Jordan Wu
Analyst · Craig-Hallum. Your line is open
Thank you, Jackie. In our last call, we provided an overview of the trends developing in the industry and how we could stand out as a unique beneficiary from such trends and keep our business resilient to the current macro headwinds. I’m glad to say that we had a good start this year and that should be the beginning of a long term growth ahead of us. The impressive momentum of our large panel driver ICs for TV application will continue to come from accelerating 4K TV penetration. We are a unique beneficiary of our Chinese panel customers’ continued capacity expansion at a time when Chinese TV makers are sourcing more panels locally and starting to make more exports. Equally important, we finally saw smartphone driver IC order rebounds in China coming from end customers’ restocking and new model launches in the first quarter, backed by more 4G smartphone proliferation. Small revenue contribution from TDDI will start in the second quarter and we believe it will accelerate thereafter. Sales for automotive applications, where we have a leading market share, will continue to show strong growth as more and larger-sized panels are going into vehicles. For non-driver products, 2016 will be the year for us to see a bigger revenue percentage generated by LCOS and WLO product lines as shipments to our major customers started to take off. We are also on track regarding tapping into new territories such as IoT and machine vision with our latest CIS and WLO product offerings as stated in our recent technology press releases. Other non-driver products such as timing controllers and ASIC services will also continue the growth momentum as they are adopted by panel manufacturers for many new product areas. Overall, we are seeing strong momentum across all our major product lines and feel good about the growth prospect of 2016, despite the uncertain economic environment. With that, I will now provide our second quarter guidance, followed by a more detailed outlook. For the second quarter of 2016, we expect revenue to be up 7.5% to 12.5% sequentially. Gross margin is expected to be around 26%, depending on our final product mix. GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of $0.085 to $0.105 per diluted ADS based on 172.4 million outstanding ADSs. In providing the above earnings guidance, we have assumed a 15% income tax rate, calculated based on exchange rate of NT$32.4 against the U.S. dollar, which is also the exchange rate as of beginning of May. Now, let me give you some more details behind our guidance and trends that we see developing in our businesses. Following a strong first quarter, though somewhat dented by the earthquake, large panel driver ICs should grow again by high single digit sequentially and more than 25% year-over-year, with China and 4K TV still the major growth engines. For reasons detailed earlier, we expect sales from our Chinese panel customers to almost double year-over-year. The other segment in our driver business is ICs used in small and medium-sized panels for applications including smartphones, tablets and automotive. Second quarter smartphones sales look set to continue its growth, to be up more than 20% sequentially as the outlook for end-market demand is turning positive and China’s local mobile operators have started to offer subsidies on smartphone purchases. Many of our end customers in China are aggressively launching new models, replenishing inventories in an effort to gaining market share. Now, switching gear to AMOLED market, since we are an early mover in the related driver IC technology, we have been collaborating with multiple panel customers across Korea, China and Japan for AMOLED product developments and are seeing more design-ins at these panel makers, reaffirming our technology leadership. We believe that AMOLED driver ICs will be one of the critical future growth engines of our small panel driver IC business, especially with quite a few new AMOLED fabs being built in China where we have the most comprehensive coverage. Among driver ICs used in small and medium-sized panels, the best-performing category has been automotive in recent years. We anticipate its Q2 revenue to grow more than 30% year-over-year. In this product segment, after two strong years, we still expect to see robust and sustainable growth throughout 2016 and beyond. Our confidence comes from the fact that higher resolution and larger panels are becoming mainstream for automotive applications. With numerous top automobile brands having been our indirect end customers, we are well-positioned to take advantage of this fast growing market. Tablet market, as previously indicated, remain weak in Q2, although the decline will likely slow down. Overall, we expect small and medium-sized driver IC segment in the second quarter to be up double digit sequentially. For the past few years, our non-driver business segment has been our most exciting growth segment and a differentiator for Himax. New product developments continue to evolve and gain traction, and we remain positive on the long-term growth prospect of our non-driver businesses. We expect around 20% growth in our non-driver products for the second quarter sequentially and more than 30% year-over-year. Looking ahead, many of our non-driver products, including CMOS image sensor, timing controller, touch panel controller, power management IC, ASIC service, WLO and LCOS microdisplay, are all set to grow sequentially in 2016 and the years ahead. I will now highlight some of the non-driver product lines. First onto our touch panel controller product line, we expect on-cell to emerge as the new mainstream touch