Operator
Operator
Good afternoon, and welcome to Gerdau's presentation of the third quarter (sic) [second quarter] of 2013 earnings. [Operator Instructions] We would like to highlight that forward-looking statements that might be made during this conference call relative to Gerdau's business prospects, its projections and operating and financial goals are mere predictions -- forecasts based on the expectations of the management regarding the future of the company. Although Gerdau believes that its comments are based on reasonable assumptions, forward-looking statements are no guarantee of what is going to happen. Here with us today, we have Mr. Andre Gerdau Johannpeter, Managing Director and CEO; and André Pires, Vice President and IR Officer. I would like to give the floor now to Mr. André Gerdau Johannpeter. You may proceed, sir. André Bier Gerdau Johannpeter: Thank you, good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter (sic) [second quarter] of 2013 earnings conference call. We will start this presentation with an assessment of the global status of the steel market, then we'll move to Gerdau's performance in the second quarter of the year and talk about the outlook for the regions where the company operates. After that, André Pires will give you details on the financial performance of Gerdau. And at the end, we will be available to answer questions you might have. It is important to highlight that in our presentation we will be assessing the performance of the second quarter of 2013 vis-a-vis the same period of last year. However, in the case of Gerdau's balance sheet, we will also analyze the figures as they relate to the first quarter of 2013, showing our performance in the period. Let us a start with the industrial view in global steel production, which reached 401.1 million tonnes in the second quarter of 2013, up 1.8%, compared to the same period of 2012. Excluding China, global production reached 203 million tonnes, down 1.8% vis-a-vis the second quarter of 2012. This is data from the World Steel Association. In Brazil, steel production reached 8.6 million tonnes, a volume which is in keeping with the same period of last year. Steel production in other Latin American countries, not including Brazil, showed a 3.9% increase in the second quarter of 2013, compared to the same period of last year, reaching 8.3 million tonnes. Steel production in the United States was 21.8 million tonnes, 5.3% below the figure posted in the second quarter of 2012. As for the outlook for the economy, according to IMF estimates, global GDP growth should be 3.1% for -- the estimate of the IMF pointed to a 3.1% increase in 2013. The estimates were revised downward by the IMF. According to the World Steel Association, global steel consumption this year should grow 2.9% compared to 2012, reaching 1.45 billion tonnes. Now let's us talk about Gerdau's performance. In comparison with the first quarter, the improved performance in the second quarter of 2013 reflects a gradual rebound of the market at decent levels, as well as the management's effort in our operations, which resulted in a reduction of BRL 1.1 billion in working capital, which boosted to the company's cash. In addition, shipments to the Brazilian domestic market showed their best performance since 2008. As for North America and other significant markets to go down. The outlook points to growth in the next couple of years. Net sales amounted to BRL 10 billion in line with the same period of 2012, primarily driven by the rally of the Brazilian market in the segments of long steel and specialty steels, which offset part of the reduction in the volume of exports from Brazil and lower sales in North America. Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization, known as EBITDA, was BRL 1.2 billion, down 3.9% compared to the second quarter of 2012. Net income in turn amounted to BRL 401 million, compared to BRL 549 million in the same period of 2012. As I mentioned in the beginning of my speech, the balance sheet of the second quarter of 2013 also reflects the recovery of Gerdau's performance when compared to the first 3 months of 2013. EBITDA, for instance, showed a 48.6% increase and net income had a positive variation of 150%. Talking about investments or CapEx. In the second quarter, Gerdau's investments reached BRL 635 million and year-to-date, BRL 1.2 billion. These funds were geared primarily through the implementation of projects already announced, highlights going to the start-up production of flat steel products in Brazil scheduled for this week. Now in the beginning of the month of August, and the increase in our own capacity to produce iron ore, which is unfolding as planned. According to work we have announced previously, BRL 8.5 billion are planned to be invested in the company's industrial plan in the 2013 to '17 period, considering steel and mining activities. It is also important to remember that due to the large volume of investments made in 2012 and of the uncertainties about the world's economic market, Gerdau is becoming more selective in the evaluation of its future