Operator
Operator
Good morning. Welcome to the CEMEX Fourth Quarter 2013 Conference Call and Video Webcast. My name is Lorraine, and I will be your operator for today. [Operator Instructions] Our hosts for today are Fernando González, Executive Vice President of Finance and Administration; and Maher Al-Haffar, Vice President of Corporate Communications, Public Affairs and Investor Relations. And now I will turn the conference over to your host, Fernando González. Please proceed. Fernando A. González: Thank you, operator. Good day to everyone, and thank you for joining us for our fourth quarter 2013 conference call and video webcast. After Maher and I discuss the results of the quarter, we will be happy to take your questions. During 2013, we continued to deliver. The performance of our regions during the year exceeded our expectations, with the exception of Mexico. For the full year, operating EBITDA grew by 4% on a like-to-like basis to $2.64 billion, after adjusting for onetime effects. Improvement in pricing and volume in most of our regions, the favorable operating leverage affecting the U.S., as well as our continued initiatives to improve our operating efficiency, led to the third consecutive year of EBITDA growth. Operating EBITDA margin on a comparable basis expanded by 0.3 percentage points. During the fourth quarter, our operating EBITDA increased by 6% on a like-to-like basis compared with the same period last year. Consolidated cement, ready-mix and aggregates volumes increased by 4%, 2% and 3%, respectively, during the quarter. All of our regions enjoyed higher cement and aggregate volumes, with the exception of Mexico, where cement volumes were flat. For the full year, aggregates volumes increased by 2% while ready-mix volumes remained flat. Cement volumes declined by 1% in the same period, mainly due to the weakness we experienced in Mexico. During the year, we achieved record-high cement volumes in Colombia, Panama, Nicaragua and the Philippines, and record ready-mix volumes in Israel and Colombia. Our consolidated prices in local currency terms for ready-mix and aggregates increased by 4% and 3%, respectively. While cement prices remained flat during the quarter, quarterly cement prices are up in most of our major countries, with the exception of Mexico and the U.K. We continue with the implementation of our value-before-volume strategy in all of our regions, focusing our efforts on achieving sustainable margins and returns in all of our business lines. In cement, during 2013, we implemented gross minus logic, price roadmaps and other pricing elements in countries that represent more than 80% of our volumes. In ready-mix, last year, we launched initiatives company-wide to promote the debundling of ready-mix prices into their different value elements. As part of these initiatives, our first and most important objective is to recover full freight cost in all of our markets. In our aggregate business, implementation in our major markets is in progress. Our target is to improve our aggregates prices so as to recover the replenishment of depleted reserves at market value. We will continue to improve the transparency on the value we provide to our customers through our products and services by revisiting our surcharges and service fees in each market. Operating efficiencies were driven by, first, we achieved the targeted $100 million in savings in Mexico and Northern Europe during the second half of 2013. These savings included headcount reduction, capacity rationalization, freight optimization and cost management, among others. Second, our substitution rate for alternatives reached 28% during 2013, 1 percentage point higher than in the previous year. Geographic mix had an important role in dampening this increase, as some European countries with higher substitution rates have grown less than our consolidated portfolio. However, year-over-year substitution rates in most countries in our portfolio continue to increase. And third, we made significant progress in our program to outsource different activities to IBM. During 2014, we expect to realize all implementation phases that will allow us to be more efficient and serve our customers with greater speed and quality. Furthermore, we expect to generate $1 billion in savings over the life of the agreement. In addition to improving our operating efficiencies, we have also focused our efforts on optimizing our portfolio. As part of these efforts, in August, we announced 3 transactions in the Czech Republic, Germany and Spain, which are expected to enhance our return on capital over time. These transactions are still subject to approvals from competition authorities. In addition, during the year, we sold non-operating assets for $170 million. On the financing side, during 2013, we raised $3.1 billion at an average cost of 6.4%. We improved our debt maturity profile and strengthened our capital structure. Maher will provide more details on this topic later in the call. We are pleased with the way our credit continues to re-rate, and we continue to be vigilant and prepare for windows of opportunity to reduce interest expense at the margin. And now I would like to discuss the most important developments in our markets. In Mexico, demand conditions improved during the fourth quarter. On a sequential basis, daily cement and ready-mix volumes increased by 8% and 9%, respectively, driven by the acceleration of infrastructure spending. During the full year 2013, cement and ready-mix volumes declined by 8% and 6%, respectively. These declines were mainly the result of lower activity in the infrastructure and formal residential sectors. On a sector-by-sector basis, we saw the industrial and commercial sector growing in the low-single digits during 2013. The improved performance of this sector was driven in part by more dynamic manufacturing activity, especially during the second half of the year, in line with the recovery in the United States. For 