Bob Barton
Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is now open
Good morning and thank you, Ernest. Last night, we reported first quarter 2017 FFO of $0.44 per share. Net income attributable to common stockholders was $0.16 per share for the first quarter. The company’s Board of Directors has declared a dividend on its common stock of $0.26 per share for the quarterly period ending June 30, 2017. The dividend will be paid on June 29, 2017 to stockholders of record on June 15, 2017. Our retail portfolio ended the quarter at 96.9% leased. On a year-over-year basis, our retail occupancy was down approximately 170 basis points from the first quarter of 2016, leaving approximately 95,000 square feet vacant in our 3 million plus square feet retail portfolio. The decrease in retail vacancy is primarily attributed to The Sports Authority bankruptcy in 2016 at our Waikele property, which consisted of approximately 50,000 square feet. During the trailing four quarters, 72 retail leases were signed representing approximately 230,000 square feet or 8% of our total retail portfolio. Of these lease assigned, 62 leases consisting of approximately 211,000 square feet were for spaces previously leased. On a comparable basis, the annual cash basis ramp increased 7.3% over the prior leases. In our supplemental document on Page 30, we list the total lease expirations by sector and by year. On average, we have approximately 250,000 square feet of space expiring each year in our retail portfolio and approximately 250,000 square feet of space expiring each year in our office portfolio. The top of that page assumes no options or exercise and the bottom of that page assumes all lease options are exercised. If you look at the top of that page, assuming no options or exercise, you will see that we have approximately 1.2 million square feet expiring in 2018. The majority of that is approximately 891,000 square feet in our retail portfolio. But notice that if you look at the bottom half of that page, which assumes all options are exercised, it is only 51,000 square feet that is expiring in 2018. Additionally, the 2018 expirations include Sears ground lease at Carmel Mountain Plaza for 107,000 square feet, Macy’s ground lease at Del Monte Center for 212,500 square feet and Kmart at Waikele for 119,500 square feet, which we are currently in the process of repositioning as well as the lows at Waikele for 155,000 square feet, which we are currently in lease renewal discussions. The other major retailers expiring in 2018 are profitable stores based on the sales figures that we monitor. And lastly, historically, we have experienced approximately 90% to 92% retention of our retail tenants, because of the high-quality centers and the infill locations located in coastal West Coast markets. So big picture, we believe we are in pretty good shape on our 2018 expirations. Our office portfolio ended the quarter at approximately 89.3%, down approximately 200 basis points on a year-over-year basis, primarily due to ICW’s lease expiration on December 31, 2016 at Torrey Plaza in San Diego where approximately 70,000 square feet has been vacated as expected. The renovation of Torrey Plaza is currently underway and is expected to be completed in the fourth quarter. Once completed, we believe the renovation and repositioning of this building will result in the modern, highly amenitized office complex, which we expect will be well received in the marketplace. During the trailing four quarters, 59 new office leases were signed representing approximately 333,000 square feet or 12% of our total office portfolio. Of leases signed during the year, 43 leases consisting of approximately 257,000 square feet were for spaces previously leased. On a comparable basis, the annual cash basis ramp increased to 9.5% over the prior leases. Our multifamily portfolio ended the quarter at 93.4% leased or approximately 300 basis points over Q4 ‘16. If you look at our San Diego multifamily portfolio, we are 94% leased, including the 21 units of Loma Palisades that are currently offline for our renovation and refresh project. We expect to have these units back online sometime in the fourth quarter. If you look at our Hassalo multifamily portfolio in the Lloyd District of Portland, Oregon, we had a net absorption of 44 additional units leased during Q1, increasing the Hassalo portfolio to 92.4% occupancy, which is a 780 basis point increase in occupancy over Q4 ‘16. Portland continues to have one of the lowest unemployment rates in the country and has been one of the hottest residential markets in the nation. However, the growing new inventory in the market, apartment owners have begun providing heavy concessions to attract and fill their new developments as rent growth is slowing. Fortunately, our concessions have remained considerably less than the market. For instance, we offer less than one month free rent and our peers are offering approximately two plus months of free rent. Nevertheless, we still believe we have the right product in a highly desired transit oriented location with a neighborhood that continues to evolve before your eyes. We continue to be positive on this development and believe that it will create long-term net asset value for our shareholders. And lastly, we believe that multifamily continues to be an excellent hedge against inflation in an environment of increasing interest rates. Let’s talk about same-store NOI for a moment. Same-store retail cash NOI decreased in the first quarter to a negative 3.5%. The decrease is primarily due to the two former Sports Authority stores in our portfolio that went into bankruptcy in 2016. The former Sports Authority store at Carmel Mountain Plaza Regional Shopping Center in San Diego was leased to Dick’s Sporting Goods and cash rent began last month. We are also continuing to make progress with a national grocer with whom we have signed a letter of intent for the former Sports Authority space at our Waikele Shopping Center on the Island of Oahu in Hawaii. Same-store office cash in Hawaii was up 5.4% in the first quarter primarily due to new tenants at our Lloyd 700 property located in Portland, Oregon and our First & Main property also located in Portland, Oregon. We have also added the Lloyd District office portfolio back into the same-store pool in Q1 2017. Now that it has been a full period since development has