investment projects. Now let us talk about the quarterly performance of our operations. If you're following us over the web, we are on Screen 4. Starting with Brazil, I'd like to remind you that this does not include specialty steel operations in Brazil. In the Brazilian domestic market, except for specialty steels, Gerdau sold 1.5 million tonnes considering both finished and semi-finished goods, 6.2% more than in the same period of last year. While exports dropped by 47.4% to 262,000 tonnes. The current Brazilian economy outlook the forecast report points to a 2.3% GDP growth in 2013. However, we believe that in order to boost the economic activity levels, the country requires more investments in infrastructure, and that the necessary structural reforms be made. According to Instituto Aço Brasil, Brazil Steel Institute, steel consumption should reach 26.2 million tonnes, 4.3% more than last year. Regarding the major industries supplied by Gerdau, the expectations are as follows: Let us start with civil construction. According to the inflation report by the Brazilian Central Bank, estimates point to a 1.1% increase in the GDP of steel segment in 2013. Infrastructure works remain underway, despite some delay in their execution. And this has been one of the major challenges for Brazil, how to speed up these works and their execution. In the segment, we highlight urban mobility projects for the 2014 FIFA World Cup and projects related for the 2016 Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro. As for the industrial sector, the industrial GDP should grow approximately 1.2% in 2013, according to estimates by the Brazilian Central Bank. Recent data disclosed yesterday by IBGE showed that year-to-date industrial GDP grew 1.9%. Talking about agriculture and cattle raising, the expected GDP growth in the segment reaching 7.6% in 2013. Those being the main driver expanding the economic activity this year. As a result, it's important to highlight the good performance of the machinery and agricultural equipment sector, an important consumption market to Gerdau. Let us now talk about our North American operation. I'd like to remind you that we exclude Mexico and specialty steel operations. We are on Screen 5 if you are following us over the web. In Canada and the United States, sales decreased by 3% to 1.5 million tonnes. It is worth highlighting that the demand in the residential construction segment is already picking up, and this is usually followed by the nonresidential construction segment, which is a big consumer of Gerdau's steel products. According to the United States Census Bureau, residential construction showed a growth above 25% in the first 6 months of the year, compared to the same period of 2012. The Architecture Billings Index, ABI, main indicator of investments in nonresidential construction in turn grew for the second consecutive month, reaching 51.6 points in June. Anything above 50 points indicates growth. PMI, main indicator of industrial production in North America reached 50.9 points in June. And again, anything above 50 points represents growth. On the other hand, the U.S. market and the Canadian market has been dealing with a significant growth of steel imports, which has driven the results of the sector to fall below the expectations. To give you an idea, in the last 6 months, the volume of long steel products imported by the United States grew 15%, while the market remained relatively stable. In 2013, U.S. GDP is expected to grow 1.7% according to IMF estimates, but that steel consumption should increase 2.7% to practically 100 million tonnes. Just to give you an idea, this volume is way above the volume posted in 2009 during the crisis when steel consumption was only 59.2 million tonnes, basically, 60 million tonnes. This shows that the rebound has been slow, gradual, but positive in the U.S. market. Now let's talk about Latin America, it does not include Brazil. Sales volume in the second quarter grew 6% reaching 726,000 tonnes, highlights going to a demand increase in some countries of the region. Most of the countries in Latin America, where Gerdau operates, should continue to grow at a slower pace in the second half of 2013. So we should post a good economic performance, the highlights being Peru, plus 6.1%, Chile, plus 4.6%, Colombia, plus 4.1%. Nevertheless, despite positive prospects of economic growth, Latin American countries are going through a process of deindustrialization, driven by a substantial volume of both direct and indirect steel imports, mainly indirect steel imports. With regard to our investments in the region, we highlight the erection of a new structural shapes plant in Mexico. The main equipment has been already contracted and the civil construction is well underway. For 2013, Latin American countries should reach steel comsumption of 44.5 million tonnes, up 6.4% compared to 2012. Let us talk about our specialty steel operation. I would like to remind you that here we include Brazil, the United States, Europe and India. We're on Screen 6. In the speciality steels operation, sales amounted to 766,000 