Manuel Henriquez
Analyst · Wells Fargo Securities. Your line is open
Thank you, Michael. And good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Hercules Capital second quarter 2016 earnings call. First and foremost, I am very pleased and proud to announce another outstanding and very, very busy second quarter for Hercules Capital which culminated and not only delivering $0.32 in net investment income, but also exceeding our dividend of $0.31 as well as exceeding that strict consensus by $0.02. This is a very important achievement for Hercules. Just one year ago, we made a conscious decision to invest in our organization – in our infrastructure to ensure our platform was capable and ready to support future additional portfolio of growth. We made that investment consciously expecting a portfolio over time to grow to $2 billion to $2.5 billion. By doing so, we made the decision not only to merely focus – we made the decision not to merely focus on short term performance, but to ensure that we're making long-term investments for the greater good of our shareholders long term. By doing so, we caused a dip in earnings in the early part of 2015. However, since then, we have steadily risen our quarterly earnings each quarter thereafter, culminating in second quarter of 2016 of achieving $0.32 in earnings for our shareholders. Our decision to invest in our future has begun to generate significant and expected dividends and returns on behalf of our shareholders as evidenced by our continuation of earnings growth as well as our achievement in the second quarter. In just one year, we have successfully grown earnings from $0.23 in Q2 2015 to over $0.32 NII in Q2 2016, representing nearly a 40% earnings growth year-over-year. While this earnings growth in itself is impressive achievement, it was, nonetheless, overshadowed by an equally important achievement and that is mitigating the continuous questions we have received as to when will we achieve dividend coverage over – earnings coverage of our dividend through NII. Now, we're seeing the effect, however, that our dividend has been covered by taxable income throughout the period of time, which also has produced, for two years in a row consecutively, earnings spilled over to that point. What is important to emphasize is that we had projected achieving this coverage in the midpoint of 2016, and in fact, we have done just that. Although it's only the midpoint of the year and assuming our existing portfolio performance and origination trends continue, we are well on our way towards achieving our expected total investment loan portfolio targets of $1.3 billion to $1.35 billion. Interesting to note, however, was the abundance of liquidity, some of which we recently added to our balance sheet. We were actually in a fortuitous position to actually exceed those targeted $1.3 billion in loan portfolio growth with the liquidity that we have on hand. Mark will be covering that point in greater details during his segment of the presentation. Ii hope to share with you as the year comes to a close that as we continue to perform as expected, it is high likely that we should have and may have a third consecutive earning spillover from 2016 to 2017. Although it is only midpoint of the year, I hope that by the time we have our third quarter earnings call, we should be able to provide much greater clarity as to what are the potential ranges of those earnings spillovers may be. That allows you to see the confidence that we have in our platform, our organization and our ability to continue to not only cover the dividend but continuing now to grow our earnings as we approach the fourth quarter and 2017. Today, we find ourselves in a very advantageous position as turn and enter to the second half of the year. We are continuing to grow our debt invested portfolio. We expect to achieve our targeted portfolio loan growth of $1.3 billion to $1.35 billion by early fourth quarter of 2016 or because of U.S. election, mainly by the first quarter of 2017. I want to point out that we are taking a conservative stance in the mid third quarter through the election until we have greater visibility as to which candidate may or may not win and the outcomes of the impact of the debt and equity capital markets post the election. Because of that, we will have a more controlled growth of our portfolio in the third quarter. It's also our slowest quarter during the year. So it happens to coincide a very good time that we're actually going to stand back slightly and allow this election process to clear up the marketplace. With that said, we continue to be enjoying nice increasing yields and widening spreads across our entire portfolio, while also lowering our overall cost of borrowings as we continue to actively manage our right-hand side of the balance sheet and assessing the debt capital markets as we've done during the quarter. Mark will elaborate on that further in his section. Because our stock continues to perform at significant premium, we continue to have access to both the debt and equity capital markets, however, we continue to choose not to access the equity capital markets other than or beyond simply using an ATM program which we'll talk about later on in the presentation. And