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Cohen & Steers, Inc. (CNS)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 22, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Cohen & Steers Third Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] This conference is being recorded, Thursday, October 22, 2020. And now I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Heller, Senior Vice President and Corporate Counsel of Cohen & Steers. Please go ahead.

Brian Heller

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome to the Cohen & Steers third quarter 2020 earnings conference call. Joining me are our Chief Executive Officer, Bob Steers; our President, Joe Harvey; and our Chief Financial Officer, Matt Stadler. I want to remind you that some of our comments and answers to your questions may include forward-looking statements. We believe these statements are reasonable based on information currently available to us, but actual outcomes could differ materially due to a number of factors, including those described in our accompanying third quarter earnings release and presentation, our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 and June 30, 2020 and our other SEC filings. We assume no duty to update any forward-looking statement. Furthermore, none of our statements constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the securities of any fund. Our presentation also contains non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are meaningful in evaluating our performance. These non-GAAP financial measures should be read in conjunction with our GAAP results. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures is included in the earnings release and presentation to the extent reasonably available. The earnings release and presentation as well as links to our SEC filings are available in the Investor Relations section of our website at www.cohenandsteers.com. With that, I'll turn the call over to Matt.

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

Thank you, Brian. Good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. My remarks this morning will focus on our as-adjusted results, a reconciliation of GAAP to as-adjusted results can be found on pages 18 and 19 of the earnings release and on slides 16 and 17 of the earnings presentation. Yesterday we reported earnings of $0.67 per share compared with $0.65 in the prior year's quarter and $0.54 sequentially. Revenue is $111.4 million for the quarter compared with $104.9 million in the prior year's quarter and $94 million sequentially. The increase in revenue from the second quarter was primarily attributable to higher average assets under management and additional day in the quarter and the recognition of $5.2 million of performance fees from certain institutional accounts. Our implied effective fee rate was 59 basis points in the third quarter compared with 56 basis points in the second quarter. Excluding performance fees, our third quarter implied effective fee rate would have been 55.8 basis points. Operating income was $44.2 million in the third quarter compared with $40.7 million in the prior year's quarter and $35.5 million sequentially. Our operating margin increased to 39.6% from 37.7% last quarter. Expenses increased 14.8% on a sequential basis primarily due to higher compensation and benefits and distribution and service fees. The compensation to revenue ratio was 36.5% to the third quarter consistent with the guidance provided on our last call and the increase in distribution and service fees was primarily due to higher average assets under management in U.S. open end funds. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 27% consistent with the guidance provided on our last call. Page 15 of the earnings presentation displays our cash, corporate investments in U.S. Treasury securities and seed investments for the current and trailing four quarters. Our…

Joseph Harvey

Analyst

Thank you Matt and good morning everyone. Today I will review our investment performance then provide some perspective on how our largest asset classes are performing as the pandemic and recession progress. Notwithstanding expectations for this fall's resurgence in the virus and sustained economic challenges markets were strong in the third quarter due to ongoing monetary status hoped for additional fiscal stimulus both pre and post-presidential election and the progress made with potential protocols to protect against and prevent the virus. The high level summary of our asset class performance is that preferreds performed well versus fixed income, U.S. and global REITS and infrastructure notably trailed throughout the technology-led rally in stocks and certain of our strategies with energy allocations underperformed on concerns about the secular decline in the demand for oil considering the growing focus on renewables. Turning to our performance scorecard in the third quarter seven of our nine core strategies outperformed their benchmarks while midstream energy and resource equities underperformed. For the last 12 months five of nine core strategies outperformed benchmarks and one performed in line. As measured by AUM 70% of our portfolios are outperforming on a one year basis. 83% are outperforming over three years and 99% are outperforming over five years. The one-year figure declined from 75% last quarter while the three and five-year figures were consistent. Last year our one-year out performance was 96% and the decline to 70% was primarily due to preferred strategies. For the one-year period 21% of preferred strategies were outperforming. If all preferred strategies outperformed our firm wide AUM outperformance would be 92%. Separately 92% of our open-end fund AUM is rated four or five star by Morningstar compared with 98% last quarter. Preferreds returned 4.4% in the quarter. We outperformed in both our core and low…

