Jordan Wu
Analyst · Lake Street Capital. Your line is now open
Thank you, Jackie. The past three quarters have been marked by macro uncertainties and soft demand across consumer electronics in general. Amidst the unfavorable market environment, we continue to solidify our leading position through technology advancement and customer engagement. In the meantime, we are still working closely with top tier partners in developing products which are exploring new frontiers of technologies. Himax stands out from our peers because of such innovative and forward looking activities. Our confidence in growth opportunities are further reaffirmed by the progress of our core business, such as TDDI products for smartphones and tablets, and market share gains for large panel driver ICs. Our LCOS and WLO businesses are still in small volume, entered pilot production with a top tier customer in the third quarter. Equally important for LCOS and WLO, we are pleased to see quite a few new project engagements with exciting potentials during the quarter, some of which involve applications other than head mounted displays. With that, I will now provide our fourth quarter guidance followed by a more detailed outlook. For the fourth quarter of 2015 we expect revenue to be between flat to 5% up compared with the previous quarter. Gross margin is expected to be flat to slightly up from the previous quarter. depending on our final product mix. GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of $0.01 to $0.03 per diluted ADS based on 172 [indiscernible]. Now let me provide you with some details behind our guidance and trends that we see developing in our business. In our large panel driver sector we are pleased to report that after a slow third quarter our driver IC for TVs will regain momentum in Q4 as a result of increase in shipments to Chinese panel customers who have been continually renting [ph] capacity during the year and bring more online. It is especially worth mentioning that our engineering collaboration and design activities with Chinese panel customers remain robust despite the soft sentiment and we are encouraged that there will be additional two to four Gen 8.5 and one Gen 10.5 Chinese panel fabs ready for mass production from now to year 2018. This new capacity will translate into future growth opportunities for us. On top of strong projections for TV, we are also seeing sequential growth for driver ICs for notebook and monitor thanks to recovering demand. Thus, we expect to see double-digit growth in large panel driver IC in the fourth quarter. The large panel driver IC will remain one of the key growth areas for our business going forward. The other segment in our driver business are ICs used in small and medium-sized panels for applications including smartphones, tablets and automotive. Fourth quarter sales for smartphones are likely to decrease from our primary Korean end customer. However, we expect the sales for smartphones from our Chinese customers to grow modestly in the fourth quarter as they launch new models. As highlighted in our previous earnings call, we were positive that the resolutions would trend above HD720, especially to FHD, from the third quarter. This has successfully played out and we expect the trend to continue in the fourth quarter and beyond. As a testament to this trend, we are glad to see key design-wins in our pipeline. For driver ICs used in tablets as previously indicated, demands had stabilized after declining for quite a few quarters and those for 10" and above have been on the rise in China. This is a favorable trend and the momentum should carry through 2016. Among driver ICs used in small and medium-sized panels, the best performing category this year has been automotive applications. We remain confident that we should see year-over-year growth for this segment since more and more panels are going into automobiles as navigation systems, central displays, and smart rear-view mirrors. We have comprehensive coverage of all panel makers in automotive sector across Japan, Korea, China and Taiwan, and have successfully secured many of their key projects pipelined for the next few years. Despite these positive trends, they are mostly 2016 stories. Looking at the fourth quarter, the market conditions remain lukewarm although we are starting to see signs of recovery. Our small and medium-sized driver segment looks to decline by high single digits in the quarter sequentially. For the past few years, our non-driver business segment has been our most exciting growth segment and a differentiator for Himax. Now product development continues to evolve and gain traction and we remains positive on our long-term growth prospect of our non-driver businesses. Our touch panel controller product line as mentioned on our last earnings call grew sequentially since several of our on-cell design-wins entered mass production at multiple major end customers. We believe on-cell shipments will continue to grow beyond 2015. On top of that, we are also excited about our technological advances and product development progress in the latest pure in-cell technology. We are one of the pioneers in offering one-chip solutions, integrating driver IC and touch panel controller or TDDI. Driven by leading TFT-LCD makers, the industry is moving towards pure in-cell panels, which remains poised to start production this year in small volume. We are seeing a growing number of end product customers showing high interest in TDDI as a spec for high end devices. Since we are in partnerships with essentially all of the leading panel manufacturers in pure in-cell touch for joint technological development, we feel there is a strong market for us going forward with less competition. We believe it will contribute more significantly beyond second half 2016. Moving on to our CMOS image sensors though a leader in the driver IC space we have to admit that we are still a newcomer in the high-end CMOS image sensors business. We launched 8MP and 13MP in 2014, but missed the market opportunity due to a lack of some of the new product features for high-end phones, notably Phase Detection Auto Focus or PDAF that enables fast auto focus when taking pictures or recording videos. PDAF was first adopted in iPhone6 and has since become a popular feature for new designs of high-end smartphones. We are catching up fast. Indeed we will be one of the few players capable of providing PDAF-equipped CMOS image sensors in the very near future. We will report our progress in due course. In the past few months we have received concerns from investors about our LCOS and WLO businesses and how things are evolving given the defined the second half of 2015 as an inflection point, and yet there are no significant volume results to date. For the record, we would like to reiterate our confidence and commitment to these businesses. On the horizon of new technologies, we see Augmented Reality or AR as one of few disruptive technologies on radar screens of many of our brand customers and consumers. Having invested in the technologies for over 15 years, we are uniquely positioned as the provider of choice for microdisplay and related optics to enable AR. LCOS microdisplay and a highly customized optical system are to account for one of the parts with the highest value in the bill-of-material of any AR products. In addition to HMD our LCOS also enables next generation, full color heads-up displays for automotives. Separately, our WLO has been adopted to be microdisplay wave-guides for HMD by some customers. It can also be used in completely different applications, such as array cameras and special purpose sensors. Our LCOS and WLO sensors hit an inflection point September we started production shipment made to a major customer. We continue to pride our expansion based on indications from our customers. However, we would like to remind investors that our success is tied to our customers. We will only enjoy mass volume when our customers successfully commercialize this new product concept. While still in nascent stages, head mounted devices, especially those for AR application, look set to become a valuable enterprise and business tool with consumer adoption to follow a few years later. From where we stands, we are witness to accelerating activity in the AR space along with significant investment activity across leading semiconductor companies and end product players. Looking back on the past 15 years, Himax has invested more than $100 million in LCOS and WLO technologies and close to $15 million this year alone. We have been careful in these investments as we know we can't risk sacrificing short term profits too much despite our long term optimism. Our commitment and vision have led to a solid and unrivaled top notch customer portfolio. And that will conclude our non-driver business segment. Overall, we expect our non-driver segment to decline by mid single digits sequentially in the fourth quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate you joining today's call and we are now ready to take questions.