Andrew E. Page
Analyst · Lorraine Hutchinson from Bank of America
Thanks, James. I will discuss tariffs in more detail when I provide guidance, but I want to start by saying that we are very confident that our fundamental business momentum, diverse global footprint, clean balance sheet and strong brand portfolio with pricing power will give us significant flexibility to manage through a variety of tariff scenarios. More importantly, the inflection of Salomon footwear adds a strong second leg of growth to Arc'teryx's already exceptional sales and margin trajectory, significantly elevating the long-term value creation potential of our unique brand portfolio. Given our strong first half results and continued operating and financial momentum, and despite higher tariffs than assumed in our previous guidance, we are raising our full year revenue and EPS expectations. This updated guidance assumes the current 30% U.S. tariff on goods from China and that the latest tariff rates on all other countries will stay in place for the remainder of 2025. Although the impact of higher tariffs to our Ball & Racquet segment will be slightly higher than expected, given the mitigation strategies already underway across brands, we still expect negligible tariff impact to our consolidated results this year and beyond. Okay. Let's go through Q2 results. Amer Sports grew sales 23% in Q2 on a reported basis or 22% excluding currency. The strong sales performance was led by Outdoor Performance followed by Technical Apparel, and Ball & Racquet also continued to deliver solid growth in the quarter. By channel, the group continued to be driven by DTC, which grew 40%, led by Salomon in Greater China and APAC as well as Arc'teryx globally. Wholesale grew 9% at the group level led by Salomon. Regional growth was led by Asia Pacific, which increased 45%, and China, which grew 42%. EMEA accelerated to 18% growth, and the Americas grew 6% in Q2. The Americas deceleration was driven by normalizing growth in Ball & Racquet and a tougher comparison due to the shift in wholesale shipments from Q3 into Q2 in 2024. Amer Sports continues to achieve very strong growth in China, and there are several reasons why we are confident in our future growth opportunities in this important consumer market. Number one, our brands compete in one of the highest-quality, fastest- growing consumer segments in China, the premium sports and outdoor market. The outdoor trend in China continues to be very robust, attracting younger consumers, female consumers and luxury shoppers. Additionally, our authentic brands are known for their expertise, quality and technical innovation, which resonates well with Chinese consumers, and our brands are still small in China. Third, and most important, we have a great team in China. Our deep expertise and unique scalable operating platform gives us a significant competitive advantage across the portfolio. Turning to profitability. Adjusted gross margin increased 250 basis points to 58.7% in Q2, primarily driven by favorable channel, geographic, product and brand mix as well as by lower discounts compared to the prior year and partially offset by the headwinds in transportation, logistics and materials. Adjusted SG&A expenses as a percentage of revenues delevered by 140 basis points and represented 54.7% of revenues in Q2. Outdoor Performance achieved SG&A leverage on very strong growth, which was offset by slight deleverage of Technical Apparel due to retail expansion and Ball & Racquet due to ongoing investments in sportswear. Led by gross margin expansion, we generated a 260 basis point increase in our adjusted operating margin from 2.9% last year to 5.5% in Q2. Note that we received $19 million of government grants in the second quarter of 2025, which we received in the second half of 2024. This benefited adjusted operating margin by approximately 150 basis points in Q2. Corporate expenses were $34 million, up from $25 million in Q2 last year. D&A was $81 million, which includes $39 million of ROU depreciation. Adjusted net finance cost in the quarter was $22 million, comprised of $30 million of interest expense, partially offset by $8 million of FX gains on the remeasurement of certain monetary assets. In the quarter, our adjusted income tax expense was $5 million, which equates to an adjusted effective tax rate of 12%. A discrete item related to a return to provision adjustment benefited our ETR in Q2. Adjusted net income in Q2 was $36 million compared to $25 million in the prior year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share was $0.06 compared to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.05 last year. Now turning to segment results. Technical Apparel revenues increased 23% to $509 million led by Arc'teryx. Growth was fueled by 31% DTC expansion, including a 15% omni-comp, a solid result facing the toughest 2-year stacked comp comparison of 2025. Lower levels of outlet sales had a negative impact on the Technical Apparel omni-comp as Arc'teryx continues to shift more focus on full price sales and