Operator
Operator
Welcome to the Adient Second Quarter Financial Results Earnings Conference Call. [Operator instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to Mike Heifler. Thank you, you may begin.
Adient plc (ADNT)
Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Fri, May 3, 2024
$21.19
-1.99%
Same-Day
+2.59%
1 Week
+5.47%
1 Month
+2.30%
vs S&P
-2.15%
Operator
Operator
Welcome to the Adient Second Quarter Financial Results Earnings Conference Call. [Operator instructions] Today's conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the call over to Mike Heifler. Thank you, you may begin.
Mike Heifler
Analyst
Thank you, Amanda. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. The press release and presentation slides for our call today have been posted to the Investors section of our website at adient.com. This morning, I'm joined by Jerome Dorlack, Adient's President and Chief Executive Officer; and Mark Oswald, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. On today's call, Jerome will provide an update on the business followed by Mark, who will review our Q2 financial results and outlook for the remainder fiscal 2024. After our prepared remarks, we will open the call to your questions. Before I turn the call over to Jerome and Mark, there are few items I'd like to cover. First, today's conference call will include forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the environment as we see it today, and therefore involve risks and uncertainties. I would caution you that our actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements made on the call. Please refer to Slide 2 of the presentation for our complete Safe Harbor statement. In addition to the financial results presented on a GAAP basis, we will be discussing non-GAAP information that we believe is useful in evaluating the company's operating performance. Reconciliations for these non-GAAP measures to the closest GAAP equivalent can be found in the appendix of our full earnings release. And with that, it’s my pleasure to turn the call over to Jerome.
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
Thanks, Mike. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining as we review our second quarter results, discuss the drivers for a revised full-year outlook, and share insights into the long-term direction of the business and how we plan to create value for our shareholders. Turning to slide 4, let me begin with a few comments related to the quarter. I'm proud of the Adient team for delivering strong results underscored by 60 basis points of margin expansion from a year ago through being nimble, finding incremental efficiencies and maintaining a laser focus on flawless launch execution. The team was able to overcome a production volume environment that was weaker than ongoing expectations, driven by slower than anticipated ramp of key launches and softening EV demand in the Americas and EMEA regions. The Americas and EMEA were able to proactively take out costs through austerity measures, reduced freight expense, and carefully controlled launch expense, driving improved business performance in the face of volume challenges. In China, we continue to execute at a best-in-class level operationally, which drives commercial success and new business wins. Turning to Adient's key financial metrics for the quarter, which are shown on the right hand side of the slide, revenue for the quarter, which totaled $3.8 billion, was down about 4% compared to last year's second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter, which totaled $227 million, was up 6%. Adient ended the quarter with a strong balance sheet with modest leverage of 1.7x and a strong cash and total liquidity position of $905 million and $1.9 billion, respectively. We've highlighted a number of customer and industry awards received in Q2 as proof points of our strong operational execution and commitment to delivering on-time and on-target for our customers. And our customers are recognizing us as a supplier…
Mark Oswald
Analyst
Thanks Jerome. Let's jump in the financials on slide 14. Adhering to our typical format, this page is formatted with our reported results on the left and our adjusted results on the right side. We will focus our commentary on the adjusted results which excludes special items that we view as either one time in nature or otherwise skew important trends in underlying performance. For the quarter, the biggest drivers of the difference between our reported and adjusted results relate to the European restructuring charge which Jerome covered, purchase accounting amortization, and certain tax adjustments. Details of all adjustments for the quarter are in the appendix of the presentation. High level for the quarter, sales were approximately $3.8 billion, down 4% compared to our second quarter last year. Lower volumes resulting from the timing and slower ramp of launches as well as slower pace of electrical vehicle production and the negative impact of FX movements between the two periods drilled the year-on-year sales decline. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $227 million, up 6% year-on-year. EBITDA margins expanded 60 basis points. This favorable performance is primarily attributed to benefits associated with improved business performance in net commodities. These benefits were partially offset by the impact of lower volume and mix. And to a lesser extent, the negative impact of currency movements between the periods. I'll expand on these key drivers in just a minute. Finally, at the bottom line, Adient reported an adjusted net income of $49 million or $0.54 per share. Let's break down our second quarter results in more detail. I'll cover the next few slides rather quickly as details for the results are included on the slides. This should ensure that we have adequate time for the Q&A portion of the call. Starting with revenue on slide…
Operator
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Emmanuel Rosner with Deutsche Bank.