finally, we ended the quarter with an exceptionally strong and liquid balance sheet with nearly $255 million of liquidity, affording us the ability to comfortably grow our portfolio well beyond the $1.35 billion target that we've been discussing with the currently liquidity we have on hand. You'll see later on in my discussion we ended the quarter with $1.256 billion in investment or loan portfolio outstanding. At the end of the quarter, Hercules reached an important inflection point. This inflection point is something I will discuss quite a bit on this call and is important to understand. What we mean by the inflection point is that the portfolio has reached an interesting equilibrium by which if we do not have early payouts and the natural origination activities, it will automatically allow us to rise to the $1.35 billion. Conversely, if we find ourselves receiving early payout activities, those early payout activities will translate into increase in earnings simply while the prepayment activities of those early investments. Said differently, we are indifferent at this point whether we grow organically without early payouts or early payout contribute to earnings. We are very fortuitous place right now in our portfolio at the inflection point that we're at today. Not many companies have this luxury to see rising rates, widening spreads, continuation of a strong pipeline and deal activity, and selectively seeing early payout activities to further bolster our earnings for the benefit of our shareholders. Again, I'd like to point out that many companies and many investors view early payout as a bad item. We actually now view them as both favorably or indifferent. If they happen, it's fantastic; if they don't happen, it's fantastic either way because we will grow the portfolio if we're not seeing the early payout and achieve the critical mass which allows us to have a portfolio at which point is fully covering our dividend earnings or dividends by the earnings just by reaching that critical mass of the investment portfolio. This inflection point was achieved, as I said, at the end of the quarter at $1.256 billion. We continue to cycle off older credits in our portfolio, which means that as we term out older loans in our portfolio that are lower yield, the current remaining portfolio overall yields are rising, meaning our interest rates are increasing, and so our yields. We are continuing to groom and prune our portfolio and ensure that we have the appropriate mix within industries, stages, and yield composition within the portfolio itself. That said, and with an abundance of liquidity, we are still adopting a slow and steady strategy of investing, especially through the third quarter and through the election year. We prefer to maintain liquidity and take advantage of wider yield spreads as more and more of our competitors are struggling to access capital or liquidity in the marketplace, and we are continuing to see the widening yields and better terms and conditions being realized in the market today. We expect Q4 to be a very robust quarter for us, and we expect Q4 to return back historical levels of seeing anywhere between $50 million to $100 million of net portfolio growth and potentially even larger. However, I want to handicap that because of the election coming in November itself. That said, we are quickly approaching our significant milestone of $1.35 billion. We find ourselves just shy of that mark with literally $1.256 billion, or literally $50 million to $100 million short of achieving that mark. Well within our reach and grasp. Because of that, as we achieve the velocity of earnings growth from that investment portfolio growing, we find ourselves in a fortuitous position that as we enter 2017, it's highly likely that our earnings portfolio will begin rise. Because of our BDC reg, it is highly likely that we'll find ourselves having to increase our dividend some time in 2017 as reflected with our continuation of earnings growth. It has been quite some time we feel to have the confidence to share this with you in terms of our continuation and belief in our portfolio's ability to continue generate ever increasing earnings. We are at that position and we feel quite comfortable about that. This [indiscernible] market condition is not changing or some unforeseen black swan event that would cause us to pull back from origination and liquidity in the marketplace today. We are very grateful to our partners in the venture capital community and entrepreneurs for continuation of high quality deal flow and continuation of a strong deal pipeline that we have and expect to convert for the benefit of our shareholders and yield the originations. I will share with you now that size does matter. Having a large liquid balance sheet, and having access to multiple forms or sources of liquidity have made and continued to make significant difference in the Hercules business model unlike many of our competitors. Because of that, we're able to structure and pursue the appropriate transactions where we have strong credit expertise and the ability to underwrite those credits. Unlike many of the players in the venture lending market place, we are not generalists. We have four uniquely distinct