Operator
Operator
Good morning. Welcome to the CEMEX Third Quarter 2013 Conference Call and Video Webcast. My name is Vanessa, and I will be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] Our hosts for today are Fernando González, Executive Vice President of Finance and Administration; and Maher Al-Haffar, Vice President of Corporate Communications, Public Affairs and Investor Relations. And I will now turn the conference over to your host, Fernando González. Please proceed. Fernando A. González: Thank you, Vanessa. Good day to everyone and thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2013 conference call and video webcast. After Maher and I discuss the results of the quarter, we will be happy to take your questions. During the third quarter, our operating EBITDA increased by 3% on a like-to-like basis compared to the same period last year. We are pleased with our continued year-over-year growth in operating EBITDA. Consolidated volumes for ready-mix increased by 1% during the quarter, while cement and aggregate volumes remained flat on a year-over-year basis. Lower cement and ready-mix volumes from our Mexican operations were offset by improvements in the rest of our regions. Our consolidated prices in local currency terms for cement, ready-mix and aggregates increased by 1%, 5% and 5% respectively during the quarter compared with the same period last year. On a year-to-date basis, from December 2012 to September 2013, cement prices are higher in most of our major countries. We continue with implementation of our value before volume strategy in all of our regions, focusing our efforts on achieving sustainable margins and returns in all of our business lines. In cement, we have implemented the gross minus logic price roadmaps and other pricing elements in countries that represent more than 80% of our volumes. In ready-mix, we have launched initiatives company-wide to promote the bundling of ready-mix prices into their different value elements. As part of these initiatives, our first and most important objective in the short to medium term is to recover full freight cost in all of our markets. In cement, ready-mix and aggregates, we will continue to improve the transparency on the value we provide to our customers through our products and services by revisiting our suit charges and service fees in each market. We are focusing on value-added products and services, maintaining our cost discipline and outsourcing support activities. On the cost side, we are on track to achieve the targeted $100 million in savings in Mexico and Northern Europe for the second half of this year. Alternative fuel substitution initiatives remain a very high priority. On a consolidated basis, alternative fuel utilization increased to 28% year-to-date as of September, from 26% in the same period last year. Geographic mix had an important role in dampening this increase at some European countries, with higher substitution rates, have grown less than our consolidated portfolio. However, year-over-year substitution rates in most countries in our portfolio continue to increase. In another effort to optimize our return on capital, we announced 3 transactions, which will strengthen our strategic footprint in Europe and then hasten return on capital over time. This transactions, include, first, CEMEX acquisition of Holcim's operations in the Czech Republic; second, CEMEX divestiture of its assets in the Western part of Germany to Holcim; and third, the combination of the operations of CEMEX and Holcim in Spain. With these transactions, we will optimize our network of assets, increase our productivity and extract synergies that will result in a recurring improvement in our operating EBITDA of about $20 million to $30 million per year. In addition, in connection with these transactions, CEMEX will receive a cash payment of approximately EUR 70 million. Needless to say, these transactions are still subject to the fulfillment of various conditions, such as confirmatory due diligence and all the approvals from competition authorities. Now I would like to discuss the most important development in our markets. In Mexico, our volumes during the quarter continued to reflect the slower than expected levels of investment in infrastructure and housing. This has been further exacerbated by adverse weather conditions in most regions in the country, which accounted for 2 percentage points of the decline in our cement volumes on a year-over-year basis. However, we are encouraged with the outlook for the country going forward, given all the recently announced economic stimulus initiatives and investment plans, including: First, the 6-year national and infrastructure plan, with a total investment of about $315 billion and which is close to 30% higher in real terms than the spending done under Calderón's period. Out of this amount, about $100 billion will be dedicated to telecommunications and infrastructure projects, including roads, ports, airports and railways. Second, the proposed fiscal reform, which will potentially translate into higher revenues to the government, enabling it to achieve an even increase is suspected investment on infrastructure. And third, the program to accelerate growth for $2.1 billion, which includes several infrastructure and housing initiatives to be implemented in the short term. We are also comforted by the continued growth in private sector lending. The value of mortgage loans granted by financial institutions has increased by 9% year-to-date August, while outstanding performing loans to consumers and the industrial sector as of August increased by 8% and 14% respectively, on a year-over-year basis. On a sector-by-sector basis, the industrial and commercial sector continued to exhibit growth at low single digits during the quarter. This sector continues to be supported by export-led manufacturing activity. August was the fourth month with sequential increase in non-oil exports. For the full year, we expect this sector to continue experiencing a positive trend, although a slightly lower rate than initially expected. Demand in the informal residential sector was softer during the