Waleed Jabsheh
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Good morning. Thank you all for joining us today and thank you, Wasef. As Wasef said, I mean, we've had a very strong start to the year with really solid results. We started the year with relatively healthy but some more challenging conditions, and it's fair to say that we are responding quickly and decisively to changes that are proceeding in our markets. To date this year, we've had a relatively active loss environment from a natural capacity perspective, and this has carried into the second quarter with the earthquake in Taiwan and the flooding in Oman and the United Arab Emirates, along with some storms in the US, of course. We also witnessed a major market loss, potentially in the billions of dollars and potentially the largest ever marine loss when the container ship, NBW, collided with Baltimore's Francis Scott Key Bridge, which resulted in its collapse. And as we've said in prior quarters, we're seeing an increasing degree of polarization, heightened tensions in many parts of the world, and we expect this to continue for the foreseeable future. We're working on some specific initiatives undertaking to continue growing and strengthening our company, specifically our new Lloyds presence that we just announced this morning, further growing and diversifying our reinsurance portfolio, adding talent across our offices and teams, and expanding geographic spread of our products. I'll elaborate on these a little bit more later in the call. So now I'll just give a quick recap of the results for the first quarter, and I'll talk more about our outlook for the market and for us for the remainder of 2024. As I said, our markets are still relatively healthy, although as we noted in prior reports, as we're seeing more competitive pressures, mixed rating environments, mixed condition market conditions. From an overall rating perspective, we're not seeing and consequently not benefiting from the larger rate increases that we've seen in recent years. But we are still within positive territory overall and across many of our business lines. Given the very healthy conditions at the start of last year, there's definitely a great degree of competition among existing players who are wanting to show more growth and are expanding their risk appetite. But on the positive side, we're not really seeing this coming from new capital entering the market. It's more from existing players getting hungry. For IGI gross written premium growth in the first quarter as follows 4.5%. This is on top of the significant growth we saw the same quarter last year. Similar to the patterns of the past several quarters growth coming from both the short tail and reinsurance segments, but mostly from the reinsurers portfolio, which grew 21% compared to the first quarter of 2022. In the short-tail segment we're seeing good opportunities for growth as well particularly in light of engineering contingency property and marine cargo. Gross premiums in the first quarter in this segment were up 2.8% and were impacted by some timing issues and I'm happy to expand on that in the Q&A session. Long-tail segment saw some contraction in gross premium in the first quarter as rates and conditions are reaching levels where we were choosing to non-renew some mid -- non-renew some business at this time. Given that our long-tail book similar to many of our competitors still low we don't write in the US business, the pace of breaking decline and adequacy of business for us a little more measured than the broad market commentary [indiscernible]. The decline in gross premiums was also somewhat distorted as a result of our decision to focus our IDA portfolio, the inherent defects portfolio into runoff as returns. We're just not meeting our requirements. You'll recall the significant growth we experienced in segments over the years since about 2018. That was to take advantage of strong conditions on a healthy rate of refunds. And now that those that long-tail lines by several of the sector of course is embracing the time albeit from very quite high levels. We have been and continue to take a for cautious Q-o-Q and that's all part of our foods segment. Lastly and I've said this many times before one quarter does not a trend. We expect growth for the full year of 2024 and to be in the high single-digits to low double-digits. There's still opportunity to grow but maybe just perhaps lesser than compared to previous years. I'll talk more later on our goals initiatives. Specifically on the first quarter losses I mentioned a moment ago, our share of those losses were relatively small and very manageable. From the Baltimore bridge, we've taken a very conservative view on this of this based on our full disclosure and fully reserved for this event in Q1, which we expect to be more than that. Our combined ratio of 74.1% was well below our long-term average and excellent results. This included eight points of higher favorable development than the favorable development recorded in the first quarter of last year. Net investment income similar to past several quarters showed significant improvement in Q1 when compared to the same period the year before. This resulted in a 0.7 point improvement in the annualized investment yield to 4.2% for the first vote. Specifically, in our fixed income portfolio we will maintain our first average rating at A, average duration of 3.1 years. Net income for the first quarter was just under $38 million compared to just under $34 million first quarter a year ago. This increase was driven by a higher level of underwriting income of a larger portfolio as well as a $3 million increase in net investment income. All those being offset by a $5.6 million of higher net ForEx losses and a higher general administrative expenses mostly relating to adding new talent across our team's. Core operating income which we believe is a truer measure of fundamental performance was $40 million in first quarter of this year representing an increase of more than 35% versus 29 million in the first quarter of last year. On the G&A expense ratio which was 2.3 points higher in the first quarter when compared to same period a year ago, we do expect it to be running a little higher in the near term, as IGI continues to grow in numbers we are now more almost 425 people across the group. In addition to supplementing times across our offices, we've also been taking the important step of replacing what were previously outsourced roles with dedicated in-house teams providing greater control and features on our site. Now turning to the balance sheet. Total assets increased a little over 2% to $1.88 billion and total equity has increased a little over 3% to $567 million at the end of Q1. The second