable banks, I would say. It's the correct way of publishing the number because we include all expenses here. We don't make a cut here only to show a better figure. So this is the most important figure as you can see. And then when we look here in terms of investment and costs, why do we open the figures the way you are seeing here because we are investing in the future a lot. So when you look to investment in technology, an investment in business, we are growing BRL 1.2 billion. And it's blue because it's right way is to have a much better bank, to have a much more efficient bank, a much more digital bank. On the other hand, on the efficiency program, we've been opening room for this investment. So we decreased BRL 1.4 billion here in costs. And the transactional one, what I used to say is, the good cholesterol. It's because the volumes are coming very strong when compared to 9 months of last year. Of course, we take care of the unit cost, but what we've been seeing here is much more volumes related than unit costs increase, which is good news. So the idea here is to show that we are delivering a very strong efficiency ratio, investing a lot in the future of the bank. In the next page, on the capital side, you can see here that we had an increase of 0.4% of net income of the quarter after dividend. And also, we had a consumption of 0.4% in the risk-weighted assets in the portfolio as well. So the message here is that we generate capital enough to grow the business. On the other hand, we had the acquisition of Minas Gerais Payroll, which is an investment, important one of BRL 2.6 billion. That means that we have this here in capital at site, I would say, but in 5 years, we have this capital back. And also, we will have the revenues of this portfolio, more than 600,000 employees, a lot of providers, suppliers. So it's very important for the business. And there is also this 0.3% decrease on the capital. This is much more related to the FX variation. This has 2 main effects: one is the cost -- the tax cost of our credits that we generate in our overhead strategy that we are in runoff by the year-end; and also, we have the risk-weighted assets of the portfolio, the abroad, the other currencies portfolio that are impacted by the foreign exchange variation. So this is why we come to 11.3 capital core equity Tier 1, but it's still a good level at 12.9% in Level 1. On the next page, I talk here about the Itaú Net Zero. We will reduce. This is something that we agreed very recently to reduce total emissions by 50% by 2030 and become carbon neutral by 2050. Our emission target will be certified by science-based target initiative what we call here SBTi. It's important to highlight, there are always Scope 1 and 2. We are already carbon neutral. The Scope 3 represents 99% of total emissions. There is a lot of ways of measuring it, but it's important to say, the approach, it's very inclusive to our clients. So we will support our clients in transition process, fostering a climate transition plan, new product and team dedicated to support clients' transition, agribusinesses, recovery of pastures, ecological restoration and biofuel production and also encouraging voluntary carbon market. So this is the way we are approaching, 35 of the 55% of the emissions in measuring about economic groups, out of those 25 have already signed up to the decarbonization commitment. So that means that this is something that is happening not only throughout the banks, but the whole industry. The market, the clients are moving throughout this direction, which is very positive for the world and for all sustainable agenda. The next slide. I could not end this presentation without talking about the cultural transformation, which I believe it's very relevant for what we are doing here. So this iceberg, you can see 2 ways. What is outside the water are the results of this cultural transformation. So now we have 62% share in sales for individuals through digital channels. 81% products for individuals and companies had their NPS improved, which are relevant figures. We achieved the Best Bank to Work in Brazil according to Great Place to Work, and the second in the whole industry of companies in Brazil. So we are very proud of that. I mentioned already the O2O, more than BRL 14 billion in omnichannel and phygital approach. 100% of our products in the mobile channel by the year-end when we say one-stop shop and a very availability on digital channels of 99.6%. What is behind that it's under the water, as you can see here, very focused on customers. So customers centricity, ways of working off the bank. We are working in communities already, 10,000 people we should have by the year end of 2022. 21,000 people working in communities, very integrated, much less hierarchy and more agility. So we don't have more the titles we used to have in the bank, Executive Vice President, Executive Director. So we only have Directors. Everybody has the same title. We have the executive committee. It's the only difference, 12 people in the executive committee. We have a very different risk managed approach where we believe we have a lot of capability -- installed capabilities. There are competitive differential for us when we look throughout the years, but we still have room to increase to be more innovative to create the environment for people to innovate, to create new products, more MVPs, test, fast learn, and fail fast. So approach like this are very important for the digital transformation that we are making throughout the bank. We changed the incentives, so much more linked to the stock price appreciation and the expansion of the partnership program is something that we are doing. Now we used to have 195 partners, we are moving to 450 now. I've been telling you about the technology transformation. We had a chat about that in the last quarter, but we emphasize here that we are modernizing our legacy systems with full stack state-of-the-art. And the technology base, we have modernized the services of the bank, more than 3,800 services, to then migrate to cloud, and we expect to have 50% of those already in cloud by the year end of 2022. And last but not least, we are reformulating here our associative agenda, M&A acquisition integration, a more agile and flexible model, and we should have results on that in the coming months. And also, we cannot -- we have to mention here the Cubo Network that we have more than 350 high-growth startups when they are becoming clients of the bank and also where we have alliances opportunity here to work with those companies. So this is an approach that we are doing very focused as well in the digital transformation of the bank. So with this, I finish the presentation, and then I open for the Q&A. Thank you very much.