Andrew Page
Analyst · Brooke Roach from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open
Thanks, James. Before I start, I want to take the time to thank our more than 13,000 Amer employees around the world. Our passionate teammates are critical to developing innovative products, engaging with consumers and building our brands for the long term. And they've done an amazing job navigating the ever-changing macro environment with discipline and flexibility. I will discuss tariffs in detail when I provide guidance, but I want to start by saying that we are very confident that our fundamental business momentum, diverse global footprint, clean balance sheet and strong brand portfolio with pricing power will give us significant flexibility and firepower to manage through a variety of tariff scenarios. Let's go through Q1 results first. Amer Sports grew 23% in Q1 on a reported basis and 26% in constant currency. The strong group sales performance was led by both Technical Apparel and Outdoor Performance, while Ball & Racquet also delivered very solid growth in the quarter. By channel, the group continues to be led by DTC, which grew 39%, led by Salomon footwear in Greater China and APAC. We also saw solid wholesale growth of 12% led by Arc'teryx. Regional growth was led by Asia Pacific, which increased 49%, followed by China, which grew 43%, EMEA accelerated to 12% and the Americas also grew 12% in Q1. We continue to achieve very strong growth in Greater China, and there are several reasons why we are doing so well there and are also confident in our future growth in this important consumer market. Number one, our brands compete in one of the high-quality and fastest-growing consumer segments in China, the premium sports and outdoor market. The outdoor trend in China continues to be very robust, attracting younger consumers, female consumers and luxury shoppers. Additionally, our still small specialized brands are known for their expertise, high quality and technical innovation, which resonates with Chinese shoppers. Third and most important, we have a great team in China. Our deep expertise and unique scalable operating platform gives us a significant competitive advantage across the portfolio. Turning to profitability. Adjusted gross margin increased 330 basis points to 58% in Q1, primarily driven by favorable channel, geographic and product mix as well as lower discounts compared to prior year. Going forward, we expect our highest gross margin franchise, Arc'teryx, to continue to be the biggest underlying driver of our ongoing gross margin expansion. Adjusted SG&A expense as a percentage of revenues leveraged by 160 basis points and represented 42.6% of revenues in Q1. Both the Technical Apparel and Outdoor Performance segments achieved SG&A leverage on very strong growth. This was partially offset by slight deleverage at Ball & Racquet due to the ongoing investment in Tennis 360 and DTC growth. Driven by both gross margin expansion and SG&A leverage, we generated 490 basis points increase in our adjusted operating margin from 10.9% last year to 15.8% in Q1 of the current year. Adjusted corporate expenses were $19 million, up from $17 million in Q1 of last year. Depreciation and amortization was $78 million, which includes $36 million of ROU depreciation. Adjusted net finance cost in the quarter was $17 million, which comprised of $22 million of interest expense, partially offset by $5 million of FX gains and other items related to the weakening U.S. dollar. In the quarter, our adjusted income tax expense was $64 million, which equates to an adjusted effective tax rate of 30%, better than expected, primarily due to our over delivery of operating income. Adjusted net income in Q1 was $148 million compared to $50 million in the prior year period. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.27 compared to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.11 last year. Turning to segment results. Technical Apparel revenues increased 28% to $664 million, led by Arc'teryx. Growth was fueled by the 31% DTC expansion, including a 19% omni-comp, a very good result comparing against a 36% omni-comp in the first quarter of last year. Arc'teryx DTC momentum continues to be fueled by both new and existing consumers across all regions, channels and product categories. Technical Apparel wholesale revenues grew 22%, driven by Arc'teryx. Although it is a small part of the Technical Apparel segment, it is worth noting that we are making good progress with Peak Performance brand and cleaning up the marketplace in EMEA and the Nordics, shifting to a more full-priced DTC-oriented brand. Peak's healthier core franchise is a solid base for the new President, Stefano Saccone, to lead the brand through the next phase of its journey. Regionally, Technical Apparel growth was led by Asia Pacific, followed by Greater China, the Americas and EMEA. All regions grew strong double digits, fueled by Arc'teryx. Technical Apparel adjusted operating margin expanded 