Earnings Labs

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 1, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings and welcome to the a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp’s Fourth Quarter and Fiscal 2021 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Emily. Thank you and over to you.

Emily Goldberg

Analyst

Good afternoon. Thank you for joining a.k.a. Brands’ fourth quarter and full year 2021 conference call to discuss the results we released this afternoon, which can be found on our website at ir.akabrands.com. With me on the call are Jill Ramsey, Chief Executive Officer and Ciaran Long, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started I would like to remind you of the Company’s Safe Harbor language. Management may make forward-looking statements which refer to expectations, projections or other characterizations of future events including guidance and underlying assumption. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially than those expressed. For a further discussion of the risks related to our business, please see our filings with the SEC. Please note we assume no obligation to update any such forward looking statements. This call will contain Non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the earnings release, furnished to the SEC and available on our website. The call also contains certain numbers represented on a pro forma basis which includes the culture of Culture Kings as [Indiscernible] in all periods and comparable periods described. Now, I’ll turn the call over to Jill.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst

Thanks Emily. Good afternoon everyone and thanks for joining our call today. 2021 was a monumental year for a.k.a. Brands capped off by fourth quarter results that exceeded our expectations. I am incredibly proud of our team's accomplishments this year. For the full year, we grew net sales 160% to $562 million, or 59% pro forma. Our largest market, the U.S. led our growth at an outstanding 101% pro forma. We also delivered incredible profitability and grew adjusted EBITDA by 106% at a double-digit EBITDA margin of 11%. Our brands continued to gain global awareness, active customers grew 61% to more than $3.7 million, and our social media following grew to over 8.7 million followers. We further enhanced our portfolio by acquiring two world class brands, which diversified us into men's and street wear. And we completed our IPO in September. Our strong performance demonstrates the power of our platform, as we continue to grow our brands through next generation, merchandising and marketing. I want to thank our teams for these impressive achievements, and their agility, navigating complex supply chain and COVID-19 challenges. I am confident that we have a long runway of continued growth in 2022 and beyond. In the fourth quarter, we delivered strong growth and profitability. Total net sales grew 158% to $182 million or 43% pro forma and we delivered adjusted EBITDA of $16 million. We grew across all brands and all regions with particular strengths in the U.S. where we grew 74% pro forma. Sales growth in Australia accelerated from the third quarter to the fourth quarter. However, the region has been turned negative in Q1 of 2022 as we have seen the Omicron variant disrupt this market. Ciaran will comment further on Australia when he takes you through our financial details and outlook. But…

Ciaran Long

Analyst

Thank you, Jill and good afternoon everyone. We are pleased to have delivered sales and adjusted EBITDA above our expectations despite the on-going COVID and supply chain challenges. We attributed are strong performance to the agility of our teams as well as the flexibility of our business model. For the fourth quarter, net sales grew 158% to $182 million, compared to $71 million last year. On a constant currency basis, net sales rose 159%. Adjusting for the inclusion of Culture Kings in the prior year our pro forma net sales increased 43%. Culture Kings net sales grew by 33% as compared to the fourth quarter last year. Pro Forma average order value increased 4% to $84 compared to the prior year fourth quarter in part due to strategic price increases illustrating the pricing power of our brands. The total number of orders increased 38% to $2.2 million compared to the prior year on a pro forma basis. For the year, active customers grew 85% or 61% on a pro forma basis to $3.7 million as compared to last year. The strong growth across these key performance metrics reflects the continued momentum in our brands, as well as the success of our business model. Now I will provide a few highlights from our three regions including on a pro forma basis, again, assuming Culture Kings was in last year's results. Fourth quarter net sales in the U.S. increased to $80 million up from 89% from the fourth quarter last year, and increased 74% on a pro forma basis. Our largest brand Princess Polly continues to be the primary driver of our growth in the U.S. as we continue to build brand awareness. As Jim mentioned, we are seeing the benefits of our platform throughout the continued growth of Princess Polly and…

