Earnings Labs

a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp. (AKA)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 9, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

00:04 Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp’s Third Quarter Twenty Twenty One Earnings Conference Call. All phones are in a listen-only mode. We will provide instructions at the end of the call on how to ask your questions. At this time I will turn the call over to Emily Goldberg, head of corporate communications. Go ahead, Emily.

Emily Goldberg

Management

00:19 Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining a.k.a. Brands’ third quarter conference call to discuss the results we released this afternoon, which can be found on our website at ir.akabrands.com. With me on the call are, Jill Ramsey, chief executive officer and Ciaran Long, chief financial officer. Before we get started I would like to remind you of the company Safe Harbor language. Management may makes forward-looking statements which refer to expectations, projections or other characterizations of future events including guidance and underlying assumption. Forward looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially than those expressed. 01:00 For a further discussion of the risks related to our business, please see our filings with the SEC. Please note we assume no obligation to update any such forward looking statements. This call will contain Non-GAAP financial measures, such as adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA margin. Reconciliations of these Non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures are included in the earnings release, furnished to the SEC available on our website. 01:23 Now, I would like to turn the call over to Jill.

Jill Ramsey

Management

01:27 Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining us. We're excited to be hosting our first earnings call as a public company and even more excited to discuss our strong third quarter performance. I'll begin with an overview of our results and highlights from our brands, and then outline our growth strategies. Ciaran will then take you through the details of our financials and provide our full year outlook, and then we'll open it up for questions. 01:52 I'm proud of the strong performance our brands delivered in the third quarter, demonstrating the power of our platform and the talent of our teams. We drove strong growth across our brands while navigating COVID-19 and global supply chain dynamics. For the third quarter, net sales grew by one hundred and fifty five percent to one hundred and sixty one point eight million dollars and proforma for the acquisition of Culture Kings, net sales increased forty four percent from the third quarter last year and active customers grew fifty four percent across our brands. 02:25 Our brands achieved growth across all regions, particularly in the U. S. Where net sales increased eighty four percent on a proforma basis. Making the U. S. Our largest market, and momentum has continued into the fourth quarter. As many of you know, Australia was in strict lockdown for most of the quarter, due to a rise in COVID-19. Despite lockdowns, curfews and store closures, our Australian business grew seven percent on top of very strong growth last year, further proving our agility resiliency and the strength of our brands and teams. 03:01 We are also encouraged by the vaccination rollout and reopening trends we see in Australia. Eighty nine percent of their population has received at least one vaccine dose and almost all lockdown restrictions have…

Ciaran Long

Management

18:40 Thank you, Jill, and good afternoon, everyone. Before I provide more details on our third quarter results and outlook for the remainder of the year, I would also like to take a moment to thank our employees for their dedication and commitment throughout the pandemic. Turning now to our third quarter performance, we are pleased have delivered results ahead of our expectations despite the challenges presented by the COVID related lockdowns in Australia. Our performance this quarter further demonstrates the strength of our business, as well as our operating platform that we believe represents the future of retail. 19:17 For the third quarter, net sales grew one hundred and fifty five percent to one hundred and sixty two million dollars compared to sixty three million dollars last year. On a constant currency basis, net sales rose one hundred and fifty six percent Adjusting for the inclusion of cost gains in the prior year our pro form a net sales increased forty four percent or forty two percent in constant currency. Culture Kings net sales grew twenty nine percent as compared to the third quarter last year despite the disproportionate impact of COVID lockdowns in Australia. 19:56 Proforma average order value increased six percent to eighty nine dollars compared to the prior year third quarter in part due to strategic price increases. The number of orders increased thirty seven percent to one point eight million dollars compared to the prior year, including Culture Kings. With the trailing twelve months, our proforma active customers increased fifty six percent year-over-year to three point one million dollars. The growth across these performance – key performance metrics reflects the continued momentum in our brands. Now I will provide a few highlights from our three regions on a proforma basis, again, assuming Culture Kings was…

Operator

Operator

30:22 ladies and gentlemen [Operator Instructions] We would everyone else Our first question is coming from Randy Konik.

