Manuel Henriquez
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open
Thank you, Michael, and good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us today, for the Hercules Capital third quarter 2016 earnings call. First and foremost, I am very pleased and proud to announce another outstanding and very robust third quarter of activities for Hercules Capital, which culminated in delivering another strong performance with $0.32 in net investment income, which is our second consecutive quarter in which NII has exceeded our dividend distribution of $0.31. Our third quarter 2016 results reflected our solid performance across our three specialized lending industry groups: our life sciences, our technology and our sustainable and renewable group. These groups all perform extremely well thus far throughout the year and exhibited very strong performance in the third quarter that led with high effective yields, stable credit outlook and continued ongoing deal flows and transactions from those three respective groups. I like to remind everybody, Hercules is not a generalist. We do not operate as a generalist. We have three distinct origination groups that are specialized lending practices, associate each one of those groups for the proprietary deal flow that we receive from our venture capital partners. Hercules’ access to the debt and equity capital markets remains a critical advantage over many of our direct and indirect competitors, thereby allowing Hercules Capital to continue to grow and access the debt and equity capital markets to facilitate and ensure continuation of portfolio expansion and earnings growth. This has afforded us the ability to access in multiple source of growth capital on a just-in-time basis using two of our differentiated ATM programs which Mark will cover in greater details in his presentation or his remarks. As we stated in our second quarter 2016 earnings call, Hercules Capital is quickly approaching a critical inflection point with its debt invested portfolio as we ended the quarter with approximately $1.276 billion on a cost basis, quickly approaching the $1.3 billion mark that we have been advocating now for well over a year. By the end of 2013 – by the end of Q3 2016 with a $1.276 billion portfolio, we now find ourselves just $25 billion to $75 billion away from our desired debt investment portfolio target of the $1.3 billion or the $1.35 billion and what we referred to as our optimal portfolio inflection point. Once we achieve our targeted portfolio inflection point of $1.3 billion, and assuming we maintain our effective yield levels above 13.5%, which by the way are currently operating at 14.6%, as well assuming that we maintain net investment interest margin or NII margins above 52%, which currently are at 52.7%, we anticipate that our debt portfolio at this level will generate sufficient net investment income at or above our existing dividend distribution policy of $0.31 per share, said differently, we remain optimistic as we put our capital to work that we’ll be continuing to be able to grow our dividend entering into 2017 and beyond with just the liquidity that we have on-hand today. In addition to our strong liquidity position and our ability to continue to grow our debt investment portfolio above the $1.35 billion, we also find ourselves with a very advantageous position of having substantial and growing amount of potential undistributed taxable income or earnings spillover rolling into 2017. Assuming, of course, no adverse changes in the broader capital markets or any material changes in our outlook for our credit book entering into the fourth quarter of the year. Although it is still too early to determine the final year-end balance, as of the end of the third quarter of 2016, the estimated potential earnings spillover is currently standing at approximately $0.15 to $0.20 in NII spillover at this point. However, I’d like to remind everybody, this final amount is in fact subject to final end of the year tax true up and any additional realized gains and losses that we may have in the fourth quarter, may also impact that final number that we will be reporting at the end of our Q4 earnings call. This is a growing and important spillover and serves various purposes for our shareholders. First, it serves its ability to have special one-time dividend distributions. Two, it serves to retain and grow our net assets from long-term realized capital gains, which allows to grow net assets for the benefit of our shareholders. Or three, allows us to continue to make strategic investment in our business and continue to grow our platform without having to worry about generating ample sufficient NII income to cover dividend with a growing spillover currently standing at $0.15 and $0.20. This is a very important achievement and I remind you we had similar fallback position in 2015 where we actually had earnings spillover while we were not earning our dividend at the time and yet we never bothered to cut the dividend because our confidence in our platform and having the extra additional earnings spillover to cover that. As we surpass this critical inflection point of $1.35 billion and we continue to focus on our growing debt investor portfolio to the next stage of growth or target, meaning $1.5 billion later on in 2017, we expect to revisit our dividend distribution policy by mid to late 2017 and at that point making determination, evaluates and as to whether not to raise the dividend or simply make a onetime distribution on behalf of our shareholders. That will be revisited most likely in the second quarter of 2017. In other words, if we continue to grow our debt investment portfolio as planned with or without the benefit of unscheduled early or headwind, we anticipate achieving this targeted investment portfolio and growth and dividend and earnings growth later on in Q4 or late