Jim Ajello
Analyst · Luminus Management. Your line is now open
Thanks, Connie, I'll start today with Hawaii's economy. Hawaii's tourism industry ended the first quarter of 2016 with continued strength in arrivals and expenditures as compared to the same period a year ago. Year-to-date visitor arrivals exceeded 2.0 million visitors and total expenditures of visitors amounted to more than $3.9 billion, increasing 3.6% and 2.6% respectively from 2015. State-wide unemployment was 3.1% in March of 2016, the lowest in eight years compared to 3.9% a year ago, still significantly below the national unemployment rate of 5% as of March 2016. Hawaii’s real estate activity remained strong during March of 2016 with medium sales price for single-family homes in Oahu at $725,000 up 3.6% from last year and up 7.2% year-to-date. Construction activity remained high, the activity is expected to continue in 2016 as planned and permitted building continues. Overall Hawaii’s year-to-date economic performance is being sustained by the continuing strength in the tourism industry and strong activity in the construction industry. The University of Hawaii forecasters expect real-estate GDP to grow 3.2% through 2016. As shown on Slide 6, first quarter 2016 GAAP earnings per share were $0.30 however core earnings per share which excluded merger and spin related expenses were $0.31 per share compared to $0.35 per share in the first quarter of 2015. Consolidated core net income was $2.7 million lower than the prior year quarter but core EPS was $0.04 lower due to 4.7 million additional shares from the settlement of the equity forward agreement in March of 2015. As shown on Slide 7, HEI’s GAAP consolidated ROE for the last 12 months was 8.4% excluding merger related and spin-off costs HEI’s core consolidated ROE was 9% with ROE contributions of 7.9% from the utility and 9.7% from the bank. On Slide 8, utility earnings were $25 million in the first quarter of 2016 compared to $27 million in the prior year quarter. The most significant net income driver was the $2 million in higher depreciation expense or increasing investments for customer reliability, greater system efficiency and the integration of more renewable energy. O&M expenses were relatively flat compared to the prior year quarter the first quarter of 2016 included higher than expected power supply improvement plan in LNG consulting expenses while the first quarter of 2015 included higher storm repair cost, bad debt reserves for one customer account and cost for the damage to a combined heat and power generating station. At the bank, net income for the first quarter of 2016 was $12.7 million, $2.3 million lower than the linked-quarter. Our results reflect $2 million of higher provision for loan losses after tax the higher loss provisioning was due to loan growth as well as higher provisioning during the construction phase of several commercial real estate projects along with a single commercial credit charge-off for the first quarter of 2016. This is compared to lower provisioning during the fourth quarter of 2015 due to net recoveries on previously charged-off loans. In order to provide a little more color on the provision, during the construction phase of commercial real estate projects, the bank provides at a higher coverage rate compared to the period after construction completion. Lending to construction projects increased $30 million compared to the linked-quarter. Compared to the linked-quarter the bank was also impacted by $1 million of lower non-interest income after tax compared to the fourth quarter of 2015 which included gains from the sale of mortgage servicing rights. These declines were partially offset by $1 million in higher net interest income after tax primarily attributed to loan and investment portfolio growth and higher yields on interest earning assets in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the first quarter of 2015, first quarter 2016 net income declined by $800,000 primarily driven by the following after tax. $2 million in higher provision for loan losses mainly driven by commercial real estate loan growth, and a commercial credit charge-off, and $1 million in higher non-interest expense driven by investment in our electronic banking platform and higher compensation expense, these two items were partially offset by $3 million higher net interest income in the first quarter of 2016 due to loan and investment portfolio growth and higher yields on interest earning assets. Slide 9 shows the utilities’ actual ROEs for the last 12 months, consolidated utility ROE of 7.9% in line with the 2016 guidance of about 8%. Turning to American Savings Bank on Slide 10, American delivered solid profitability metrics in the first quarter. Although we achieved a return on assets of 84 basis points we expect to achieve our 90 basis points target for the full year as loan provision normalizes. Annualized loan growth was 2.21% primarily in our targeted commercial