Robert Barton
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Good morning and thank you, Ernest. Last night, we reported second quarter 2017 FFO of $49.5 per share, just a hair shy of Bloomberg's consensus estimate of $49.6 per share. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $0.12 per share for the second quarter. The company's Board of Directors has declared a dividend on its common stock of $0.26 per share for the quarterly period ending September 30, 2017. The dividend will be paid on September 28, 2017, to stockholders of record on September 14, 2017. Our retail portfolio ended the quarter at 96.8% leased. On a year-over-year basis, our retail occupancy was down approximately 140 basis points from the second quarter of 2016, leaving approximately 98,000 square feet vacant in our $3 million plus square foot retail portfolio. The decrease in retail vacancy is primarily attributed to the Sports Authority bankruptcy in 2016 at our Waikele shopping center which consisted of approximately 50,000 square feet. Additionally, during the second quarter, we renewed Lowe's at Waikele Center which was scheduled to expire in June of 2018 and occupies 150,000 square feet for an additional 10 years. The renewal reflects a roll-down in rents and is the primary reason for the negative cash re-leasing spreads in our retail portfolio during the second quarter. During the trailing 4 quarters, 83 retail leases were signed, representing approximately 389,000 square feet or 13% of our total retail portfolio. Of these leases signed, 72 leases consisting of approximately 367,000 square feet were for spaces previously leased. On a comparable basis, the annual cash basis rent decreased 3.7% over the prior leases. Our office portfolio ended the quarter at approximately 88.7% leased, down approximately 170 basis points on a year-over-year basis, primarily due to one tenant's lease expirations on December 31, 2016, at Torrey Plaza in San Diego, where approximately 70,000 square feet has been vacated as expected. During the trailing 4 quarters, 60 new office leases were signed, representing approximately 390,000 square feet or 15% of our total office portfolio. Of these leases signed during the year, 46 leases, consisting of approximately 323,000 square feet, were for spaces previously leased. On a comparable basis, the annual cash basis rent increased 17% over the prior leases, 32.5% just in the second quarter. Let's talk about lease expirations for a minute. Office and retail combined for the remainder of 2017, we have approximately 200,000 square feet of lease expirations. Approximately 103,000 square feet or 51%, relates to our City Center Bellevue office building in Bellevue, Washington. We have 2 floors expiring on October 31 and 3 floors expiring December 31. We're currently in the market actively pursuing 14 full floor prospects in the market. What I found interesting was that the Seattle City Council recently passed an income tax on Seattle residents in the upper income brackets. According to the Broderick Group, a commercial real estate service firm in Seattle, a generally negative Seattle stance towards business and those who create jobs may push CEOs considering Puget Sound to consider Bellevue on the East side as they compare the 2 markets for business expansion. It may not be a coincidence that Amazon has leased space in downtown Bellevue. And Vulcan, Amazon's largest landlord in Seattle, is on a very significant buying spree of downtown Bellevue. Bellevue is known for its pro-business tax environment and most importantly, one of the most stable, well-educated workforces in the country and will continue to provide a right environment for corporate growth in Bellevue for the foreseeable future. Our 2018 lease expirations combined for retail and office are approximately 780,000 square feet, assuming no one exercises their option to renew. However, once you factor in Lexington's Sears ground lease at Carmel Mountain Plaza in San Diego and the Kmart at Waikele regional shopping center, Hawaii, we're down to approximately 550,000 square feet which is approximately 250,000 square feet of retail and 250,000 square feet of office which is typical. And lastly, historically, we've experienced 90% retention of our retail tenants and 82% retention of our office tenants. If you assume that our existing tenants will exercise their options to renew, the 780,000 square feet of 2018 lease expirations is reduced to 152,000 square feet. Either way, we believe that we're in good shape as we look into 2018. Our multifamily portfolio went through significant changes during the second quarter with the acquisition of the Pacific Ridge Apartments on April 28, 2017. Our multifamily portfolio increased by 533 units or 34%, to a total of 2,112 units. Our entire multifamily portfolio ended the quarter at 92.6% leased. Taking a look by location on a comparative basis, our San Diego multifamily portfolio, excluding the newly acquired Pacific Ridge and seasonal Santa Fe RV resort properties ended the quarter at 95.7% leased. On a year-over-year basis, this was a decrease of 138 basis points primarily due to the 21 units at Loma Palisades that are currently offline for a renovation project. As Ernest mentioned, we expect to have these units back online sometime in the fourth quarter. In the Lloyd District in Portland, our Hassalo multifamily portfolio ended the quarter at 90.3% leased. On a year-over-year basis, this was an increase of 445 basis points. Portland continues to have one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country and has been one of the hottest residential markets in the nation. However, with growing new inventory in the market, apartment owners have begun providing heavy concessions to attract to fill their new development as rent growth is slowing. Fortunately, our concessions have remained considerably less than the market. We offer less than one month free rent and our peers are offering 2-plus months of free rent. Nevertheless, we still believe we have the right product in a highly desired transit-oriented location, with a neighborhood that continues to evolve before our eyes. We continue to be positive on this development and believe