Randy Konik

Analyst

30:38 Hey, how care you, can you hear me?

Jill Ramsey

Management

30:41Yes.

Randal Konik

Analyst

30:41 Great. Thanks guys. So, I guess my first question is we talked about strong retention metrics, and it sounds like full price selling is staying pretty strong. So just want to get a little bit more granular around repeat purchase behavior a little bit more color on and maybe if you can give us a little more color around full price selling, what is that at? And how has that been changing that be super helpful and then how do you think about merchandise margin opportunity going forward if retention metrics stay strong full price selling and get even better where can these merchandise margins go through here? Just curious. Thanks, guys.

Jill Ramsey

Management

31:24 Thanks, Randy. I'll start with saying our retention rates are very high because we are very focused on selling high quality, exclusive merchandise and offering a constant stream of newness that really keeps the customers engaged and coming back, as reflected in our sixty three percent repeat in twenty twenty. As we gone through twenty twenty one and through the third quarter, we have seen retention stay high and actually even take up a bit. 31:54 And our full price sell through has also remained high as we've talked about we see that our full price our sell through is very high percentage of full price based on our test and repeat buying. We really know what customers want, which is ultimately leading to less mark sounds and that higher full price sell through. We don't have to disclose our brand level full price sell through, but it has remained high and it's part of what's contributed to our high AOV this quarter. Regarding kind of merchandise margins going forward. We have confident in our gross margin rate. We have competing on quality exclusive merchandise. We do have bit of pricing power and are able to selectively take some price increases, which we've done this quarter to offset some of the expense we've seen related supply chain issues. So, we're able to really balance that out and are very confident we can continue our current trend of our gross margin rate.

Operator

Operator

33:03 Right. Our next question is coming from [Indiscernible] last name Adorama.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

33:08 Hey, thanks guys taking the questions. I guess first, on Australia, I know you guys posted some really strong results as seven percent growth despite the lockdowns now, I guess, what's the embedded assumption for Australia in the fourth quarter? And then as a follow-up, very interesting acquisition minimal. Help us understand maybe a little bit their supply chain if you wouldn't mind, is it different than your core brands and how much is minimal expected to contribute for the 4q number? Thank you.

Ciaran Long

Management

33:37 Yes. I think thanks for Australia, and we don't go specific guidance, I guess our around regions, but we would expect to be back in the double digit growth and kind of range as we go into Q4. We see kind of strength coming out of Q3 and we would expect that to continue into Q4. For minimal, from the incremental impact on Q4 it's a about eight to million dollars is what we would expect to additionally to add to the quarter.

Jill Ramsey

Management

34:08 And on minimal from a supply chain perspective, first, we're just thrilled to welcome this great brand to our portfolio. It really bolster our position in men's street wear and complements our Culture Kings business quite well. They are really strong in bottoms and denim and bring a new network of great suppliers in that space that we are excited about leveraging across our group of brands. Also from a fulfillment center and carrier partner level, we are evaluating and comparing rates and service levels with our current set providers and with all the brands that we acquire over time, we can evaluate if we can get them into our best in class network of partners and get some synergy and leverage with our other operating partners. So, we're evaluating that as we go.

Operator

Operator

35:04 Okay. Our next question is coming from Erinn Murphy.

Erinn Murphy

Analyst

35:07 Great. Thank you. Good afternoon congratulations on your first quarter out of the gate. I guess my first question is just around the fourth quarter momentum that you're seeing. Are you seeing that happen both in the United States as well as that Australia reopening trying you just referenced and is it broad spread across the portfolio? And then my second question is around the performance of Culture Kings in the quarter. Can you talk about how exclusive brands versus third party brands? And just how is your inventory availability right now for third party brands within that banner? Thank you so much.

