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Cohen & Steers, Inc. (CNS)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Thu, Jul 23, 2020

$68.94

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Cohen & Steers Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded, Thursday, July 23, 2020. I would now like to turn the conference over to Brian Heller, Senior Vice President and Corporate Counsel of Cohen & Steers. Please go ahead.

Brian Heller

Analyst

Thank you, and welcome to the Cohen & Steers second quarter 2020 earnings conference call. Joining me are our Chief Executive Officer, Bob Steers; our President, Joe Harvey; and our Chief Financial Officer, Matt Stadler. I want to remind you that some of our comments and answers to your questions may include forward-looking statements. We believe these statements are reasonable based on information currently available to us, but actual outcomes could differ materially due to a number of factors, including those described in our accompanying second quarter earnings release and presentation, our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020 and our other SEC filings. We assume no duty to update any forward-looking statement. Further, none of our statements constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy the securities of any fund. Our presentation also contains non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are meaningful in evaluating our performance. These non-GAAP financial measures should be read in conjunction with our GAAP results. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP financial measures is included in the earnings release and presentation to the extent reasonably available. The earnings release and presentation as well as links to our SEC filings are available in the Investor Relations section of our website at www.cohenandsteers.com. Finally, I'd like to note that each of our speakers' are participating on today's call remotely. With that, I'll turn the call over to Matt.

Matthew Stadler

Analyst

Thanks, Brian. Good morning, everyone. Before I discuss our second quarter results, I'd like to provide a quick update on our operational capabilities amid the COVID-19 pandemic. Our operations continue to perform effectively in a remote work environment, using the business continuity measures that were implemented during the first quarter. We have maintained an active and reliable network of communications, both with employees and with clients as well as effective work and controlled environments across the organization. Our technology and infrastructure, including the use of key third-party service providers have continued to support our operations without interruption. And as always, our executive team remains vigilant and prepared to respond to various contingency scenarios that may arise. My remarks this morning will focus on our as-adjusted results. A reconciliation of GAAP to as-adjusted results can be found on Pages 19 and 20 of the earnings release or on Slides 16 and 17 of the earnings presentation. Yesterday, we reported earnings of $0.54 per share compared with $0.62 in the prior year's quarter and $0.61, sequentially. Revenue was $94 million for the quarter compared with $101.8 million in the prior year's quarter and $105.8 million sequentially. The decrease in revenue from the first quarter was primarily attributable to lower average assets under management. Average assets under management for the quarter were $62.2 billion compared with $66.6 billion in the prior year's quarter and $69 billion sequentially. Our implied effective fee rate was 56 basis points in the second quarter compared with 56.7 basis points in the first quarter. This reduction was less than the anticipated 1 basis point decrease mentioned on our last call primarily due to a favorable shift in asset mix. Operating income was $35.5 million in the second quarter compared with $38.8 million in the prior year's quarter and…

Joseph Harvey

Analyst

Thank you, Matt, and good morning, everyone. Today, I will review our investment performance, then provide some perspective on how our major asset classes are positioned admits the pandemic. Financial markets rallied strongly off the lows of late March and returns across all listed financial assets were significant in the second quarter, spurred by unprecedented fiscal and monetary stimulus and improvement in the virus curves in some parts of the world and parts of the U.S. and wide ranging efforts to reopen geographies and businesses. However, this crisis is far from over with a recent rise of virus cases in certain areas and the economic fallout becoming better understood across the globe. The good news is that capital markets were volatile have been open and are providing capital to a wide range of businesses. Turning to our performance scorecard. In the second quarter, three of our nine core strategies outperformed their benchmarks. For the last 12 months, six of nine core strategies outperformed. Measured by AUM, 75% of our portfolios are outperforming on a one-year basis, 84% are outperforming over three years and 99% are outperforming over five years. The one and three-year figures improved from last quarter while the five-year figure remains near perfect. The improvement in our batting averages from last quarter was primarily attributable to preferred and global-listed infrastructure strategies. 98% of our open-end fund AUM is rated 4 or 5 star by Morningstar up from 89% at the beginning of 2020. On an absolute basis, our equity strategies in REITs and infrastructure underperformed the stock market, which was led by higher beta technology, consumer discretionary and energy sectors. Our preferred strategies narrowly-led credit performance compared with investment grade corporates, bank loans and high yield. In terms of our relative performance, most of our portfolios have been…