Q4 I should say and certainly by the early first quarter of 2017 subject of course to I said earlier, marketing conditions and of course let’s not forget the current elections coming unfavorably to the capital markets as well. We were still offering under a wait-and-see attitude before continuing to make any meaningful new investments and accelerating any new loan portfolio growth. We want to wait for the outcome of the election, because they could have adverse effect in the different industries and segments for the industry that we’ve choose to invest in. So, definitely, we are holding back liquidity until we have clarity in which direction of the capital markets may continue to progress, and we’ve seen as of late fairly unexpected volatility in the equity and the debt capital market as of late. As I turn my attention to growth, I’m encouraged by many factors that I see in the market and our prospect for growth at a time when many of our competitors are experiencing growth and growing challenges both on credit, credit losses, inability to access the equity or debt capital markets, trace significantly below book and finding themselves in a continuation of talent leaving their organizations. Because of this, we are finding many of our competitors unable to continue to originate assets, and we find ourselves in a market that’s allowing us to experience nice, attractive, new originations at very attractive yields, and, unlike our competitors, we find ourselves an abundance of liquidity and access the equity and debt capital markets for growth. Hercules Capital is extremely well positioned entering into Q4 and early 2017, and we like the prospect that we’re seeing, subject, of course, to the elections that I mentioned earlier. I’d like to remind everybody, in early 2015, we made the conscious decision to invest in our organization and our infrastructure to ensure that our platform is capable of handling the current growth and future growth projections leading into 2017 and beyond, as we continue to turn our attention to long-term growth and long-term managing the growth to a $2 billion, $2.5 billion loan portfolio over the next few years. I’d like to remind everybody that we are anticipating achieving a $1.5 billion loan portfolio late in 2017 as we continue to convert our existing liquidity. As you can see, our decision to invest in our future has begun to generate the expected benefits and return our shareholders have expected and as we had planned, as evidenced by our increase in earnings growth and our increase in earnings velocity over the last five quarters. Many forget that just a few quarters ago in Q1 2015, we had net investment income or NII of only $0.20 per share. In contrast, today, we are generating net investment income or NII earnings of approximately $0.32 per share, representing a 60% increase in our earnings growth in just under five quarters. We’re also broadening our source of liquidity, while also growing our investment and loan portfolio for the benefit of our shareholders. We remained committed to our strategy of slow and steady and we committed to continue to originate our loan investment – loan portfolio growth. However, we will only do that if and when we believe that credit quality is there and the underlying assets make sense. Today, we find ourselves at a very advantageous position on many fronts as we turn our attention to the fourth quarter and early 2017. We expect to continue to grow our debt portfolio to the $1.35 billion and beyond. We expect to achieve that late in the fourth quarter or early in Q1 2017 subject to when we decide to start redeploying capital post the election outcome. Thanks to our wonderful shareholders and their continued faith in Hercules Capital coupled with our focus on generating consistent, strong and healthy ROAs and ROEs, Hercules Capital continues to enjoy and trade a significant premiums and asset value, which has afforded us ample access to the both debt and equity capital market at extremely attractive and accretive cost of capital and funding levels for the benefit of our shareholders to allow us to continue to both grow our investment loan portfolio, as well as our earnings for the half of our shareholders. This is very important as Hercules may be the only BDC that I’m aware of that currently has and is capable and is effectively initiating a dual strategy on using two strategic ATM, at-the-market, just-in-time programs. We have effectively been using an ATM program for equity issuance and we’re now proud to say that we are one, if not the only BDC aware of, using also an active ATM program for bonds at the same time as an effective ATM program for equity issuance. Those ATM programs allows us to have access to the debt and equity capital markets on adjusted time basis, meaning raising capital in small bites, just a time when we needed and only when they needed without having to access the broader debt or equity capital markets in any disruptive manners where stock or our bonds that are highly accretive to net asset value and high cost effective on the bond offering to our shareholders today and bondholders today. Being able to access the debt and equity capital markets and using our ATM program has proven an invaluable and extremely cost-effective method of ensuring control portfolio growth will also allowing us to effectively use that as a management tool to regulate our regulatory leverage, which currently stands at 62.7%, which has supporting us plenty of headroom for additional growth. I would like to remind you because our ability to access the ATM equity program, we have been effectively been able to manage down our overall leverage or regulatory leverage exposure down to now the 62% level that I mentioned just a few seconds ago. And finally, as we entered Q4 2016, we have an extremely strong and liquid balance sheet. With on-hand access