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst
Thank you very much. Good morning. My first question is around the implied revenue outlook for the second half of the year. So it seems like backing to your business guidance is probably just about flat maybe first half to second half, maybe a little bit better than that. Yet, obviously, your revenues in the quarter were in line or better. A lot of the launch issues and slow ramps would have probably already occurred this past quarter. So can you maybe just characterize a little bit better what you're seeing in terms of your customer schedules? Because I would have thought some of these launch and ramp issues would have impacted the quarter, but they didn't. But now it seems like they're impacting the second half to the point that you're not really seeing any sequential improvement, even though these things are still ramping.
Mark Oswald
Analyst
Yes, Emmanuel, this is Mark. So as I indicated the launches did impact the second quarter by, call it, the $150 million, which we called out. We do expect that the launch performance will improve, but it's not going to get full up to the, what I'd call the run rate that we had expected heading into the fiscal year. So you're absolutely right first half sales call it $7.4 billion, second half slightly better. So we do see modest improvement going the second half, but it's not to the expectations that we had originally planned heading into this fiscal year.
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst
And just a quick follow up on this, and then I have a separate question, but what do you think is sort of the fundamental issue around some of these slower rounds? I guess what is the industry struggling with?
Mark Oswald
Analyst
Yes, I guess I wouldn't say it's one particular, I think each customer is different, right. So if I look at certain of the customers, they've came out and indicated their own specific challenges, whether it's software issues at certain places, whether it's being able to produce the high end trim series on certain pickup trucks that they're trying to launch, right. So it varies across customers, but it's more of the fact that they're putting more complexity into their vehicles, the fact that when these vehicles are coming together and launched, they're not going up the launch curve as planned, and that tends to have a tail to it.
Emmanuel Rosner
Analyst
Understood. And then I wanted to come back to your slide 12 and an update on some of the longer term targets for margin improvement. So the factors you mentioned are helpful. I wanted to ask you specifically about the metals exits, because I think last quarter you raised essentially a question that the piece of the margin improvement that relates to metal exit may sort of be delayed as a result of some of your customers' decision to maintain those ICE platforms running for longer. Is this no longer an issue because you have more clarity on it, or is it because now this is a target exiting fiscal 2027 and you assume that by then these platforms will have essentially run out?
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
Yes, I think it's the latter portion of your statement, Emmanuel, that is, as we now look at when we believe the balance-in balance-out will occur on these metal programs, and we look at getting to 8% by 2027, the vast majority of those metal projects will be out of the system by then, looking at the latest schedules from our customers and when those things kind of flush themselves out of the system now. Looking again at their latest LRPs, their long-range plans, their balance-in balance-out, that's what we believe to be true.
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Colin Langan with Wells Fargo.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
Hey guys, this is [inaudible] filling in for Colin. I'll start off, if you can just provide a refresher on the EBITDA walk, mainly like breaking out some of the pieces in the business performance and how it's offsetting the volume cut.
Mark Oswald
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
Yes, I'll start. So just high level, and that's what we included the slide and the deck indicating walking from last year's what I'd say run rate of $908 million up to call it the $910 million at the midpoint of this year's guide. Right, your business performance is going to be somewhere in that $190 million to $200 million. We indicated that we expect about $100 million of volume headwind this year, and the rest of the elements pretty much are in line with what we expected as we came into the year. So FX still that $60 million headwind primarily with the Mexican peso there. Other footprint changes call it $20 million, and then equity income performing slightly better than expectations, call that a $10 million headwind. So those are the primary buckets walking you from last year to this year's guide.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
Okay, are you able to kind of break out what's exactly in the performance bucket the $190 million to $200?