110 basis points to 23.8%, driven by SG&A leverage, thanks to strong growth. Moving to our Outdoor Performance segment, we saw revenues increased 25% to $502 million, driven by strong performance in Salomon soft goods and good results in Winter Sports Equipment. The DTC channel grew very healthy double digits, driven by new storage openings in Asia Pacific and Greater China as well as solid comps from existing Salomon stores. Outdoor Performance growth also benefited from a solid performance in Winter Sports Equipment in Q1, following a slow start to the winter season. By channel, Outdoor Performance DTC grew 68%, led by Greater China and APAC, and wholesale grew 9% from the prior year period. The wholesale results were driven by both Salomon Winter Sports Equipment and Salomon soft goods. Regionally, Outdoor Performance growth was led by Greater China and APAC, followed by accelerating growth in EMEA. The Americas was roughly flat, but only because of the ENVE divestiture in 2024. Salomon soft goods saw very good growth in the Americas. As James alluded to, the popularity of Salomon footwear is inflecting globally, and we are well positioned to appropriately and fully develop this unique opportunity over time. We believe we have very significant growth in all three major consumer regions and have the right talent and team structures in place to take a more meaningful share of the global sneaker market over time. Our Winter Sports Equipment business finished on a high note as a good end-of-season snow helped boost retailer sell-through and reorders. The Nordic or cross country market remains more challenged, but we were able to move a significant amount of inventory at reasonable discounts, leaving us in a very clean position at the end of the winter. Our assumption is that the Winter Sports Equipment market will grow low single digits in 2025 and over the long term. The ski and snowboard industry is healthy and given advanced snowmaking capabilities industry-wide as well as the growing attraction of winter mountain vacations, demand for on-piste skiing is strong. Winter Sports Equipment now represents one-third of the Outdoor Performance Segment and the share is shrinking as Salomon soft goods grows faster. Outdoor Performance adjusted operating profit margin expanded 990 basis points from last year to 14.7% in Q1, driven by strong gross margin expansion, thanks to channel, region and product mix, as well as favorable product costs. This margin expansion was also driven by SG&A leverage on high growth. Moving to Ball & Racquet. Revenue increased 12% to $306 million, driven by soft goods, racquet sports and golf. The strong growth was also helped by easier comparisons from Q1 last year when Wilson was still going through some liquidations to normalized inventory levels. We are pleased with the continued rebound but we would caution that double-digit growth is not sustainable long term, and we continue to expect Ball & Racquet to grow low to mid-single digits long term. By category, the growth was led by soft goods, which now represents 10% of Ball & Racquet sales in our marquee racquet sports franchises. We continue to see very strong momentum in Tennis 360, especially in North America, Greater China and APAC. Golf achieved positive growth, thanks to a successful DYNAPWR product launch as well as improving sales in pro golf clubs. Inflatables and baseball were both roughly flat as baseball bats returned to growth, offset by softer ball glove sales. All-in racquet segment adjusted operating profit margin increased 270 basis points to 6.6%, primarily driven by higher gross margin, thanks to favorable product mix, channel and region mix. We had slight SG&A deleverage due to the continued investment in Tennis 360 and DTC. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $515 million of net debt, down from $591 million at the end of Q4. Using the midpoint of our 2025 adjusted operating profit guidance, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was approximately 0.5 times at the end of Q1. Following our $1 billion equity raise and debt paydown last December, our balance sheet is in a healthy position to support our company as we navigate tariffs and other external uncertainties. Looking forward, using excess cash to pay down debt, which carries non-deductible interest remains a high return usage of excess cash. We also exited the quarter in a solid inventory position, up 15% year-over-year, well below our 23% sales growth. Driven by strong profit growth and disciplined working capital management, we generated $164 million of operating cash flow in the first quarter of 2025. And for the full year of 2025, we expect to generate solid operating cash flow growth from the 2024 levels. Now, moving to tariffs and guidance. There are several factors that give me confidence that we are well positioned to manage through a variety of tariff scenarios, both near and long term. First, we have low exposure to the U.S., only 26% of revenues, and