Earnings Labs

Deluxe Corporation (DLX)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 26, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Deluxe Corporation Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would like to introduce your host for today's conference, Ed Merritt, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations. Please proceed.

Ed Merritt

Analyst

Thank you, Terrence, and welcome, everyone, to Deluxe Corporation's Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Call. I'm Ed Merritt, Deluxe's Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations. And joining me on today's call is Lee Schram, our Chief Executive Officer; and Keith Bush, our Chief Financial Officer. At the conclusion of today's prepared remarks, Lee, Keith and I will take questions. I would like to remind you that comments made today regarding financial statements and estimates, projections and management's intention and expectations regarding the company's future performance are forward-looking in nature as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. As such, these comments are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. Additional information about various factors that could cause actual results to differ from projections are contained in the press release that we issued this morning as well as in the company's Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016. Portions of the financial and statistical information that will be reviewed during this call are addressed in more detail in today's press release, which is posted on our Investor Relations website at deluxe.com/investor. This information was also furnished to the SEC on the Form 8-K filed by the company this morning. Any references to non-GAAP financial measures are reconciled to the comparable GAAP financial measures in the press release or as part of this presentation. Now I'll turn the call over to Lee.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Thank you, Ed, and good morning, everyone. Deluxe delivered an outstanding quarter. We reported revenue and adjusted earnings per share above the upper range of our outlook despite a continued sluggish economy and multiple weather-related challenges. Revenue grew over 8% over the prior year quarter driven by Financial Services growth of 28% and Small Business Services growth of 3%. Marketing solutions and other services revenues grew over 30% over the prior year and represented over 40% of total third quarter revenue. Adjusted diluted earnings per share grew over 8% over the prior year quarter. We generated strong operating cash flow of $226 million for the first 3 quarters of the year, and we had about $756 million of total debt at the end of the quarter. We repurchased $20 million in common shares in the quarter. We continued our brand awareness campaign to help better position our products and services offerings and drive future revenue growth. We also advanced process improvements and delivered on our cost-reduction commitment for the quarter. In a few minutes, I will discuss more details around our recent progress and next steps, but first, Keith will cover our financial performance.

Keith Bush

Analyst

Thanks, Lee. Revenue for the quarter came in at $498 million, growing 8.5% over last year. Revenue was about $5 million better than the high end of our range, all driven by FMCG as we saw a shift in revenue into Q3 from Q4. Organic revenue, which excludes acquisitions, FX, exited businesses and other noncomparable items, was flat for the quarter. We are pleased with our revenue performance in the third quarter despite multiple weather-related challenges that we estimate negatively impacted revenue about $2 million in the quarter. Some of this revenue, we believe, will be recaptured later, while a portion of the revenue will be lost permanently. Small Business Services revenue of $306 million grew 2.5% versus last year despite a continuing sluggish economic environment and the negative impact from the hurricanes. In addition, on a comparable date basis, as there was 1 less business day in the third quarter this year than last year, revenue grew 4.1%. We delivered growth in checks and marketing solutions and other services, and from a channel perspective, our online major accounts in Canada grew. Financial Services revenue of $157 million grew 28% versus the third quarter of last year. Organically, Financial Services revenue declined less than 1% for the quarter. Higher growth in marketing solutions and other services revenue more than offset the impact of lower check orders. Direct Checks revenue of $34 million was down 8.4% from last year and right in line with our expectations. From a product and services revenue perspective, check revenue was $211 million, representing 42% of total revenue. Marketing solutions and other services was $200 million or about 40% of total revenue. And forms and accessories were $86 million or about 18% of total revenue. Gross margin for the quarter was 61.2% of revenue and was…