to capital without having to tap the equity or debt capital markets of approximately $260 million currently available on hand for additional growth. This capital forces the ability to continue to grow our debt investment portfolio without having to generate or access any new equity or capital markets transaction. However, we are not looking to not pursue those strategies, but we will pursue as only needed for additional growth and grow the portfolio, maintain leverage levels that we feel appropriate for the time. That said, I do not expect to abandon our effective slow and steady growth strategy, which has served us well over the years as we approach year end. We anticipate growing our loan portfolio during the fourth quarter by approximately $75 million to $100 million net total growth representing approximately a year-end portfolio balance of approximately $1.35 billion to $1.375 billion exceeding our initial expectations over that inflection point of $1.35 billion. With the transactions already in house today, we’re well on our way on making that goal a reality. Assuming a favorable post election and favorable capital markets activities, and venture capital investment environment after the elections, we expect to continue to deploy our capital, and existing liquidity to grow our loan portfolio at or above the $1.35 billion level. We will continue, as I said earlier, to rely upon our ATM program on adjusted time, just as needed basis to continue to access additional debt and equity capital to maintain leverage ratios that we feel appropriate for the continuation of growth and access to our continuation of portfolio growth to now, our new target of $1.5 billion, sometime late in 2017, again, assuming favorable market conditions. By converting our additional liquidity to that $1.5 billion in loan portfolio growth, we expect that could translate into continuation of earnings growth leading into 2017. We expect earnings growth to begin to exceed our current dividend levels in the second half of 2017. And we are being conservative in the first few quarters of 2017, not knowing what may happen post the election, and that is why we could continue in our strategy of slow and steady rolling into 2017. However, even though this is an important goal to achieve, we remain steadfast in our stated mission of growing slow and steady and patiently growing our debt investment portfolio. As many of you have witnessed over the years and our long-term shareholders who have seen, we are less interested and still growing a portfolio to grow the portfolio since we have no incentive for assets under management or additional fees. We will not compromise credit quality, we will not compromise earnings, and we will not reach down the capital structure to try and achieve higher yields and compromise credit for the sake of earnings and earnings growth. We remain steadfast in our principles, and belief on our growth strategy of slow and steady and consistent has been a proven and true strategy for us, leading us to now having earnings of $0.32 per share, and we expect that to grow later on in the year. That slow and steady strategy and that hand on the tiller has allowed us to have a very strong and liquid balance sheet of $260 million and a stock that trades currently today at 1.4 times book. This serves as a testament of our Company’s ability, a testament to origination teams and a debt and experience of origination team by having specialized lending practices and not generalists in what we do. This continued access to high quality deal flow, access to deal to the capital markets and debt capital markets, we believe has positioned us well for continuation for shareholder growth in earnings and continuation in dividend distribution growth for our shareholders. Now, let me share with you some additional highlights of the many achievements we accomplished in the third quarter of 2016. Hercules new origination activities were quite strong. Even though, seasonally, the quarters typically slowest. We originated $178 million of new commitments. For the first three months of the year, three quarters of the year, excuse me, origination team has been quite busy. Proud to say they have now accomplished over $600 million of new originations in the first three quarters of the year, putting us on pace to potentially exceed our already outstanding performance in 2015 of $745 million of new commitments in 2015. We’re actually on page right now to exceed that in the fourth quarter. Thanks in no small part to our venture capital partners and our strong relationships that our deal teams have with the venture capital community and the entrepreneurs and their skills at originating and identifying the right companies to invest in. That selection process has also manifested itself with an outstanding and continuation of the strong credit performance that Hercules has delivered for our investors over 12 years, one of which we do not feel nor close to ever compromising our continued belief and our discipline as credit underwriters. There are a few BDCs capable of sustaining the growth and actions to deal flow to which Hercules Capital has let alone the ability to underwrite growth and maintain the credit discipline that we have maintained over the last 12 years. I am very grateful to the strong brand recognition, the strong reputation and awareness within the venture capital industry and the great confidence that our venture capital and entrepreneurs have placed upon Hercules as one of their capital partners and to help them continue on growth as a company themselves. The innovative and entrepreneur and disruptive community to which we provide capital to is thriving and doing just fine. On the funding front, equally impressive showing of our team and our investment professionals. We achieved an impressive $462 million of gross fundings and net realized