Jordan Wu
Analyst · Bank of America. You may begin
Thank you, Jackie. We started this year with a sluggish first half as a result of weak overall market demands especially arose from China. The recent instability in the Euro Zone and turmoil in the Chinese stock markets have further worsened the already uncertain demands of consumer electronics overall in the second half. More specifically, weaker demands have led to softening panel prices and lower capacity utilization of panel manufacturers. Pressured by the poor market sentiment, our gross margin will decline during the third quarter. However, we remain confident about our new growth opportunities lying ahead. New customers, new design wins and new TDDI products of smartphone panel, market share gains for our large panel driver ICs and significant developments in our non-driver businesses should provide strong contribution in the quarters ahead. Furthermore we believe that our LCOS and WLO businesses will hit an inflection point during the second half of the year and now we have experienced such progress on that front shortly. With that, I would now provide our third quarter guidance followed by some detailed outlook for the third quarter. For the third quarter of 2015 we expect revenues to decline 5% to 9% compared to the last quarter. Gross margin is expected to decline around 1.5% from the previous quarter depending on the final product mix. GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of minus $0.015 to minus $0.009 per diluted ADS based on 171.9 million outstanding ADSs. Non-GAAP earnings attributable to shareholders are expected to be in the range of $0.01 to $0.016 cents per diluted ADS, based on the same amount of ADSs. As we have done in the past, our third quarter GAAP earnings per diluted ADS guidance has taken into account our expected 2015 grant of restricted share units or RSUs to our team at the end of September. The grant of RSUs would lead to higher third quarter GAAP operating expenses compared to the other quarters of the year. Now let me provide you with some details behind our guidance and trends that we see developing in our business segments. In our large panel driver IC business, after two strong quarters of shipments in TV application, we are starting to experience shipments slowdowns in TV along with continuous softness in notebooks and monitors. Hence, we will still see sequential decline by low teens in this segment in the third quarter. However we believe 3Q weakness is a temporary setback, as we have for repeatedly stated 2015 will be a year for our large panel driver IC business to post year-over-year growth amid poor market condition. We are still gearing up our engineering collaboration and design-in activities with Chinese panel customers who, despite low market sentiment, are still adding new capacity after years of continuous expansion. The new capacity in China represents further growth opportunities for us with projected shipment growth and market share gains throughout the rest of 2015 and beyond. On top of that, sales of 4K TVs are tracking better now than the beginning of the year, as Chinese panel customers are embracing the 4K TV market with mid-to-low end models that could stimulate purchase interests. Therefore, we remain positive on the outlook of our large panel driver IC business this year and also going forward. The other segment in our driver business are ICs used in small and medium-sized panels for applications including smartphones, tablets and automotives. We highlighted in our previous earnings call that we were cautious in the second quarter outlook. However we experienced a snapback in Chinese customers' smartphone demand due to certain brand end customers' share gains through new model launches and change in their marketing strategy and sales channels as mentioned earlier. We therefore exited the second quarter with smartphone sales tracking better than we expected. Despite the muted market demand, panel resolution will continue to get upgraded. We are positive that resolution above HD720, especially FullHD will accelerate from the third quarter and go on for the rest of the year. Our QHD driver IC shipment also started at the end of the second quarter, following the design win with a brand customer as reported in the previous earnings calls. Meanwhile, for FullHD and beyond, the preferred technology would be low-temp poly silicon TFT LCD since it allows higher pixel density and more circuit integration with less power consumption. We are pleased to see more and more Chinese panel makers following Korean and Japanese players entered mass production for high resolution panels at their new LTPS facilities aggressively. Such progress means more business opportunities for the next few years for Himax as we have longstanding and solid business relationships with Chinese panel makers. We believe FullHD and QHD will account for a growing percentage of our smartphone driver IC revenues starting this quarter. We discussed on our last call, two other areas which we believe will fuel the next growth drive in our small and medium drive IC business, namely AMOLED driver IC and TDDI technology which integrates driver IC and touch panel controllers into one. On the AMOLED driver IC front, we continue to collaborate closely with multiple panel customers in Korea and China, some of which are likely to see meaningful volume late this year. There are few competitors in this marketplace and we are well positioned, having been previously engaged by numerous existing and new