Jill Ramsey

Management

35:41 Great. Thanks, Erinn and thanks for your questions. First, on Q4 I'll comment on that. We are seeing some really nice momentum coming out of Q3 and continuing already as we head into Q4. The early read is strong. As Australia has really just come back online with the reopening over the past few weeks, we are really seeing business rebound all of our stores now are open in Australia, and we've seen traffic really rebound the stores as well, we've seen the online business continue to be really strong. 36:17 So seeing great momentum in early ready, we are very well prepared as we head into Q4 from an inventory standpoint as well as really strong merchandising and marketing plans and very excited over in Culture Kings Australia to get back to some events in our stores. We have a great line up of events. So just feeling really good as we head into Q4. Also, I mean, I should call out to our teams are really agile and we'll adjust throughout the quarter. We have a marketing calendar plan for promotionality. But I think there's a lot of uncertainty around the promotional intensity holiday and we've left ourselves room to really be agile there. 37:05 In terms of Culture Kings in the quarter, so Culture Kings was impacted by the Australia Covid lockdowns five of eight of their stores were closed for the majority of the quarter. They have all reopened now. And so, we're just excited about what we're starting to see there as that business kind of comes back online and the reopening is occurring in Australia. He did ask about the mix of third party versus exclusive. The Culture Kings business, yes as a reminder, is a mix across third party and in house brands. As we expand that brand into the U. S. We do see a higher mix of in-house brands in the penetration of their business, which we're really excited about and leaning into as we bring this brand into the U. S. we are looking to lead with and certainly looking to grow the in house penetration of that business those comment a higher gross margin and are also a nice competitive mode for us and a real differentiator as we bring that brand in the U. S. Market.

Ciaran Long

Management

38:14 And then Erinn just from an inventory position for the third party brands for Culture Kings rushing in a pretty good position with those vendors and really across all of the brands for Q4. We have pulled forward some inventory just to make sure we're everything to meet demand, but we feel in a pretty good position heading into the whole day.

Operator

Operator

38:38 Our next question is coming from Joseph Skelly. Go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

38:42 Great. Thank you very much. So just two quick questions for me going back to just the performance in the quarter. Just considering the material outperformance, I was wondering if maybe you can double click on some of the things that actually surprised you between the time when you guys came out with the initial guidance and ultimately what transformed out of the quarter. And then second, as you look at your market efficiencies during the quarter. Was wondering if you can comment on any impact from ATT or Apples or the IOS [Indiscernible] change on the effectiveness on marketing channels and just kind of remind us again which channels are performing better for best for you guys. Thank you very much.

Jill Ramsey

Management

39:27 Yes. Thank you. I will comment first on what sort of I wouldn't say it surprised us, but we were pleased to see the Australia business rebound faster than anticipated. Recall that in July, the lockdowns and curfews started occurring throughout Australia, and we did see a big drop off in the business at that time, but then we really saw it start to build back up through the course of August and September and we were really pleased with the performance of the business. The fact that we delivered seven percent growth in also Australia in the quarter on top of last year's very strong growth, while having five of eight stores closed, we were really pleased with that performance. And the teams were able to really be agile and adjust across our multiples – across two regions, we were able to pivot and adjust our marketing spend in inventory accordingly and really manage the business very agile. So, we were ultimately pleased and outperformed there from a marketing efficiency standpoint and the impacts on IOS and IVFA. We've been less impacted there than anticipated, I think this is really thanks to our social first approach in marketing. 40:54 We really rely more on social media and influencers and our great content than we are relying on paid ads, That said, we do spend on paid ads and have performance spend and had some a bit of impact on Facebook. But we were able to optimize our mix of marketing spend across platforms and really reallocate but longer term, our best approach there is a strong offense on scaling our micro influencer strategy. Okay, all right. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

41:41 And our next question is coming from Lorraine Hutchinson.

Lorraine Hutchinson

Analyst

41:44 Thank you. I was curious for an update on the brand awareness of Culture Kings in the U. S. And then if you could offer us any proof points or early indicators that the Princess Polly playbook for U. S. Expansion is gaining some traction for Culture Kings?

