Waleed Jabsheh
Analyst · RBC Capital Markets
Thank you. Good morning, Wassef. Thank you all for joining us today and thank you Wassef. Just going to follow the usual agenda. Start with a quick recap of the results for the fourth quarter and the full year of 2023, and then we'll move on to our markets and our outlook for the remainder of ‘24. As you saw from our press release last night and as Wassef highlighted, we produced exceptional results in both the fourth quarter and the full year. Before going through the financial highlights, I would first just like to echo Wassef’s comments and congratulate our people on the high quality and consistent focus on execution throughout the year. Our results in ‘23, as well as in recent years are differentiated in some of the best in the specialty insurance market and we're clearly out performing in the current industry tailwinds. More than this though is the execution behind the numbers, and that is all about our people. We're technical underwriters first and foremost that is what we do. Every team member understands our strategy, what their individual and collective responsibility is, and also how what they do impacts the end result. We’re details focused; we've got a deep understanding of our markets with people on the ground providing cultural compatibility. We communicate with transparency and we execute with precision. And to be perfectly honest, we're passionate about what about the business that we're in. Just moving on to some specific highlights, gross written premium growth in the fourth quarter was 6.5%, which is more muted than prior quarters and in line with the historical patterns.For the full year, which obviously is a better indicator, we recorded growth of just over 18%. Again, the growth in ‘23 is concentrated in the short tail on reinsurance segments, while the long tail segment remains more challenged as we previously said. Specifically, in the short tail segment, we recorded just over 38% growth in gross premiums for the fourth quarter and just over 26% growth for the full year when compared to 2022. Growth in Q4 was in most short tail lines, most significantly, energy engineering and contingency, areas where we are achieving rate improvements on renewal business continue to be most evident in property, ultra energy and political violence. Our reinsurance treaty business where we're seeing a continued strong pricing environment and plenty of new business opportunities finish the year at 9% of our overall premium portfolio. Almost double that of the year before. In 2023, cumulative net rate increases exceeded 25% in this segment, you'll have seen the reinsurance growth written premium shortfall of $4.9 million recorded in the fourth quarter of 2023. I think most reinsurance companies go through a true up process in the fourth quarter where there is some differential between actual written premium against expected premium recorded earlier in the year. For us, however, given the relatively small size of our reinsurance book in dollar terms and especially in Q4 that year and true up resulted in a shortfall. For the full year, however, we almost doubled our reinsurance premiums to over $61 million. We expect to continue to take advantage of many reinsurance opportunities out there, while staying within our defined risk appetite. Our combined ratio of 81.8% for the fourth quarter and 76.7% for the full year were well below our long-term averages. While, as I said earlier, our full year combined ratio is the best in our history, this included 2.9 points of unfavorable development of prior accident here net losses in the fourth quarter of ‘23 compared to 4.3 points of unfavorable development for the same period in ‘22. Both periods were impacted by FX movements and I mean, whilst I don't like to play the but four cards, both periods would've shown positive reserve developments on a neutral FX basis. For the full year, we recorded 8.8 points of favorable development versus 11.2 points in 2022. Net investment income similar to the first three quarters of ‘23 showed significant improvement in Q4, as a result of the rising rates and an overall larger investment portfolio. This resulted in a 1.4 improvement in the annualized investment yield to 4.3% for Q4.For the full year, net investment income increased almost 250% with a 1.5 point investment yield improvement to 3.9%. Specifically, in our fixed income portfolio similar to the past we maintained the overall credit rating at A average duration at 3.2 years, and most likely, we're probably going to see a slight duration increase over the next few quarters. Net income for the fourth quarter of ‘23 was $33 million compared to $22.5 million in the fourth quarter a year ago, and $118.2 million for the full year compared to $89.2 million for ‘22. A truer measure of our performance is core operating income, which more than doubled in the fourth quarter and increased 42.5% for the full year ‘23 compared to the same period in ‘22. Just turning to the balance sheet. Total assets increased more than 16% to $1.84 billion and total equity increased more than 31% to $540 million for the full year. On the capital management front, we are increasingly demonstrating our ability to pull the right levers to maximize shareholder value. As we've always said, our priority is underwriting first and as Wasef have said, where we have capital in excess of the opportunity to put to work in underwriting, we will return it to shareholders. During 2023, we continued to repurchase common shares under our existing 5 million common shares repurchase authorization, and you'll have the specifics in our press release issued last night. We've got around 1.3 million shares left under our existing authorization, and last night, we announced a special dividend of $0.50 per share alongside the regular quarterly dividend of $0.01 per share. In addition, during the year, we redeemed all outstanding warrants for cash at an average purchase price of $0.95 per warrant for a total cost of just over $16 million. Ultimately, we recorded a core operating ROE of 23.7% for the fourth quarter and 28.1% for the full year 2023, which is the highest annual core operating ROE we've ever recorded in our 22 year