Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to Gerdau's conference call about the results referring to the third quarter of 2013. [Operator Instructions] We would like to emphasize that any forward-looking statement that might be made during this conference call related to Gerdau's business outlook, projections and financial and operating goals are mere assumptions based on the management's expectations related to the future of the company. Even though Gerdau believes that its comments are based on reasonable assumptions, there is no guarantee that future events will not affect this evaluation. Here today are: Mr. Andre Gerdau Johannpeter, Director, President and CEO of the company; and André Pires, Vice President and IR Director. Now I would like to give the floor to Mr. Gerdau Johannpeter. You may proceed. André Bier Gerdau Johannpeter: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to our conference call to talk about the results of the third quarter of 2013. We will begin our analysis by looking at the steel market landscape; and later on, we will talk about Gerdau's performance during the third quarter and the outlook for the regions where the company operates. Right afterwards, André Pires will give you more details on the company's financial performance and after that, we will be available to take your questions. It's also important to highlight that in our presentation, we will evaluate the performance of the third quarter when compared to the same period of the year before. Moreover, we will also comment on Gerdau's year-to-date performance. So I would like to start by giving you an overview of the industry, it's on Slide 2. Now talking about the world steel production, it reached 396.4 million tonnes in the third quarter, up 4.1% when compared to the same period of 2012. Excluding China, the world production was 198.9 million tonnes, and this volume is in keeping with the same period the 2012 according to the World Steel Association. Now steel production in Brazil was 8.9 million tonnes, up 2.5% when compared to what was posted in the third quarter of 2012 according to Instituto Aço Brasil. Now the steel production in other countries in Latin America, not including Brazil, was up by 11% when compared to the third quarter of 2012, totaling 8.6 million tonnes according to Alacero. The steel production in the United States was 22 million tonnes, up by 1.2% when compared to the third quarter of 2012 according to the World Steel Association. But now looking at the outlook, according to estimates by the International Monetary Fund, we see an increase of 2.9% growth in the global GDP in 2013. For next year, the outlook points out that the world economy should grow by 3.6%. The World Steel Association, which review the projections this past October points to a growth of 3.1% in the overall steel consumption in 2013 when compared to 2012, reaching 1.48 billion tonnes. Now for 2014, it is expected that the world steel consumption increases by 3.3%, reaching 1.52 billion tonnes. On Slide #3, we refer to Gerdau's performance, starting with net sales. Net sales increased 6.9%. Consolidated net sales in the third quarter of 2013, drawing a comparison to the same period of the year before, reached BRL 10.5 billion net sales. Now year-to-date, the consolidated net sales was up by 1.9% when compared to in the first 9 months of this year, reaching BRL 29.5 billion. Earnings before interest, taxes and depreciation, known as EBITDA, was BRL 1.4 billion, up by 36.8% when compared to the third quarter of 2012. Now in the period from January through September, EBITDA grew 3.9%, reaching BRL 3.4 billion. Investments, CapEx, known as CapEx, in this quarter was BRL 614 million and year-to-date, BRL 1.9 billion. To that end, I would like to highlight the start-up of the new unit for iron ore treatment in Miguel Burnier, Minas Gerais, which occurred in September, which raised its production capacity from 6.5 million to 11.5 million tonnes a year. In the third quarter, we also had the start-up of the operations of our coiled hot rolled-strip rolling mill with an annual installed capacity of 800,000 tonnes, and the products are already being sold. In the segment of specialty steels, we are still testing the new rolling mill of Pindamonhangaba, Sao Paulo with an annual capacity of 500,000 tonnes. Now I would like to refer to the quarterly performance and outlook for the operations, starting with Brazil, and this does not include the plants that produces specialty steels in Brazil. In the Brazilian domestic market, Gerdau sold 1.5 million tonnes in the third quarter, which is up by 15.3% when compared to the same period of the previous year, especially due to higher demand coming from commercial construction and infrastructure