Jill Ramsey

Analyst

Thanks, Ciaran. Looking at 2022 and beyond, we have a significant runway to fuel continued growth. At a macro level, we are well positioned to gain share as Gen Z and Millennials spending power grows and fashion shopping moves more to mobile and social. We have a proven playbook of next generation marketing and merchandising strategies and have accelerated brand growth when we lean into these best practices. Our investment strategy of acquiring high potential brands and scaling them into U.S. is working, as shown by 101% pro forma growth in the U.S. last year. We have repeated our success scaling multiple brands, demonstrating the strength of our platform. We also have substantial growth opportunities internationally, where we already see strong organic demand for our brands, and we are in the early innings of global expansion. Finally, we see acquisitions as an opportunity to invest in seeds of growth for the future. We are shopping the world for the best direct-to-consumer fashion brands, and have a robust and active pipeline. Our brands are still in the early stages of growth, and we see significant opportunity to gain share in the U.S. We will continue to acquire customers by leveraging our next generation marketing approach, which all starts with content. Our brands release a constant stream of inspirational photos and videos on social media. They are agile, frequently adjusting content to resonate and perform better on new platforms before scaling spend. As our target customer migrates further from Facebook, to Instagram to YouTube to TikTok, so do our brands. They balanced spend and resources on paid performance marketing and social media influencers, which results in a highly efficient approach to marketing. We've had great evidence we've had great success evidenced by our 61% increase in active customers in 2021 at 10%…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. The first question comes from the line of Oliver Chen with Cowen. Please go ahead.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

So much thanks, Jill and Ciaran for the details. Australia has been a dynamic market and you gave a lot of great details there. But what are your thoughts regarding inventory planning and factors that are in or out of your control as you continue to continue to monitor the trends there? Second, as we think about marketing and marketing as a percentage of sales would love insights as to how to how that's incorporated in your guidance and any key trends with customer acquisition costs. It sounds like they're in a more stable place, but they could be volatile. And last question, Ciaran on price increases in average order value. How should we think about your perspective on price increases across the portfolio and how that may interplay with any of these? Thanks a lot.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst

Hey, Oliver, thanks for your questions. I'll start with inventory planning as it relates to Australia and our overall position as we as we look ahead to the rest of the year. We are in a good position overall. I would say as we look ahead to Q2 and Q3 where our brands are really outstanding in the spring and summer seasons, we particularly shine in those months and are in a good inventory position as we head into festivals, events, special occasion. So feeling really good from that standpoint. I will call out though while we haven't in 2021, we were not really seeing any significant impacts from the supply chain delays or cancellations. However, in the beginning of this year, we have seen some cancellations and delays in our third party brands particularly at Culture Kings. So we have factored that in and we've been able to compensate for that really leaning in on our world exclusive proprietary brands and our print-on-demand business, which is the fastest growing part of Culture King so it is offsetting some of that. So we have a little bit of headwind there. From a marketing standpoint, it's just a good reminder on our overall marketing strategy, we do have a very efficient approach to marketing having grown active customers last year 61% on just 10% marketing as a rate of net sales. That's due to our -- the fact that we leverage social media influencers very heavily, and balanced that out with some paid performance spend. We did see a little bit of uptick in marketing spend in the fourth quarter, and I'll let Ciaran comment a little bit more on that, as well as touch on your last question on price increases.

Ciaran Long

Analyst

Thanks, Jill. Thanks, Oliver. Yes, Oliver I think as it relates to marketing spend, you'll see it went up to about 11.8% in Q4. I think what we saw is certainly elevated rates and CPMs on the performance side, particularly in November and December. And we have seen those moderate and come back to kind of what we've experienced in the past in that January, February period. I think going forward, as Jill said, we expect that 10% overall to be a good blended race. I think from a seasonal perspective, we would expect that to be a little bit lower in Q2, and Q3, which are kind of the better seasons and the more on point seasons for us, and a little bit more elevated in Q1 and Q4 going forward. And then as it relates to price increases, I think we did a really great job at Princess Polly and Petal & Pup last year at taking price increases. And all of those price increases offset the pressure that we saw for inbound freight, which continued to rise in Q4. I think going forward as we think about this year, we see the opportunity at Culture Kings, where 50% of their products are exclusive. So we know we've got more opportunity there first, and that'll be a focus for us. We expect to see that improvements there and kind of their pricing changes in the back half of this year. And that will help bring up AOV and gross margins in the back half.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Thanks for the details. Best regards.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Erinn Murphy with Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Erinn Murphy