portfolio growth of $124 million for the first three quarters of 2016, representing approximately 10% growth year-over-year for the same period. This is culminating the debt portfolio as I said earlier $1.276 billion, very, very happy and proud of achievement on behalf of our team. This achievement, notwithstanding the higher level – this will achieve notwithstanding the higher level of unscheduled early payouts in Q3. We had indicated early payout activities of $50 million to $75 million. However, we came in slightly above that at $84 million. That headwind allowed us not to grow the portfolio as much as we anticipated, but certainly helped us with accelerations of early payoff income and fees, driving our portfolio earnings to the $0.32 a share that we talked about just now. As an indication of current yields and future yields, for the benefit of our shareholders or analysts out there. We are beginning to see solid evidence of our core yields stabilizing in the upper end of our targeted range of 12.5% to 13.5% with Q3 2016 core yield stabilizing at 13.2%. However, we anticipate core yields to stabilize at 13.2% plus or minus 25 basis points. During the quarter, we also witnessed a slight increase on our effective yields to 14.6%, up from the 14.4% in the prior quarter driven obviously by a higher than anticipated early payoff activities representing $84 million. Now, turning my attention to deal flow. We are in a great position entering Q4 2016. However, as I said, we are purposely holding back closing on some transaction until we have greater understanding and perspective of the election in the equity and debt capital markets post the election process. That said, as you’ll see in our press release, we are sitting on signed term sheets of $150 million and have already closed almost $40 million of transaction thus far and funded $50 million of transactions. So, we’re well on our way to achieving our end point target of $1.35 billion without having to do much efforts for the rest of the year. However, we are not stopping once we have visibility on the elections. However, because of the position to hold back capital until such time as the election has been cleared up, we are anticipating that most of our earnings growth in the fourth quarter of 2016 will be back-end loaded. And I mean by that is because we are holding back the majority of our growth in our portfolio, we’ll be post election earnings attributed – earnings balances will not occur until after the election, and therefore a shorter stub period in the fourth quarter. You’ll see that manifest itself in a strong end-of-year portfolio balance, which will lead you in a well position for portfolio growth and earnings growth into the first quarter of 2017. We have a very strong pipeline. I am proud to say, consistently with our history, we have over $1 billion of potential transactions in our pipeline today, well positioned to enter in the last quarter of the year and certainly into the first quarter of 2017. We remained highly selective in our underwriting and we’re not going to compromise underwriting as we do that. As further evidence of our confidence and steady growth in our loan portfolio and outlook for Q4 2016 and 2017, I will call your attention as I’ve said few minutes ago into our Q3 earnings release. At the last few pages of earnings release, you will see that we are entering the fourth quarter with the first month in the first quarter, October, with already $40 million of close transaction of which we funded $51 million between our unfunded commitments and new transactions closed thus far in the quarter. We also have as I said a few seconds ago $150 million already at in-house signed term sheets positioning us well within reach of $1.35 billion or even higher if we choose convert all those signed term sheets for growth. Unlike many of our competitors, we are highly liquid and we’re well positioned for continuation of earnings growth with an extremely strong credit book as we entering into the 2017 time period. Now, no call is complete of Hercules Capital without speaking to the venture capital community and developments in the venture capital community. Much has been written about the so called decline in venture capital dollars. However, I will call your attention to – when I said over the last three or four quarters, we’ve only expected that venture capital activities for 2016 to only be $50 billion, well below the $25 billion [ph] done in 2015. We made a prognosis based on the analogy of 2015 which included many, many high large transaction into many unicorns. When you adjust for that, the venture capital community actually is doing quite fine. Last time I check, $50 billion in fundings for the year is a quite healthy year when the sustain rates is typically more in a $35 billion level. So unlike many others out there, I find the venture capital investment activities to be quite strong and we’re quite happy in its trajectory. As evidence of that confidence and belief, just look to the intention of the venture capital fundraising activities. Venture capitals had an exceptionally strong fundraising environment thus far. They have had an extremely healthy ability to raise capital. Venture capital firms through the third quarter 2016 have raised $34 billion of capital, already eclipsing the capital raise in 2015 and in 2014, which raised approximately $35 billion in 2015 and $34 billion in all of 2014. It is on pace to exceed those two years and certainly exceed the venture capital fund-raising level not seen in the past eight years. Last time I check, that’s a pretty healthy environment and I remain equally bullish on the outlook for venture capital investments. This is highlighted in the fund-raising activities. I’d like to remind everybody, as venture capital raise money, that money eventually has to find a home in new investments. Those