Lee Schram

Analyst

Thank you, Keith. And I will continue my comments with an update on MOS revenue, highlight progress in each of our 3 segments using our 4 strategic initiatives for a perspective on how we progressed in the third quarter and then provide some context looking forward to 2018. Here is an update on our 5 subcategories' framework for marketing solutions and other services. We ended the quarter about $4 million better than the top end of our previous expectations driven by the pull-forward of FMCG revenue highlighted earlier. We continue to provide a directional annual EBITDA margin profile in total and for each of our 5 MOS categories in an annual recurring revenue perspective. Note that we want to be cautious given the extremely competitive landscape in not providing a more precise EBITDA margin profile. But we want investors to understand that as our MOS business approaches 40% of total revenue, our MOS EBITDA margins are also now approaching our overall company average. We estimate that approximately 70% of the MOS revenue is recurring with some of the MOS categories recurring at a rate closer to 95%. In many MOS products and services, we have multi-year customer contracts similar to our FI check contracts, annual maintenance services contracts, recurring monthly fees and long-standing customer relationships. Also note that we expect MOS to total company revenue to be approximately 39% this year, including 17% of total company revenue in the even higher multiple fintech space. First, small business marketing solutions is expected to represent approximately 35% in 2017, with an expected growth of approximately 8% and EBITDA margins well below our overall average. Key fourth quarter 2017 growth initiatives include profitably scaling integrated marketing on-demand solution offers, Web-to-print and seasonal retail packaging, holiday cards and promotional products. Q3 revenue was in…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our first question comes from Jamie Clement from Macquarie.

James Clement

Analyst

Keith, can you help me understand - or sorry, Lee, could you help me understand the data capture market a little bit better? In terms of like - I don't know if you have numbers in terms of like top 100 FIs, how many in-source versus how many outsource? How much of an opportunity, whether there's a trend between in-source and outsource and whether that's an opportunity? Can you just help me understand that marketplace a little bit better?

Lee Schram

Analyst

So, you're talking specifically data-driven marketing, Jamie, yes?

James Clement

Analyst

Yes. Well, yes. I mean, well, you were mentioning data capture, specifically, in some of your prepared remarks and some specific opportunity that I think you all had won and how short term, the revenue can be a little bit less, but it's more recurring going forward. I just was trying to understand that business a little bit better.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Okay. So, if you think about what we're calling data-driven marketing, think of that as our combined now Cornerstone, ACTON, Datamyx and First Manhattan deals, and then the organic work that we had done leading up to all those. And what we believe the market opportunity is right now is on the kind of the print side, about 9% growth on the - all the way up to 13% on the digital side kind of on a CAGR basis through 2020. This is a market, also, as you can see on our table, where we have EBITDA margins that are slightly better than the overall margins of the company. So, we look at this as a wonderful opportunity for us. The focus is clearly, Jamie, and more what I would call the top 100 to probably into the - over time, into the top 200 financial institutions, our general market who we compete against there is we compete against what a bank thinks that they can do on their own by driving marketing campaigns to drive deposits, to drive credit - they may want more credit cards. They may want more deposits or loans for small businesses. They might want those same things for consumers. So what we have to do is we have to go in and be able to say, look, if you follow our formula and if data-driven analytics, it's our information, our data sources, our knowledge of all the expertise that we have with our chief scientists and all the people that you have in the space, Jamie, what happens is we bring all that to bear, and we say, look, we can think we can drive an ROI that looks like x. And if that ROI is a match with the Chief Marketing Officer of an FI, they'll generally start with a campaign or 2 in pilot, and then they'll ramp campaigns if we're successful over time. And what you saw on the third quarter is they did a little bit more in the ramps than we expect them to do. You try to predict this when you started the quarter, and lo and behold, they ramped a little more than we thought they would, which is good news. But again, there's going to be some spikes, we think, as this thing continues on, but we also raised our overall data-driven marketing for the year. So that gives you some confidence in the fact that we think this is a rich space for us. The driver, Jamie, is the ROI. If we're able to improve that, that is the formula for how this one works.

James Clement

Analyst

Okay. And then just - as I think about some of the acquisitions that have been done over the last year or so, it's not totally clear to me what the proper seasonality of some of your treasury management solutions businesses are. And maybe just sort of answer it by saying some of this stuff can - maybe you're going to say it can be a little spiky or something like that. But can you maybe help me - I mean, should it be even across the quarter? Or should it be - how should we think about that over time, not just 2017 and 2018 but over time?

