Jared Poff
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thank you, Roger, and good afternoon, everyone. Trends continued to improve in the first quarter across all metrics, and we are very pleased with our performance. As Roger mentioned, we are becoming more optimistic as the vaccine rollout continues, infection rates are decreasing, and our customers are coming back into our stores more frequently. Our targeted marketing campaigns are yielding stronger results and consumer demand is beginning to show signs of recovery in categories that were especially depressed during COVID, including seasonal. Please note, the financial results that we will reference during the remainder of today's call, excludes certain adjustments recorded under GAAP unless specified otherwise. For a complete reconciliation of GAAP to adjusted items, please reference our press release. We are continuing to execute against our near-term priorities outlined last year, and we are seeing success build each quarter. First quarter was exemplary, as we exceeded our expectations across the board. This quarter, we saw our best comp performance and gross margin rate since the start of COVID, and we are pleased that we were able to return to profitability this quarter. Turning to our results. For the first quarter, sales increased 45.6% to $703.2 million, which included $15.5 million in intersegment revenue that is eliminated in consolidation. This was the best quarterly sales performance since COVID-19 began. During the first quarter, total comps were up 52.2% versus last year's 42.3% decline. For US retail, comps were up 56.3% during the first quarter versus down 42.4% last year. Similarly, first quarter comps were the best we have seen since the onset of COVID-19, and were driven by our continued pivot to athleisure footwear, a category in which we are historically underpenetrated. While still below 2019 levels, we saw sequential improvement in store traffic throughout the quarter. You have heard us talk repeatedly about our pivot towards athleisure and kids footwear in our US Retail business, and our results clearly demonstrate this was the right move. Further details can be found in our first quarter infographic on our Investor Relations site. During the first quarter, we saw athletic comps up 87%, demonstrating our strength in the category, despite the impact of COVID-19. Similarly, kids comps were strong, up over 78% compared to the prior year. Athleisure, which includes athletic and casual, was up 92% versus last year. The athleisure category's penetration continues to increase and now represents 58% of our sales this year versus 47% in the same period last year. During the quarter, seasonal comps were up 56%, while dress was down 10%. Due to a lack of social gatherings and traveling, a continued trend of working from home as a result of the continuing impact of COVID-19 and our more conservative inventory positioning. As a reminder, the dress category remains significantly depressed during this time, accounting for only 10% of our sales in the first quarter compared to 22% in 2019 across the same period. We are excited that the seasonal business is showing signs of recovery, and look forward to the segment continuing to normalize throughout the year and beyond. We have seen customers continue to transition their spending preferences to online, and this quarter was no exception. We saw a strong performance in our e-commerce with digital demanded sales in US retail, up 13% for the quarter. Digital demand represented 35% of total demand during the first quarter versus 49% last year when the majority of our stores were closed, but well above first quarter 2019 level of 22%. Turning to Canada. Total comps were up 10% during the first quarter. On a store level, comps were soft as our stores continue to be impacted by COVID-19 lockdown to capacity restrictions that negatively impacted store performance, especially in Ontario, which represented approximately 40% of our store sales as of the end of 2019. Despite the results in stores, we saw strong digital growth of 202% during the quarter compared to 2019. Let's turn to our Camuto Group, which produces almost exclusively seasonal and dress product and has been in a difficult position. We have been cutting back our production over the last 12 months, given the sharp decline in demand for seasonal and dress products. As Roger mentioned, we planned production at Camuto down 15% for the quarter. However, following better-than-anticipated consumer demand early in the quarter, we were able to quickly turn on our production, a key competitive advantage to our US Retail business. Ultimately, we increased production throughout the quarter, much to the benefit of our own retail channels, and ended the quarter with production up 3% year-over-year. Looking forward, we are expecting second quarter production to be up 64% over last year. But remember that this is against the period when cancellations were in full swing, and we were cutting production significantly. When we compare our production to 2019, we were down 19% in the first quarter, which is largely due to us exiting a number of smaller, unprofitable brands. We will continue to plan Camuto production to build through the second half of the year, primarily driven by a recovery in seasonal footwear demand. Total net sales from Camuto, including sales to DSW were $57.4 million in the first quarter, down 30.1% compared to the same period last year. Wholesale sales were $48.6 million in the first quarter versus $67.5 million last year, including sales to our Retail segments, which totaled approximately $14.3 million versus $16.7 million last year. Our consolidated gross profit increased $242.6 million to $216.1 million in the first quarter versus a loss of $26.5 million in the prior year. We were particularly pleased with our gross margin story this quarter as we saw the best quarterly performance in over two years. Gross margin was better than our initial expectations given the improved sell-through of seasonal inventory, which, therefore, required fewer markdowns, coupled with strong full price selling of athletic and kids product. Our consolidated gross margin rate increased to 30.7% in the first quarter versus a loss of 5.5% in the prior year and a 100 basis point improvement over the first quarter of 2019. At our US Retail segment, similar to Q4, we delivered merchandise margins that were above both last year and 2019, demonstrating the success of the assortment pivots that we've made since the onset of COVID. We saw material leverage on our fixed occupancy and fixed cost lines versus last year, given our year-over-year sales improvement. And when you couple the sales improvement with the expense reduction work we've done since 2020 particularly on occupancy, we were actually flat to 2019 rates for occupancy and supply chain. The return of store demand provided leverage on shipping expense versus last year, but still provides deleverage versus 2019, given the continued shift to digital demand we are seeing from our customer. In the US, gross margin was 31.1% versus negative 