Jill Ramsey

Management

42:06 Great. Hi Lorraine, thanks so much for your questions. First all, I'll talk about the Culture Kings brand awareness in the U. S. What excites about Culture Kings, this is a really popular scaled awesome men's street wear brand in Australia and very well-known with strong unaided awareness in the forties over in Australia, while more in the single digits in the U. S. That said, their U. S. Business is the fastest growing portion of their business, and we're seeing just tremendous growth on their U. S. Online business. We are on track with our Culture Kings expansion plans into the U. S. we have hired a head of U. S. and started to build out our team here. Our first hires are really focused on building out our micro influencer strategy really learned and adopted from Princess Polly. So as you asked about the playbook of Princess Polly and being able to adapt that we are using that for Culture Kings to scale a similar social led micro influencer strategy. And we will really grow that brand with a digital first approach in the U. S. 43:23 And looking to add open up their distribution center in the front half of next year as well, the first flagship store in the back half of next year. Regarding the sort of proof points on the Princess Polly playbook, Princess Polly just continues to really gain share in the U. S. We've had tremendous growth in the U. S. And saw a really strong quarter with the reopening and a shift of the business really back into dresses. 43:55 And they've been leaning in even harder on their social media influencer program as we back to school, they did launch a college ambassador program and just saw incredible demand there with twenty thousand signups for that. So, really continuing to get a lot of great learnings out of Princess Polly that we're then able to adapt and roll out across the group. We've done that. Adopting those over to Petal and Pup and really seeing that business also now take off in the U. S. Now it's our fastest growing business. So really pleased with what we're learning out Princess Polly and being able to apply it elsewhere in the portfolio.

Operator

Operator

44:38 Our next question is coming from Oliver Chen.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

44:42 Hi. Thank you. We were curious about the promotional environment and also as you think about pricing, more near and medium term and what you're seeing as we all face inflationary pressures yet, the demand profile remains very strong. And then second question, your technology in a.k.a. approach to technology is quite unique with that capital light approach? What should investors be focused on in terms of what you're doing there in terms of some of your key partnerships and the biggest needle movers, as you work with different partners across your portfolio? Thank you.

Jill Ramsey

Management

45:23 Thanks, Oliver. I think just regarding kind of the promotional landscape, as we look to Q4 this year, I think just to reiterate, we've seen really strong momentum coming out of Q3 that's already a strong early read as we get into the quarter here. And we're very well positioned from an inventory standpoint and just have a really strong merchandising and marketing line-up. A lot of the conjectures will be a less promotional holiday, but we are prepared and ready and have room to be as promotional as needed to compete in the market this holiday and we're quite agile and able to adjust and adapt as needed. So feeling really good there as we head into the big days. 46:11 From a pricing perspective, sort of near and medium term, I think it's important to point out that we really compete on quality and exclusivity. Not really price per se, which means that we actually have quite a bit of pricing power in our brands. And we have been able to actually increase prices selectively in our brands to offset some of the supply chain expense that we did see in the quarter. And with that, we have been able to still maintain our growth rates even while taking some of those prices up, just really kind of emphasizing that pricing power. So we are committed to maintaining our gross margin rates as we go forward right where they are mid fifty. And we will reevaluate pricing as needed ongoing. From a technology standpoint, as we talked about, we do run an asset light technology stacks that's really leveraging Shopify and an ecosystem of partners. We are very pleased with our strategy, it keeps our cost flow our flexibility high and really gives us access to best…

Ciaran Long

Management

49:05 And Oliver, I just add on inflationary, we've had to do some small wage increases at our U. S. Distribution center, but not a really big impact there on the floor or are kind of on the go forward. I guess the other place where we are seeing pricing pressure is obviously on the inbound airfreights. We've seen a significant increase their year-over-year and even quarter over quarter, we do expect some more increases there in Q4, but we've built that into kind of our expectations and we're kind of expect both increases to continue into next year.

Operator

Operator

49:44 All right, our next question is coming from Michael [Indiscernible].

