Operator
Operator
Good morning, and welcome to the CEMEX Second Quarter 2013 Conference Call and Video Webcast. My name is Lalaine, and I will be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] Our hosts for today are Fernando González, Executive Vice President of Finance and Administration; and Maher Al-Haffar, Vice President of Corporate Communications, Public Affairs and Investor Relations. And now I will now turn the conference over to your host, Fernando González. Please proceed. Fernando A. González: Thank you, operator. Good day to everyone, and thank you for joining us for our second quarter 2013 conference call and video webcast. After Maher and I discuss the results of the quarter, we will be happy to take your questions. During the second quarter, our operating EBITDA increased by 4% compared to the same period last year and by 2% when adjusting for the number of working days. We are pleased to report that this is the 8th consecutive quarter with a year-over-year growth in operating EBITDA. During the first 6 months of the year, operating EBITDA increased by 4% on a year-over-year basis, adjusting for the effect of the change in the pension plan in the Northern Europe region during the first quarter of 2012. Operating EBITDA margin, also on a comparable basis, increased by 0.8 percentage points. During this period, we saw improvement in pricing in several of our regions, as well as continued cost reduction efforts. Consolidated volumes for ready-mix and aggregates increased by 2% and 4%, respectively, during the quarter, while cement volumes remained flat. The higher number of working days during the quarter positively contributed in 1 percentage point to this volumes. Growth in cement volumes in the U.S., South, Central America and the Caribbean, Mediterranean and Asia regions offset lower volumes in Mexico and Northern Europe. Our consolidated prices in local currency terms for cement, ready-mix and aggregates increased by 2%, 3% and 3%, respectively, during the quarter on a year-over-year basis. If we look at year-to-date pricing dynamics from December 2012 to June 2013, cement prices are higher in most of our major countries with the exception of Mexico, the U.K. and Colombia. In the case of Colombia, prices were stable in this period. We continue with implementation of our value-before-volume strategy in all of our regions, focusing our efforts on achieving sustainable margins in all of our business lines. In cement, we are implementing the gross minus logic and price road map in countries that represent more than 80% of our volumes. We have also implemented surcharges and service fees where applicable. In ready-mix, we have set benchmarks and initiatives company-wide to promote the debundling of ready-mix prices through the promotion and enforcement of surcharges, partial load and service fees. In aggregates, a company-wide price management model has now been fully developed in line with the value-before-volume approach. This includes a methodology to set our revised price targets market-by-market. On the cost side, we remain focused on adjusting our operations to current market dynamics. In Mexico, we have quickly adopted our operations to the temporary slowdown observed after the transition of the new government. In Northern Europe, we continue to right-size our operations and implement further efficiency initiatives. The new cost reduction initiatives will result in savings of about $100 million during the second half of this year, about 60% in Mexico and the rest in Northern Europe. These savings include headcount reductions, capacity rationalization, freight optimization and cost management among others. Alternative fuel substitution initiatives remain a very high priority. On a consolidated basis, alternative fuel utilization increased to 28% during the quarter from 27% in the same period last year. Geographic mix has mitigated this growth as some European countries with higher substitution rates have grown less than our consolidated portfolio. However, year-over-year substitution rates in most countries in our portfolio continue to increase. In the Americas, we saw higher alternative fuel utilization in the U.S., Colombia, Nicaragua and the Dominican Republic during the first half of the year. In Europe, higher substitution was achieved in Poland, Germany, the U.K., Spain and Latvia in the same period. In addition, Egypt and the Philippines have also increased their alternative fuel usage. Now I would like to discuss the most important development in our markets. Mexico, our volumes during the quarter reflected to a large extent the delays in spending from the public sector on infrastructure, as well as by lower sales of bagged cement to government programs. In addition, the formal residential sector continued to be affected by financing constraints and the uncertainty of the rules under the new National Housing Program. Now talking about the different segments. The industrial and commercial sector grew in the mid-single-digits during the quarter. We expect this sector to continue having a positive trend during the second half of the year as manufacturing activity improves in tandem with U.S. economic recovery. Activity from the informal residential sector declined slightly during the quarter, reflecting lower inflows from remittances and more moderate increases in formal employment and aggregate wages. On the formal residential sector, activity during the quarter was affected by continued financing constraints, high inventories faced by some homebuilders, especially in light of a higher emphasis on higher-density urban planning by the government, as well as by the uncertainty of the rules under the new National Housing plan. At the end of last month, the ministry of land and urban development announced the operating rules for housing subsidies, which will apply starting in 2014. In addition, there was an increase in the subsidy program of the CONAVI. With this increase, the current budget for the subsidy program is now practically in line with the amount spent last year. There was an important pick up in the granting of subsidies during April and May. The average monthly amount of subsidies in these 2 months was 60% higher