history. We also grew our book value per share by almost 37% to $12.40 at December 31. So all in, there really is lots to be proud of in what we've achieved, and we continue to be optimistic about the year ahead. Moving on to our markets, we're seeing continuation of the trends that we saw during 2023, and there continue to be a decent amount of profitable opportunities most significantly in our short tail on reinsurance segments. But within these rates and conditions continue to vary by line and by territory. Just talking about the short tail segment for a bit, we're most encouraged by conditions and opportunities in property engineering and PV, but all lines really, with the exception of aviation are holding up relatively well. Overall, in this segment, we've seen cumulative net rate increases of 9%, and that's fairly steady with what we saw throughout the year from the beginning. Again, there's a lot of variation by line of business. For instance, property seeing overall increases just shy of 14%, but these are higher in the US for example, lower level of increases in some other regions and in other -- in some regions we're seeing reductions. PV continues to see increases of 25% given the geopolitical events of the past few years, there's quite a bit of tension in many parts of the world, 2024 is also a heavy election year across the globe where more than 40% of the world will be heading to the polls. So we expect this to continue. So, all in all, as we really said throughout 2023, the landscape overall for short tail remains encouraging along with reinsurance and with continued opportunity and relatively positive rate momentum. In our treaty reinsurance business, we saw cumulative net rate improvements of more than 25% in ‘23, and we expect the strong momentum to continue through our 2024. Whilst most importantly, keeping a close eye on our risk tolerances. This is by far the most exciting area of our business, and there continues to be plenty opportunity to write new business. We expect this portfolio to remain around 10% of our overall book for the foreseeable future, which is double historical levels. And at January 1, rates held up quite well with continued positive momentum. The story in the long tail segment conversely, remains a little murkier. Rates continue to trend downward, but mostly in an orderly manner though. Net rates overall are down slightly, but while they're coming off several years of compound increases, the most important thing is they remain broadly adequate across the portfolio. Again, like the other areas of our business, there is much variation by line. We're continuing to take a cautious approach, selective approach to this business and I would expect growth in these lines to be quite challenging in 2024. Lastly, we've heard a lot discerning season about social inflation and once again, I'd just like to reiterate that IGI doesn't write any U.S. casualty business. So while we are impacted like everyone else with this environment, it doesn't impact us to the same magnitude it would to U.S. casualty underwriters. Looking at our geographic markets, the U.S. definitely continues to outpace all other markets with rate increases of almost 20% in the lines we're rising. I'll remind you, they're all short tailed lines including property PV, energy contingency and cargo. And these continue to be growth areas for us. In 2023, we wrote just over $94 million in GWP in the U.S. which represents growth over the same period of about 45% compared to ‘22. We recently also entered the U.S. construction market but are taking a cautious approach here we're writing small to medium sized projects, shorter policy periods and as always, within strict cat risk tolerances. In Europe, we wrote over $80 million in GWP in 2023 versus about $62 million in ‘22. And we expect to see more opportunities to show growth in the coming year ahead, especially given our newly open platform in Oslo and Norway. In January this year, we added two new team members in our Oslo platform focusing on professional financial lines. And as we've said before, this is in line with our expansion of relationships and product offerings in the Nordic market. In the Middle East, which makes them about under 10 -- just under 10% of our overall GWP, conditions are quite mixed with evidence of increasing competitive pressures in certain lines of business. But no doubt, there are still pockets of opportunity, particularly in engineering and construction across the GCC countries. In summary, again, ‘23 was an exceptional year for IGI, really a year -- in which it really felt like we hit our stride. We're gaining recognition from our various audiences and all the feedback we've received has been quite positive. But we know that our work is not done and we continue to keep our heads down. We keep our sleeves rolled up and we remain steadfastly focused on the task at hand. That is to continue to grow a strong, diversified and profitable portfolio while actively managing the cyclicality and inherent volatility of our business, focusing on those lines and markets with the strongest margins, as we always said and very importantly, pulling back when and where the conditions just aren't right for us. We can't control what's driving change in our markets and in the broader world around us. Conditions are constantly shifting and we're seeing more of that lately. Our success lies and our ability to understand and anticipate these dynamics, and obviously to respond quickly and decisively and allocate our capital accordingly, which I think, we're very good at. As we did throughout the last 12 months, we're going to continue to explore the best and most efficient uses of our capital so that we continue to deliver on our promise of maximizing value for our shareholders. We are very optimistic about our future, our ability to continue to deliver on that promise through consistently solid execution and prudent and active capital management underpinned by strong cooperation and collaboration from all of us at IGI. This is what is driving our success and our strong and successful track record. So I'm going to pause here and we'll turn it over for questions. Operator, we're ready to take the first question, please.