Jim Ajello
Analyst · Morningstar. Your line is now open
Thanks, Connie. I will start with Hawaii's economy, year-to-date June 2016 visitor arrivals and expenditures exceeded the prior year and recorded its best midyear performance ever. Year-to-date visitor arrivals exceeded 4.4 million visitors and total visitor expenditures amounted to more than $7.7 billion increasing 3.3% and 1.6% respectively from 2015. The Hawaii Tourism Authority anticipates visitor spending of $15.9 billion in 2016. Statewide unemployment was 3.3% in June of 2016 compared to 3.6% a year ago significantly below the national unemployment rate of 4.9% as of June 2016. Hawaii’s real estate activity remained strong during June of 2016 with medium sales price for single-family homes in Oahu at $760,000 up 8.6% from last year and up 6.1% year-to-date. Construction activity remained high, the activity is expected to continue in 2016 as planned and permitted building continues. Overall Hawaii’s year-to-date economic performance is being sustained by continuing strength in the tourism industry and strong activity in the construction industry. The University of Hawaii forecasters expect real-estate GDP to grow 3.2% in 2016. As shown on Slide 5, second quarter 2016 GAAP earnings per share were $0.41 compared to $0.33 in the second quarter of 2015, a 24% increase from the prior year. Core earnings per share which excluded merger and spin related expenses and cost related to the terminated LNG Contract which was conditioned on merger closing between HEI and NextEra Energy were $0.43 per share compared to $0.399 per share in the second quarter of 2015. Consolidated core net income was $4.7 million higher than the prior year quarter and core EPS was $0.04 higher. As shown on Slide 6, HEI’s GAAP consolidated ROE for the last 12 months ended in June was 8.8% excluding cost related to the recently terminated merger, cancelled spin-off of ASP Hawaii and the recently terminated LNG contract, HEI's core consolidated ROE was 9/3% with ROE contributions of 8% from the utility and 9.7% from the bank. On Slide 7, utility earnings were $36 million in the second quarter of 2016 compared to $33 million in the prior year quarter, $4 million of higher net revenues were primarily attributed to the recovery of cost for clean energy and reliability investments which were partially offset by $2 million of higher depreciation expense or increasing investments for customer reliability, greater system efficiency and the integration of more renewable energy. O&M expenses at the utility were relatively flat compared to the prior year quarter the second quarter of 2016 included higher plant overhaul and LNG consulting and legal expenses compared to the second quarter of 2015 which included higher vegetation management and boiler and steam maintenance expenses. At the bank, net income for the second quarter of 2016 was $13.3 million, $0.6 million higher than the linked quarter primarily driven by $1 million in after-tax higher revenues due to higher non-interest income which included gains on sale of securities and higher mortgage banking income as well as higher net interest income primarily due to the growth in commercial real estate and consumer loan portfolios. Higher revenues were partially offset by $1 million in aftertax higher non-interest expense due primarily to cost related to the replacement and upgrade of the electronic banking platform. Compared to the second quarter of 2015, second quarter 2016 net income improved by $0.4 million primarily driven by the following aftertax, 3 million in higher net interest income due to growth in commercial real estate and consumer loan and investment portfolios and higher yields on interest earning assets. This was offset by the following on an aftertax basis, $2 million of higher provision for loan losses mainly driven by commercial real estate and consumer loan growth and downgrades of specific commercial credits in the second quarter of 2016 and $1 million higher non-interest expense primarily due to costs related to the replacement and upgrade of the electronic banking platform. Slide 8 shows the utilities’ actual ROEs for the last 12 months, consolidated utility ROE of 8% was in line with the 2016 guidance of approximately 8%. On Slide 9, you can see that American continued to deliver solid profitability metrics. Through the first half of the year American achieved a return on assets of 85 basis points and expects to achieve full year target of 90 basis points as the net interest margin improves and credit quality normalizes. Year-to-date annualized loan growth was 6% in-line with a target of mid-single digit loan growth for the year. Year-to-date loan growth was driven primarily by commercial real estate consumer and commercial markets loans. Year-to-date net interest margin was 3.6% slightly above our guidance range benefiting from higher yields on the growing commercial and consumer portfolios. Although the year to date credit costs were higher than expected with a net charge off ratio of 18 basis points we expect these costs to moderate over the remainder of the year. On slide 10, our net interest