origination groups, a technology group, a life sciences group, a renewals group and a special situation. Those groups are really different from each other and had different credit paradigms within each other and that allows us to be much more focused in our underwriting capabilities in translating to much stronger deal because our team knows what they're talking about in the industry verticals which they invested. That has manifested itself over the course of the last 12 years plus with over $6 billion of origination activity and just under $11 million of net credit losses. We are very proud of the fact we are now covering our dividend and expect to continue to cover dividend from NII as I've said previously in the quarter. It's an important goal to achieve, as I've said. But we remain steadfast towards stated mission of steadily building our debt investor portfolio in a matter which maintains our historical credit performance and yields. We refuse to simply chase yields and refuse to simply get distracted by fatty or cool companies that are out there. We have a fundamental credit standard, and we adhere to that credit standard in respect to the impact they may have on earnings. We are a fundamental credit shop, and we expect to continue that as evidenced in our historical performance. That abundance of liquidity, $265 million, we will expect to deploy. But I assure our investors we have a steady hand on the tiller and we expect to navigate through the next few months as we go through the multiple different changes in the marketplace ensuing in this election period of time. We remain quite confident and believers in the market opportunity we see before us and the abundance of liquidity we have on hand to achieve that goal. To help give you a range of projects, we are extremely close to this targeted goal. As I said just a minute ago, we're merely $1.5 billion away as we ended the quarter. However, more impressive than that is that we began the third quarter alone, we've already began to take investments towards that goal. We closed $60 million of new investments already in the third quarter and we funded approximately just under $45 million, $50 million of new investments in third quarter already, ostensibly telling you we're already at $1.35 billion. However, we do expect to see early payout activities in the third quarter. And in fact, we are giving guidance that we believe that we'll see $50 million to $75 million of early cap activities during the quarter. However, I want to caution everybody that early payout activity is entirely out of our control. It is extremely difficult to ever pinpoint an absolute number of early payouts. So even though we are now guiding towards a range of $50 million to $75 million in the third quarter, I would caution that that could swing $25 million lower or $25 million higher in the quarter. It's extremely difficult to have a very precise pinpoint of that. However, assuming a $50 million to $75 million early payout in the third quarter, we expect our loan portfolio net growth to be approximately $20 million to $40 million of net portfolio growth in the quarter meaning we'd basically be achieving close to the $1.3 billion at the end of the quarter of Q3, well on our way to that early goal that we talked about. As we turn our attention to the fourth quarter, you can certainly expect to see a pick-up in early payout activities. We expect to see some early pick-up of activities in the fourth quarter. However, at this point it is so early in the fourth quarter for us to have a good insight that we are forecasting very light early repayment activities in the fourth quarter. Said differently, at this point, we are forecasting a $50 million to $100 million net portfolio of growth in the fourth quarter potentially even topping us up to the $1.4 billion. However, I'd like to remain conservative. I think by the end of the fourth quarter we should be constantly at the $1.35 billion and could be as high as $1.4 billion which assuming a 13.2% or 13.4% interest rate, you will see that we more than cover the dividend income at that point and actually exceed that. However, I would caution of late that a lot of that on-boarding will be occurring late in the fourth quarter because of prior election comments that I made and, therefore, we would not receive the full impact on earnings in the portfolio from that origination activity in the fourth quarter. Finally, keeping a pragmatic and cautious credit background and outlook, let's not forget that we're coming off to an unpredictable third quarter. We're seeing activities that uncertainly is driven by the Brexit and now we have our own acrimonious U.S. election whose outcome is anybody's name or a tossup. Because of that, we've taken a very conservative stance, turning our attention into that election period of time. We will be modulating our investment activity that's now said on various – many times in this call. However, that modulated growth should not impact our earnings growth capabilities because we have such a large base already of interest-earning assets at attractive yields that should in itself generate near or close to all the NII income that we need. Finally, I am equally proud of a major achievement of our team