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

49:48 Hey guys, congrats on nice quarter. It's nice to talk guys here on a live public call. I just want to ask you maybe a couple of things on the model and then I think the revenue guidance for fourth quarter looks like it's about thirty percent to forty one percent a little bit of a deceleration from proforma number in 3Q. And then if we take out minimal, it's a little bit more of a deceleration. You talked about the lockdowns and reopening in several parts of the business reaccelerate coming out of 3Q. So, as we're trying to learn to think alongside you guys here and how you build the guidance, maybe would you help us with a couple of the inputs that you're thinking about for fourth quarter? And how much of any kind of a deceleration if I'm right on the math there is just conservatism, or it could be just related to tougher compares a year ago since we don't have a lot of history of the combined business and any inputs there would help. And the same question on the EBITDA margins it looks like you're planning to about ten dollars to ten point five percent in the fourth quarter a little lower than what we just saw in the third quarter. Again, don't know much about the changeover in seasonality from 3Q to 4q so any help there? And then finally, I just certainly maybe the AOV is mid-single digit that you had the six percent this quarter. I know we've talked about some price increases across the brands. Is that as you talk about the twenty percent long term, if we start thinking a little bit now about twenty twenty to is mid-single digit AOV, a place to start thinking for next year is that's sustainable?

Ciaran Long

Management

51:16 Yes, thanks and maybe I'll go to AOV first and kind of work backwards. I think we're pretty happy with the increase we saw in AOV year-over-year. It's six percent to three percent on a constant currency basis. And it was like to see up really across all of the brands. In particular that's coming from price increases and the princess Petal and Pup put into effect. I think go forward, they will continue to be opportunistic and really look at the market and move prices as they see the ability. So I think as we think about kind of go forward and AOV, it's certainly kind of in that low single digit we think about kind of in FY22. And then as that kind of relates to our guidance and our expectations around Q4, we certainly see seasonality in AOV from Q3 to Q4. So kind of we would expect it to decrease in Q4 versus Q3. And that's somewhere from the promotion nature of Q4, but also just the different mix and up kind of categories across the brands so we would kind of see it coming down from that perspective. And that's really I would say the bigger driver of our decelerating revenue in Q4 also somewhat bit conservatism. These are kind of new brands and to some of newer brands to the U. S. when you think of culture gains, so we do want to be conservative there. 52:46 And then really, as it relates to EBITDA, and thank you about EBITDA in Q4. I would say kind of three bigger drivers, one is just the seasonality, the AOV impacting our gross margins, we would expect those comedown in Q4 with the promotional nature of Q4 with a little bit of increase in selling expenses as it relates to surcharges with carriers and then just the other driver is from the G&A perspective, we are bringing on more public company expenses in Q4 this year. As it's with our first full quarter being public, so think of [Indiscernible] Insurance and other public company costs. They're the kind of drivers that bringing decrease in EBITDA over Q3.

Operator

Operator

53:34 Our next question is coming from [Indiscernible].

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

53:39 Hey everyone, Congrats on your first call. I guess, I'll just ask a couple follow ups on minimal. I guess Karen. I think you guys used a little bit of equity in the purchase this time. Can you remind me is that something that you guys would normally do? Is that kind of new and then does that kind of fit to the future of these one or two deals annually going forward? And then I think you gave me the 4Q revenue number eight percent to ten should we just kind of assume that this business is around thirty million dollars to forty million dollars in annualized run rate revenue and then any kind of gross margin color on minimal that kind of mix out into the next year would be great? Thank you.

Ciaran Long

Management

54:16 Sure. Thanks. Yes, from the acquisition, was part of the purchase price was about two point one million shares, about seventeen million dollars and folks pretty five percent of the just under thirty five percent of the overall purchase price. I think in our mind, it's kind of somewhere from twenty percent to thirty five percent is the range of equity that we would expect to do as part of our acquisitions. And certainly talking to potential acquisitions out there, they're very much interested in having equity in AKA and kind of being prior to the long-term upgrades that we see hundred across all of the brands and the overall business. And then from a revenue perspective, minimal that is kind of their quarterly range is what we expect. They're not a seasonal business. So they are in that kind of thirty dollars to forty million dollars range from a revenue perspective. And across the drivers AOV gross margins very similar to the overall portfolio that we have so no big changes there from a model perspective. I think as we think of about EBITDA, we will invest more in that from a headcount perspective in that first year just to support their growth make sure that kind of we can bring them onto the platform. And so that will bring down their EBITDA rate on the first year but come back very quickly.