AMOLED panel makers in their new panel developments. It is worth mentioning that major Chinese panel makers have announced the building of new AMOLED projects and we believe Himax is in a good position to be a major beneficiary. We look forward to working with our customers as the market for this technology expands. I will elaborate further on the TDDI opportunity a bit later. For our driver ICs used in tablets, following three consecutive quarters of decline, the market stabilized in the second quarter and as previously indicated, may improve in the second half of the year. Our observations remain that the trend for the panels in the mainstream tablet market will be upgraded to 10 inch and above with higher resolutions, from the once popular sizes of seven to nine inches. This is a favorable trend to the driver IC demand. However, its contribution to our sales will not be significant until 2016. Among driver ICs used in small and medium-sized panels, the best-performing category in 2015 is automotive applications. We have successfully engaged key panel manufacturers and module houses for long-term partnerships and secured leading market share in this segment. We anticipate second half sales to grow by high-teens compared to the first half, which will also lead to high-teens growth year-over-year. Himax's ICs are well recognized by numerous Tier 1 automobile brands globally. Thus we are well positioned to take advantage of this growing market which honors its long-term product life cycle, stable pricing and higher gross margins when compared with the rest of the segments in small and medium panel driver ICs. So compared to the previous quarter, our small and medium-sized driver segment will decline low single digit in the quarter sequentially. For the past few years, our non-driver business segment has been our most exciting growth engine. New product development continues to evolve and gain traction and we remain positive on our long-term growth prospect of our non-driver businesses. Our touch panel controller product line declined sequentially in the second quarter as we have foreseen in the previous earnings call. As we enter the third quarter, several of our on-cell design wins will start mass production at multiple major end customers. On top of that, we are also excited about our technological advances and product development progress in the latest pure in-cell technology, where we are one of the pioneers in offering one-chip solutions integrating driver IC and touch panel controller or TDDI. Driven by leading TFT LCD makers, the industry is moving towards pure in-cell panels, which remains set to start mass production in the second half of this year. We are in partnerships with essentially all of the leading panel manufacturers, module houses and OEMs in pure in-cell touch for joint development and feel there is a strong market for these products ahead with fewer competitors. Our CMOS image sensors experienced a slow first half since 4G smartphone adoption in China remained weak. The lack of smartphone replacement demand hurt the shipments of our high end product offerings. Entering the third quarter, we are pleased to report that we have secured several new customers in the second half mass production pipeline with our 8-megapixel and 13-megapixel sensors. Regarding our LCOS business, Himax continues to collaborate with industry heavyweights by providing tailor made designs for their head mounted devices and we remain enthusiastic about the projects in the pipeline. As stated, our LCOS and WLO businesses will hit an inflection point this year and we are gearing up for increasing pilot production shipments now with expected volume ramping thereafter. We already secured a piece of land which is five hectares in size and is conveniently located nearby our headquarter building in Tainan, Taiwan. We have started planning for the construction of a new manufacturing, office facility with first phase investment of approximately $40 million in order to meet customers' desired output. The first phase construction will occupy just around 20% of the newly secured land, leaving plenty of space for future expansion. The investment will be financed through our internal resources and existing bank facilities, if needed. While we remain debt free as mentioned earlier, we do enjoy great support from banks that have provided us with plenty of unutilized facilities. Once started, the construction is expected to be completed in 12-18 months. This progress is sooner than we thought when we last reported and we will report further details in due course. Furthermore, Himax continues to partner with numerous industry leading players using our industry dominant wafer level optics or WLO for the development of three technologies of the future, namely array camera, special purpose sensor and microdisplay wave-guides for head-mounted devices. As our top-tier customers begin to mass produce products embedding these new technologies, Himax, being in the heart of that supply chain, should benefit significantly. However, we would like to remind investors that we believe, like HMD, while WLO can enable cutting edge products, such products are early stage in nature. Himax, along with our partners, are pioneers in these technologies and are committed to bringing them into commercialization. Overall, we expect our non-driver segment to decline mid single digit sequentially in the third quarter. Thank you for your interest in Himax. We appreciate your joining today's call and are now ready to take questions.