Robert Steers

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Matt and Joe, and good morning. As you are aware, operating in the current social, economic and market environments remains a challenge. The seemingly unpredictable path forward regarding the spread of the coronavirus, puts into question all aspects of the shape and timing of any return to normalcy. Schools, businesses, and state and federal governments are all plotting courses based on what we know now, but fully expect to adapt on the fly to conditions as they evolve for the balance of the year. We are no different. Cohen & Steers continues to operate remotely in the U.S. And though that we are targeting a potential Phase I return in October, we are prepared to delay that until next year if necessary. Notwithstanding this unprecedented uncertainty, we plan to stay the course by investing in people and product development to capitalize on existing and prospective growth opportunities that we've identified for real assets and alternative income strategies while continuing to manage aggressively those variable costs that are in our control. Given this difficult backdrop, we're really pleased to report a near record $3.4 billion of inflows in the quarter. In many respects, I believe this was actually our strongest quarter ever. Only one other quarter produced superior results, but that was dominated by one source of inflows, Japan sub-advisory. By contrast and consistent with our long-term strategic plan, this quarter we generated positive net flows in every channel and region. Many years of planning and investing have substantially diversified and broadened our distribution capabilities and platform. There were multiple factors that drove our 24% organic growth rate in the quarter. The market decline in March, especially for REITs, actually motivated many existing and new relationships to add to or initiate positions. Also, the significant arbitrage that has developed…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of John Dunn with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

John Dunn

Analyst

Good morning, guys, and thanks. So the advisory channel, it's gotten up to almost the quarter of the mix from kind of mid-teens a few years ago. Can you give us sort of a flavor of the composition of the mix of strategies and where the clients are coming from at this point?

Robert Steers

Analyst

Sure, John. There is a diverse mix. It is mainly – at least in the quarter, it was mainly global real estate. But we did have multi-strat, we had European real estate. We had global-listed infrastructure in terms of the mandates that were awarded and unfunded in the quarter. We had, as I mentioned, mandates from both Asia and the EMEA region with the bulk of it coming from the U.S. I would emphasize that the bulk of the assets did come from existing accounts, which is a strong positive in the sense that we have a lot of large, long and deep relationships. So when the air pocket, when the downdraft developed, they had complete confidence in picking up the phone and calling us and adding or launching new strategies. At the same time, as I mentioned, we brought on additional talent to bulk up and improve our results in generating new mandates from new clients in the U.S., and we do hope and expect to do better there.

John Dunn

Analyst

Got it. And then just how are you finding the reception for your retail strategies over in Europe now that you're going with more of a direct fund approach? And what do you think that looks like when you guys hit some of those meaningful size threshold over there?

Robert Steers

Analyst

Well, that's another great question. I hope we are near the end of a search process for a new head of our well fund effort in Europe. The flows into our usage funds there have lagged our expectations, and we've essentially been on hold in the last six months, but we're hoping starting this fall to really crank up our efforts. I think you'll find that the talent that we're going to bring in is substantial, and we are absolutely committed to growing these funds. And we are not at the threshold that we'd like to be in order to really start seeing some scalability there. But we're hoping, again, starting this fall to reinitiate a strong effort there.

John Dunn

Analyst

Thank you.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Thanks, John.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Mike Carrier with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Michael Carrier

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. It's a great flow quarter and probably a tough quarter to ask this question, but you guys have been making quite a few investments in distribution. So just wanted to get an update, particularly on the institutional side, on when you expect to see maybe further traction or further penetration in some of the areas that you guys had mentioned that Cohen & Steers was kind of under penetrated versus where you expect to be just given the products that you have, the performance that you guys are putting up and realize that when you put up this organic growth rate, probably not the right quarter to ask it, but just curious on the update?

Robert Steers

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Sure. It's a great question. And as we mentioned in our prior call, led by Dan Charles, we reorganized our U.S. institutional effort away from channels and having more of a regional focus. And we reorganized the teams that cover those regions. And so we're six months into it. We're seeing some very encouraging activity. And as we mentioned in our remarks, institutional interest in real assets remains strong. So that activity will continue. To be honest, I would say that, I'd like to give this new approach 12 months before we expect to see a significant uptick in institutional sales. Again, I think we're going to do well between now and year-end, but we expect to do better than well. And we expect to gain significant market share because of the quality of our product. So we're six months into the reorganization. Jeff Sharon just joined us, and so again, I would expect activity levels to improve, productivity to improve, and asset raising to improve. But I wouldn't expect to see a stair function improvement probably until first quarter of next – starting next year.

Michael Carrier

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thanks. And then just a follow-up. I think you mentioned in the third quarter, just on the infrastructure side, maybe a lumpy outflow. And then I think some of the money that came in during the quarter, I think you said something – either some tactical strategic assets. I think in the past, that meant – or sometimes we saw that money kind of come in and then exit over a shorter timeframe. So just curious, if I heard that right or what that means from a flow standpoint?

Robert Steers

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Yes, you heard that right. So the overwhelming majority of the flows in, I believe, are long-term asset allocations. A portion of the money that came in from existing clients was from some very, very large relationships that from time-to-time we'll tactically add and subtract from their accounts. There's no way of knowing whether this money will – is tactical or strategic from one or two of them. But we view it as long-term money, but on the other hand, if retail outperform, they might take some back. As Joe mentioned, REITs are still down double-digits for the year. There's still great value. So I don't anticipate this being truly short-term money. And then, of course, we had a real boost in our wealth side from the addition to financial intermediaries model-based platform. And we had a nice bump there. There will be additional flows, probably in the second – in the third quarter, but we'll also be participating in the growth of that overall program going forward. So long-term, it will continue to be added into organic growth.