Mark Oswald
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
Well, again, it's the combination of factors that we've been calling out throughout the course of the year, right. So it's certain balance-in balance-out that has a favorable effect. It's the fact that we have lower freight costs, we're getting efficiencies with modularity that plays a role there. Our C&I continues to do extremely well. And obviously, those are net positive and offset certain of the other headwinds or challenges such as labor costs increasing, right. So net-net that business equation for us on business performance continues to be very positive.
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
Yes, and I would add to that in addition, you have in there things such as net positions on customer pricing where we have certain things that have creeped into our network, especially in our European operations, such as energy, such as the labor environment over there. And that's really the net position of what we're able to work with our customers on from a VAVE and repositioning our footprint and other activities to offset some of those pressures. And really the net position of those discussions with our customers, same thing in the Americas. When we think about the labor inflation that we have in Mexico, some of the constitutional changes that have taken place there with the 20% increases, but yet we're constantly driving our footprint improvement, and the net position of those discussions with our customers on a pricing basis. So it's really that, what we kind of call a basket of good discussions. In addition to the factors that Mark talked about, the modularity activities, the automation that we have already been driving in our plants and have been driving really for the last two and three years, the net output of that. It's really all of that that plays into that business performance bucket.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
That was an excellent call, thank you. And then one last one on buybacks, I mean, your leverage is trending towards maybe the lower end of their range, you're in good cash position. I think you have a little more than half of the cash backlog remaining in the year, and you reduce your free cash flow. So how can we think about the cadence on buybacks for the rest of the year? Is 50 million a good sustainable rate, or do you expect to taper down from there?
Mark Oswald
Analyst · Wells Fargo.
I think when I look at the share of purchases this year, clearly, we've been for the first six months of this year, call it pretty much cash neutral for the year, right, in terms of free cash generation. So we've taken cash off the balance sheet to achieve the $150 million of repurchases through the first six months. We'll generate our free cash flow as we go through H2 this year. So I would expect the buybacks to continue, right, as we've done in the past, we'll continue to execute those prudently and we'll make sure that we balance the share repurchases versus we've got the 3.5% Euro notes that are due in August, right. So there's going to be certain amounts of calls for cash. But again, I would say that the pacing should be fairly similar.
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from [inaudible] with Bank of America.
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst
Hi. Good morning, guys. Just one question on the strength of China. So what is driving such a strong market there in your market share gain? And on the second leg of this question is, so Asia is your strongest region in terms of margin? Even if we exclude the equity income, could you give us more color why that continues to be that strong?
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
So I'll take both of those questions and appreciate your time today on the call. And the first part really what drives our continued share gain and continued strong revenue performance in China really comes down to a couple factors. The first one being the strength of the team that we have there. It really all starts with our people and that team's ability to execute. And the fact that they're quick, they're nimble, they have the autonomy to really drive a product offering that meets our customers' needs within that region. And they do it with speed. They do it with urgency. And they do it with a focus of every day meeting our customers' needs. And because we have a very attractive standalone business there, we don't have to operate through a JV network like some of our competitors do. I mean, we have a very attractive wholly owned entity that is very strong in really all regions. In the north, in the west, and even in the south where we have footprints that are where our customers are, we have three major tech center hubs within the region as well. Two of them are fully capable tech center hubs that our customers really recognize as being world class. And so our customers turn to us for solutions as well. So if you really look at what it takes to be successful, you have to act with speed. You have to be where your customers are, and then you have to have technical capabilities to be able to turn engineering solutions very quickly. And we have all three of those, and we're able to punch all three of those boxes. So that's why I really think we're able to grow as fast as we're able to grow within…
Unidentified Analyst
Analyst
Thank you, Jerome. And just one additional one on the restructuring action in Europe, should we expect any additional action in the future? And with that, what I'm trying to understand is, so it seems like the region is going to see more input from China, but at the same time, the European Union may enact some actions to prevent some of the imports. So I'm wondering, have you, did you take all the action to be dimensioned to the current market, or did you leave some, any buffer to account for potential, I don't know, rebound in EU production or volumes?
