Operator
Operator
Good afternoon, and welcome to Gerdau's conference call about the results for the first quarter of 2013. [Operator Instructions] We would like to emphasize that any forward-looking statement that might be made during this conference call related to Gerdau's business outlook, projections and financial and operating goals are mere assumptions based on the management's expectations related to the future of the company. Even though Gerdau believes that these comments are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no guarantee that future events will not affect this evaluation. Here today are Mr. André Gerdau Johannpeter, Director, President and CEO of the company; and André Pires Dias, Vice President and IR Director. With no further ado, I would like now to give the floor to Mr. Gerdau Johannpeter. You may proceed. André Bier Gerdau Johannpeter: Thank you. Good afternoon, and welcome to our conference call about the results for the first quarter of 2013. We will begin our analysis by looking at the steel market worldwide and later we will refer to Gerdau's performance during the first 3 months of the year, and we will also talk about the outlook in the regions where we operate. Afterwards, André Pires will give you more details on the company's financial performance and after that, we will be available to take your questions. It is important to highlight that in this presentation, we will evaluate the performance of the first quarter of 2013, drawing a comparison with the same period of the year before. Now I would like to give you more details on the world steel market. The main regions of the world Europe, North and South America, the Middle East and Africa, experienced a reduction in their output levels during the first quarter, with the exception of Asia and particularly China. World steel production is 389 million tonnes in the first quarter of 2013, up 2% when compared to the first 3 months of last year. Excluding China, the world's production was 197 million tonnes, which was 4% lower vis-à-vis the third [ph] quarter. In Brazil, it was down by 5%, reaching 8.3 million tonnes. Now steel production in Latin America, without considering Brazil, was 6.4 million tonnes, 18% less when compared to the first quarter of 2012. The steel production in the United States, reached 21 million tonnes, down 8% when compared to the same period of last year. Now talking about the outlook estimates from the International Monetary Fund, point to a 3.3% growth of global GDP in 2013. The World Steel Association also shares the positive view, while steel consumption this year should be up 3% vis-à-vis 2012, reaching 1.45 billion tonnes mainly after the second half of the year. This is a movement led by the emerging countries. However, this growth rate is still below historical levels. And moreover, it is not enough to reduce the excessive installed capacity in the world today. To give you an idea, in 2013, 27% of the installed capacity of the available in the world will not be used. The historical average is approximately 17%. Now looking at Gerdau's performance in the first quarter. Net income was BRL 9.2 billion, in keeping with the same period of 2012, mainly due to an increase in shipments of long steel in the Brazilian domestic market. However, Gerdau's performance was influenced by lower demand in Europe and North America, as well as by an increase of steel imports in Latin America and in the U.S. In addition, we had some one-off situations during the period, such as the start up of the plant in India and the deployment of the management in software in North America and some maintenance stoppages. These factors impacted shipments. And as a consequence, we experienced a reduction in the dilution of our fixed costs which, in turn, affected our margins. In terms of operation -- operating cash generation or EBITDA was BRL 805 million, down 20% when compared to the same period last year. Now net income was also impacted this period with BRL 116 million when compared to BRL 397 million in the first quarter of 2012. When compared to the fourth quarter of 2012, consolidated shipments were up 6%, net revenue grew 2% and net income, 12%. This shows that despite the reduction in margins during the period, there is a trend towards recovering Gerdau's performance along 2013. Investment in the quarter totaled BRL 571 million, mainly investments to increase the production capacity of iron ore and the installation of the coil hot rolled strips rolling mill in the order [indiscernible]. And as announced before for the period of 2013, 2017, the company will invest BRL 8.5 billion in its steel and mining industrial plants. Now I would like to talk about the performance in the quarter and the outlook for the Brazil plants. This does not include the specialty steel plants in the country. In the first quarter, we experienced 12% growth in sales of the domestic market. The industrial sector and important market for Gerdau showed recovery, especially in the areas of energy and agricultural machinery and equipment. In terms of the improving economic outlook, the focus report indicates a 3% growth in GDP in 2013. As a consequence, steel consumption is estimated by Instituto Aço Brasil should reach 26.2 million tonnes, up 4% when compared to last year. In terms of the main factor service by Gerdau in the Brazil operation, and we are talking now about civil construction, an estimate in the market points to a 1.8% growth in the industry GDP in 2013, which should bring about increases in sales of structural shapes and rebars. Now looking in the segment, infrastructure projects are happening without delays in the construction schedules. There are highlights in this segment are the urban mobility projects. So urban mobility projects for the 2014 World Cup and other projects related to the Rio Olympics in 2016. So the construction industry is working at a good pace, also the shopping mall segment continues to grow with residential projects currently experience a lower base with potential for growth in the near future. Industrial GDP, however, should increase by 3% in 2013 according to estimates. In terms of the agribusiness, they should experience 6.5% increase in 2013. In the midrange, one of the challenges of this industry in Brazil is to increase the per capita steel consumption currently at 128 kilograms per inhabitant. And when we compare it to China, it goes over 400 kilograms per capita. And in Russia, it's approximately 250 kilograms per capita. Now I would like to talk about North America. On Slide 5, for those of you are following us on the web. In the first quarter, in Gerdau Canada and in the U.S. were impacted by a more rigorous winter, when compared to before by imports of steel in the region and the deployment of the management, looks very good and in the near [ph] term will become an important asset in many of our business. In the periods of analysis, the market did not post any seasonal improvements in terms of ongoing [ph] prices, which impacted our results. It's also important to say that the U.S. continues to present a gradual recovery of its economy. According to the Purchasing Managers Index and the Institute for Supply Management, there was -- the good indicator reaching 51.3 points in March considering that any figure above 50 represents growth. Now in terms of nonresidential construction, we have seen some signs of recovery, even though the recovery is happening at a lower pace than expected. For 2013, the IMS estimates that the GDP of the United States should grow approximately 1.9%, the steel consumption should evolve to 2.7%, reaching close to 100 million tonnes. In Latin America, and this does not include Brazil, there was a reduction of the region mainly due to increases of steel imports into Latin America, which expedited the industrialization process of the entire productive chain. Now during the period and the analysis, the markets were more impacted by imports of steel in Colombia and Chile, and this is where the currency are more appreciated. So there is good outlook for the economies of the region. Considering GDP in some countries should have an increase in their GDP between 4% and 6%, posting mainly mining, civil construction and infrastructure. Our challenge in the region is to increase profitability in this environment of volatility in international prices and also this should impact import prices. Our main investment in the region is the construction of a new producing mill of structural shapes in Mexico, which should add more value to our product mix. This is an important investment that reinstates our trust in the development of Mexico and integration, both will allow us to serve our customers better, to the replacement of imports of structural shapes. For 2013, countries in Latin America should reach steel consumption of 44.5 million tonnes, up 6% when compared to figures from 2012. Slide 6, specialty steels, and I would like to remind you that this includes Brazil, the United States, Europe and India. In the first quarter, with lower demand for steel in Europe and also some one-off adjustments in the inventories in some service centers in the United States caused a reduction in sales volumes for Gerdau. These factors averaged through the start up of the operations in India impacted the margins of this business, mainly working with the automobile industry. In Brazil, the production of vehicles grew 12% in the first 3 months of the year, reaching 828,000 tonnes. The highlight goes to the segment of trucks with 39% and buses flat 57%. The outlook for 2013 is favorable giving the expectation for further growth in the production of automobiles, trucks and agricultural machinery. We will then continue to invest in our capacity in the country with investments in our mills in the further [ph] Sao Paulo. Now in North America, we produced 4 million tonnes here I'm referring to automobiles, light and commercial automobiles, 1% growth vis-à-vis the same period of last year. For the remainder of 2013, the outlook is very positive for the segment involving automobiles, light and heavy vehicles. And we are still investing in North America to cope with this growing demand for specialty steels. In Europe, the landscape is quite different. The registration of vehicles came down by 10% going down to 10 million units and commercial vehicles were down by 11%, going to 402,000 units. In 2013, we still foresee trends towards a reduction in sales volume and a lower activity in the region. In India, the market should continue to grow, but maybe not growing as much as when in comparison to previous year. Currently, we are starting up the blast furnace, power generation plant, centering melt shop and rolling mill in our operation India. Now I'll go to my final remarks, Slide #7. If we look at the world steel industry, the main challenge is to call forth the excess installed capacity that reached 545 million tonnes in 2012, and this year should be close to 590 million tonnes. As I said at the beginning, this is 27% of the total installed capacity. As a consequence, the utilization level of the installed capacity in the world today is 79%. And in Brazil, it is even lower being at 71%. There's unbalance between supply and demand stemming from the excess installed capacity puts more pressure on the margins of the industry as a whole, and adds more volatility to the cost of raw materials. Added to that, we must also consider artificial monetary practices of some countries in an attempt to benefit their respective trade balances, which is reflected in an increase of steel import levels both direct and indirect, particularly, in Latin America and the United States. On the other hand, the World Steel Association anticipates a gradual return on consumption levels, considering a lower systemic growth of the European crisis, the rebound of the U.S. economy despite all of the fiscal issues and the stable growth of China, which is currently at 8% and India, 6%. It is important to say that other countries in Asia will continue to grow in the mid and long run. For Gerdau, the outlook is also positive. If we look at the markets where we operate, they are showing improvement on the demand side, which together, will have a positive impact on our performance in the next quarters. Even considering those very complex and volatile environments, and in the long run, we can say that, once again, we will be able to cope with the challenges and also take opportunities of new investments. We are promoting the very strong integration of raw materials and product sales. We want to reach higher productivity and also to increase our capacity to add value to our customers. The company is highly committed towards reaching our goals. All of these concepts can be translated into our -- new management projects that will bring substantial benefits to the company. The growth of -- we want to increase our own production of iron ore, we will build shipments and also we want have to highlight the startup cost of the operation in India. In conclusion, I would like to state that we will continue to work very hard to increase the operating efficiency of our business, to optimize working capital, to cope with demand levels, and considering the volatility of the market, we will cautiously manage our investment schedule and CapEx approvals. With all of these initiatives, we should go towards recovering the company's margins which, undoubtedly, is our major challenge. With that, I conclude my part of the presentation. I will give the floor to André Pires, and then I will get back to you again to answer your questions. Thank you. André Pires de Oliveira Dias: Thank you, André. Good afternoon to all. For those who are following us on the webcast, we'll start on Slide 8. I will now address the consolidated results for the first quarter of 2013 and then give you details on each business operation. I will end the presentation talking about our capital structure. Turning on Slide 8. Despite a 4% reduction in shipments, net revenues should have relative stability in the first quarter of 2013 vis-a-vis the same quarter of last year. This time, there should be higher net revenue performance in comparison with the first quarter of 2012, net sales revenue RLV was at 2% given the higher volumes sold. Cost of sales grew 2% in the quarter, mainly due to a reduction in volumes sold with a resulting lower dilution of fixed costs. The results of the gross margin was 10% based on a 2 percentage points reduction in the quarter. Sales, general and administrative expenses, SG&A, increased by BRL 35 million in the quarter, within the range of approximately 7% of net revenue turning to a relative stability. EBITDA was down 20% in the first quarter of 2013, compared to the same period of 2012. Looking at the bottom chart on Slide 8, we can see that the main factor leading to a net book value reduction was an increase in the cost of sales also contributing, at a lesser extent, are the slight drop in net revenue and the SG&A expense increased. But this is negative financial results. On one hand, from a lower interest income, primarily due to the lower cash level plus low interest rate. And on the other hand, from higher interest expenses resulting from an increase in gross debt. Less net income on 3Q, totaling BRL 160 million in the quarter compared to the first quarter of 2012, however, net income increased by 12%. Moving onto Slide 9. Let's talk about the performance of each business operation starting with Brazil. 7% increase in net revenue with -- given the 5% increase in the net revenue as a consequence of higher growth. Internal market showed a 12% increase. Domestic sales were highly [indiscernible], which are traditionally exported. The domestic market posted a 12% growth in shipments and 2% growth in net sales revenue per tonne, where there was up 22% drop in shipments to the external market. This change in the semifinished goods combined with the less favorable external market resulted in a reduction in exports. A superior operating performance led to a 24% EBITDA increase in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the same quarter of the previous year. We get the margin extending from 13% to 15%. Compared to the first quarter of 2012, the lower EBITDA and EBITDA margin resulted from maintenance stoppages added to a less favorable product mix. In other words, higher sales or semifinished goods in the domestic market. Moving on to Slide 10. We are going to talk about our operations in North America. Shipments were off 13%, which resulted in a reduction in net sales revenue of 7%, compared to the same quarter of 2012. As mentioned before, the lower volume of deliveries stemmed primarily from a more rigorous winter in the first quarter of 2013 vis-a-vis the first quarter of 2012, as well as planned deployment of the management software and higher imports. Let's go on to the EBITDA, which tripled BRL 148 million in the quarter, influenced by reduced volumes and the resulting lower dilution of fixed costs. However, comparing to the first quarter of 2012, that EBITDA increased from BRL 59 million to BRL 148 million, and the EBITDA margin increased from 2% to 5%, stemming from higher volumes sold, which showed signs of demand recovery compared to the first quarter of 2012. The information from economic indicators, such as sales of new homes and ABI continue to signal the rally in the residential construction sector in the coming months. Moving on to Slide 11, we're going to talk about Latin America. And I'd like to remind you that we exclude Brazil. Shipments were down 4% in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the same quarter of 2012, primarily due to the operations in Colombia and Chile, where inputs increased. Net revenue in the quarter was stable. When a higher net revenue puts on [indiscernible] reduction in sales. The reduction in EBITDA in the first quarter of 2013, which was BRL 53 million, resulted from lower volumes sold and the consequence lower dilution of fixed cost. Compared to the fourth quarter of 2012, EBITDA grew from BRL 21 million to BRL 53 million where the EBITDA margin grew from 2% to 5%. It is worth highlighting that in this quarter, there was no impact of extraordinary and nonrecurring items as is the case of the first quarter of 2012, which partially explains the performance. Moving on to Slide 12. I'm going to talk about the specialty steel business operation, otherwise a 4% reduction in shipments in the first quarter of 2013 compared to the same period of last year and a 2% drop in net revenue. Shipments were impacted by lower activities in Europe and the United States due to inventory adjustments in the production chain of the automotive industry. This further reduction was partially offset by higher net revenue per tonne sold. EBITDA reduction in the first quarter of 2013 which amounted to BRL 165 million is also from lower volume sold with lower dilution of fixed costs and from the consolidation in India, which less Europe was -- equivalent to the equity income. On Slide 13, we're going to talk about net debt and liquidity. Net debt on March 31, 2013, was BRL 14.9 billion, of which 18% are denominated in Brazilian reals, 47% are denominated in foreign currency from Brazil and 35% in foreign currency from subsidiaries overseas. The average weighted cost of the debt ended the quarter at 5.9% with an average amortization period of 4.6 years. Cash reduction seen from December 2012 to March 2013 was due mainly to the service of debt, higher working capital requirements, and investments made during the first quarter of this year. The 8% increase in the net debt minus cash on March 31, 2013 when compared to March 31, 2012, resulted from the co-option emphasized on the 40% stake of Sidenor in Spain and from the higher working capital requirement in the period. Talking about working capital, working capital posted a 3% increase compared to December of 2012, while net revenue increased 2%. As a consequence, the cash conversion cycle posted a 1 day increase relative to December of 2012. However, is important to highlight, about working capital, that this increase was due to an increase of accounts receivable from clients because the controls were reduced. And the average time was reduced by 6 days. Growth led to our EBITDA ratio and net debt to EBITDA ratio increased over December of 2012. The company expects these ratios to come down in the coming quarters, given the expectation that better operating results were investments to be made if compared to previous years, as well as a reduction in the cash conversion cycle. Finally, I would like to point out that on April 8, 2013, Gerdau issued a bond with a 10-year maturity aiming to extend the average payments term of the debt. The amount issued was BRL 750 million, carrying a 4.75% per year coupon. Whether these firms have already [indiscernible] short-term borrowing and for the advanced payment of working capital credit facilities. As mentioned before, many times, we did not want to increase our gross debt. Finally, to conclude in terms of dividends of BRL 8 million, referring to the dividends of the first quarter -- BRL 8 million worth of dividends will go to the shareholders of Metalurgica Gerdau S.A. referring the performance of the first quarter, and BRL 34 million will go to the shareholders of Gerdau S.A. And we end this presentation, and now move on to the Q&A.