2014, we expect this sector to continue its positive trend, with growth in the low-single digits. Activity in the informal residential sector, which was affected during most of 2013 by economic headwinds, picked up during the fourth quarter, in line with improved economic activity. Remittances from the U.S. to Mexico, an important driver for this sector, have increased on a year-over-year basis for 4 out of the 5 last months since August, after more than 1 year of declines. For this year, we expect that demand from the informal residential sector should continue growing in the low-single digits. On the formal residential sector, activity during 2013 was affected by a delay in the granting of subsidies at the beginning of the year, continued financing constraints for both homebuilders and buyers, as well as high inventories. Having said this, housing starts and housing registries grew sequentially from July to November, with the exception of September, due to the hurricanes, and ended the year on a positive note, exhibiting both sequential and year-over-year growth during the month of December. The prospects for the residential sector for this year are somewhat more favorable with a doubling of the amount of housing subsidies available last year, more clarity regarding the new housing program and fiscal reform, which caused uncertainty last year, and higher participation of medium and small homebuilders. As a result, we expect the formal residential sector to have a low-single-digit decline this year. Infrastructure spending accelerated during the second half of the year. Investment by the Department of Communications and Transportation during 2013 increased by 12%. The approved 2014 budget for this department is 46% higher than last year's, and includes higher allocations for railroad and highway construction. We expect a double-digit increase in our cement volumes for this sector, driven by the increase in resources, reconstruction efforts and the general reactivation of the economy. Pricing dynamics last year were challenging in light of the weak demand environment. In mid-December, we announced an 8% increase for bagged cement in most regions in the country, and an 8% increase in ready-mix. For bulk cement, we announced a 9% price increase beginning the 1st of January, also in most regions. We continue to focus on higher value-added products and services, and emphasize our customer loyalty programs through our dedicated distribution channels. We will continue to be vigilant about the pricing environment and look for opportunities to recover our input cost inflation in our core products. In addition, during 2013, we continued with our efforts to reduce cost and improve efficiencies. In summary, we feel that recent positive trends in indicators across the different demand segments lead us to be optimistic about this year. Our cement volumes for 2013 -- '14 should grow in the mid-single digits driven by a higher emphasis on infrastructure spending, a continued positive industrial and commercial sector, and a growing self-construction sector. For 2015 and beyond, the recently approved energy reforms should translate into higher infrastructure spending and leading into higher demand for our specialty higher value-added products. In 2013, the United States produced the highest incremental EBITDA of any region. This EBITDA increase was fueled by steady volume growth, healthy pricing gains and favorable operating leverage. The performance during 2013 provides convincing evidence that the turnaround in the U.S. is sustainable over the medium term. We are pleased with the results and look forward to a better contribution from the U.S. during 2014. During the quarter, on a year-over-year basis, our cement and ready-mix and aggregates volumes increased by 9%, 2% and 1%, respectively. On a pro forma basis, adjusting for the transfer of our ready-mix assets in the Carolinas into the newly established joint venture with Concrete Supply, ready-mix volumes grew by 8%. We experienced healthy volume growth in spite of poor weather conditions in many of our markets during the quarter. Volume growth was driven by the residential and industrial and commercial sectors. Housing permits in our 4 key states, Texas, Florida, California and Arizona, were up 24% in 2013 compared with a 17% increase at the national level. Florida and California lead the way with growth rates in excess of 30%. Construction spending for industrial and commercial rose 10% in 2013. Industrial and commercial demand in our key states continues to outperform national levels. While national contract awards are up 12% in real terms, contract awards for our key states are up 31% for 2013. While total public infrastructure spending remained weak during the quarter, we did see some recovery in highway and bridge investment. Despite a 5% drop in infrastructure spending during 2013, highway and bridge spending for this period rose by 1% relative to the prior year. We attribute the improvement to greater highway funding visibility on the part of state and municipal governments. Importantly, during 2013, contract awards for highway and bridge work are up 18% in real terms. This is the highest growth rate in these contract awards that we have seen over a decade. This improvement is largely due to the approval of 9 TIFIA-funded projects with a total project cost of $13 billion. With improved state finances and reduced risk of federal highway funding disruptions and the TIFIA funding program beginning to take hold, we believe cement volumes for highways and bridges should increase in the low-single-digit range during 2014. Regarding pricing, our value-before-volume initiative continued to pay off during 2013. Prices for cement to external customers, ready-mix and aggregates, are up 4%, 6% and 5%, respectively, versus the prior year. In the case of ready-mix, fees and surcharges account for close to 1/3 of the pricing improvement. We entered 2014 even more