8.7% last year and also improved 80 basis points to the first quarter of 2019. Similarly, we saw strength in our Canadian operations. Canada's gross margin in the first quarter was 26.7%, well above last year's negative 7.9%. The improvement year-over-year was due to improved product margins, leveraging occupancy and lower inventory reserves, partially offset by higher shipping and freight costs. Camuto's gross margin rate was up 383 basis points to 20.8% in the first quarter versus 16.9% last year due to liquidations and markdowns taken last year, substantially better sell-through and improved inventory position year-over-year. Gross margin was down 380 basis points from the first quarter of 2019 due to fixed royalty deleverage. However, excluding royalty, gross margin improved 160 basis points due to much cleaner inventory positions, resulting in higher release of inventory reserves. Our inventory levels are in excellent shape. We've been investing in our tried-and-true popular brands that perform well regardless of the macro environment. We have been managing our inventory levels exceptionally well, taking our cues from the customer. At the end of the quarter, our inventory was up 1% in total compared to last year, which was below our sales increase of 46%. On a unit basis, inventory was 25% lower to last year as a result of the material markdown reserves we had placed on our inventory at the start of COVID. Compared to the first quarter of 2019, inventory was down 16% in total and on a unit basis, down 19%. I want to briefly discuss our inventory strategy for the spring and summer. Given the improvement we saw in the first quarter, we are anticipating a continuing increase in demand for seasonal footwear, and we have been chasing this product through our own channels at Camuto and in the broader market. We remain flexible and nimble to follow the customer as they continue to increase their spending on apparel and footwear and begin to reengage in social occasions and events. Moving to operating expenses. In the first quarter, our adjusted SG&A was up 7.3% to $199.1 million versus last year and down 7.4% compared to 2019. Given the significantly lower sales base, our SG&A ratio for the first quarter was 28.3%, well below last year's level of 38.4% and slightly above first quarter 2019's level of 24.6%. During the quarter, we did make the strategic decision to repurpose some of our avoided promotional markdown dollars into digital marketing, which, as Roger mentioned, was highly productive, delivering the highest number of new member sign-ups to our loyalty program in our company history. As long as we continue to receive this type of productivity and are able to fund these investments with lower markdowns, I expect we will continue this approach for the foreseeable future. Depreciation and amortization totaled $20.6 million in the first quarter compared to $23.1 million in the same period last year. Adjusted operating profit for Designer Brands was a gain of $18.7 million in the first quarter versus a loss of $209.7 million last year, but below the $46.5 million gain in the first quarter of 2019. We had $8.8 million of interest expense during the first quarter compared to $2.2 million in the prior year. Moving on to taxes. Our effective tax rate on adjusted results was 4.7% in the first quarter versus 38.4% last year. The change in rate was largely impacted by the recording of net discrete tax benefits, including adjustments to our estimated fiscal 2020 return, reflecting implemented tax strategies. This benefit contributed to the increase in our income tax receivable from $149.8 million recorded at the end of 2020 to $158.9 million at the end of the quarter, which we anticipate receiving in the back half of fiscal 2021. It should be noted that this Q1 rate is not expected to continue for the balance of the year. And in fact, the following quarter's tax rates may be notably higher than prior years given tax treatment of certain expenses when taken against actual taxable income levels. Total weighted average diluted shares during the quarter were 77 million compared to 71.9 million last year. For the quarter, we reported a net gain of $17 million or $0.22 per diluted share, primarily impacted by the release of part of the tax valuation allowance with changes to our deferred tax assets versus a net loss of $215.9 million or $3 loss per diluted share last year. Excluding this release, adjusted EPS was $0.12 per diluted share for the quarter. Last year, we spent a great deal of time focusing on our liquidity position and increasing our flexibility given the volatile and uncertain conditions. We remain pleased with our balance sheet, ending the quarter with $49.3 million of cash versus $250.9 million last year and had $289.9 million available to draw on our revolving credit facility, bringing our total liquidity to just under $340 million. We ended the quarter with $337 million of debt versus $393 million last year. During the quarter, we closed five stores in the US and opened two new stores, resulting in a total of 516 US stores. In Canada, we closed one store and opened two new stores, ending the quarter with 145 stores. As discussed last quarter, we are closely evaluating our existing store infrastructure and have identified approximately 65 US stores that would make sense to close upon their natural lease expirations, primarily over the next four years, including approximately 25 stores that we currently view as eligible for closure in 2021. However, this number may change over time based on landlord negotiations and actual post-COVID store level performance versus current projections. We continue to plan to open six DSW stores in the US in 2021 that we're contractually committed to prior to COVID. In Canada, we are currently planning to close three stores and open three stores in 2021. Similar to the US, we continue to evaluate our store fleet in Canada as well and could see additional stores close even in 2021 as leases come up for renewal. Given the environment, we believe it is still too uncertain to provide guidance for 2021. However, we wanted to provide some broad commentary on the direction of our business. We expect that the second quarter at DSW will show continued improvement. Canada will see improvement, but given the government shutdowns, the recovery will be slower than in the US. And lastly, Camuto production has been increasing each quarter as we continue to see increased demand for seasonal products, especially at DSW-exclusive brands and our Camuto owned and licensed brands. We are confident that our business is recovering, and we should start to normalize in the second half of the year. We are still planning our inventory conservatively, but we are prepared to make the necessary inventory investments and increase production as demand returns. First quarter marked our return to profitability, and we believe that, that trend will continue going forward driven by the strength in our athleisure and kids business, coupled with a recovery in our seasonal business. With that, we will open the call for questions. Operator?