tonnes against 731,000 tonnes in the same period of the previous year due to the recovery in the production of vehicles in Brazil, especially trucks in Brazil, while production -- vehicle production in the second quarter increased 23% year-on-year, crossing the 1-million-unit mark. The 2013 outlook continues to be favorable, but the lower growth of the Brazilian economy might have some impact on the sector's performance in the second half of the year. Gerdau's investments in Brazil, notably in specialty steel and notably in the Pindamonhangaba plant in São Paulo, showed that the company is fully believing in the growth and the rebound of investments in the automotive industry, which have been growing and will continue to grow in Brazil. The rolling mill with an installed capacity of 500,000 tonnes of specialty steel per year is in its final phase of installation, and start-up is expected by the end of this year. In North America, 4.3 million units of automobiles and lightweight commercial vehicles were manufactured during the second quarter of 2013, 6.1% up compared to the same period of last year. Despite the continuing growth of this total vehicle production in North America, the demand for specialty steel during the second quarter was slightly lower than that of the same period of 2012, mainly due to the low production of heavy-duty trucks, due to lower demand from the oil and gas sector and to the high inventories in the distribution chain. Expectations for the second half of the year are of a slight rally, primarily driven by a normalization of inventories at the distributors. In Europe, the number of vehicles licensed in the second quarter of the year dropped by 3.5% compared to the same period of the previous year with 3.2 million units licensed. In turn, the number of commercial vehicles licensed was 430,000, posting a 2.3% decrease compared with the second quarter of 2012. As for this year, the trend points to a reduction in sales volumes, given the lower economic activity in the region. Although the volume of vehicles produced remains very low, the demand for speciality steel in Europe in the second quarter was positively influenced by stocks being rebuilt in the production chain, since inventories reached excessively low levels in the end of 2012. With the end of restocking, demand should recede. However, the required compliance to the new legislation, Euro 6 in 2014, might lead to an unanticipated production of trucks in the second half of the year. As for India, and the production of pig iron and steel, as well as the generation of our own electricity are doing quite well. And the operation of the rolling mill continues in its learning curve. I will now move to my final remarks. I'm on Screen 7. Worldwide, the steel industry has been facing important challenges as it is now -- as we are now living a cyclic moment of lower levels of profitability. The summary points for the sector are: A growth slowdown in the global economy, especially China, and the crisis in Europe, as well as the supply/demand imbalance, which resulted in a significantly excessive installed capacity for steel production. And that's what led to the main problem in the sector today. We should add to the list the growing imports of steel by the United States and the deindustrialization process of the steel chain in Brazil and other Latin American countries. In Brazil, the process of deindustrialization that we are experiencing has led to a deficit in our trade balance, negatively impacting the Brazilian GDP. Another point of concern in Brazil is the current moment of economic uncertainty that the country is going through. In particular, the increase in interest rates, which tends to reduce GDP growth. On the other hand, the current exchange rate is collaborating to improve the competitiveness of the steel industry. We even have the possibility to reactivate our exports of steel and steel containing products. Despite this complex scenario that we are living today, I would like to underscore that we are convinced that Gerdau has experience and capability of management to get out of the current moment of the steel industry even stronger than we are now. I turn the floor over to André Pires. And after his presentation, we will move to our Q&A session. Thank you very much. André Pires de Oliveira Dias: Thank you, André, and good afternoon, everyone. Now I'll be addressing the consolidated results of the second quarter of 2013. Then I'll give some details about every business operation. The idea is to conclude the presentation, specifically addressing the capital structure, indebtedness and cash generation. Starting on Screen 8 for those who are following us over WebEx. The net revenue had a slight reduction of 0.9% in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the same period of the previous year, and that was due to lower volumes sold around 3%, which were partially offset by an increase in net sales revenues per tonne, which was 2.1%. When compared with the first quarter of 2013, there was an increase of 7.8% in that sales revenue, mainly due to the higher net