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
I mean, how we would answer that as a management team is to say we're going through kind of our long range strategic plan right now, reevaluating what we need to do to accelerate our attainment of the margin goals, in particular in Europe, we're not satisfied with the status quo and we will act accordingly to address what it takes to be competitive in that region. And if that, if one path is to drive and act on a reduced footprint size, we'll evaluate that, but more importantly, we'll be good stewards of capital and good stewards of cash for our shareholders and for our stakeholders. So it's -- we're not here today to announce whether we're going to look at additional restructuring in the region or not. More importantly, what I will say is we'll look at a holistic view of our European region and a holistic view of Adient's capital needs, and look at the best outcome for our shareholders and stakeholders in light of driving towards a long-term sustainable margin target.
Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Dan Levy with Barclays.
Dan Levy
Analyst · Barclays.
Hi. Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions. Wondering if you could just provide a couple points on clarification on the revised guidance for this year. One, maybe you could just talk to the assumptions on commercial recoveries, how much is embedded for the second half, what did we see in the first half, and then maybe you could just delve a bit deeper into the offsetting business performance that's mitigating some of the revenue decline versus the prior outlook.
Mark Oswald
Analyst · Barclays.
Yes, Dan, I'll start, and then Jerome can weigh in. But when I look at first half, second half, Dan, commercial recoveries are going to be slightly lower in the second half versus first half, so it was more tilted towards the first half there. So the big drivers as I get into H2, there's slight volume pickup, but not much as we answered Emmanuel's question earlier. Then we have some what I'd call business performance which really continues to drive increases in H2. Again, that's certain of the C&I that comes in, that's certain of the labor at the plants as the customers continue to progress up the launch curves, we're going to be more efficient in those plants, right. We're going to drive lower freight costs as we have renegotiated certain of the costs of the freight lanes, right. As Jerome indicated, we've launched a modular program with one of our JOEMs, right, so that will be at run rate in the second half of the years. Again, it's more of what I'd say the blocking and tackling with those continuous improvements in those business performance drivers in the second half, that's really what overcomes what I'd say that shortfall in volume that we were expecting.
Dan Levy
Analyst · Barclays.
Great. Thank you. And then the second question, I want to go back into the vertical integration question, which I think you've faced in the past, and you said you're quite happy with the vertical integration that you have. But amid this tougher environment, I think, for discussions with OEMs and the margins that they're facing, are there any revisions to the vertical integration strategy? Are you still happy with what you have?
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst · Barclays.
I think in the seating space, we're still very happy with the products that we're vertically integrated in. I think the footprint that we have on foam is second to none, and our ability to execute on foam is still outstanding, on a trim standpoint, we have very strong competitive moat, and the ability to spin up a trim plant and place 1,500 people and do that at a world-class level like we're able to. It's difficult. It's proven to be difficult, and there's some pretty high barriers to entry there. And on a metal standpoint, I think I don't necessarily need to replay the challenges that we've had on metals and integrating and how difficult it can be there to break into that area. And more actively, as we've said, trying to skim back some of our metals and really focus where we have vertical integration. We've talked a lot about the comfort system side of it. And on the comfort system side, I think to go in on a vertical integration wholesale is, as we've talked about in the past, there's some risk associated just because you have a lot of new entrants and threats coming in from China that are diluting the market and diluting the margin profile there. And they're spreading pretty rapidly with footprints in Mexico and Europe, and there's inherent risk to be had there. So wholesale to go in, I think, is difficult. We may look at, is there a way to get in potential limited investments and partner with them, similar to what we've done in the past. It's something we may want to evaluate. I think we have a very strong technical relationship with Gentherm that we've leveraged already to displace some incumbent business with some of the higher cost suppliers, and we continue to drive that with them. And actually, we're using it today even to partnership on pursuing incremental business that's not in our book for both them and us. So, I think that continues to be fruitful. I think when we look outside of seating, are there other things that are could be attractive for us we continue to evaluate. That are, say, in the seating space, that are natural bolt-ons to seating that would lead to some level of vertical integration, but also give us exposure in markets that would be accretive. I think we continue to evaluate that. But again, it comes down to kind of capital allocation and what's the best decision long term from a total capital allocation perspective. But certainly anything that would make us more relevant long-term and diversify our risk exposure, as you said, to customer pricing pressure is something that we're evaluating and we continue to evaluate in a very dynamic environment. And anything that would help us gain scale in Europe and defray some of the risk that's there is also something that we're evaluating.