tranche of burn-off shares totaling 600,000 with a vesting threshold of $12.75 vested during the first quarter. In total to date, $2 million earnout shares invested and a little over one million remain with vesting thresholds of our $14 and $15.25. On the capital management front, we continued to repurchase our common shares under our existing five million shares repurchase authorization and we now have around one million shares remaining under the existing authorization. As always this wasn’t -- mentioned a moment ago, our priority is underwriting first and where we have capital in excess of the opportunities for tomorrow in underwriting, we will return it to shareholders. You will recall, we announced special dividends of $0.50 per share alongside the regular quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share during the first quarter, which meant our equity was impacted by a payout of just under $24 million during Q1. Ultimately we recorded a core operating ROE of just shy of 30% for the first quarter, compared to 27.9% in the same period last year. And we grew our book value per share by 1.5% to $12.58 at March 31st. So all-in a very solid quarter and the start to the year with a few moving pieces. But we continue to be optimistic about 2024. Just moving on to our markets for bids, we're seeing a continuation of the trends that we saw during 2023, opportunities are still very much prevalent across much of our portfolio, but momentum is solid. As I noted a moment ago, we expect to see the growth rates of around high single digits to low double-digit percentages, which I'll say a few more words about in moment. Overall, I think we're in that critical transitional phase where cycle management levels -- leverage come into play. And this is where we are most affected. We are shifting or increasing our focus on those areas with better conditions, higher returns or returns that beat our profitability and risk return thresholds. And we're reducing or moving away from areas that no longer meet those thresholds. This is exactly the type of market where we can demonstrate our strengths. As we've always said, we were very much technical underwriters here with IGI, the conditions we're seeing today are all of us technical underwriting instance smart grids as such. When we think about the short ail segment, we're most encouraged by opportunities in engineering, property, contingency and marine cargo, But then other lines like aviation, upstream energy are definitely more challenging. Engineering and construction continues to be a bright spot for us in many of our markets, including the Middle East and Asia. And we're expanding teams and our underwriting expertise across many offices, most recently in the nation callable. As you know we've entered the US construction market and we'll continue to build our presence there, while always staying well within our risk appetite, of course, mindful of our cat exposures. In our treaty reinsurance business, our reinsurance segment, we saw net price improvements of more than 70% in the first quarter on the back of 25 plus percent increases last year. And this is by far the most attractive area of our portfolio right now. And there continues to be plenty of opportunity to drive the business. And we, of course, are exploring ways to diversify the spoke and expense especially our specialty insurance footprint, which historically had not made up a significant proportion of our portfolio. We expect this book of business to continue to grow in proportion to our overall book for the foreseeable future as conditions remain positive. In the long tail segment, where we – it’s a rate -- in the US Business. Rates continue to follow the past several quarters trending downward, but mostly in an order. Overall net rates remained broadly adequate. But again, like the other areas of our business, there's much variation by line and where rates are not adequate we are walking away from business. One thing I will note is, I would not expect to have -- see much growth in this segment in 2024. Turning to our geographic markets. Rates in the US continue to outpace all other markets in the -- again sort of deadline to property, energy, PV, and contingency and this remains at the big growth areas for us. In the first quarter of the year, we witnessed just over $34 million in gross premiums in the US and that represents about 35% growth over the same period last year. We expect to benefit from our entry into the US construction market. As I noted earlier, while we're evolving it cautiously right in small to medium-sized projects, with manageable positive variance, managed cat exposures, it's been varying from the way we might International General [indiscernible] In Europe, where we wrote over $22 million in Q1 versus about 19 million in the same quarter last year. We do expect to see further opportunity to show growth throughout the year especially given our new Oslo platform where we've bolstered our underwriting team to expand our presence and relationships in Nordic markets specifically for -- say at this time on professional financial loans. Uncovered other opportunity though there's already like engineering in these nations. I'm not going to go for five over that. I am particularly excited about our announcement this morning that we've established a presence at Lloyd's of London, with a company box and we begin trading tomorrow. We're offering a number of lines of business, Property, Energy, Contingency Political Violence Ports and Terminals and Marine Cargo as well as various long tail lines including Marine Liability Pressure Identity and Financial Institutions. Our underwriting teams will be there and operate on a rotational basis while our offices online see here in London are just sold throw away from the Lloyd's building at -- of the London market at Lloyd's offers us a significant opportunity for us to build on the profile of the presence. And more importantly, benefit from the additional distribution opportunities that Lloyd spreads. Everything we're doing today and the significant enhancements we have made over the past several years. Our work continues to strengthen our solid foundation. We've grown and diversified our company focused on our core principles of selective and disciplined underwriting, dynamic cycle management spend cautious reserving with the ultimate goal of protecting the profitability profile of our company and the capital that is entrusted to us. We've generated excellent results, that will serve us well in the quarters and years ahead, and allow us to continue to deliver on our promises to all stakeholders. So, I'm going to pause here and we'll turn it over for questions. Operator? We're ready to take the first question, please.