that it will create long term net asset value for our shareholders. And lastly, we believe the multifamily portfolio continues to be an excellent hedge against inflation in an environment of increasing interest rates. Let's now talk about same-store NOI for a moment. Same-store retail cash NOI increased in the first quarter to 1% primarily due to DICK'S Sporting Goods leased at Carmel Mountain Plaza in San Diego which began paying rent in the second quarter. As I mentioned before, the Sports Authority space that vacated due to the bankruptcy last year is driving the flat retail same-store cash NOI in 2017. Once it is re-leased with a new tenant paying rent, we believe that same-store retail cash NOI growth will be back to 3%. Same-store office cash NOI was up 4.5% in the second quarter primarily due to new tenants at our Lloyd 700 and our first and main properties located in Portland, Oregon, as well as lease renewals at our Landmark office building in San Francisco. We've also added the Torrey Reserve Campus office portfolio in San Diego back into the same-store pool in Q2 '17 now that it has been a full period since redevelopment has been completed. Same-store multifamily cash NOI was up 5.2% for the second quarter. Higher year-over-year rents in our San Diego multifamily portfolio is the main driver of the same-store growth for the multifamily portfolio. This growth has been accomplished even with 21 units from our Loma Palisades property taken offline for renovation. Hassalo on Eighth multifamily will be added to the same-store pool in Q4 2017 and Pacific Ridge Apartments, our newly acquired San Diego multifamily property, will be added to the same-store pool in Q3, 2018. Waikiki Beach Walk, our mixed-use property, consisting of the Embassy Suites hotel and Waikiki Beach Walk retail, reported a combined increase in same-store cash NOI of approximately 0.5% for the second quarter. The Embassy Suites hotel same-store cash NOI increased approximately 5.5% as a result of both higher revenues and lower operating expenses. Waikiki Beach Walk retail same-store cash NOI decreased 4.2%, primarily due to an increase in rental expenses compared to the same quarter last year. Tenant sales at WBW retail were at approximately $1,082 per square foot for trailing 12 months as our tenants continue to benefit from the excellent location and a good economy. Turning to our second quarter results. FFO increased $3.5 million or $0.05, to $49.5 per FFO share compared to the first quarter. The second quarter results include the following activity, one, the acquisition of Pacific Ridge Apartments on April 28 increased FFO by approximately $0.03 for 2 months of activity in the second quarter; secondly, noncash charges incurred in the first quarter associated with the payoff of the Waikiki Beach CMBS mortgage resulted in an increase in Q2 FFO of approximately $0.01 on a comparative basis; thirdly, our Embassy Suites hotel in Waikiki increased FFO by $0.01 in Q2 primarily due to the bad debt expense incurred in Q1 with respect to the Japanese travel wholesaler that declared bankruptcy. Now as we look at our balance sheet, liquidity at the end of the second quarter, we had approximately $281 million of liquidity comprised of $31 million of cash and cash equivalents and $250 million of availability on our line of credit. Our leverage at the end of the quarter remains low at 32.7% on a total debt to total capitalization basis and a net debt to EBITDA of 6.7x. Our leverage increased slightly in the second quarter with the Pacific Ridge Apartment acquisition and additional unsecured debt. However, our goal and focus is to keep our total leverage at 30% or less and get our net debt to EBITDA down to 5.5x or less on a sustainable basis. Our corporate operating model reflects accomplishing this through organic growth in our EBITDA and the payoff of our CMBS maturities as they come due. Our interest coverage and fixed-charge coverage ratio ended the quarter at 3.6x. Lastly, we're reaffirming our 2017 FFO guidance range of $2 to $2.06 per FFO diluted share, with a midpoint of $2.03 of FFO per diluted share. For those of you that are updating your models in AAT, let me outline how we're thinking about the recent transactions that we have done. Pacific Ridge Apartments that we acquired on April 28 and Gateway Marketplace which we acquired on July 9, are expected to generate approximately $12.6 million combined in NOI which is approximately $19.7 in FFO combined on an annual basis. The best way to illustrate the net impact of additional debt and refinancings that have occurred in 2017 is to compare Q4 '16 interest expense of $12.8 million with our estimated Q4 '17 interest expense of $13.9 million. The quarters in between are not comparative because they have partial months of new debt and repayments. The difference on a quarterly basis is approximately $1.1 million of incremental interest expense or $4.4 million on a stabilized annual basis or approximately $6.8 per FFO share of additional interest expense annually. The FFO accretion, net of the interest expense, is expected to be approximately $12.8 annually and approximately $3.2 quarterly. Said another way, we issued $450 million in lower-rate unsecured debt to pay off $165 million in maturing CMBS debt at an additional interest cost of $4.4 million per year and giving us the ability to use $285 million in accretive acquisitions. It gets complicated from the timing of the cash flow, so it may be hard to follow. But when comparing our estimate of Q3 FFO of approximately $52.6 per FFO share, it appears that we're approximately $1.4 of FFO per share below current consensus for Q3. We believe it has to do with the timing of the cash flows and consensus estimates made as to recent acquisitions and/or the new unsecured private placements. We will continue our best to be as transparent as possible and share with you our analysis and interpretations of our quarterly numbers. We're well prepared, with an even stronger balance sheet than in prior years, to capitalize and execute on other opportunities that we believe will present themselves over the coming quarters. Operator, I'll now turn the call over to you for questions.