Lee Schram

Analyst

Yes. And you've mixed two, so I'm going to give you some clarifications back. So, if you think about data-driven marketing, what generally happens as we get that pilot, we do some test campaigns and then in it ramps over time. But that CMO - and so if we get enough good things going, Jamie, we should be growing this business and ramping it on an annual basis. Could it be between quarters that a bank do more campaigns and another bank do less campaigns? The answer is yes. But overall, you should see this, if you look at it over the total-year period of time, that expected growth should be in that 9% to 13% market range. And as you know, we're actually even growing faster right now than that just given our performance. Now let me jump, too, you also brought up treasury management. Treasury management, right now, that - once we get in and do a - if you have a lock-box relationship, that's generally a very level-loaded. Every month, you get that same amount of business. On integrated receivable, part of that business will be very much level-loaded as well. The Remote Deposit Capture is generally based on seats and how many seats you get in, and that can ramp-up over time as well. But what is happening right now is that finance - large financial institutions are looking at treasury management, and they're saying to themselves, "Do I want to have this continue in-house?" And we can provide everything in-house for them. Or do I want to outsource that to somebody like us? And we can do that, too. And so, they're kind of sitting, they're going do I want to in-source, do I want to outsource, do I want to in - and so we're stuck right now a little bit in this decision-making process. We don't believe we're losing anything right now. In fact, we - I mentioned we had a nice win in this space that was an outsourced win for us. And we're just seeing the decision-making right now not as fast as we'd all like it to be. But we - we're working with an FI in terms of do you want to in-source it, which we could do, or do you want to outsource it. So, there's been a little bit more variability in that. But again, over the long term, as we've shown in our numbers as well, we expect that to grow in the 5%, 7%. So just say - think of it over the course of the year is how to think about that, okay?

James Clement

Analyst

Okay. Yes. And then final question, I'll just get back in the queue. Looks like you spent about $47 million or $48 million on acquisitions in the quarter. I'm just taking the number in the press release and subtracting it from the 6 months number. What did you guys add to?

Lee Schram

Analyst

What we've previously announced, the biggest piece of it was the Digital Pacific deal, Jamie. We actually announced it on a prior call because...

James Clement

Analyst

Call. Okay, right.

Lee Schram

Analyst

That's it.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. And our next question comes from Charlie Strauzer from CJS Securities.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Just a couple of questions for you. When you look at the - and this is maybe for Keith, the impairment charges in the quarter and specifically on Safeguard, what drove the impairment charge there in the quarter?

Keith Bush

Analyst

Sure. Well, first of all, we have - this is Keith. Thanks. Every year, we go through an evaluation of our carrying value on goodwill, and that takes place in July 31 of each year. And that also correlates with our annual strategic planning process in the third quarter. And so, this year, in evaluating the Safeguard unit, which is primarily focused on checks and forms, what we see is that with the continuing decline in those areas, the market trends are no longer supporting the goodwill value that was on the balance sheet. And so that was a full impairment of the goodwill for the Safeguard unit, primarily driven to - driven by the market changes in check and form.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Charlie, this is Lee, I'll just add. Think of that, that came with the NEBS acquisition back in 2004, right? And the reporting unit for - the way our accounting team under Keith does reporting unit is that Safeguard reporting unit, there's a lot more to Safeguard now. We are - we have a lot more products and services that are in that Safeguard organization now. We're promotional products. We're selling a lot more different kinds of forms. We're bringing payroll services to that market. We're bringing eChecks to that market. So, market there is a lot bigger, but the way that, that operating unit was setup, the reporting unit was setup, was specifically through checks and forms. And you know what's been happening to the checks and forms market. And we couldn't have looked back and - all the way back to 2004, 13 years later now and said, when that was established that way and the goodwill came with it, it was specifically assigned into that reporting unit but very specific at that time to the checks and forms portion only.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