Robert Steers

Analyst

Thanks Joe and good morning everyone. As Matt indicated this was another strong quarter with $2.3 billion of net inflows. We've now achieved strong positive organic growth in five consecutive quarters and in 20 of the last 24 quarters. As has been the case all year our inflows were broad based and diverse. All four distribution channels were in net inflows again and most geographic regions were as well as. Indicator of incremental drivers of demand beyond strong relative investment performance and improving distribution capabilities our year-to-date gross inflows have already exceeded our prior full-year sales record by over 20%. As has recently been the case the wealth channel led the way in the quarter with $1.6 billion of net inflows representing a 22% organic growth rate. Year-to-date gross inflows of $13.6 billion have already beaten the 2019 full-year record of $12.5 billion. U.S. open-end net inflows of $1.3 billion were primarily derived from our preferred securities and U.S. real estate strategies. Fund flows within wealth were strong in every intermediary channel. Net flows from RIAs were $752 million representing a 34% organic growth rate. The bank trust and insurance segment delivered net inflows of $306 million; a 32% organic growth rate and the wirehouse channel generated $299 million; an 18% organic growth rate. As we've said in the past we believe the new and vastly improved vintage of closed-end funds represents a large and dynamic new growth opportunity for CNS. The new fee structures along with some limits on duration have the potential to substantially expand the universe of potential buyers to include larger and more sophisticated investors which in turn will open up the range of investment strategies that can be successfully floated beyond traditional fixed income portfolios. We are currently in the market with a closed end…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] We have a question from John Dunn with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

John Dunn

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Maybe we could start with kind of a broader question. Just thinking looking back a few years you guys had really invested a lot in real estate institutes to spur growth in the wealth management channel. That's voting today we're seeing the payoff of that. Maybe to frame it maybe is it what's the real assets institutes of today like I mean by that something where you're investing now that a few years from now we're going to look back and see organic growth. Is it U.S. institutional that comes to mind or are there others?

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

John is the question related to distribution or product development?

John Dunn

Analyst

Both because really that's it's institute with getting the product into distribution.

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

Yes. Well we continue to emphasize and put a lot of resources behind our education initiatives, our thought leadership pieces, our white papers and as you can probably guess from Joe's comments and my comments about a significant uptick in institutional interest in hedging strategies that hedge inflation we're focusing quite a bit on that. So the real asset institute is really just broadly based our commitment to white papers, thought leadership and so yes we are expanding. We have been expanding and going higher and deeper with our institutional distribution; number one. Number two, we are continuing to invest in thought leadership and focusing it on the issues and challenges that are on our clients minds and three, we have established along with the institute and a significant institutional client advisory panel to both keep them informed but also work with us to develop innovative new strategies.

John Dunn

Analyst

Got it. And then maybe could you talk a little bit about the non-Japan subadvisory business? Just you've made some changes over the past year or so and it's doing better these days and also how that the interplay between building out that business and trying to have more direct business in particular in Europe?

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

Sure well as step one was de-emphasizing or eliminating some relationships that weren't going to be strategic or long-term. Two, was to develop a strategic partners program where those relationships, pre-existing relationships and potentially new relationships would get a package of benefits from preferential fees to access, to research and I think significant benefits such as that. We also as part of that as the OCIO industry is growing quite rapidly but it's not homogeneous. There are some OCIOs for whom we manage separate accounts. There are others that utilize our services as sub-advisors and that would manifest itself in this segment. And so I think our existing relationships are poised to grow and I think we're hopeful that we're going to be adding some meaningful subadvisory relationships with this growing OCIO segment.

John Dunn

Analyst

Thanks very much.

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

Thank you John.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have a question from Robert Lee with KBW. Please go ahead.

Robert Lee

Analyst

Great. Thanks. Good morning everyone. Thanks for taking my questions. Let's just maybe want to focus a little bit on the closing fund market. You mentioned fund market now with I think a preferred fund and I guess two questions there is that expected any color on kind of what you're thinking in terms of size, expected close and the extent there is costs related to that? I'm assuming that was not part of the guidance?

Robert Steers

Analyst

No. There was no inclusion of any expected raise for the current fund in our guidance. Since we're in the market in registration on that fund we can't really comment on the market reception. I will say and I can't emphasize this more strongly we see the capital markets, closed-end funds and other vehicles as a very substantial incremental product and distribution opportunity for us starting now with this fund in the market. We think that you're going to see in the closed end fund market you're going to see raises that are significantly larger industry wide than in the past. You're going to see investment strategies that combine public and private and give the public access to securities that they otherwise and investments that they otherwise could not access. So I would encourage you all to totally rethink and reevaluate any impressions you have on the closed end fund industry because it's going to change substantially. We also see more and more opportunities to work with our clients to benefit from the arbitrage between public and private real assets and we see that as an exciting new investment opportunity for us and prospectively an asset gathering opportunity.

Robert Lee

Analyst

Great and maybe just two follow-up questions on this topic. You mentioned changing duration. You've seen more term structure type closing funds come to market. I'm not sure that's what you're referring to and also one of the changes that I think I perceive of the marketplace is in order to kind of really narrow that kind of offering costs the advisors themselves are ponying up more upfront capital so like if you look at BlackRock's recent $2 billion offering I think they had about $83 million of costs expenses related to that. So is this in the short term whether is obviously a good thing to raise these assets that, could that impact how we should be thinking as of a special dividend or anything? If you have some outsize one-time offering costs?

Robert Steers

Analyst

Well that's a great question. First of all as you point out the new structure is obviously a great deal for investors. There is virtually no frictional costs for investors. Sponsors such as ourselves shoulder all the deal costs which are not insignificant as you point out. I'll make two comments on that. One is that that upfront capital cost creates substantial barriers to entry to the closed-end fund market. So whereas in the past you had closed-end fund offerings from all kinds of firms; big, small and everything in between I don't believe you're going to see that anymore and we as the seventh or eighth largest issuer historically in the industry and as you know we have a fantastic balance sheet there are no financial barriers for us to this market. In modeling out this opportunity even with those costs the IRRs that we're looking at for that exceed 30% with very low risk. So it is again an exciting opportunity. Yes it is a new use for our capital which as you know we've generally paid out a significant special each year, I can't comment on the special this year but we will go through the same process we go through every year which is evaluating our cash reserves and alternative uses for that cash.

Robert Lee

Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my questions.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And we have a question from Michael Carrier with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Michael Carrier

Analyst

Hi, good morning and thanks for taking the questions. Joe you mentioned the nine new strategies but I think you mentioned something in a non-created space of your comments. So can you provide some color on types of new strategies and maybe the process of ramping up the distribution channels and where you expect the most again?

Joseph Harvey

Analyst

Yes. So in terms of new strategy development which has been a project for the past three years we've got a lot that are extensions of our core competencies. So for example, in the infrastructure area one of the ones that we're most high on is digital infrastructure which plays to the whole e-commerce ecosystem and as you can imagine has performed extremely well throughout this environment. It ranges from that to small cap infrastructure which is a thematic play to ground in an investment thesis that all of the, some of the capital that's being raised in the private market is going to find its way into the public markets by way of buying companies or buying parts of companies. We also have other things like a lower risk approach to diversified real assets which deweights some of the more volatile parts of the real asset portfolio, inserts tips and other short-term credits. So the records are very consistent with the things that we do but they're grounded in either great investment ideas or trends that we see being sustained. I think Bob mentioned the potential to develop some strategies to optimize how to invest in both the public and private market for real assets. When we're not ready to talk about some of the things we're working on there but we think there is a terrific opportunity to take what some of our peers are doing in the private space for delivered and non-traded for example or through the closed-end fund market which and along with the features that Bob talked about is a need or a desire to have access to investments that are tougher to get and many times it has a private element to it. So for example, if you've been following us you may have seen a press release where we on behalf of our clients made an investment in a private real estate company called Lineage a cold storage operator. So that's the type of investment that we think matches nicely with the closed end fund market. So we'll have more to talk about but we're excited about continuing to innovate and provide better ways for both institutions and wealth investors to invest in real estate.

Michael Carrier

Analyst

All right. Great. And then maybe a second one just a question on capital and M&A and it's sort of two parts you guys have been doing the special dividends as cash builds but you've also looked yes some M&A in the past it looks like there's more activity in the industry. So is your priority on cash change at all? And then given more industry M&A and the need for scale in certain areas yet also many pitfalls. How do you think about the longer term outlook performance years meaning continuing as a strong performing focused asset manager or needing to be part of a larger platform? Thanks.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Well look as we've talked about our focus continues to be adding exciting investment opportunities that seek to break new ground and develop and deliver great returns for our clients and to address our clients issues. With respect to M&A as you know, we've really not done anything on in terms of us looking at a potential target. We're always looking to fill gaps and add capabilities but historically we've typically done that organically and so both of those options are open to us. Candidly to be honest and there is a great associate study recently that put I think the industry in perspective which basically said there are two ways to be successful going forward. One is scale and everybody knows the big names out there and so on that gives you product breadth and distribution and so on. But it doesn't give you investment performance and the other bucket is specialists, focused managers who have something special who dominate an asset class and as you can see from our margins and from our results we don't need scale to deliver profitable growth and frankly scale is probably more of an obstacle to investment, good investment performance rather than helping it. So I think your scale question I think pertains to traditional very large asset managers who are in organic decay whereas I think product specialists like ourselves and others. Scale is not the issue. It's can we sustain outstanding performance.

Michael Carrier

Analyst

Makes sense. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have a follow-up question from John Dunn with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

John Dunn

Analyst

Thanks for taking the follow-up. I looked at the infrastructure team's performance and it remains good and you mentioned the kind of emerging new types of infrastructure stuff but is it just really a change in rates that's going to get this product really in flowing?

Robert Steers

Analyst

Well it depends on the channel right. Institutionally there is lots of interest and it's growing. I think the wealth channel has trouble understanding exactly what it is and so my sense is and Joe you're probably closer to this than I but my senses is the infrastructure portfolios that have had some success in the wealth channel are primarily yield driven as opposed to more fundamentals.

Joseph Harvey

Analyst

Well I would say a couple things. One as Bob said institutionally there is a lot of interest and because of the liquidity offered in listed infrastructure we're seeing more interest from smaller institutions. So I don't know maybe that's a precursor to wealth beginning to adopt it. But yes the funds that have had the most success in the wealth channel have had a high income component to them but I'd say that when you look at all of the activity that's surrounding infrastructure and the pandemic is a great advertisement for it I don't mean to speak of it in the terms but had we not, this country not made it an investment in 5G and e-commerce think about where we'd be. So there is a tremendous investment opportunity and ultimately capital will follow that and another example will be renewables. It's likely that there is going to be a lot of focus and investment required in renewables. We're seeing it in Europe depending on who is elected as President we could see more emphasis or less emphasis but on the whole topic of infrastructure there is significant investment needs across a variety of fronts on infrastructure and I think ultimately that will help drive capital into our vehicles.

John Dunn

Analyst

Thanks again.

Operator

Operator

And we have follow-up question from Robert Lee with KBW. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Robert Lee

Analyst

Great. Thank you for taking my follow-up. I apologize I think I just missed it in your earlier comments but could you repeat what kind of your current pipeline is and then one but unfunded and then just kind of any kind of near-term color on clearly institutional activity is strong but any kind of color on kind of search activity at least in on tactical places until the end of the year?

Robert Steers

Analyst

As we mentioned the pipeline of awarded but unfunded mandates is about one and a quarter billion. In looking at that pipeline it is as has been the case mainly real estate related strategies U.S. and global. With respect to RFP activity the only I think the new momentum that we're seeing just in the last six months is both an interest in creating portfolios that can provide significant hedge against unexpected inflation. We're seeing in the wealth channel as I said but also elsewhere just strong interest in all alternative income strategies and we're also seeing we keep talking about there's a significant arbitrage between public and private market valuations particularly in real estate and we have a number of existing clients and potentially new clients that want to rely on us to craft and implement strategies that can help them navigate their allocations between public and private. So I think there are two really or even three interesting new avenues of growth for us; inflation, hedges there is arbitrage between public and private and obviously additional alternative income strategies.

Robert Lee

Analyst

Great. I appreciate my follow-ups.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

And there are no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back to Bob Steers.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Great. Well thank you all for dialing in this morning and we look forward to sharing our some of the exciting ideas that we're working on now on our next call. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

That concludes the call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask you please disconnect your line.