Michael Carrier

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Okay. Thanks a lot.

Robert Steers

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Sure, Mike.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Lee with KBW. Please go ahead.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Great. Thank you. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. And I apologize if maybe you had mentioned this earlier, I now have a call a little bit late. But can you maybe update us on and sub-advisory certainly, it's improved, stabilized over the last year or so? And kind of maybe update us on your thoughts about things, potential from that business kind of over the next year or so and maybe some of the changes in there [indiscernible]?

Robert Steers

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

It's a little hard to hear that question. Is it basically what's the outlook for the sub-advisory sector?

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Yes, mainly in Japan.

Robert Steers

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Okay. The outlook there is the same as it's always been with our existing partner, Daiwa, the flows over there are dominated by U.S. REIT portfolios. And at the present time, our Daiwa's funds are selling well. There's a top selling REIT funds in the category because of our performance. But beyond – and so that will continue to chug along until it doesn't. However, we have made very substantial strides, developing new products with new distributors, such as MUKAM and SMBC on next-gen REIT. As I mentioned, we've raised over $200 million exactly in the COVID environment over there with limited marketing. We also are seeing growth – it's not sub-advisory, but in the institutional business over there. So we take a long-term view to Japan sub-advisory. Our relationship with Daiwa has been and continues to be strong, and we have made very significant strides in developing into – with new distributors with exciting new product strategies. So we feel very good about Japan sub-advisory.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. And maybe just one follow-up. I apologize if maybe this has been asked before. But in parsing, say, some of the U.S. high net worth channels, RIAs, wirehouses or regional firms. Can you give us a sense of where you see the most opportunity or where you feel like you're least well penetrated in various channels and maybe some of the initiatives or progress you're making into better penetrating some of the additional channels?

Robert Steers

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Well, there's absolutely no doubt that the RIA channel, I think, industry-wide and for us is the fastest growing. And we've identified that years ago and have migrated our sales teams to become hybrid, relationship managers. And candidly, our investment strategies are anything, but generic, they're not commodities. And so the internal buzzword that we rally around is we want everyone to go higher and deeper. We want to focus on large teams, whether they're in the BD channel or in the RIA channel, who really act more like endowments or foundations. They take deep dives into asset allocation and to manager research. And as a result, I'm fairly confident in saying by a wide margin, we deliver the highest quality white papers and research in support of all of this. And so we don't want to compete in commoditized marketplace. And so in those marketplaces that are increasingly embracing passive or focusing on low-cost, more than alpha generation, we're migrating away from that, and we're putting our chips in those markets, whether it's wealth or institutional where we can go higher and deeper, and the end-market really appreciate the tremendous alpha we're generating, the intellectual property that we're sharing with them, the support we're giving them, the platform that we've developed. So those large RIA that act independently and do their own research are our bread and butter and that's where we're seeing a lot of traction.

Robert Lee

Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead.

Great. I appreciate the color. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We do have a follow-up question from the line of John Dunn with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

John Dunn

Analyst

Maybe we could talk a little bit more about rest of the world sub-advisory. It did have best quarter in two years and you've been going through this process of shedding non-core strategies and the clients. Where do you think that could go from here? I mean, is it – are you finished with the revamp of where you want it to be? And do you think it can grow from here?

Robert Steers

Analyst

I do. I think we took a year or two to eliminate non-strategic relationships, which we're just steadily bleeding assets through lack of effort and where we didn't have a multi-strategy, strategic relationship. We also believe our existing relationships are very strong. And our partners really believe in the real asset class. And as such, they continue to embrace that and promote that. We're also hopeful that as we focus in on our OCIO initiative, and it's a big one. And not unlike the RIA trends, not unlike the DCIO trends and so on. The OCIO segment of our industry is growing rapidly and we expect that to continue to. And for us, that can generate significant separate account activity, but it can also generate sub-advisory assets. And again, our motto is to go higher and deeper. We want to identify the half a dozen OCIOs that we think are going to be the long-term winners. And so we're not trying to be all things to all people, just as we're not trying to be all things to all people in the wealth channel. We want to focus our efforts on who we think are going to be the long-term winners here. And there'll be some, I think, attractive sub-advisory opportunities in the OCIO channel.

John Dunn

Analyst

Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Bob Steers, Chief Executive Officer. Please continue with your presentation or closing remarks.

Robert Steers

Analyst

Well thanks to everyone for joining us this morning. We look forward to keeping you informed as this quarter progresses. And please, everyone stay safe. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

That does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines.