Eric Wintemute
Analyst · Jay Harris with Goldsmith & Harris
Well, I guess you're right up until the last: It depends in corn opportunities that I was going to talk a little about, the second and third quarter, fourth quarter, the flow. When the 2009 period hit, and all of a sudden our customers were faced with considerable write-downs of glyphosate and fertilizer, there was pretty big shift, at least, within our business of moving product more towards actual use. And I think part of what's happened here with corn is it's allowed us to shift our business to more at the time of need than stocking programs. And there's nothing wrong with stocking. There's a lot of concept to the "loaded is loyal" position. If you don't get your products in and somebody else does, then you may have missed out on an opportunity. But I think the pressure from the customer base has been more towards, let's try to get product -- I won't say just in time, but let's make sure the product's available, but let's also try to manage their inventories as well. So what we've -- our cotton insecticide Bidrin, which was really largely a fourth quarter and first quarter sales period for a second quarter and third quarter use, is now moving towards a second quarter, definitely third quarter sales and use period, so I think that's certainly part of it. Our fumigant business is going to remain the same. I mean, it's driven by a third quarter and fourth quarter usage in such big volume that storage being the issue. Our -- most of our customers don't have ability to take you to twice, anyway, even if we wanted to move that forward. So -- and with corn, there's production in schedule. We are going to be producing -- we're going to need to produce in third -- start in the third quarter particularly the soil insecticides. And I don't know that, that will necessarily -- it doesn't necessarily have to translate into sales because we can warehouse the material. But we're not even with the production at Hannibal, which would start maybe in -- not in time for next season but for the following season. We're still going to need to produce maybe 9 months out of the year to meet that demand. So I just -- I think, overall, that we are more balanced and I think that's a good thing. But again, we are -- there are always timings of various things that can fall in one quarter or another. Also, on the international side, we're seeing some considerable growth opportunities there. A lot of that is sold in the other side of the hemisphere, so that will also help average things out.