margin of 3.58% in the second quarter of 2016 was four basis points lower than the linked quarter, but six basis points higher than the prior year quarter. Our interest earning asset yield declined by three basis points, primarily due to higher mortgage-backs securities and amortization, partially offset by growth in the higher yielding commercial real estate consumer and commercial markets loan portfolios. Liability cost of 23 basis points remain unchanged compared to the linked quarter. On slide 11. Noninterest income was $1.2 million higher than the linked quarter, primarily due to the gain on sale of investment securities and slightly higher mortgage banking income. On slide 12, you could see credit quality remains within acceptable limits and the increasing loan loss reserves reflect growth in commercial real estate and consumer loans which require higher reserve levels. Provision for loan losses was unchanged from the linked quarter and $3 million higher than the prior year quarter, mainly due to commercial real estate loan growth and specific downgrades to commercial credits in the second quarter of 2016. Second quarter of 2016. Net charge-off ratio was 15 basis points primarily related to charge-offs in the consumer and commercial markets loans. The allowance for loan losses was 1.16% of outstanding loans at $55 million at quarter end compared to 1.13% at the end of the linked quarter and 1.04% as of the prior year-end. On slide 13, Americans nonperforming assets ratio improved to 1.02% at the end of the second quarter of 2016, compared to 1.03% at the end of the linked quarter. Slide 14 illustrates American's continued attractive asset in funding mix relative to the peer banks, American's June 30, 2016 balance sheet is compared to the last available dataset for its peers which was as of March, 31, 2016. Nearly 100% the loan portfolio was funded with low-cost core deposits versus the aggregate of the peer banks at 84%. Year-to-date total deposits increased by $207 million or 8.2% annualized while maintaining a very low cost of funds of 23 basis points, 19 basis points lower than the median of its peers. American remains well capitalized at June 30, the leverage ratio of 8.7%, tangible common equity to tangible assets ratio of 8.1% and the total capital ratio of 13.2%. In the second quarter of 2016, American paid $9 million in dividends to HEI, while maintaining healthy capital levels. Now, I'll address HEI outlook for the balance of 2016. Turning to slide 16, we're reaffirming our 2016 to 2018 capital CapEx estimates. However, we want to stress that the rate base in capital expenditure estimate shown on the slide may vary depending on what is approved by the Public Utilities Commission. Note that $85 million is included in 2016 for the Hamakua Energy Partners plant or HEP, but that application is still pending for PUC approval. We expect 2016 rate base growth to be above 1%, should have not be approved this year, but 3% to 4%, if it is. And we've revised the 2016 rate base growth range to 1% to 4%. We have also revised to 2017 rate base growth range accordingly. And finally the recently announced and previously discussed 20 megawatt solar facility at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam, estimated at $70 million is not yet included in the 2017 to 2018 forecast shown on the slide, as it still requires approval by the PUC. As Connie noted earlier, NextEra has paid HEI the $90 million termination fee and $5 million for reimbursement of expenses per the terms of the merger repayment. These amounts will be reflected in our third quarter results. In addition, the cash reserve of $54 million that HEI had previously set aside for the one-time cash dividend of $0.50 a share which would have been paid at the merger closed was released. The reserves were then used to reduce outstanding commercial paper borrowings. As a result of the above events equity needs will be reduced in 2017. We're reaffirming HEI's 2016 core earnings guidance range of the $62 to a $75 per share, excluding any terminated merger spin-off for LNG contract related expenses. At the utility we're maintaining utility EPS range of a $28 to a $36. Now expect utilities O&M to be lower by 2% compared to last year instead of the 4% reduction that we previously estimated last quarter. The increase in O&M is primarily due to spending on new energy programs for customers to support renewable energy integration. As we have previously indicated, we expect 2016 rate base growth to be about 1% should have not be approved this year but 3% to 4% if it is and hence we have revised the rate base growth range from 1% to 2%. We're also maintaining bank EPS range of $0.50 to $0.54 per share. However, we expect NIM to be higher at 3.5%, 3.6%, instead of 3.45% to 3.55% based on higher year-to-date performance. We expect provision expense to be at the higher end of the provision guidance range of $8 million to $12 million and charge-offs to be approximately 15% instead less than 15 basis points for it. Overall though we expect the bank return on assets of approximately 90 basis points. I'll now turn the call back to Connie.