limiting online and in-store outlet sales. The DTC momentum continues to be fueled by both new and existing consumers across all regions, channels and product categories. Technical Apparel wholesale revenues grew 4%, negatively impacted by a shift in shipments from Q3 into Q2 last year. Regionally, the Technical Apparel growth rate was led by Asia Pacific followed by Greater China, the Americas and EMEA. All regions grew strong double digits. Technical Apparel adjusted operating margin declined 10 basis points to 13.9%. A slight gross margin expansion and higher other operating income was offset by growing SG&A investments. Lastly, we recently entered into an asset purchase agreement to acquire substantially all of the assets and certain liabilities of Nelson Sports, Inc., the exclusive distributor for Arc'teryx and Veilance products in Korea since 2001. We expect the transaction to close in the second half of 2025, after which the country will be operated fully brand direct versus a traditional distributor model. Korea is a large sport and luxury consumer market, still with strong growth potential for Arc'teryx. Moving to Outdoor Performance segment. We saw revenues increase 35% to $414 million, driven by very strong performance in Salomon footwear, apparel and bags and socks. By channel, Outdoor Performance DTC grew 63%, led by new doors and higher productivity across markets, especially Greater China and APAC. E-com is also growing across regions, driven by higher traffic. Wholesale grew 18%, driven by strong sell-through in reorders in soft goods. Regionally, the Outdoor Performance growth rate was led by Greater China and APAC followed by accelerating growth in both EMEA and Americas. As James alluded to, the popularity of Salomon footwear is inflecting globally, and we are well positioned to appropriately and fully develop this unique opportunity over time. We believe we have very significant growth opportunities in all 3 major consumer regions and have the right talent and team structure in place to take a meaningful share of the global sneaker market over time. For our Winter Sports Equipment brands, while Q2 is by far the smallest quarter of the year, we had solid preorders for the upcoming winter season as we continue to take market share in skiing. We also see growth opportunities in both snowboarding and protective equipment. Winter Sports Equipment is expected to represent only 28% of the Outdoor Performance segment in 2025, down from 46% in 2022. Outdoor Performance adjusted operating profit margin expanded 720 basis points from last year to 5.1% in Q2. Margin expansion was led by gross margin, thanks to positive channel, region and product mix as well as favorable product costs due to our footwear cost optimization initiatives. This margin expansion was also driven by SG&A leverage on very strong revenue growth. Before I get into the results of Ball & Racquet, I'd like to thank Joe Dudy and acknowledge his distinguished 30-year career with Amer Sports and the Wilson franchise. Joe was instrumental in many key achievements of the brand, most recently growing the brand to over $1 billion in annual revenues and setting the stage for its next growth inflection driven by Tennis 360. Now moving to results. Ball & Racquet revenue increased 11% to $314 million, driven by soft goods and racket sports. We are pleased with the continued growth in Ball & Racquet, but would cautioned that double-digit growth is not sustainable long term, and we continue to expect Ball & Racquet to grow low to mid-single digits long term. By category, the growth was led by soft goods, which now represents approximately 15% of segment sales and also our racquet sports franchises. We continue to see very strong momentum in Tennis 360 across the globe, especially in China. Golf, inflatables and baseball were all down slightly. Golf grew strong double digits in EMEA, but this was offset by lower sell-in in the U.S. However, for H1 overall, golf had solid growth. The inflatables market conditions are challenging, and the weaker baseball glove sales are offsetting growth in bats. Regionally, the Ball & Racquet growth rate was led by China, APAC and EMEA, while Americas was roughly flat. Ball & Racquet segment adjusted operating profit margin increased 200 basis points to 3.1% due to higher gross margin driven by favorable product, channel and region mix, which offset higher duties and slight SG&A deleverage on continued soft goods investment. Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with $640 million of net debt. Using the midpoint of our 2025 adjusted operating profit guidance, our net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was approximately 0.6x at the end of Q2. Our balance sheet is in a healthy position to support our company as we navigate tariff and other external uncertainties. Looking forward, paying down debt, which carries nondeductible interest remains an effective use of excess cash. We exited the quarter with inventories up 29% year-over-year, higher than our 23% sales growth, mainly driven by Arc'teryx. This higher inventory is primarily driven by 3 factors: one, early receipt of fall 2025 merchandise, which included tariff mitigation tactics; two, higher goods in transit from lower airfreight usage, which means we carry the goods on our books much longer; and three, FX translation from the weaker U.S. dollar. While we expect inventory growth to remain moderately elevated through the end of 2025, we are very comfortable with the quality of Arc'teryx's goods and expect to work it down and return to normal inventory growth rates as we progress through 2026. Driven by strong profit growth and disciplined working capital management, we generated $108 million of operating cash flow in the first half. And for the full year 2025, we expect to generate solid operating cash flow growth from 2024 levels. Now moving to guidance. We remain confident that we are well positioned to manage through a variety of tariff scenarios, given our low exposure to the U.S., our high-end consumer base, the untapped pricing power of our brand portfolio and our clean balance sheet and strong cash flow dynamics. And given mitigation strategies underway, we continue to expect negligible impact to our group P&L from higher tariffs in 2025 and beyond. For the full year of 2025, given the upside in Q2 and our continued momentum, and despite a slightly higher tariff impact, we are raising our full year revenue and EPS expectations. This guidance assumes incremental U.S. tariffs on imports from China remain at 30%, Vietnam at 20%, Europe at 15% and rest of world at the latest rates. We are raising our 2025 revenue growth guidance from 15% to 17% to 20% to 21%, including an approximate 100 basis point benefit from favorable FX impact at current exchange rates. By segment, we are raising our Technical Apparel revenue growth guidance from approximately 20% to 22% to 22% to 25%, including continued strong omni-comp growth. We are also increasing our Outdoor Performance sales growth expectations from mid- teens to 22% to 25% and Ball & Racquet from mid-single digits to 7% to 9% growth. We are raising our full year adjusted gross margin guidance from 56.5% to 57% to approximately 57.5%, and we're also raising our adjusted operating margin guidance from 11.5% to 12% to 11.8% to 12.2%. By segment, we continue to expect an adjusted operating margin of approximately 21% for Technical Apparel. For Outdoor Performance, we are raising adjusted operating margin guidance from approximately 9.5% to 11% to 11.5%. For Ball & Racquet, we are maintaining our adjusted operating margin guidance of 3% to 4%. Ball & Racquet will experience a slight drag from higher tariffs in the second half because of a few factors. Number one, the termination of the steel and aluminum exemption, under which Wilson racquets and bats previously fell. Number two, higher actual tariff rates in Vietnam and other sourcing markets than the 10% rest of world assumption we last guided. And three, some shipments of Wilson soft goods had unfavorable timing and were hit by the temporary 145% China tariffs. We are now assuming full year net finance cost of approximately $105 million and an effective tax rate of 28% to 30%. The lower effective tax rate is primarily driven by higher profit generation from low tax jurisdictions as well as the discrete item in Q2 that I mentioned. Other operating income will be approximately $20 million for the full year and net income attributable to noncontrolling interest will be approximately $10 million. We now expect adjusted diluted EPS of $0.77 to $0.82 versus our prior guidance of $0.67 to $0.72, which is based on 561 million fully diluted shares outstanding. Also we are assuming D&A of $350 million, including approximately $180 million of ROU depreciation. CapEx is expected to be approximately $300 million, primarily to support new store expansion, ERP optimization and distribution and logistics investments. Turning to third quarter guidance. We expect reported revenue growth for the group to be approximately 20%, which includes an approximate 150 basis point benefit from FX. We expect adjusted gross margin to be approximately 56.5% in Q3 and an adjusted operating profit margin between 12% and 13%. Our net finance cost for the quarter should be between $30 million and $35 million, and the effective tax rate should fall between 28% and 30%. We expect adjusted diluted EPS of $0.20 to $0.22 per share. Our updated guidance implies slower growth in 2H than 1H. However, as we've said before, should strong trends continue and better-than-anticipated demand materialize, we believe we will be well positioned to deliver financial performance ahead of these expectations. Lastly, before Q&A, we will be hosting our first-ever Investor Day on September 18 in Vancouver at Arc'teryx's headquarters, which will be webcast. Although we will provide a high-level group update, the primary focus of the meeting will be a deep dive into the Arc'teryx brand and its many unique opportunities. With that, I'll turn it back over to the operator for questions.