sectors and also at least -- [ph] also capital goods industry. Exports were down by 18.4%, reaching 369,000 tonnes. Now referring to the outlook for the economy in Brazil. Focused report points out that there should be an increase of 2.5% in the GDP in 2013. And as a consequence, the steel consumption in the country, according to Instituto Aço Brasil, should reach 26 million tonnes, which is up 3.2% when compared to the numbers of 2012. Now looking ahead into the future and next year, the Brazilian economy is expected to grow 2.1% according to focus report and steel consumption, in turn, should also be reaching 27 million tonnes, which is up 3.8%. Now looking at the main factors served by Gerdau. The expectations are the following: Starting with civil construction according to the central bank. The outlook indicates a growth of 1.9% in 2013. To that end, we see that the real estate market is still under recovery, and we also see that with the expansion and the filling [ph] for up GTS [ph] used is also interesting and is a positive factor for the acquisition of property. Infrastructure and civil construction market will also pick up and are picking up. And moreover the projects of infrastructure are well underway, mainly due to the urban mobility projects for the World Cup in 2014 and the same projects that are linked to the Olympic Games in Rio in 2016. In terms of the industry, the industry should increase and grow 1.4% this year according to estimates by the central bank. In this landscape segments of power transmission and agriculture machinery are the most important ones that must be highlighted. Talking about farming and agriculture, the main figures indicates that we'll reach a new record, 192 and 195 million tonnes in our grains production and the grain crop. In this regard, GDP of this sector should grow 9.9% in 2013. Now I would like to refer to our operation in North America. It does not include Mexico or the producing units of specialty steels. I am on Slide 5. In the United States and in Canada, we sold 1.6 million tonnes, 9% less when compared to the third quarter of 2012. And I would like to say that this was a consequence of the high level of imports in the period and also the fact that the market was weaker than expected. However, it's important to highlight that demand coming from the residential construction sector is already growing in the U.S., and that normally is followed by a nonresidential construction segment, which is a large consumer of Gerdau steel. According to the ABI or Architecture Billings Index, the main indicator of investment in nonresidential construction, have a ramp-up reaching 54.3 points in September. And anything above 50 denotes growth. Now purchasing managers index reached also another 56.2 points in September. Now speaking about the macroeconomics, IMF, indicates that the GDP of the U.S. should grow 1.6% in 2013. However, steel consumption should be up by only 0.7%, reaching almost 97 million tonnes in the year. However, in 2014, the outlook indicates that there should be improvement in the North American economy, and they should probably see growth of 2.6% in their GDP. Steel consumption will also be impacted by this growth, and it should grow by 3%, mainly influenced by automotive, power and nonresidential industries. Now I will talk about Latin America. It does not include Brazil. The sales volume in the third quarter was up by 2.1%, reaching 720,000 tonnes. Most countries in Latin America where Gerdau operates, should also post growth in GDP by 2013. And I would like to highlight Peru, up by 5.4%; Chile with more than 4.4%; and Colombia, more than 3.7%. For 2013, countries in Latin America should reach steel consumption of 42.4 million tonnes, very much in keeping with the year before. Now in terms of our investments in the region, we can highlight the construction of a new plant of structural shapes in Mexico. Up to now, the main equipment for that plant has been already acquired, and the civil construction works are in full execution. The new plant will have an installed capacity for 1 million tonnes [ph] of steel and 700,000 tonnes of rolled products a year. Now I will refer to our specialty steel operations, that includes Brazil, the U.S., Spain and India, and I'm on Slide 6. Specialty steels sales performance was up by 14.1%, totaling 713,000 tonnes. This is due to the ramp-up in the production of vehicles in Brazil, particularly trucks; and in India, due to the beginning of the sale of products, which was initiated as of the first quarter of this year. Looking at Brazil, the main consumer markets of specialty steels were light/heavy vehicles, and agricultural machines remain very strong. The production of light and heavy-duty vehicles in the first quarter was