sales revenue per tonne, growing by 6% in Gerdau's consolidated basis. Cost of sales had a slight reduction this quarter, mainly due to the reduction in volumes sold, therefore leading to a lower dilution of fixed costs. As a result, gross margin went down 0.7 percentage points this quarter, closing at 13.6%. The share of SG&A expenses vis-à-vis the net revenue or net sales remained stable at 6.4% in the second quarter when compared to the same period of the previous year. Therefore, reflecting the company's efforts to rationalize these expenses. We highlight that with the real depreciation, particularly vis-a-vis the U.S. dollar, the pressure of SG&A stemming from our operations abroad tend to increase in real. And this shows the company's efforts to maintain this stable figures. EBITDA was BRL 1,196,000,000 in the second quarter of 2013, dropping 3.9% vis-à-vis the same period of the previous year. If we look on the big chart on Slide 8, we can see that the main factor to lower EBITDA was a reduction in net revenue. Compared to the first quarter of 2013, EBITDA increased 48.6%. Lastly, the EBITDA margin closed at 12.1% in the second quarter of 2013. On the right, at the lower part of Slide 8, we can see EBITDA margin performance since 2012 up to now. The higher negative financial result in the second quarter of 2013 stems mainly from the higher negative net exchange variation and to a lesser extent, the higher financial revenue and higher -- lower financial revenue and higher financial expense in the first or vis-à-vis the first quarter of 2013, it stems from a net exchange variance that was negative in the second half of 2013, compared to a positive variation in the previous quarter. At the end of the presentation, we'll be addressing a comparison with our balance sheet and our P&L, which is more important when we work on our figures. There was a drop in net income in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the same period of the previous year at BRL 401 million. When compared to the first quarter of 2013, net income increased 150.6%. As for dividends, based on the company's income, we'll be anticipating a dividend payout amounting to BRL 44.7 million to Metalurgica Gerdau shareholders or BRL 0.11 per share related to performance in the second quarter and BRL 119 million for holders of Gerdau SA securities or BRL 0.07 per stock. These dividends will be paid on August 21 based on the status of August 12. On Slide 9, we show the result and performance of each one of our business units. Starting with Brazil, the reduction of 1.2% in net revenue stem mainly from a drop in volumes sold, approximately 7.7%, offset by the better market mix, domestic versus foreign market and better net sales revenue per tonne. The domestic market grew 6.2% in shipments and 1.6% in net sales revenue per tonne. Whereas in exports, there was a drop of 47.4% in the sales volume and an increase by 16.6% in net sales revenue per tonne. Please note that these revenues include iron ore and coal plus the exchange effect. The better net sales revenue per tonne vis-à-vis the cost per tonne and the better market mix allowed for growth of 27% in EBITDA in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the same period of the previous year. The EBITDA margin growing in Brazil from 15.8% to 20.3%. The increase in sales volume in the domestic market and the growth of net sales revenue per tonne also contributed to increased EBITDA and margin vis-à-vis the first quarter of 2013. Please note that on the right, at the bottom of Screen 9, we can also see the performance of our EBITDA margin since the second quarter of last year. On Slide 10, and now more specifically about North America. We had a drop of 3% in sales volume in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the second quarter of 2012. This was mainly due to the implementation of our new management software throughout 2012 and early 2013 and also to our growth in exports, which amounted to 20% of the long steel products market at the end of the first half of 2013. This lower sales volume and better prices in dollar led to a reduction of 2.9% in net sales revenue vis-à-vis the same period of the previous year. The lower dollar-denominated prices and lower dilution of fixed cost reduced our EBITDA from BRL 328 million in the second quarter of last year to BRL 158 million in the second quarter of 2013. As a result, the margin went down from 10.3% to 5.1% in the same period. As to the first quarter of 2013, EBITDA and margin were relatively stable, despite the narrow spread and the slightly higher pressure. Now on Slide 11, I'll address in Latin America, always excluding Brazil. The sales volume grew 6% in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the same quarter of last year, mainly due to improved demand in some countries in the region. As a result, our net revenue grew by 4.6% this quarter. An increase in EBITDA in the second quarter of 2013, where it total BRL 109 million stemmed from the higher volumes sold and consequently higher dilution of fixed costs, providing a better EBITDA margin, which