Operator

Operator

55:46 Our next question comes from Dana Telsey.

Dana Telsey

Analyst

55:49 Good afternoon, everyone, and congratulations on the progress. You mentioned some of the new initiatives at Princess Polly whether expanding the exclusive merchandise or introducing sustainable component to the mix there and also increasing the new weekly styles by thirteen percent. How does this move going forward? It does it accelerate in terms of whether it's the more weekly styles going forward or extended sizing or sustainable and do some of these initiatives hold for the other brands, whether it's Petal and Pup or Rebdolls?

Jill Ramsey

Management

56:30 Thanks, Dana. I'll take that. So, on Princess Polly, we have a high mix of exclusive already in Princess Polly, brand really competes quality and exclusive and pleased to increase our penetration that exclusive this past quarter and really committed to continuing to increase that at Princess Polly and across all of our brands. They did roll out as you mentioned, the sustainable line that quarter with their Earth club line and saw really strong customer response that exceeded expectations. So, about five percent of their assortment is now coming from recyclable renewable fabrics. And they are very committed to continuing to expand that and looking to get to twenty percent of all their new styles made sourced from recyclable or renewables fabrics by the end of the quarter. 57:28 And we are excited to take the learnings from Princess Polly of doing that and apply that to our other brands. They have been forcing those fabrics at a mill and are able to use those fabrics across their supplier networks, so they were not needing to go find new suppliers in order to do this, and they were also notably didn't need to incur any cost increases or price increase to the customer to offer this sustainable line. So, we're really excited about what they're doing in that space. Princess Polly is really a leader inside our group of brands on sustainability and we're going to learn a lot from their expansion plans there and apply that to the rest. They are also as noted introducing and extended sizing line with their curve collection this quarter and in Q4 that will come out. We're really excited to learn from that and also similarly be able to apply that across the group of brands.

Operator

Operator

58:31 Okay. We have a follow-up question from Oliver Chen.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

58:35 Hi, Jill, I had a question more broadly about your M&A strategy and M&A platform. And as you look for authenticity and also your experience on really pioneering looking at new social platforms, What are you seeing in the marketplace? What should we know about what might be your key priorities? And how will you more broadly approach value creation within the platform? Thank you.

Jill Ramsey

Management

59:05 Thanks, Oliver. So on M&A, well first, I think it's important to note that our biggest priority focus on growing AKA is focused on organic. We are really committed scaling the group of brands that we have and particularly scaling them in the U. S. But we are of course, acquisitive and looking to M&A to make future best and our strategy is to really enhance our portfolio and continue to diversify our audiences, our fashion style aesthetics, our gender mix, our geographic mix. And ultimately, we're looking for just all-star brands, best to the best digital direct to consumer, high growth, profitable brands with great teams. And we do look for brands that can really complement our portfolio and are not necessarily competitive and we think the five we've assembled so far are just a really great group of diversified balanced brands. 60:12 We have a very disciplined approach to our M&A and a strong pipeline in the mix right now and the IPO has really our visibility, which we're excited about and so we have an opportunity to really be selective as we go and we're also a bit of an acquirer of choice in that we have real e-commerce expertise and a real value add proposition for the brands that they really resonates with the brands when we talk to them. So, really excited about the potential and what we're seeing out there and we're maintaining a strong pipeline of great brands that we're talking to and we're looking again just as a reminder, probably one to two acquisitions a year.

Operator

Operator

61:00 Jill, I'm not showing any questions at this time. [Operator Instructions] There are no further questions.

Jill Ramsey

Management

61:21 Thanks, everyone. Really appreciate joining. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

61:27 Ladies gentlemen, thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.