up 6.8% when compared to the same period of 2012, reaching 985,000 units. The outlook is that the pace of growth in the fourth quarter of 2013 should be lower due to the high levels of stocks of vehicles. However, considering our overall view for 2013, the production of light-duty vehicles will be a record one with a projected growth of 12%. For 2014, the forecast for the production of light and heavy-duty vehicles should reach 3.9 million units, approximately 5% more when compared to 2013. In North America, we see that the growth in the sales and production of light-duty vehicles are reflecting the economic recovery of the U.S. economy. In the third quarter, for instance, 3.9 million units of automobiles were produced, automobiles and light commercial vehicles, representing a 5.6 growth vis-à-vis the year before. Now referring to the fourth quarter, the outlook for the segment are that [indiscernible] production in sales will be maintained. For the year as a whole, projections indicate an increase of 4.5% and the total production of vehicles reaching 15.5 million units. However, the production of heavy-duty vehicles that consume more steel should still remain in the same levels of 2012. We estimate that there will be a slight recovery of the segment throughout 2014. In addition, the demand for specialty steel in North America was negatively influenced by the de-stocking of the main service centers throughout the year. In Europe, automobile registration during the third quarter of the year posted growth of 0.5% when compared to the same period of the year before, going to 2.8 million units. Now the registration of commercial vehicles would -- had 2.8% growth when compared to the third quarter of 2012, reaching 398,000 units. However, the production of vehicles in Europe still at lower levels when compared to 2009. However, we already see some recovery and the figures are beginning to be more positive. Now in relation to the production of heavy-duty vehicles reached, the production throughout the year was down. The outlook is that there will be a slight recovery in -- due to the introduction of Euro 6 standard. The Euro 6 standard, in a nutshell, imposes a tougher emission limit and therefore due to that reason for this new standard. For trucks, there will be an early purchase of part of these vehicles before the standard comes into force. In terms of India, the sales of light-duty vehicles and heavy-duty vehicles had a slight decline in keeping with the inflation in interest rates in this country. The expectation is for a recover in the fourth quarter with the end of the monsoon period. For those that are with me on Slide 7, my final remarks, we are still working strongly. And to boost our efficiency, and this was reflected in the increase of cash -- operating cash generation, EBITDA, and we had improvements in the liquidity of the company, and we also posted improvements in all of our debt indicators. With very strong dedication by our teams, we were able to reduce working capital by more than BRL 700 million in the last 12 months. Moreover, we are still expanding our activities in the areas of mining, and we are already selling our own production of flat steels, which should also increase our EBITDA throughout the next coming years. Now if we take a look at 2014, we anticipate that in the markets where we operate, there should be different levels of growth. As I said before, the infrastructure segment in Brazil should be very strong, still mainly due to all of the projects related to the World Cup and the Olympics. Despite all of the uncertainties related to the debt ceiling of the U.S., the public debt ceiling, we are still very optimistic vis-à-vis the U.S. market that should post some evolution in improvements in the next year. In addition, we believe that the levels of economic development of China, the largest world production of steel, should still be maintaining 2014 around 7.3%, 7.5% in terms of GDP growth. At the same time, we see some signs of recovery in Europe after a period of economic recession stemming from the world crisis. The challenge of excess installed capacity, all over the world of steel, it's still a matter of concern in 2014 in a landscape where a company must continuously seek to improve their competitiveness and levels of efficiency. And this is a job that, at Gerdau, we've been doing nonstop and already seeing some good results. Now I finish my part of the presentation. I give the floor now to André Pires and I'll be back with our Q&A. Thank you. André Pires de Oliveira Dias: Thank you, André, and Good afternoon. Now I will talk about the consolidated results of the third quarter 2013 and then give you some details about each business operation. And I will close my presentation talking