new investments become new candidates for a good capital to make new investments. We also anticipate the strong fund raising activity not to pull back. We don’t see any evidence or any significant pullback going on that market. Now investments, as the fund raising capitals begin to be deployed, we expect the investment activities to also remain fairly strong. As evidence of that in the Q3 2016, the venture capitals invested $11.7 billion during the quarter, representing a total for the year-to-date for the third quarter of $41 billion already. Just normalizing that, we believe strongly the venture capital should hit or exceed our expectation of $50 billion which we indicated at the beginning of 2016 as evidence of the transcript that we spoke about this earlier in the year. We see investments remain strong, venture capital confidence in investment activities also remain strong. However, as I said just a few seconds ago, it is in fact the pull back from the peak of 2015, all of which we expected driven by the unicorns and highlighted by the overfunding of some these unicorn companies. Quickly turn to stage of investments. Venture capital dollars continue to flow and right into our wheelhouse squarely in where Hercules target segment of the market is late stage venture growth stage companies. That is what we do, contrary to what many believe what we do or say that we do. We do not do early stage investment. So, let me point – a point on that. Hercules is primarily a growth stage, later stage venture capital investment where 60% of venture capital dollars of load right where we wanted to be. This is why we’re experiencing very healthy and strong pipeline of transactions in the marketplace. We do not do early stage companies and I want to emphasize that very strongly. Venture capital exits. Well, we all know have heard ad nauseum how anemic the IPO market is. I actually believe the IPO market is quite anemic and I don’t see any quick signs of improvement and any time in the near future. However, IPO exits for the venture capital industry represents generally less than 10% of the exits that venture capitalist pursue, so insignificant. That said, we’ve seen 12 IPOs completed thus far in the third quarter. One of which probably is a Hercules portfolio company called TPI Composites. IPOs for the first three quarters of the year have represented an anemic 28 companies have gone public raising a mere $2 billion in capital, well off the 2015 and 2014 base of 67 and a 108 companies for the year. Lastly, we have four companies of Hercules currently in IPO registration. We do not see that number materially changing at anytime in the near future. However, we continue to see a quite robust M&A activities in our portfolio with seven companies experiencing – excuse me, M&A events in the quarter so far – sorry, seven have completed M&A events year-to-date so far in a year, apologize for that folks. In closing, outlook for the fourth quarter in 2017, as I stated earlier, we are reaching a critical inflection point in our debt investment portfolio of delivering sustained earnings that cover if not exceed our existing dividends of $0.31 per share. We believe confidently that we should achieve the $1.35 billion in our targeted debt investment portfolio or inflection in our debt investment portfolio, which puts us in extremely well position as we continue to add to that portfolio growth entering into 2017. Core is sustained effective yields of 13.5%, and maintaining healthy margins above 52%, positioned us well for continuation of earnings coverage or above our dividend rate is not exceeding that. Once again, I’m only expecting to see net portfolio growth of being conservative, net portfolio growth of only $75 million to $100 million. This is going to be materially influenced by the outcome of the election. If the elections in equity capital markets remained very favorable, we may start approaching the upper end of that $75 million to $100 million of net growth. However, for modeling and growth purposes, $75 million to $100 million, we believe is a perfectly appropriate number of growth given what we see in the market and giving us plenty of headroom of liquidity on use to continue growth portfolio above and beyond that point today. Because of our current wait and see position, rolling into Q4, we do not expect early sale activities to be significant or material. This is a quiet of a difference we see in the first three quarters of 2016. However, it is in line with exactly what we saw occur in Q1 and Q2 of 2015. We are expecting extremely modest early payout activities. I’d like to remind everybody, early payout activities for us typically get only 30 to 45 days out. In power with that knowledge and insight, we are only forecasting $15 million to $25 million only of early payout activities, hence leading to a $75 million, $100 million net portfolio growth. However, I caution, that number is difficult for us to hold on to and it can wiggle around anywhere between $10 million to $20 million, unforeseen by us especially with an election that’s unpredictable as it may be that may leave other companies to payout early or not payout early. Because of that, we anticipate our core yields in Q4 to converge and match the effective yields no dissimilar that we saw occur in Q1 and Q2 of 2015, meaning our core and effective yields should equate approximately 13.2%, 13.4% and having very little contribution attributed to effective early payout into our effective yields. It’s a very important statement that I want folks to understand. That said, we are extremely well positioned as I said earlier, highly liquid balance sheet, access to debt and equity capital markets or ATM program, and we have a fairly healthy and positive outlook at the venture capital community. With that, I’ll turn the call over to Mark Harris, our CFO. Thank you. Mark?