was 8.2% this quarter vis-à-vis 5.5% in the same period of the previous year. As to the first quarter of 2013, EBITDA more than doubled, whereas the margin grew from 4.6% to 8.2%, especially due to an increase of 12.4% in volumes sold. On Slide 12, we address specialty products, including our business operations in North America, Europe and India. There was an increase of 4.8% in sales volume in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the same quarter of the previous year. And this stems from stronger growth in our units in Brazil, where there was a recovery in vehicle production, increasing 23.2% according to ANFAVEA's figures, particularly the trucks, an increase of 67.7%. This increase in sales was not fully reflected on the net revenue, which increased 2.5% in virtue of a lower net sales revenue per tonne that took place in Spain and in the U.S. As a result, there was a reduction of 23.8% in EBITDA in the second quarter of 2013, with a total of BRL 276 million and a drop in margin from 17.5% in the second quarter of 2012 to 13% in the second quarter of 2013. However, vis-à-vis, the first quarter of 2013, there was a significant recovery in EBITDA and margin due to an increase of 14.8% in volumes sold. EBITDA grew 78.1% and the margin increased from 8.5% to 13%. On Slide 13, the idea is to slightly address indebtedness and liquidity and also cash generation. First of all, about amortization, I would like to remind you that in April this year, Gerdau issued bonds worth $750 million. And the purpose was to extend the average debt maturity, which came from 5.7 years in June 2013 vis-à-vis 4.6 in March. The use of these funds was exclusively to pay short-term debts, as we said on that occasion. On top of that, we also reduced our short-term debt in another BRL 284 million by using our higher cash generation. In other words, we amortized more than $1 billion as short-term debt in the second quarter of 2013. As a result, our short-term debt dropped down from 20.1% of the total debt in March to 9.3% in late June. The Increase cash from March 2013 up to June 2013 was driven by lower working capital and an increase in cash generation. On June 30, 36.9% of cash was held by Gerdau's companies abroad, particularly in U.S. dollars. The exchange effect over debt denominated in foreign currency was offset by higher cash, which allow for a reduction of 2.8% in net debt on June 30 when compared to March 31. As a result, the net debt over EBITDA ratio went down from 3.2x in March to 3.1x in June. Please note that this happened at a time in which the dollar appreciated 10% vis-à-vis the real. As you all know, we have more than 60% of our gross debt in dollars. The weighted nominal average cost of the gross or principal debt on June 30 was 6.1%. Now more specifically about working capital and the cash conversion cycle. There was a significant improvement this quarter. Working capital had a reduction of 6% vis-à-vis March, despite the growth of 7.8% in net revenue in the second quarter of 2013 vis-à-vis the previous quarter. And this shows the company's effort to reduce working capital and improve liquidity. As a result, the cash conversion cycle had a reduction by 13 days vis-à-vis March 2013 closing at 85 days. Please note that reduction in working capital from BRL 593 million from March to June, which is in our corporate figures, considered the exchange variation, particularly on working capital in companies abroad. Net of this variation, the net effect of this reduction, was BRL 1.1 billion, the cash effect. As I said in the beginning, I would like to address the exchange effect in our performance in general. Gerdau, through its Brazilian operations, owns investments in assets abroad in U.S. dollars amounting to $6.6 billion, which are greater than capital borrowed from Brazil under the same currency, totaling $4.8 billion. Therefore, the real depreciation vis-à-vis the dollar in the second quarter of 2013 had a positive net effect to the company when it comes to our property and assets. Usually, the exchange effect on asset investments abroad is directly recognized in shareholder's equity, where there's the same effect on or in foreign currency should be posted in the P&L. However, as you all know, based in IFRS standards, the company has a policy to earmark part of the dollar-denominated investments as hedge -- net investment hedge recognized as shareholder equity in order to offset. However, despite of the hedge effect, the company also owns other net liabilities under different currencies or functional currencies in the countries where it operates, which led to a negative exchange variation of BRL 130 million in the second quarter of 2013, which were then posted in the P&L. From the operating standpoint, in the second quarter of 2013, revenues and cost from operations abroad once converted by reais by the average U.S. dollar rate of the period led to higher absolute amounts, but with no effect on the company's operating margin. As of now, concluding this part, André and I will be happy to take any questions you may have. Thank you very much.