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Great. Thank you. Good afternoon. I just wanted to follow up a little bit more on Australia. And when you talked about the Omicron variant pressuring the trends thus far in the first quarter, but aren't we, laughing some pretty significant lockdowns from last year. So just trying to understand kind of the sustained weakness that you're expecting into the second quarter, particularly now that they've opened their borders for tourism. And then, maybe zooming out as you see now how do you think about the recovery in Australia or the shape of the recovery in Australia versus what you've seen over the last 12 plus months here in the United States? And then I have one follow up. Thank you.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Hey Erinn. Yes, I'll give some more color on what we're seeing with the Omicron variant impact. Candidly, it's been really different by market. We've seen the U.S. customer at a really different place in the pandemic, the Omicron surge really was a third wave for the U.S. audience and really didn't impact demand, in fact, demand has been very robust and growth has been strong in the U.S., which is our majority market. That has helped offset but not completely, fully offset the impact we have seen in Australia, which has tipped to negative in the first part of this first part of this year. The lockdowns that you're referencing really were in Q3, when our costs decelerated to a 7%. We – the lock downs were really at the beginning of Q3. And we came out of that and accelerated into Q4 up 12%. And if you look back on Australia, for the full year, Australia was up 26%. So still seeing a lot of great growth in this market overall, and even higher than that in the back and front half of 2021. So overall, we really are optimistic and anticipate, as we come out of this, that the market will rebound to growth. But, not yet seeing the full recovery, we would like. We've seen some good green shoots in the back half of February, but still not fully recovered there. But we've, having the two markets has really enabled us to shift focus and lean in on the U.S. market where we are seeing really great growth. We've been able to reallocate marketing and some of our resources and focus to continue showing that U.S. growth.

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

And Erinn, I would just add. From our modeling perspective, we see that what's going to the growth rates in Australia is at least a six to seven percentage points headwind for us in Q1 and probably four to five in Q2 and that's excluding the FX impact would be which will be additional on top of that.

Erinn Murphy

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Okay, great. Thank you for that clarification. And then my second question is probably Ciaran for you, is just on inventory. Could you just share what inventory would have looked like just Apples-to-Apples excluding the inorganic growth through acquisition last year? Thank you so much.

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Sure. Yes, it would have been about 58% pro forma growth over last year. And that kind of comparison, that's kind of 59% overall sales growth, organic 43% in Q4. I would say at the end of Q4, we did, we did continue to bring in more inventory and kind of try to get ahead of supply chain issues that we were seeing just to make sure we're in a good position for Q1. I think as we think about inventory through this year, there, there will be some increase in inventory, just as we bring up the culture kings fulfillment center in the U.S. in the first half of this year. And then we started it, we would see the levels moderating in the back half of the year.

Erinn Murphy

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.

Great, thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Randy Konik with Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Randy Konik

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Hi, good evening, everybody. Just a couple of quick questions. First, just focusing on the Culture Kings, it obviously seems like there's a lot of room to grow massively in the United States. So maybe just give us some perspective on what the team on that business is really focused on with U.S. to grow, the awareness levels, work on the infrastructure, it sounds like DC is being put in place, etcetera. So maybe just give us like some of the top three things that are being worked on, to kind of really kind of explode that business across the United States? Thanks, guys.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Yes hi, Randy. First, we're just super excited about the potential of this brand in the U.S. and already seeing great growth and momentum, the business nearly doubled in the U.S. this year on pretty significant scale already. And what we're really excited about is the demand for the world exclusive proprietary Culture Kings brands, they far over index in the U.S., and we're really leading our assortment strategy with those. As well, we're seeing a lot of traction and growth, our fastest growing part of the business is that print-on-demand business that I referenced. So very excited about the early indications of gross. The business, our expansion plans into the U.S. are on track. As you mentioned, we are looking to open that DC in the second quarter and on track with those plans. We're really excited about this Vegas store and the launch, that will be a really important part of driving our overall marketing awareness will be significant launch plan with that, and really driving a lot of hype and buzz. With that, the team is also building out their early network of influencers, partnering with athletes and musicians and artists and key partners in the U.S. to really drive awareness of this brand. And we're very excited about the growth we're already seeing. Obviously, today, Culture Kings is still, largely in Australia. So we did see some of that that Omicron impact early in the quarter. But that doesn't change our confidence or enthusiasm as we look ahead to the growth potential in the U.S.