Operator
Operator
Our last question comes from Joe Spak with UBS.
Joseph Spak
Analyst
Thanks. Mark, maybe one first quick clarification. When you talk about adverse customer mix, are you talking about certain customers growing at different paces than other customers? Are you talking about within the programs you're on, just a lower trim level that maybe less content?
Mark Oswald
Analyst
Yes, it's within the programs we're on. So if you think about, we called out the Acadian Traverse, for example, right. Those are good programs. Unfortunately, they were adversely affected this quarter and looking into Q3 because they're not getting up the launch curve as fast as they had anticipated.
Joseph Spak
Analyst
Okay. And then just back to the path to 8%, I understand like a good chunk of this is sort of that’s going to balance out, which is maybe going to take a little bit longer, but like maybe you could just help it remind us like of the 200 basis points, like how much of it is really that balance-in balance-out, how much of it is more net performance, like under your control, right, improving the self-help improvements with your operations and how much of it is volume.
Mark Oswald
Analyst
Yes, I'll start on that, Joe. So when I think about what's in our control, right, as we indicated, we're not assuming a volume tailwind to get us there, right. So when I think about growing in China, for example, right, that's us making sure that we're winning business and we're providing our customers with value so we can continue to grow that backlog, right. When I think about improved business performance in the Americas and EMEA, that's within our control because again, as Jerome indicated, right sizing our metals business, right. What can we continue to do on a modularity perspective? The team continuing with automation at certain of our foam and metals plants, right. That's within our control. Proactive restructuring in Europe, for example, right, that's us taking a look at our footprint, trying to understand, A, can we get scale out there if we can't get scale, right? What do we have to do to revise that footprint? So I'd say it's more concentrated on what we can control. Now that said, there's macro pressures that influence that, right. So I still have to offset things like FX, for example, the Mexican peso, right. I still have to look at labor costs, right. So certain of those things will obviously impact timing. But again, as Jerome indicated, we have a roadmap to get us to that 8% and we have not walked away from that.
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
Yes, and I just follow on with what Mark was saying. I think what's important for us as a management team is looking at it and we're not sitting there. We're not happy with the status quo and really identifying what levers do we have to accelerate it. And I think the European restructuring action that was announced a few weeks ago was really the first step now towards accelerating that, not sitting still and really taking a proactive action towards that. I think the modularity that we're now accelerating in the Americas is really driving that, realizing that the labor market in the US now has fundamentally shifted. What can we do to downscale some of our JIT plants, actively move labor out, accelerating some of the automation activity that we have already started in our metals plants. That journey started two and three years ago, working towards accelerating that activity. So these are tools that we have around us. It's now what is -- what can we do to begin to accelerate those to crystallize this path towards the 8% overall goal.
Joseph Spak
Analyst
So that's helpful, and I appreciate you guys are doing hard work. I guess what I'm trying to understand is assuming you can execute on all that, right, I mean how much of the 200 is actually just reliant on this sort of balance-in balance-out? Is it a third of it, or ballpark? What are we talking about?
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
Yes, I'd say it's roughly a third of that between now and then is that balance in balance out profile.
Joseph Spak
Analyst
Thank you very much.
Jerome Dorlack
Analyst
Yes, so you've got just rough ballpark. You've got about a third of the balance-in, balance-out. You've got, call it a third of what I call a mixed tailwind of our China growth as it accelerates, and then a third of business performance, which I'd put in there. The restructuring actions that we've already announced in other business performance.
Mike Heifler
Analyst
And with that, it looks like we're at the bottom of the hour. So again, appreciate everybody's calls, questions. If you have additional questions, feel free to reach out to Mike, myself, who are available today. Again, thanks for the time.