real estate and consumer portfolios. We expect to meet our target of mid-single loan growth for the year. Our net interest margin was 3.62%, 10 basis points higher than the prior year quarter reflecting favorable mix impact of growth in higher yielding loan portfolios and higher yields in our variable rate portfolios. Our net charge-offs ratio was above our target of 15 basis points coming in at 21 basis points attributed primarily to one commercial borrower in the first quarter. We continue to improve our efficiency ratio through a combination of revenue growth and cost reductions. Our first quarter efficiency ratio improved by over 100 basis points to 63% from the linked-quarter at 64.2% and over 250 basis points improvement from the prior year quarter was at 65.5%. Overall the bank continues to maintain its low risk profile, strong balance sheet and straight forward community business banking model. On Slide 11, our net interest margin of 3.62% in the first quarter of 2016 was 7 basis points higher than the linked-quarter and 10 basis points higher than the prior year quarter of 2015. Our interest earning asset yield improved by 8 basis points from really due to growth in the higher yielding commercial real estate and consumer loan portfolios and higher yields in our investment portfolio. And our liability cost of 23 basis points was 1 basis point higher than the linked-quarter. On Slide 12, non-interest income was $1.4 million lower than the linked-quarter primarily due to the gain on sale of mortgage servicing rights in the fourth quarter of 2015 and fees on deposit liabilities which were lower mainly due to seasonality. Credit quality Slide 13 remains stable reflecting prudent credit risk management in the strong Hawaii economy. Provision for loan losses was higher than the linked-quarter and prior year quarter mainly due to the commercial real estate loan and a commercial credit charge off in the first quarter of 2016. Commercial construction project loans, which have a higher reserve ratio increased $30 million and $53 million compared to the linked and prior year quarters respectively. However, we are not changing provision guidance for the bank. The first quarter of 2016 net charge off ratio was 21 basis points primarily related to the charge off of the one commercial borrower. The allowance for loan losses was 1.13% of outstanding loans at $52 million at quarter end compared to 1.08% at the end of the linked-quarter and 1.03% of the prior year-end. On Slide 14 American’s non-performing asset ratio was 1.03% at the end of the first quarter of 2016 compared to 1.02% at the end of the fourth quarter of 2015, and 0.8% at the end of the first quarter of 2015. The increase from the fourth quarter of 2015 was primarily due to the reclassification of two commercial loans which are still payment current. Slide 15 illustrates American’s continued attractive asset and funding mix relative to our peer banks. American’s March 31, 2016 balance sheet is stacked against the last complete available dataset from our peers which is December 31, 2015. Nearly 100% of our loan portfolio was funded with low cost core deposits versus the aggregate of our peer banks at 84%. In the first quarter total deposits increased $115 million, or 9.1% annualized while maintaining a very low cost of funds of 23 basis points, 20 basis points lower than the median of our peers. American remains well capitalized at March 31st with a leverage ratio of 8.7%, tangible common equity to total assets ratio of 8.1% and a total capital ratio of 13.2%. In the first quarter of 2016 American paid $9 million in dividends to HEI while maintaining healthy capital levels. Now I’ll address HEI’s outlook for 2016. Turning to Slide 17, given our PSIP filing on April 1 that Connie discussed earlier, we are now providing our preliminary 2017 and 2018 rate base and CapEx estimates, net of contributions in aid construction of $480 million and $500 million respectively. We want to stress that the rate base and capital expenditure estimates shown on the slide especially for 2017 and ’18 may vary as to timing and exact amount depending on what is approved at the Public Utilities Commission. We expect that these forecast CapEx levels and the timing of plant being placed into service will result in annualized rate base growth of 4% to 5% through 2018. And there was no change to the 2016 CapEx estimate of $450 million. We are reaffirming HEI’s 2016 earnings guidance of $1.62 to $1.75 per share, excluding any merger and spin expenses. However, at the utility although we are maintaining the utility’s EPS range of $1.28 to $1.36 we now expect utility O&M to be lower by 4% instead of 5% that we were guiding to last quarter, mainly due to the higher expected cost related to the update of our power supply improvement plan and the LNG agreements. At the bank, there are no changes to the EPS guidance range and key assumptions. I’ll now turn the call back to Connie.