technology in 2016. Our on-cell sales started to accelerate in late first quarter with shipments to Chinese and Japanese smartphone makers, and we expect the momentum to be carried into the second quarter. We have also launched force touch products, a new feature to the touch panel, and already secured design-wins from certain leading smartphone makers for their 2016 models. Furthermore, we are one of the pioneers in offering TDDI solutions for the state-of-the-art in-cell panels, and are in partnerships with essentially all of the panel manufacturers in pure in-cell touch for joint technological development. As announced on April 19th, we started mass production and volume shipment of TDDI for a leading Chinese smartphone customer. We are seeing the use of in-cell display with TDDI rapidly becoming the preferred choice for end product customers’ new high end smartphone designs. The volume shipment record validates our leading pioneer position and confirms the industry’s trend towards pure in-cell panels. We anticipate several TDDI design wins to enter mass production at additional Chinese and Korean smartphone customers and panel makers this year, and expect meaningful contribution from TDDI in late 2016 and beyond. Moving on to our most exciting AR/VR related businesses. The AR/VR era of technology is upon us. Over the last quarter, the level of excitement in the industry as well as capital markets reached a new high as numerous new AR/VR devices were launched with some of them even started making shipment. New applications and markets are being explored. Our design engagements with current and new customers now cover leading companies in gaming, search, mobile, social media, military, automotive and consumer electronics industries. Many of them have committed huge amounts of R&D and capital to capture the rapidly expanding future of this game changing product category. Having invested in related technologies for over 15 years, we are uniquely positioned as the provider of choice for microdisplay and related optics to enable AR, which is projected by many market research firms to be grabbing a lion’s share in the addressable market of AR/VR in the long term. As some of our major customers have already started shipment, we saw phenomenal growth from LCOS and WLO product lines in the first quarter. And in the second quarter, revenues from LCOS and WLO are expected to triple, again sequentially. Though we don’t expect big volume from the early generation products of our customers this year, we already see positive top line and bottom line contribution from these two product areas this year. We are confident that LCOS and WLO will account for a significant portion of our business, longer term. Over the past couple of months, we have been seeing constant additions of new or existing customers concurrently working on multiple future generation AR designs/devices using our LCOS and/or WLO for a variety of new applications. These applications range from various glass type AR devices to toys, industrial helmets and head-up displays for automotive. We currently have more than 30 customers using our LCOS and/or WLO for their AR devices and optical engine designs, with the vast majority of them in the U.S. When adopted, our LCOS and WLO typically represent two of the parts with the highest value in an AR product’s bill-of-materials. The models we are joint-developing with some of these largest, most recognized companies in the world for consumer market launches will advance the entire sector. We believe this is just the beginning of a long term growth story. As for VR applications, our customers’ continuous efforts in introducing new products aiming for consumer market are also encouraging. We have been developing customized driver chips with high refresh rate to perfect the performance of VR displays in the next generation AMOLED panels with two top-notch VR players. This reaffirms our leading position in AMOLED driver IC technology. We expect mass production to start in late 2016 to early 2017. Additionally, certain of our VR customers are also showing strong interests in our AR related product offerings as they work towards their AR product line. It is also worth highlighting that our CMOS image sensor product line bottomed out in the first quarter, rebounding from its trough in 2015. Looking into the second quarter, there will be mass production of several design wins for notebooks and increased shipments for multimedia applications. In recent press releases and the last earnings call, we briefly introduced our new smart sensor product lines targeting new applications across smartphones, tablets, AR/VR devices, IoT, AI and UMTV. These include the ultra-low-power QVGA CMOS image sensor and the Diffractive Optical Element or DOE integrated WLO laser diode collimator to be paired with a Near IR sensor. We believe the former is by far the lowest power CIS in the industry with similar resolution. It can be applied in a constant state of operation, enabling always on contextually aware computer vision capabilities. Regarding DOE integrated WLO laser diode collimator with NIR sensor, we believe this is the most effective total solution for 3D sensing and detection in the smallest form factor. This breakthrough allows 3D image sensing feature to be easily integrated into next-generation consumer electronics. Currently, we are making good progress and have seen encouraging and increasing customer responses. We will report the developments in this new territory in due course. And that will conclude our non-driver business segment. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today’s call and are now ready to take questions.