about capital structure and indebtedness. So on Slide 8, for those of you who are watching on the Internet. In spite of deliveries volume having to be maintained stable, net sales had increased to 7% in the third quarter 2013, compared to the same quarter in the previous year. The different reasons to the different business operations, because of volume, the effect of the exchange rates variation and net sales. We'll talk about that in the next few slides. Regarding the second quarter 2013, there was an increase of 6.2% in net sales, which is because of the net sales over tonne, which has increased in larger sold volumes. The sales cost or the shipment sales increased 4% because of the greater cost per tonnes sold, but less than net sales per tonne increased -- because of increased gross margin of 12.2% in the third quarter of 2012 to 14.6% of the third quarter 2013. The computation of expenditures, the SG&A regarding net sales remained stable, 6.4% in the third quarter of 2013, but year-on-year and also compared to the second quarter of 2013, which shows the management efforts of our teams to rationalize in expenditures, particularly during this periods of cost pressure and real devaluation, which impacts our expenses in international operations whenever it's converted to reals. EBITDA totaled BRL 1,413,000,000 in the third quarter 2013, an increase of 36.8% year-on-year. If we look at the chart on the left-hand side of the slide, we can see that the main contribution to the increased EBITDA was the growth of net sales rather than the increase of the sales cost. So the margin grew from 10.5% in the third quarter 2012 to 13.5% in the third quarter of 2013. Now regarding the second quarter of 2013, EBITDA showed a growth of 18.1% with the margin expanding from 12.1% to 13.5%. The major negative financial results in the third quarter 2013 stems particularly from the negative net exchange rate variation, since the variations occurred financial expenses and revenues that offsets each other. Regarding the second quarter 2003, (sic) the opposite occurred because of the lower negative financial results, particularly because of a less negative net exchange rates variations. As we have said, besides exchange variation on the investment hedge, which neutralizes the income tax social contribution tax, the company also has liabilities taken in different currencies in the different countries where we're present, which also results in an exchange variation of financial results. And so the effect of the exchange rate variation on the net investment hedge is registered directly on the stockholders equity. With this, an increase of 57% in the net income vis-à-vis the former year and totaling BRL 642 million. Regarding the second quarter 2013, net sales showed -- or net profit showed a growth of 60%. Dividends based on the profit of the company's regarding the performance of the third quarter 2013, dividends of BRL 65 million will be prepaid to Metalurgica Gerdau shareholders BRL 0.16 per share and BRL 204 million from the Gerdau shareholders, BRL 0.12 per share. These dividends will be paid on the 22nd of November based on 11th of November positions. Now on Slide 9, I would like talk about the performance of each business operations, starting with Brazil. So starting with Brazil, the increase of 11.7% on net sales were the result of the increase of 6.8% in the volume of sales and the growth of 4.6% in the net sales per tonne. And domestic market showed an increase of 15.3% of shipments and 2.2% in net sales per tonne, whereas export there was a drop of 18.4% in the volume of shipments and an increase of 2.7% in the net sales per tonne. And we must remember that the exports revenue includes iron ore and coal. The business operations in Brazil, which contributes 64.8% to the EBITDA, showed a growth of 42.1% of this item vis-à-vis larger shipments and a greater dilution of fixed costs and also with a greater net sales per tonne. The EBITDA margin grew from 19.4% in the third quarter 2012 to 24.6% in the third quarter 2013. Regarding the second quarter 2013, the increased shipments was 8.2%. And lower costs, greater dilution of fixed costs contributed for a growth of 31.3% in the EBITDA, and -- which is 4.3 percentage points on the margin of the third quarter of 2013 compared of third quarter of 2012. [ph] And now on Slide 10. We have the North American operations. In North America, we had a drop of 9% in the sales volume in the third quarter 2013 when compared to the same period in 2012 because the market was weaker than we had initially expected and because of the growing participation of imported product because of the appreciation of the North American dollar. Imports then accounted for 20% of consumption at some point during the last few months. And as we have already said, there was also an impact on the implementation of the new management software throughout the last 12 months. The reduction on shipment volume lowered prices in dollar were offset by the exchange rate bringing about a stability of the net revenue of shipment when compared to the third quarter of 2012. Regarding the second quarter 2013, net sales showed a growth of 11.4%, leading to a greater net sales per tonne over 7%, impacted by the exchange rate variation of the period and greater volumes sold. The lower prices in dollar and dilution of fixed costs reduced EBITDA from BRL 205 million in the third quarter of the previous year to BRL 129 million in the third quarter of 2013. So the EBITDA margin dropped from 6% to 3.7% in this period. Regarding the second quarter of 2013, the reduction of EBITDA and the margin were the consequence of the lower prices of dollar in the period. You must remember that besides what has been mentioned, the EBITDA in the third quarter 2013 was affected by the temporary shutdown of a melt shop in Canada, which had an impact of approximately BRL 17 million. This amount represented point -- 0.5% EBITDA margin. And now, Screen 11. And we have the Latin American operations excluding Brazil. The shipment volume will show the growth of 2.1% in the third quarter 2013 year-on-year, particularly because of good demand in some countries of this region. Net sales grew 7.9%, particularly because of greater net sales, greater than 5.6%. EBITDA in the third quarter 2013 totaled BRL 131 million, showing a significant improvement, which is because of the better net sales per tonne together with stable costs and a better equity income in the period. With this EBITDA margin, totaled 9.2% in this quarter versus minus 0.2% in the same period the previous year. Vis-à-vis the second quarter 2013, EBITDA grew 20.2% and the margins went from 8.2% to 9.2% due to a greater net sales per tonne, greater than 7.9% in the period. Now on our specialty steels operation on Slide 12, where there was an increase to 14.1% in the shipments in the third quarter 2013 year-on-year. Stemming from the growth of sales and shipments in Brazil where we had recovery of the total production of vehicles, as [indiscernible] has mentioned, point -- plus 6.8%, particularly trucks, another 50%. And also comparing quarter-to-quarter, we must mention the beginning of the sale of products in India as from the first quarter 2013, a greater net sales, 16.9%, with the result of greater amount sold. EBITDA grew 17.2% in the third quarter 2013, totaling 273 million but maintenance of the EBITDA margin at 13.3% because of the learning curve in our Indian operations, which operations started in January and also because of the greater cost step-down in Spain. Regarding the second quarter 2013, because of a reduction of 6% in the volume of sales of the operating units, there was stability of EBITDA and the margin because of the relative participation in Brazil, which has a higher operating margin. Slide 13, I will be talking about indebtedness and liquidity and working capital. So the gross debt on 30 September was BRL 15.5 billion. The weighted average cost of the debt was 6.4% a year and amortization period 5.5 years. The gross debt exposure in foreign currency, which reduced 85% in June to 81% in September, reflecting financial management initiatives of the company to reduce the exchange rate-risk in the period of real volatility. Increased cash from June to September 2013 happened basically because increased cash in the period and the reduction of working capital. The reduction of 3.3% of net debt from 30th of September 2013 when compared to 30th of June 2013 is a consequence of the increased cash of the company, reducing the net debt combined with the greater generation of cash for the third quarter 2013 led to a reduction of net debt EBITDA ratio from 3.1% to 2.8%. And working capital showed a slight drop regarding June 2013, even with the growth of 6.2% in a net revenue or net sales of third quarter 2013 compared to the second quarter 2013, because of a cash effect of approximately BRL 100 million, which show management efforts to optimize working capital and adjust the capital used in the business. Consequently, financial cycle will show the reduction 5 days vis-à-vis June 2013 going from 85 to 80 days. And just to highlight, since September of 2012, the financial cycle has reduced 12 days, and working capital has been reduced more than BRL 700 million, which if we ignore the really -- exchange rate variation in the period, this means more than BRL 1.1 billion of reduction. So Gerdau will have a significant free cash flow for the company. So now I'm going to have now -- at your disposal for questions.