and our organization. As original founder of this company, achieving $6 billion in new cumulative debt commitments over 350 companies is an amazing and astonishing achievement in the short order of 12 years. That speaks to the premier position that Hercules has achieved as a lender of choice to the venture capital industry and to the venture capital partners. [Indiscernible] of less than 13 years represents an outstanding achievement and more importantly an annual compounded growth rate of nearly 58% of new commitment activity. It's a testament to the strong brand recognition of our team's and investment team's professional capabilities and our unrelenting and uncompromising standards in our origination activities. I am deeply grateful to the continuous support and confidence our innovative entrepreneurs and venture capital partners continue to place upon Hercules Capital and for the continuous support now and the future as we continue to grow our portfolio together. Thank you to them and thank you for the continued support. Over the course of the past 12 years, we remain true to our mission and serve the need of our portfolio companies. Achieving the largest venture capital lender within the B2C industry landscape, having had more than 350 companies choose us as an innovative partner, witnessing the continuation of our loan portfolio growth is a testament to that brand and that recognition from the venture capital industry. We have a high diversified portfolio within multiple different industries including technology, life sciences, healthcare, variety of technology, sustainable and renewable technology. We are highly diversified. We do not have exposure to oil and gas or we do not have exposures to CLO. Now, let me turn your attention quickly to some of the achievements that Hercules done in the quarter. Mark Harris will gain the specifics of the financial achievements during the quarter. Once again, Hercules demonstrated a very strong new originations with nearly $203 million of new origination activities during the second quarter to 16 new companies. For the first half of the year, we originated $425 million from new commitments. Putting us on a pace to exceed total new commitments of $745 million achieved in 2015. This, of course, is subject to market condition remaining favorable. The funding front equally is strong. We also achieved an impressive result of over $330 million of growth in fundings during the first half of 2016. This has allowed us to achieve net portfolio growth for the first half of the year of $104 million, notwithstanding nearly $173 million of early payoffs in the first half of the year. That speaks of the robust pipeline and the capabilities of our investment professionals and our ability to generate and continue to see quality deal flow as we continue to build the loan portfolio. As I've said briefly a minute ago, we continue to have great results during the quarter. We saw widening yields. We saw lowering of overall interest rates. We saw increase in our interest rates, NOIs and our overall effective yields. During the quarter, we witnessed a nice steady rise in our effective yields of 14.4%, up from 13.2% the prior quarter. Not being left behind, our core yields are equally strong, rising to 13.4%, up from 12.9% the prior quarter. Overall, we now anticipate and expect our core investment yields to stabilize. We're expecting our core investment yields to stabilize at 13.25% to 13.5% overall. We do not forecast our effective yields because it's very hard to determine them. However, we do forecast and believe that this is a good level for our core yields which at $13.5 billion, you will see that we more than generate an abundance of yield or income from our portfolio to cover our dividend. As I've been saying throughout this presentation, deal flow remains very robust and steady, with over $1.1 billion in potential deals in our current pipeline. We are exceptionally well positioned entering the second half of 2016. However, we remain highly selective in our underwriting, especially as we look to deploy selectively our $255 million of capital into new investments. In addition, as I said previously in this call, at the commencement of Q3, we have already closed $60 million of new deals and funded $50 million, giving a perspective of our confidence in our earnings growth and outlook. That omits $60 million in existing signed term sheets that we're in the midst or in the process of closing sometime in mid- to late-August, further adding to our investment portfolio growth. As I said, we do not do oil and gas, and we do not do any CLO exposure in our portfolio. We continue to assemble a highly diversified investment loan book and promising new innovative venture capital-backed company across multiple industries. Now, quickly for an overview of the venture capital marketplace. Our data is provided by Dow Jones VentureSource. Venture capital fundraising and investments continue at a much higher level than we have been expecting and continues to show a higher level of resiliency than what many had been expecting in the first half of the year. Specifically, in the first half of the year, the venture capitalists invested $25 billion, nearly $50 million run rate at this point, putting them on a pace to exceed the fundraising levels in 2015 and 2014 of $35 billion and $34 billion, respectively. This high level of new investment – of new fundraising activities by the venture capitalists provide us some perspective and confidence in their ability to continue to invest in subsequent future quarters. Venture capital investors were equally as strong with $15.8 billion invested in the second quarter alone to over 845 companies, or $29 billion invested in the first half for a $60 billion run rate of investment activities. Much, much ahead of what we expected. However, upon closer look, the venture capital activities, although appear strong, had then backed out nearly a third in the investments or $4.8 billion that was concentrated into two companies specifically, Snapchat and Uber, disproportionally received the wide share of the benefit of that $15.8 billion of investments in the second quarter. Obsessively, you would see that we adjust for that. The second quarter was much more in line with our expectations of the $10 billion level, giving you a run rate to that $45 billion to $50 billion investment activities that we are expecting to see in the venture capital marketplace in 2016 albeit down from the $35 billion in 2015. As you'll see in the slide deck available on our website, Hercules Capital invested between $1.2 billion to $1.5 billion of the annual equity dollars that venture capitals put out to work are generally matched by Hercules debt investments into new technology and life sciences companies. In terms of stage of development, we all continue to see a very strong correlation in what the venture capitals are investing and what we invest in ourselves. And that is late-stage venture growth companies. Nearly 60% of the capital invested by venture capitals went into later-stage companies which still happens to be what we focused on and have been doing for quite some time. We also saw a benefit of those dollar [indiscernible] to many of our portfolio of companies during the quarter which gives us further stability and confidence in their ability to continue to amortize and pay out our debt investments. In terms of IPO activities or exit activities between the venture capital investments, we saw a fairly modest growth in the IPO market, a whopping 10 companies. Not a very impressive number but nonetheless 10 is greater than zero. This compares favorably to the same activities that we saw in Q1. So although it's not a very attractive trend, it is still a trend upward. As the second quarter draw to a close and the third quarter began, we also saw some good high quality IPO companies take place. Most notably, Twilio, which nearly tripled since its IPO offering and [indiscernible] which also saw an aggressive 42% increase in its IPO. We also continue to see high concentration of liquidity events in the IPO market coming from biotechnology companies which still happens to be nearly 50% of our portfolio, and we'll continue to witness a very strong performance in that marketplace as well. I'm also happy to report that in July, we finally had our first IPO of the year. And now, with TPI Composites completed their IPO in late July, marking our first IPO for the year. We still have four companies in IPO registration currently under the JOBS Act. In contrast to the IPO market, the M&A events in our portfolio were quite strong, if not, extremely robust. M&A event continues to be very strong than the IPO in the venture capital marketplace. And also you saw IPO – M&A activities also robust in our portfolio with currently six current and former portfolio companies completing or announcing M&A events during the quarter. In closing, outlook on the second half to 2016 and early 2017 as I've stated earlier, we are reaching an important inflection point in delivering sustained earnings and increased earnings from our investment portfolio. We expect to continue to see dividend coverage and if not an increase as well in our earnings for dividend later on in 2017. We continue to focus on growing a balanced, investment loan portfolio. We're focusing on core yields and we expect to see a tapering off of early payout activities with what we know today going into the fourth quarter. This should continue to help drive earnings in Q3 and in Q4 and certainly drive earnings even higher in Q1 2017. We're extremely well-positioned entering the quarter with $255 million of liquidity with no need to access the equity capital markets and continued access to an ATM program as well as to additional bond capacity if so we choose to that which Mark will cover in this section. We do not expect much early payout activities in Q4 at this point. I was seeing a modest $20 million or $40 million maybe occurring in Q4. That means that we can expect to see a growth in the investment loan portfolio as I indicated earlier to outdo potentially $100 in loan portfolio growth next in the fourth quarter, putting as well in position for that $1.35 billion, $1.4 billion. I'm quite excited about the results of our organization. I'm very proud of the achievement of the organization. And more importantly I am very happy to report to our shareholders a solid Q2 earnings as well as dividend coverage. Mark?