Randy Konik

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Very helpful. And then just mentioned on the active customer growth of over 60% in the quarter, is there any type of maybe not specific granularity to provide by brand, but just any kind of perspective you can give around the different brands and how they contributed to that or looked versus that overall customer growth metric for the quarter.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

I'll comment a little bit and then Ciaran if you want to jump in as well. First, just to clarify that 61% increase in active customers is on the trailing 12. So that's on that's for the full year 2021 not for the quarter. And the growth on that is and by the way, just as, that's on 10% net marketing sales. So just really impressive, active customer growth on an efficient rate, largely a testament to the influencer program that we lean into. The growth is really coming from U.S. And the growth is really also heavily led by Princess Polly who just has continued runway and headroom to keep scaling in the U.S. We've been growing our awareness dramatically there and we have seen we are hitting some virality and even getting some efficiency on our marketing spend as that as that brand has really gotten great awareness leaning into the next phase of that with the college ambassador program and just really excited to continue expanding that. So…

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Yes, the only thing I'd add Randy is probably I think what's impressive as well as just the 18% growth quarter-over-quarter and like Jill talked about really coming from the same mix across the brands and across the geographies.

Randy Konik

Analyst · Jeffries. Please go ahead.

Got it. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, I request you to limit your question to one per participant. Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Lorraine Hutchinson with Bank of America. Please go ahead. Miss Lorraine Hutchinson, your line is unmuted. Please go ahead with your question. Miss Lorraine Hutchinson, your line is unmuted. Please go ahead with your question. It seems well, we have lost…

Jill Ramsey

Analyst

May we move on to the next one then and circle back to Lorraine.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Just a minute here. The next question comes from the line of Youssef Squali with Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Youssef Squali

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Alright, thank you very much. Two quick questions for me, please. One, Ciaran thank you for the quantification of Australia's the headwind to Australia. I was wondering, maybe you could do the same for the supply chain issues you discussed from cancellations and delays for Q1 and maybe for the year? And then second, I was very curious to know your kind of what's the secret sauce with what you're doing with TikTok. I think you guys mentioned, I think Jill mentioned that TikTok is the fastest growing marketing channel. What are you guys doing there that seems to be gaining traction? And then how's your how does that compare with what you're doing with other platforms like Instagram? Thank you.

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Sure, hi Youssef. And the cancellations for the first half, kind of even across the quarter, it's about 10 million from a sales perspective. And in particular, that that's, that's really impacting the Culture Kings brand. At this point, we've modeled in about the same for the back half. But based on the visibility we've seen, and we think that's a kind of it's a good balance of what we see overall happening kind of within that brand and the cancellations that they've had at this point.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

And I'll take your question on TikTok. So first, just to reiterate, these brands are really evolving their social media and marketing strategy and kind of move wherever we see our customers going. So as we have seen that customer evolved to toward TikTok, we've been out there testing and learning with our content and trying to hone and perfect what really works on TikTok. So a piece of it is, we've been out there early, as soon as we started to see traffic and our customers shifting to that platform, we've been testing and learning our way in and really getting that content tuned. We also have done these TikTok takeovers, which has been very successful for us. What I would say is that it's our highest growth channel and getting us new customers. But we're still honing that efficiency. It's not yet at the efficiency at some of our other channels. But over time, what we do is continue to hone and tweak and refine that model till we get the efficiency out of our out of our newest platforms. So just continuing to evolve our social media and marketing strategy wherever the customer goes and make sure we're doing that with a lens towards efficiency.

Youssef Squali

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please go ahead.

Thank you. That’s helpful.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Lorraine Hutchinson with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Hello, can you hear me all right?

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Yes. Hey, Lorraine.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Oh, hi, this is Alice [ph] here on for Lorraine. Thank you so much for taking our question. We wanted to ask about the AOV. Last call you mentioned expecting low single digit increase in fiscal 2022. Will it be mostly driven by mix, price increases maybe assortment shifts or geography. Can you just elaborate on the puts and takes there and also any seasonality by quarter that we can expect? Since we don't have too much history? Thank you.