committed to our goal of eliminating the chronic underpricing of our products over the last decade and seeking a fair return on the capital employed in this business. We have already announced 2 rounds of cement price increases for the year, as well as various ready-mix and aggregates increases. While the majority of the first round cement price increases take effect in April, January price increases in Colorado and Florida have achieved favorable traction. Increased sales, volumes and successful price increases, bolstered by cost containment and energy mix optimization initiatives, contributed significantly to our favorable operational leverage during the quarter. Our alternative fuel utilization during 2013 reached 25%, 2 percentage points higher than in the prior year. Our confidence regarding the sustainability and pace of the U.S. recovery continues to grow as we enter 2014. We expect high-single-digit volume growth in cement and ready-mix and mid-single-digit growth in aggregates during the year. This forecast reflects a continued recovery in the residential sector, a vibrant industrial and commercial sector, as well as a better demand from infrastructure. In our Northern Europe region, the economic turnaround we saw during 2013 resulted in growth in regional volumes during the second half of the year. For the full year, cement volumes grew in all countries in the region, aside from Poland. In our ready-mix operations, we also saw volume growth during the third and fourth quarters. Volumes for the full year increased in the U.K., Latvia, Hungary and Austria. Both regional cement and ready-mix prices increased by 2% during the fourth quarter in local currency terms. Cement prices in those countries grew in this period, with the exception of the U.K. Operating EBITDA and EBITDA margin for the full year 2013 were essentially flat, adjusting for the favorable effect during the first quarter of 2012 of a change in the pension plan in the region. We continue to roll out our value-before-volume strategy in the region, adapting our cement production to customer needs. And in the case of Poland, we continued to manage our capacity with actions, including kiln stoppages and cost optimization. In Germany, our ready-mix operations were EBITDA positive for the first time since 2006. The residential sector was the main driver of demand for our products during 2013. Residential permits increased by 11% during the third quarter and by 5% during the month of October. Low mortgage rates and low unemployment continue to drive residential construction. Growth in wages and net immigration into the country also contributed to housing demand. For 2014, we expect this sector to continue its positive trend, with volumes growing in the mid-single digits. We expect the industrial and commercial sectors to also exceed mid-single-digit growth during this year as the economy continues to improve. The infrastructure sector remained stable during 2013, and a slight growth is expected during this year, driven by transportation infrastructure projects. In Poland, our focus on more profitable volumes as part of our value-before-volume strategy affected our quarterly cement volume performance. We remain fully committed to this strategy. During 2013, the decline in the infrastructure sector was a result of a high base of activity in the previous year, a decline in EU funds for capital investment in the public sector, financial difficulties of some construction companies and the delay of some projects. After 2 years of decline, this sector should grow in the mid- to high-single digits this year. Activity in the residential sector was affected by lower average wages resulting from the economic slowdown. This year, the residential sector should be relatively stable. The industrial and commercial sectors should also show stability, driven by business process outsourcing projects. In France, ready-mix volumes increased by 2% during the last quarter. Pre-electoral spending during 2013 in anticipation of municipal elections has been limited, as local administrations have been impacted by financing constraints and the government strategies to reduce deficit. Infrastructure activity for this year will continue to be supported by highway and high-speed railway projects that started during 2012 and will last several years. Regarding the residential sector, housing starts declined by about 5% in the last 12 months as of November, reflecting tight credit availability and the less attractive buy-to-let program introduced at the beginning of 2013. A slight decline in housing starts is also expected for this year. In the United Kingdom, cement and ready-mix volumes continued their positive performance during the fourth quarter. During 2013, the residential sector was positively impacted by the Help to Buy programs. This sector should continue to be the main driver for our products during this year. The infrastructure sector should also grow this year in anticipation of the 2015 elections, and driven by road and rail projects. In the Mediterranean region, during the quarter, we saw growth in cement volumes in Egypt and the Emirates, which more than offset the decline in Spain and Croatia. For the full year, we had positive cement volumes in Egypt and the Emirates and positive ready-mix volumes in Israel, Croatia and the Emirates. We continue to modulate capacity in the region based on customer demand in support of our value-before-volume strategy. In Egypt, our domestic gray cement volumes during the fourth quarter and full year increased by 7%. Energy and electricity disruptions continued during the quarter. On the energy side, the government has delayed its decision to authorize the utilization of other fuels such as pet coke and coal. In addition, the gradual elimination of subsidies on energy will continue. Our alternative fuel strategy continued to allow us to operate regularly during the quarter. On the electricity side, we have