we enjoy a meaningful exposure to high-end consumers. Also, the high functional nature of our products creates personal engagement and a strong value equation for consumers. Thirdly, we believe the brands in our portfolio have significant untapped pricing power. The vast majority of our growth the last several years has come from more units and not higher prices. Lastly, our clean balance sheet and strong cash flow dynamics give us the financial flexibility to weather macro challenges as they arise. Given the upside in the first quarter and our continued operating and financial momentum and despite higher tariffs, we are raising our full year revenue and EPS expectations. This updated guidance assumes the current 30% tariff on goods arriving to the U.S. from China and 10% tariffs on goods coming in from Rest of World will stay in place for the remainder of 2025. Given the mitigation strategies we already have underway, we expect the impact to our P&L from higher tariffs to be negligible this year. Our updated guidance implies slower growth in the second half than in the first half. However, as we've said before, should strong trends continue and better-than-anticipated demand materialize, we believe we will be well positioned to deliver financial performance ahead of these expectations. Looking beyond 2025, we are confident in our ability to offset the vast majority of higher import tariffs under a wide range of scenarios through pricing, vendor renegotiations and supply chain maneuvers. Since the ultimate tariff outcome is still unknown, we thought it would be helpful to frame our U.S. sourcing exposure. In 2024, U.S. revenues represented 26% of group revenues. Sourcing from China to the U.S. was approximately 8 points of the 26%. Vietnam was also 8 points, rest of Asia was 6 points, Europe 3 points, and the Rest of World, 1 point. By brand, slightly more than half of the tariff exposure is in the Ball & Racquet segment, around 30% in Technical Apparel and the remainder in Outdoor Performance. All three segments, including Ball & Racquet are already implementing and executing measures to offset higher tariffs. In addition to partnering with vendors, retailers also understand the landscape and price increases are being accepted and implemented in the second half for those product categories most affected. One last perspective I want to share on tariffs. Even if the higher tariffs had remained in effect for the rest of the year or if they do return, i.e., China at 145% and Rest of World at the higher rates from before the 90-day pause, we were only anticipating a $0.05 impact from tariffs for the full year 2025 EPS after mitigation or approximately 100 basis points annualized. And over time, we believe we will be able to mitigate the majority of even the higher tariff rates. For the full year of 2025, we are raising our expectations for reported group revenue growth from 13% to 15% to 15% to 17%. We are now assuming a 150 basis point drag from unfavorable FX impact at current exchange rates compared to the 250-point drag incorporated in our prior guidance. We are raising our Technical Apparel revenue growth guidance from approximately 20% to 20% to 22%, Outdoor Performance from low double digits to now mid-teens, and Ball & Racquet from low to mid-single digits previously to mid-single digits currently. We are keeping our adjusted gross margin expectations at 56.5% to 57% for the full year. We are maintaining our adjusted operating margin guidance of 11.5% to 12%. For the segments, we continue to expect an adjusted operating margin of approximately 21% for Technical Apparel, approximately 9.5% for Outdoor Performance and 3% to 4% for Ball & Racquet Sports. You should assume full year net finance cost of approximately $120 million and an effective tax rate of 30% to 32%. Other operating income and non-controlling interest will be approximately $10 million each. We now expect adjusted diluted EPS of $0.67 to $0.72 versus our prior guidance of $0.64 to $0.69, which is based on approximately 560 million fully diluted shares. Also, we are assuming D&A of approximately $350 million, including approximately $180 million of ROU depreciation. CapEx is expected to be approximately $300 million, primarily to support new store expansion, ERP optimization and distribution and logistics investments. Turning to the second quarter. We expect reported revenue growth for the group in the range of 16% to 18%. We expect adjusted gross margin to be approximately 57% to 58% in Q2 and adjusted operating profit between 3% and 4%. Our net finance cost for the quarter should fall between $25 million and $30 million, and the effective tax rate should be 30% to 32%. We expect adjusted diluted EPS of $0.00 to $0.02 per share. As we've said in the past, should strong trends continue and higher-than-expected demand materialize, we will be well positioned to deliver financial performance ahead of these expectations. With that, I'll turn it back to the operator for questions.