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Sure. Hey, yes, I think the AOV changes. It's the same kind of level that we expected that the low single digits, I think they will come in the second half. As we look to put in place some price increases particularly on the Culture King’s brand. I think from the seasonality that we saw in last year, I think, the changes won't be as pronounced in Q3 and Q4 as we may change at Princess Polly and Petal & Pup at that time of year.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Thank you for all the color.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Ike Boruchow with Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Hi, everyone, this is Justin [Indiscernible] on for Ike. It sounds like you're on track for fueling organic growth with openings and DCs. We’re successfully so far, so with regards to deal making as the macro or business environment has any impact on your near term appetite for future acquisitions or is it still business as usual?

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

I would say still business as usual. There's a lot of really good targets and opportunities that we're talking to that are out there that for us fit that mold of great brands, great team and but also have the financial model that's pretty close to our own. I think from a valuation perspective, we have seen valuations and multiples moderates, and recently, and I think as we think about that, we will just continue to be very disciplined and opportunistic, and certainly look to be buying at a discount from our public multiple.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Yes, Hey, Justin, I'll jump into and just add that we have a really robust pipeline that we're really excited about. And as a refresh on our strategy, we are shopping the world globally for great brands, looking for high potential brands with great growth, profitability, and strong teams that can scale and have had a lot of success, buying proven brands in a smaller market and then scaling them in the U.S., which gives us confidence to continue shopping globally, and really excited about the stuff at the people in our pipeline.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead.

Cool, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from the line of Dana Telsey with Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

Dana Telsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

Hi, good afternoon, everyone. As you mentioned about two things, you mentioned about the higher air freight costs, which impacted the gross margin by 300 basis points in Q4. How are you planning for 2022? And is there a cadence to it? And then on the targeted pricing actions, how does it differ by brand? And how much did what did what was the effect this year in -- what was the effect in 2021 of pricing actions you took? And how much higher does it go in 2022? Thank you.

Ciaran Long

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

Sure. Hey, Dana. For us, the airfreight 300 basis points in Q4 it was a couple of 100 basis points across the year last year. I think we are from a planning perspective. And from our modeling, we haven't brought in improvements in the rates across the year. So I think we're just we just need to be cautious with everything that we see going on there at the moment. As we think about gross margins, we think about them for the first half of this year pretty much being in line with what we experienced in Q4 of this year. And we think in the back half, there's some improvements there that will get us to an overall rate pretty close to what we saw last year and those improvements really coming from price increases and some other opportunities that we have.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

And maybe I'll just jump in for a minute on the price increases and our pricing strategy by brand. We have a really high mix of course of exclusives with over half our merchandise that's exclusive proprietary brands and exclusive merchandise, which ultimately gives us quite a bit of pricing power. And in particular at Princess Polly and Petal & Pup we have rolled out price increases this past year and been very scientific and kind of measuring those and measuring the impact and we're able to really walk that up thoughtfully and offset some of the inflationary pressure on the expense side from freight. I will say we have quite a bit of agility in the teams and certainly are going to be monitoring the expense side and the freight pressure. And if we need to put in place some additional price increases we will. We certainly still have room as Ciaran mentioned earlier, we still have some room at Culture Kings. We're not as far along on our own price increases on our proprietary products. So just, ultimately we are committed to the gross margins that we've guided to in the back half. And the teams are agile and do whatever it takes to offset any inflationary pressure.

Dana Telsey

Analyst · Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

Thank you

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen we have reached the end of question-and-answer session. And I would like to turn the call back to Jill Ramsey for closing remarks.

Jill Ramsey

Analyst

Yes, thank you. I just want to end with a comment that ultimately, right now, of course, we have seen a little bit of transitory impact from Australia's impact from Omicron. This we do see this is very unique; Australia really was impacted very differently by the Omicron surge than the U.S. It really was the first time they were living with the COVID pandemic live. They were only getting about 25 cases a day earlier in the pandemic, and really saw that surge to 100,000 cases a day in January, which is if you really put that in perspective for you, that's like five times the caseload per capita in Australia versus the U.S. So we're, we're confident in the recovery there that this is a temporary impact. And more importantly, we're seeing incredible growth and momentum in our U.S. business, which is where all of our growth and headroom is really positioned for this year in the long haul. So really excited about the long term potential and the growth this year and long haul and just appreciate all your questions. And thank you all for joining the call today and we'll see you next quarter.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.