been managing our production capacity to reduce utilization during peak hours. Our cement prices in Egypt increased by 1% on a sequential basis and by 18% on a year-over-year basis. The price increase during the year offset the increase in fuel costs resulting from the partial elimination of energy subsidies. Prices should continue to reflect the increase in energy prices going forward. The main driver of cement consumption in the country remains the informal sector. During the quarter, we also saw a slight reactivation in the formal residential sector. Infrastructure activity continued to be low. Going forward, we expect some downward pressure on our volumes, reflecting the increased cement production capacity in the country. We will continue to focus on our value-before-volume strategy and on the marketing of our value-added branded bagged cement, which, last year, represented more than 1/2 of our sales. In Israel, we saw double-digit growth in ready-mix volumes and EBITDA during the quarter and the full year. During the quarter, ready-mix volumes increased by 13% while pricing increased by 2%. For the full year, ready-mix volumes increased by 12%, with the pricing up 3%. Operating EBITDA grew by 24% during 2013, on the back of a 21% increase in sales. In Spain, demand for our products during the quarter continued to be affected by low activity in all sectors. In contrast, both cement and ready-mix prices during the quarter were up 6% in local currency terms on a year-over-year basis. Infrastructure activity during 2013 remained at very low levels, reflecting continued fiscal austerity measures. Decline in activity in this sector is expected to continue this year. In the residential sector, the market is gradually absorbing home inventories. The recent stabilization of home prices should help further decrease these inventories, although credit availability continues to be limited. For this year, our volumes in the residential sector should stabilize or even improve slightly. In our South, Central America and the Caribbean region, operating EBITDA margin expansion during the quarter and the full year 2013 mainly reflect our continuing initiatives to improve our efficiency, as well as higher volumes in our 3 core products. In our operations in Colombia, we are encouraged with the strong volume growth during the quarter. We continue to see a strong level of construction activity. Our new 450,000-tonne cement grinding mill started operations in October, improving our footprint in one of the most dynamic regions in the country. During 2013, the residential sector was the main driver for demand of our products in the country, primarily supported by the construction of the 100,000 government-sponsored free home program. We expect this sector to grow in the mid-single digits during 2014, driven by 2 additional housing initiatives, which include subsidies on mortgage rates on an additional 130,000 homes. In the infrastructure sector, we continue to see activity driven by the continuation of highway projects. For this year, we expect an acceleration of current projects with potentially higher levels of investment by local governments. The industrial and commercial sector maintained its favorable trends, supported by the positive economic outlook, higher investor confidence and the new trade agreements signed by Colombia. We expect this sector to grow in the high-single digits during 2014. In Panama, our cement volumes during 2013 increased by 3%. The residential sector continues to be an important driver of demand. Housing construction, particularly in the middle-income segment, has been posting strong growth rates. We expect this favorable performance in the residential sector to continue during 2014, although at a more moderate rate. In terms of infrastructure, demand for our products during 2013 was supported by several ongoing projects, such as the canal expansion and the Cinta Costera. In addition, the Corredor Norte highway has also started construction. Infrastructure spending going forward should continue to be supported by these and new projects like the third bridge over the canal and the expansion of the Inter-American Highway, which could start construction works in the short term. The decline in our cement volumes for Panama anticipated for this year reflects the expected completion of the canal expansion. Excluding volumes related to this project, our cement volume estimates for this year are slightly higher than last year's volumes. In addition, cement prices to the canal expansion are lower than our average. So as this project phases out, weighted average prices should go up. In Asia, we had significant operating EBITDA margin expansion during the fourth quarter and full year, driven by strong prices and higher volumes. In the Philippines, despite the typhoon which hit the country during the month of November, our cement volumes grew during the quarter. Volumes for 2013 were driven by the residential and, to a lesser extent, the infrastructure and industrial and commercial sectors. Prices were stable sequentially and increased by 5% during 2013 in local currency terms. During 2014, the residential sector will continue to benefit from stable inflation, low mortgage rates and strong remittances. Infrastructure spending will remain healthy with projects still in the pipeline and reconstruction efforts. To satisfy the fast-growing market in the country, our new grinding capacity in the Philippines of 1.5 million tonnes per year is expected to be operational during the second quarter of this year. In summary, we are pleased with the growth in volumes in most of our regions and the initial outcome of our value-before-volume strategy. In addition, we continue to see the positive operating leverage effects in the United States. We are pleased with the growth in consolidated EBITDA in 2013 despite the slowdown in Mexico. And now I will turn the call over to Maher to discuss our financials. Maher?