Got it. That make sense. And then just shifting up to kind of the - if you look at the larger acquisitions you've made over the last year or so, FMCG and data analytics and all the other ones that are - Datamyx and things like that, how are they performing overall since you've had them and then in kind of a year-over-year basis just in terms of expectations of there? And then maybe - I don't know if there's any thoughts about how those have done organically just in terms of percentages, if you can share anything there, too.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Well, let me start with the First Manhattan because you mentioned first the biggest one we've done. Because we acquired it at literally at the - right at the end of last year, Charlie, we don't have a compare back to the prior year other than what I would tell you is we know what the actual results for that - for FMCG was in the prior year. And what I would tell you is we are up substantially, think double-digit growth from what they did last year to now that they're part of us and what they're doing with us. And we just raised the data-driven marketing guidance. So, when we put out that $80 million to $85 million number for First Manhattan, think of now in that number has turned into the 90s now. So, we are very pleased with where that business has been going. In the Datamyx business, that business has done well for us as well. It's growing every year. The challenge there, as you know, and just because into the market, is interest rates and how interest - because it's more of an interest rate-sensitive market than the First Manhattan market is. So, when mortgage rates are higher or when auto loans are higher, because of interest rates going up or moving up and you know, we've seen a little bit of them moving up, still lower rates on average but still moving up, that can bring down the revenue streams a bit. But those also are growing nicely compared to we're getting organic, reorganic growth in Datamyx as well. And the other thing that's really organically growing well for us underneath all this is our direct marketing analytic. So, our Cornerstone and ACTON businesses, a gentleman that works for us, Ben Waldshan, who came with the Datamyx acquisition, has all of these solutions. And Ben and his team have just done a super job of really scaling this whole direct marketing. What they're doing, Charlie, is they're putting analytics now on top of the print stuff. And what I could tell is that we're seeing that growing now strong double digits as well. So, these are all working quite well. The slowest of the growth right now is the Datamyx, although it's nicely growing for us, but the other two are just - have just been booming for us.

Charles Strauzer

Analyst

That's excellent. And then, just lastly, Lee, some of your parting comments where you talked about MOS, and you could do some things to grow that faster. And maybe you can explain a little bit more on some of the things that you might be able to do there if you wanted to kind of pull those levers.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Yes. I think what we're signaling today, Charlie, is an important thing. We believe - as a starting point, this 43% is a really compelling number for investors. We've committed 40%. We're going to end at 39% this year in the mix. And to get to 43% is a - we think is a powerful and a positive story. It will mean that it will become the largest collective offer, set of offers that we have in the company. It will surpass checks next year as our largest part of our business. And because of that, and because of what we just - I just talked about, about some of these growth opportunities, like in data-driven marketing, we are signaling, and we are - we mentioned it today, we're going to put some more investment in people, in technology and integration into these strategic bad areas. We're not saying yet that as those go in during the year that we're going to raise now above the guidance we gave, but we think that those will help us. Could we get some additional lift next year? Maybe. But think of it as an investment to be able to even scale listing up more. What's really important here and what we're also signaling, Charlie, is that we've always been investing. We've always been doing some work here. But we're seeing we're incrementally going to do some more things, and we think now is the opportunity to do that, so to drive more organic growth. And then, obviously, if we think - see things outside of just the $50 million we call today that are kind of our normal tuck-in acquisitions, we're going to take a look at those as well and see if those make sense. So that's the signal today that we're trying to leave with the investor. And you'll hear more from Ed and Keith and I as we head out on the road here over the next - until the next earnings calls.

Operator

Operator

And at this time, I'm showing no further questions. I'd like to turn the call back to Lee Schram for any closing remarks.

Lee Schram

Analyst

Thank you, Terrence, and thank you, everyone, for your participation today and for your questions. I want to leave you with 3 thoughts. We delivered a strong third quarter. We delivered revenue and adjusted earnings per share above the high end of our outlook. Second, marketing solutions and other services revenues grew 30% in the quarter with the mix of MOS growing and now on track to account for about 39% of total revenue this year, and we called now 43% of total revenue by the end of 2018. And finally, looking ahead into next year, we believe we continue to be well positioned to deliver another year of growth in revenue, earnings and cash flow from operations. We're now going to roll up our sleeves. We're going to get back to work, and we look forward to providing a positive progress report on our next earnings call. And I'll turn it over to Ed for some final housekeeping.

Ed Merritt

Analyst

Thanks, Lee. Before we conclude today's call, I would like to mention that Deluxe management will be participating at several upcoming events before our next earnings release where you can hear more about our transformation. On November 28, we'll be in Scottsdale at the Crédit Suisse 21st Annual Technology Conference. On December 4, we'll be in New York at the Global Mizuho Security Conference. On December 5, we'll be in Deer Valley for the Wells Fargo Tech Summit. On December 14, we will be in New York at the SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Fin Tech Business & Government Services Conference. And finally, on January 17, 2018, we will be in New York at the Needham 20th Annual Growth Conference. Thanks for joining us today, and that concludes the Deluxe Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Call.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.