than during the first quarter. In addition, the average monthly amount of mortgages granted also increased by 20% during April and May compared to the first quarter. We are encouraged by the various initiatives from the government to support the activity in the formal housing sector, including the announcement of 2 new financing programs for homebuilders, representing a total amount of more than $750 million. Although the infrastructure sector continued to be a drag on our volumes during the quarter, we are encouraged by the recent acceleration in public spending. For instance, the department of communications and transportation had spent less than 1% of its annual budget as of February. As of May, the year-to-date execution of the budget have increased to 16%. Moreover, earlier this month, the federal government announced its 6-year national infrastructure plan. The total investment is about $315 billion, and this is close to 30% higher in real terms than the spending done under Calderón's period. Out of this amount, about $100 million will be dedicated to telecommunications and infrastructure projects, including roads, ports, airports and railways. While the other segments in the infrastructure program use less of our products, we expect important levels of demand we generated from the higher spending in these segments. We have been recently awarded several road and highway projects, including the Mexico City-Querétaro Highway, which will bolster our volumes during the second half of 2013. In addition, there are other projects which should be awarded shortly and are also expected to start this year. Given the positive trends in some of the indicators in the formal residential and increased spending in the infrastructure sector, we expect a better performance during the second half of the year and more importantly, in 2014 and beyond. However, in light of our year-to-date volumes, we have adjusted our guidance for the full year. On the pricing side, earlier this month, we announced a nationwide price increase of MXN 60 plus tax on domestic gray cement. This represents an increase of about 4%. We also announced a similar increase in ready-mix. These actions are aimed at recovering our input cost inflation in cement and ready-mix production. While we adopt the increases, we will actively monitor our market share in our different markets. Our U.S. business continued its strong recovery during the second quarter, propelled by healthy price performance and significant operating leverage. During the quarter, our cement, ready-mix and aggregate volumes increased by 3%, 14% and 8%, respectively, on a year-over-year basis. Quarterly cement volume growth was constrained by poor weather in some markets, as well as not pursuing less profitable volumes in some of our markets. Growth in cement and ready-mix continued to be primarily driven by residential and industrial and commercial sectors. The residential sector remained the largest contributor to growth during the quarter. Housing permits in our 4 key states, Texas, Florida, California and Arizona, are up 38% year-to-date May, compared to a 27% growth rate at the national level. We do not believe that the recent rise in interest rates has affected demand for new home purchases to date. While down from its peak first quarter levels, affordability still remains at historically high levels. The industrial and commercial sector continues to contribute to demand growth. On a year-over-year basis, construction spending for industrial and commercial rose 7% year-to-date May. While national contract awards are up 4% in real terms, contract awards for our key states are up 22%. Texas and Florida show the most dynamism. We have seen a slowdown in infrastructure activity this year. Actual spending for highways and ditches is down 5% year-over-year through May. We attribute this weakness in year-to-date highway spending to a reduction in state discretionary highway spending, bad weather in many of our markets during the second quarter and the continued withdrawal of federal stimulus infrastructure funding. Based on the spending to date, we have downgraded our infrastructure volume expectation to a low single-digit decline. We do, however, continue to expect that this sector will show positive growth next year as the expanded federal direct loan program for transportation infrastructure funding begins to take hold and economic recovery progresses. We have adjusted our volume guidance for the U.S., chiefly to reflect the state of the infrastructure spending this year and the impact of weather that may defer some volume into 2014. We now expect cement volumes to grow by mid- to high single-digit. Pricing continues to respond well to market dynamics. During the second quarter, cement prices are up 4% on a year-over-year basis and by 1% sequentially as a result of our successful April price increases in markets that accounts for 23% of our volumes. We are moving ahead with a second round of price increases in the range of $5.50 and $8.80 per metric ton in Florida, Texas and California during the third quarter. In our ready-mix business, we continue to benefit from successful price actions during last year and this year as our old contract business rose off and new projects start at higher prices. Ready-mix prices are up 5% on a year-over-year basis and up 3% since the beginning of the year. Fees and surcharges for value-added services account for roughly 1/3 of the year-over-year pricing increase. Second half pricing increases of $6.50 to $10.50 per cubic meter were announced for Florida, Texas, California and parts of Arizona. In our aggregates business, prices are up 7% sequentially and 3% on a year-over-year basis due to product mix, as well as to some traction of our January and April price increases. As we have stated previously, we are pleased with the pricing achievement to date, but we still have a long way to go to eliminate the chronic pricing deficit of our products over the last decade that is necessary to achieve a fair return on capital employed. We remain committed to this growth. During the second quarter, the U.S. business continued to enjoy significant operational leverage on a year-over-year basis. Pricing advances, as well as volume recovery, were important contributors. Optimizing our energy mix remains a key objective in the U.S. Year-to-date June, our alternative fuel utilization reached 25%, 3 percentage points higher than the same period last year. The U.S. recovery is progressing well, and we are encouraged by the pricing increases we have achieved to date, particularly in ready-mix at this early stage of recovery. As we reach higher capacity utilization rates in our markets, we will rapidly increase prices to reach levels that reflect our cost of invested capital. In our Northern Europe region, headwinds from the economic slowdown remains a drag on our volumes. However, we saw growth in our cement volumes during the quarter in the U.K., Germany, Scandinavia and the Czech Republic, as well as in our ready-mix volumes in the U.K. and Latvia. Regional cement prices in local currency terms declined sequentially by 3% for cement. However, this decline is mainly due to a country mix. Year-to-date, cement prices from December last year to June increased in Germany, Poland, Scandinavia and Latvia. Our ready-mix prices in the same period increased in the U.K., Germany, France, Austria and Hungary. Pricing in aggregates was higher in the U.K., France, Ireland, Latvia and Austria. Year-to-date EBITDA margins declined by less than 1%, adjusting for the favorable effect during the first quarter of last year, resulting from the change of a pension plan. Our cost reduction efforts and higher year-over-year ready-mix and aggregates prices have in large part mitigated the lower volumes in the region. The rollout of our value-before-volume strategy across all business lines is well on track. During 2012, we went through cement and ready-mix capacity shutdowns in support of this strategy. Year-to-date, we closed additional ready-mix plants in Germany and Poland. We also continued to adapt our cement production to customer needs. In the case of Poland, we are closely managing our capacity with actions, including additional key stoppages and cost optimization. In Germany, the residential sector remained the main driver of demand for our products during the second quarter, supported by low unemployment and mortgage rates and increases in wages and salaries. Residential permits increased by 17% year-to-date as of April. We expect this sector to show a mid- to high single-digit growth during 2013. In the industrial and commercial segment, we have seen a slight recovery in permits in the last few months after some months of volatility. We expect a slowdown in this sector, resulting from the current macroeconomic environment. Regarding the infrastructure sector, there have been some restraints in new projects. We expect this sector to be stable this year. In Poland, volumes during the quarter were affected by adverse weather conditions, especially in our home markets. Despite the decline in volumes, cement prices in local currency terms increased by 4% sequentially. During the quarter, there was a sharp reduction in infrastructure spending on a year-over-year basis. Second quarter 2012 is a difficult comparison due to the high level of construction activity related to the Euro 2012 Championship. In addition, a decline in EU funds for capital investment in the public sector is expected for this year. Regarding the residential sector, we saw a slight increase in activity starting in February with an increase in cash sales. Interest rates have declined more than 2 percentage points in the last 12 months, which should translate into stability in this sector for this year and a potential significant improvement in 2014. In France, our ready-mix volumes were affected by the weaker economic performance. Infrastructure activity continued to be supported by a number of highway and high-speed railway projects that started during 2012 and will last several years. Activity in the sector should show slight growth this year. As expected, spending in anticipation of municipal elections next year should mitigate the effect of the economic downturn. Regarding the residential sector, a declining housing starts is anticipated for this year, reflecting tight credit availability and the effect of the less attractive buy-to-let program introduced this year. In the United Kingdom, the 9% growth in cement volumes during the quarter was driven by growth in the residential sector and, to a lesser extent, to a catch-up effect on the adverse weather conditions seen in the previous year. The residential sector has been positively impacted by government policies to promote homeownership, including guarantees and interest-free loans, as well as low interest rates for home acquisition in an environment of high rental prices. In the Mediterranean region, we saw growth in volumes in Egypt and the Emirates, which more than offset the decline in Spain and Croatia. In ready-mix, we registered positive volumes in our operations in Israel, Croatia and the Emirates. Our value-before-volume strategy is delivering our respective results in the region. On a quarter-on-quarter basis, regional prices in local currency terms increased by 7% for cement and by 3% for ready-mix. In addition, we continue to go through capacity adjustments in all of our business. In Spain, demand for our products continued to be affected by low infrastructure activity. In contrast, prices continue to have a positive trend. Sequential domestic gray cement prices increased by 3% in local currency terms during the quarter, reflecting favorable traction from our March price increase. The continued fiscal austerity measures keep infrastructure spending at very low levels. In the residential sector, the market is gradually absorbing home inventories with close to 20% of home purchases currently done by foreigners. Home prices continued to be adjusted but at a slow pace. We expect the residential sector to stabilize at a very low level during this year, while investment in infrastructure should decline, reflecting continued budget cuts. We continue to export from Spain to other countries in order to mitigate a decline in domestic cement volumes. We also continued to sell clinker to third parties. In addition, during the quarter, we reached an agreement to sell our cement assets in our San Feliu plant together with the commercial activity down from this site. We have shut down production at this plant several months ago. We will continue to focus on markets with high strategic interest to us. In Egypt, our domestic gray cement volumes during the second quarter increased by 18%. Although there have been disruptions in energy supply in the country, as we have commented in the past, we have a domestic alternative fuel strategy, which we began in 2007 and is delivering results. This allows us to operate regularly during the quarter. Domestic cement prices increased by 10% in local currency on a sequential basis. The year-to-date price increases has offset the increase in fuel costs resulting from partial elimination of energy subsidies. In addition, more than 50% of our dispatches are related to our value-added grounded bagged cement, which also improves profitability. The main driver of cement consumption in the country remains the informal sector. Infrastructure activity continued to be low. For this year, we continue to expect downward pressure on our volumes, reflecting the increased cement production capacity in the country. Operating EBITDA in Israel grew by 22% during the quarter. Ready-mix volumes increased by 13% with stable pricing during the quarter. Aggregate volumes also increased by 9% in the same period. In our South, Central America and the Caribbean region, operating EBITDA margin grew by close to 2 percentage points during the quarter. For the first half of the year, EBITDA margin increased by close to 3 percentage points. These margin expansions reflect higher pricing levels, as well as our continuing initiatives to improve our efficiency and reduce costs. In Colombia, the demand environment improved during the second quarter with a sequential increase in cement, ready-mix and aggregate volumes, adjusted for working days of 20%, 16% and 18%, respectively. On a year-over-year basis, our cement volumes during the second quarter increased by 3% and remained flat when adjusting for the additional working days. Our ready-mix volumes for the first 6 months of the year increased by 5%, reflecting the benefits from our increased coverage in the country with the addition of 14 ready-mix plants, as well as our 23 CEMEX En Su Obra on-site project solutions. The residential sector was an important driver of cement demand during the quarter, and we continue to expect a positive performance during the rest of the year on the back of several housing initiatives that have been announced, including: first, the construction process of the 100,000 free home program, which continues according to scale and is expected to be completed by early 2014; second, on an additional 100,000 homes the government has announced subsidies on the mortgage rate and the actual cost of the house and will also provide a guarantee to ensure access to financing; and third, the government is also providing subsidies on the mortgage rates on 32,000 middle-income homes. Regarding the infrastructure sector, we expect increased activity during the second half of 2013 as some of the projects could be accelerated in anticipation of elections in May 2014. We remain very optimistic on the outlook for our operations in Colombia. We expect that the positive trend in the residential and industrial and commercial sectors, along with higher infrastructure activity in the second half of the year, will allow us to reach our full year volume expectations. In Panama, our domestic gray cement volumes increased by 6% during the quarter and by 3% during the first 6 months of the year versus the comparable periods a year ago. This growth is driven mainly by the favorable performance of the residential sector as well as expansion of the Panama Canal. The residential sector, particularly middle- to high-income housing, has continued its positive trend. Bank mortgages have grown by 10% in the January-May period. We expect this favorable performance to continue for the remainder of the year. In terms of infrastructure, demand growth has been supported by several ongoing projects, such as the canal expansion, the Cinta Costera project and the Corredor Norte Highway. Going forward, we expect infrastructure spending to continue driving demand, with new projects, such as the third and fourth bridges over the canal, the second and third lines of Panama City subway, the Mina de Cobre hydroelectric plant and others. In addition, the development of the copper mining sector in Panama should result in incremental spending with announced investments of about $6 billion over the next 5 years. In Asia, operating EBITDA margin expanded in 2.6 and 4.9 percentage points during the second quarter and the first half of the year, driven by strong prices and higher volumes. The regional increase in domestic cement volumes during the quarter reflects the positive performance of our operations in the Philippines. In this country, we registered record cement volumes during the second quarter. The growth in volumes was driven by the residential and, to a lesser extent, the infrastructure and industrial and commercial sectors. Prices were stable sequentially. In the residential sector, there has been increased activity from foreign buyers, especially from Hong Kong and Singapore. The residential sector will continue to benefit from stable inflation and low mortgage lending rates, as well as strong remittances. Infrastructure spending is expected to remain healthy with projects still in the pipeline and the upcoming mid-term elections. To satisfy the fast-growing market in the country, our new grinding capacity in the Philippines, of 1.5 million tons per year, is expected to be operational during the second quarter of 2014. In summary, we are pleased with the growth in volumes in most of our regions, which has translated into positive impact on our pricing and the implementation of our value-before-volume strategy. We expect the cost reduction initiatives we are implementing in Mexico and the Northern Europe region will keep us on track to meet our full year operating EBITDA expectations. And now I will turn the call over to Maher to discuss our financials. Maher?