quarter, reflecting lower back cement volumes to social programs, as well as graded economic headwinds, which have translated into flattish wages and job creation. On a positive note, remittances from the U.S. to Mexico, also an important driver for this sector show year-over-year growth during August for the first time in 2013. On a full year basis, we now expect a mid-single-digit decline in this segment. Going forward, we feel comfortable that demand from the informal housing sector will accelerate as the economy recovers. On the formal residential sector, activity continued to be weak due to continued financing constraints for both home builders and buyers, as well as high inventories. Having said this, housing starts grew sequentially in August for the second month in a row. August was also the first month since January to show a positive year-over-year growth. Infrastructure spending continue, but at a slower pace than expected. However, we started seeing a significant pickup in spending during July and August. For instance, the Department of Communications and Transportation had executed 24% of its yearly budget as of June and increased this percentage to 43% as of August. Although still not approved, the proposed budget for communications and transportation for 2014 is 35% higher in real terms than this year's budget. In addition, hurricanes during September did significant infrastructure damage and delayed implementation of ongoing projects. There is still no final calculation under construction cost, but the government is adopting some measures to speed up this construction effort, including new credit lines for municipalities and the use of about $375 million, which were originally targeted for the pavement plan under the program to accelerate growth, which could have a positive impact during the last quarter of this year. We should see public spending accelerating on the back of catch-up effects due to the construction efforts and the reactivation of the economy. Against the backdrop of significant demand weakness, pricing dynamics have been very challenging. We continued to focus on our higher value-added products and services, and emphasized our customer loyalty program through our dedicated distribution channels. We will continue to be vigilant over the pricing environment and look for opportunities to recover our input cost inflation in our core products. In summary, we feel that recent economic performance and the various announced initiatives by the government led us to cautiously -- to be cautiously optimistic about an inflection point taking place in Mexico. However, while we expect a positive demand performance in Mexico for 2014 and beyond, in light of our year-to-date volumes, we have lowered our guidance for the whole year. Our U.S. business continued to be a significant growth engine during the third quarter, propelled by a healthy operating leverage and the consolidation of earlier price increases. During the quarter, our cement and ready-mix volumes increased by 7% and 8% respectively, while our aggregate volumes fell 4% on a year-over-year basis, unfavorably, impacted by the conclusion of our aggregate supply to the Fort Lauderdale airport project. Excluding this project, aggregate volumes grew by 2% during the quarter. Quarterly cement volume, growth was constrained by weak infrastructure demand, coupled with poor weather in some markets, as well as the effect of our strategy to avoid long-term infrastructure contracts with the very low prices in Texas. Growth in cement and ready-mix were driven by the residential and industrial and commercial sectors. Housing permits in our 4 key states: Texas, Florida, California and Arizona, are up 25% year-to-date, August, compared to a 19% growth rate at the national level. While growth remained strong, growth rates have eased somewhat during the third quarter, in response to uncertainty surrounding the government shutdown, higher interest rates and weather. Importantly, we believe that the fundamental factors driving the recovery in the U.S. residential sector are intact. The industrial and commercial sector maintained its positive contribution to our business in the quarter. On a year-over-year basis, construction spending for industrial and commercial rose 7% year-to-date, August, and industrial commercial demand in our key states continues to outperform national levels. While national contract awards are up 6% in real terms, contract awards for our key states are up 26%. We continue to see weakness in infrastructure activity during the third quarter. Actual spending for highways and bridges is down 3% year-to-date, August. This weakness is primarily due to reduced state discretionary highway expenditures and the wind down of -- in ARRA stimulus fund spending. On a more positive note, contract awards are up 8% in real terms year-to-date, August. In addition, we expect a recovery in transportation infrastructure spending to commence next year, as states get greater clarity on the federal highway program, continue to improve their fiscal condition and utilization and their TIFIA increases. Prices in our main business continued to show positive momentum. Consistent with our value before volume strategy, cement, ready-mix and aggregate prices are up 2%, 6% and 10% respectively, on a year-over-year basis. The cement price increases we announced for the second half of the year received limited success in the market due to competitive pressures. However, absolute pricing levels are holding on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Cement prices were down 1% sequentially due to mix effect. Ready-mix and aggregate prices get growing with an increase of 2% and 1% respectively. In our ready-mix business, we are making a conscious effort to differentiate between the price of the product and the price of the services we offer, fees, as well as the cost we incur, surcharges in producing and delivering the product. These higher fees and some charges accounted for approximately 1/3 of the total realized year-to-date price increase. We remain firmly committed to our goal of eliminating the chronic underpricing of our products over the last decade and continue to seek a fair return on the capital employed in this business. For 2014, we have announced, again, to run some cement price increases and various ready-mix and aggregate increases throughout our footprint. During the third quarter, our U.S. operations realized an incremental EBITDA margin of 78%, with revenues increasing in $65 million, while EBITDA improved by $51 million, which demonstrates the significant operating leverage in our business. Higher revenues achieved through increased sales, volumes and continuous price increase efforts, coupled with our cost containment and energy mix optimization initiatives, contributed significantly to favorable operational leverage. Our alternative fuel utilization year-to-date, as of September, reached 26%, 4 percentage points higher than in the same period last year. Our vertical integration platform is now paying off and is positioning us well to capitalize on the construction sector recovery. A weak infrastructure sector, rising incident rates and poor weather affected demand during the quarter. We believe these effects are temporary. The underlying U.S. residential recovery is in fact, and will gain momentum while infrastructure spending should stabilize as we move into 2014. In our Northern Europe region, cement volumes increased by 2% during the quarter on a year-over-year basis. Cement volumes grew in all countries in the region, except Poland. In the cases of the United Kingdom, Latvia and Scandinavia, this growth was in the double digits. Quarterly ready-mix volumes increased in the U.K., Czech Republic, Austria, Hungary and Latvia. Regional cement prices in local currency terms increased by 1%. Sequential cement prices increased in Germany, Czech Republic and Scandinavia, while in Latvia, they remain flat. Regional ready-mix prices remained flat sequentially. We saw quarter-on-quarter increases in our ready-mix prices in Germany, Czech Republic, Austria and Latvia and remained flat in France. Regional operating EBITDA during the quarter increased by 9% on the a like-to-like basis, while operating EBITDA margin expanded by 1 percentage point. This margin expansion was the result of higher year-over-year volumes and prices, as well as our cost reduction efforts. We continue to rollout our value before volume strategy in the region, adapting our cement production to customer needs. In the case of Poland, we continue to manage our capacity with actions including kiln stoppages and cost optimization. In Germany, the residential sector remained the main driver of the month for our products during the quarter, supported by low unemployment and mortgage rates and increases in wages. Sequential prices increased by 1% for cement and by 2% for ready-mix. Residential permits increased by 8% year-to-date as of July. We expect this sector to show a mid- to high-single digit growth in 2013 and continuous positive trend during 2014. In the industrial and commercial sector, we saw permits declining during the second quarter, in part because of a base effect and turning positive in July. We expect a slowdown in this sector, resulting from the current macroeconomic environment. However, industrial and commercial activity should resume growth next year. The infrastructure sector should remain stable this year and grow moderately in 2014, driven by traffic infrastructure projects. In Poland, volumes during the quarter were affected by market dynamics, while the total cement market remained stable. Despite a slight sequential decline, September cement prices are 5% higher than in December last year. The decline in the infrastructure sector is a result of a high base of activity last year, a decline in EU funds for capital investment in the public sector, financial difficulties of some construction companies and the delay of some projects. Regarding the residential sector, falling interest rates and low inflation have still not translated into cheaper mortgage rates. This, together with lower average incomes resulting from the economic slowdown and a decline supply of new homes to the market, has resulted in a drop in demand of new loans for home purchases. For 2014, we expect the infrastructure sector to resume growth. In addition, we also expect to see an increase in industrial and commercial activity driven by business process outsourcing projects. In France, although the macroeconomic environment continues to affect demand, we saw a more moderate decline in ready-mix volumes this quarter. Infrastructure activity continues to be supported by a number of highway and high-speed railways projects that started during 2012 and will last several years. Pre-electoral spending, in anticipation of municipal elections, has been limited, as local administrations have been impacted by financing constraints and the governments target to reduce deficit. Overall, the infrastructure sector will reflect a slight decline in activity this year. In the residential sector, a declining housing starts is also expected for this year, reflecting tight credit availability and the effect of the less attractive right-to-live program introduced this year. In the United Kingdom, cement and ready-mix volumes continued their positive performance during the third quarter, reflecting the economic recovery in the country. The residential sector has been positively impacted by the help-to-buy program launched in April. Momentum in this sector should continue with the launching of the second phase of this program earlier this month. The infrastructure sector should also grow this and next year, driven mainly by road and rail projects. In the Mediterranean region, we saw growth in cement volumes in Egypt and the Emirates, which more than offset the decline in Spain and Croatia. In ready-mix, we had positive volumes in our operations in Israel and the Emirates. We continue to modulate capacity in the region based on customer demand in support of our value-before-volume strategy. In Spain, demand for our products continued to be affected by a decline in all sectors, despite the 2% decline in sequential prices for both domestic gray cement and ready-mix, year-to-date prices from December last year to September, are up 7% for cement and 3% for ready-mix. Infrastructure is still at very low levels, reflecting continued fiscal austerity measures. Decline in activity in this sector is expected to continue into next year. In the residential sector, the market is gradually absorbing home inventories. Foreigners [ph], who account for about 17% of home purchases, are acquiring properties in coastal areas. Home prices continued to drift downwards, but at a slow pace. The residential sector should decline slightly this year, with stabilization or even slight improvement in 2014. Spain continues to be an important export platform. This has helped dampen the decline in domestic demand. In Egypt, our domestic grade cement volumes during the third quarter increased by 7%. Energy and electricity disruptions continued during the quarter. On the energy side, our alternative fuel strategy allow us to operate regularly during the quarter. Regarding electricity, we have been managing our production capacity to reduce utilization during peak hours. Despite a slight decline in sequential cement prices in local currency terms, prices in September are 19% higher than December's level. The year-to-date price increases has offset the increasing fuel cost resulting from the partial elimination of energy subsidies. In addition, more than 50% of our sales is value-added branded back cement, which also improves profitably. The main driver of cement consumption in the country remains the informal sector. Infrastructure activity continued to be low. Going forward, we expect some downward pressure on our volumes, reflecting the increased cement production capacity in the country. Operating EBITDA in Israel grew by 16% during the quarter. Ready-mix volumes increased by 11%, with stable pricing in the same period. In our South, Central America and Caribbean region, operating EBITDA margin grew by 1.3 percentage points during the quarter. For the first 9 months of the year, EBITDA margin increased by more than 2 percentage points. These margin expansions reflect higher pricing levels, as well as our continued initiatives to improve our efficiency and reduce costs. In our operations in Colombia, we are encouraged with a strong volume growth during the quarter. We continue to see a strong level of construction activity despite the impact from the nationwide strikes in August that caused important disruptions in transportation. In both July and September, our cement volumes increased by 15% on a year-on-year basis. During the quarter, the residential sector continued to be an important driver for demand of our products, primarily supported by the construction of the 100,000 government-sponsored free home program. More than 25,000 homes have already been delivered under this program and the government expects an additional 25,000 to 30,000 homes to be granted by year end. The remaining homes will be delivered in early 2014. Two additional housing initiatives, which include subsidies on mortgage rates on 100,000 low income and 50,000 middle-income homes, are expected to support the positive trend of the sector going forward. Regarding the infrastructure sector, we anticipate a higher level of activity going forward, as some of the highway projects awarded last year are starting construction. Additionally, some projects could be accelerated in anticipation of the elections in May 2014. The $250 million that were announced for infrastructure under the stimulus package should also support spending during the following months. The industrial and commercial sector continues its favorable trends, supported by the positive economic outlook, higher investment confidence and the new trade agreements signed by Colombia. Growth in this sector has been mainly driven by office space, warehouses and industrial building construction. We are encouraged by our solid volume performance during the third quarter and continue to expect a high level of construction activity during the remainder of the year. Regarding our operations in Panama, we are pleased with our performance during the quarter. The residential sector continues to be an important driver of demand. Housing construction, particularly in the middle income segment, has been posting strong growth rates, and we expect this favorable performance to continue during the rest of the year. In terms of infrastructure, demands for our products has been supported by several ongoing projects, such as the canal expansion, the Cinta Costera project. The Corredor Norte highway has also started construction. Several new projects in the pipeline should continue driving infrastructure spending going forward. In Asia, operating EBITDA expanded by 4.6 and 4.8 percentage points during the third quarter and the first 9 months of the year, respectively, driven by strong prices and higher volumes. The regional increase in domestic cement volumes during the quarter reflected the positive performance of our operations in the Philippines. The growth in volumes was driven by the residential, and to a lesser extent, the infrastructure and industrial and commercial sectors and prices were stable sequentially. The residential sector continues to benefit from stable inflation and low mortgage rates, as well as strong remittances. In addition, there has been increased activity from foreign buyers. Infrastructure spending is expected to remain healthy with projects still in the pipeline. To satisfy the fast-growing market in the country, our new grinding capacity in the Philippines of 1.5 million tonnes per year is expected to be operational during the second quarter of 2014. In summary, we are pleased with the growth in volumes in most of our regions, which has translated into positive impact on our value-before-volume strategy. We are pleased with the growth in consolidated EBITDA despite the continued slowdown in Mexico. We expect the cost reduction initiatives we are implementing in Mexico and North Europe will keep us on track to meet our full year operating EBITDA expectations. And now I will turn the call over to Maher to discuss our financials. Maher?