been completed on Haslip, same-store multifamily cash NOI was up 2.5% for the first quarter. Higher year-over-year rents in our San Diego multifamily portfolio is the main driver of the same-store growth for the multifamily portfolio. This growth has been accomplished even with the 21 units from our Loma Palisades property taken offline for renovation and refresh. We believe the renovation of the 21 units will be completed in the fourth quarter of 2017. We continue to be pleased with the execution and direction of our multifamily portfolio. Hassalo on Eighth multifamily will be added to the same-store pool in Q4 2017. Waikiki Beach Walk, our mixed use property consisting of the Embassy Suites Hotel and Waikiki Beach Walk Retail reported a combined decrease in same-store cash NOI of approximately 13.9% for the first quarter. Let me break this out and give you some more color. For the Embassy Suites Hotel, same-store cash NOI decreased approximately 18% primarily due to the bad debt expense of approximately $500,000 recorded in March 2017. The bad debt expense is related to Sawayaka, also known as Tell Me Club, a Japanese wholesale partner for the hotel who suspended operations on March 24 and declared bankruptcy on March 27, an extremely rare event in Japan. Without the bankruptcy charge, Embassy Suites Hotel same-store cash NOI would have increased 6.9%. Although we have taken a charge in the first quarter of 2017, our revenue management team at Embassy Suites believes it is early enough in the year to mitigate the situation for the remainder of the year through other channels of revenue management and therefore, we do not expect any further changes to the Embassy Suites projected NOI for the remaining months of 2017 with respect to the Sawayaka/Tell Me club bankruptcy at this time. Waikiki Beach Walk retail same-store cash NOI decreased 9% primarily due to lease terminations totaling approximately $300,000 in the first quarter. Our retail leasing team that covers Waikiki Beach Walk retails is making good progress on 2017 lease renewals and filling our existing vacancies. Tenant sales at WBW retail were at approximately $1,078 per square foot for the rolling 12 months as our tenants continued to benefit from the exit location and the good economy. Turning to our first quarter results, FFO decreased $2.3 million or $0.04 to $0.44 per FFO per share compared to the fourth quarter. The first quarter results included the following activity. Number one, Waikiki Beach Walk retail decreased FFO by approximately $0.01 in Q1 due to a reduction in percentage rents, which are historically higher at year end and a decrease in base rent due to lease expirations as previously noted. Number two, Torrey Reserve Campus decreased FFO by approximately $0.01 in Q1 due to the ICW lease expiration at year end. Number three, non-cash charges reduced FFO in Q1 by approximately $0.015 relating to acceleration of the debt costs associated with the payoff of Waikiki Beach Walk CMBS mortgage. And number four, we issued 700,000 shares of common stock under our ATM program during Q1, which resulted in a reduction of FFO by approximately $0.015. Now as we look at our balance sheet and liquidity at the end of the first quarter, we had approximately $440 million in liquidity comprised of $190 million of cash and cash equivalents and $250 million of availability in our line of credit. Our leverage at the end of the first quarter remains low at 30.2%, total debt to total capitalization and a net debt to EBITDA of 5.9x. Our interest coverage and fixed charge coverage ratio ended the quarter at 3.5x. Lastly, we are revising our 2017 FFO guidance to reflect our recent acquisition of the Pacific Ridge Apartment Community in San Diego, California, which we acquired on April 28 at a purchase price of $232 million. Based on our initial analysis, we are acquiring this asset at a going-in cap rate slightly less than a 5% yield with an un-levered IRR ranging from a mid-6% to a high-7%. What we like about this acquisition is the following; first, it’s located directly across the main entrance to USD or the University of San Diego. Its location creates a captured market for college students in years 3 and 4 when students must leave the campus dorms after the first 2 years, secondly, it was just completed in 2013 and is a resort type apartment community, third, we believe there is an opportunity to reposition rents for our specific unit types using LRO or lease rent optimization software application, fourth, we believe there will be economies of scale with our over 600 plus multifamily units in San Diego and fifth, we believe there will be other operational efficiencies once we get in and start running the new apartment community. But we won’t know for sure the extent of the opportunities until we get in to run it for ourselves. We just took possession last Friday mid-day. At the closing, on April 28, the purchase price funded with $100 million from cash on hand and $132 million short-term borrowing on the line of credit. Our intention will be to reduce the line of credit with long-term fixed rate unsecured debt as soon as possible and balance that with a leveraged neutral strategy. Our revised range is $2 to $2.06 per FFO share with a midpoint of $2.03 per share from our previous guidance of $1.98 to $2.06 per FFO share with a midpoint of $2.02 per share. As we discussed in our prepared comments last quarter, we provided guidance that reduced our midpoint to $2 per FFO share. We are now increasing the lower end of the range by $0.02 per share to $2 per FFO share, increasing our midpoint by $0.03 to a range of – we now increase lower end by range of $0.02 to $2 per FFO share and increasing our midpoint by $0.03 to $2.03 as a result of the following two items; number one, Pacific Ridge is initially expected to be approximately $0.04 per FFO share accretive for the remaining eight months of 2017 and approximately $0.07 per FFO share accretive for 2018 and secondly, the bad debt expense related to the bankruptcy of the Japanese wholesaler at the Embassy Suites will reduce our guidance by approximately $0.01 per FFO share in 2017. These two items together, will increase our 2017 FFO guidance midpoint by $0.03 per FFO share to our revised midpoint of $2.03 per FFO share, a 9.7% increase in FFO over 2016. One last point is that we have read all of the negative news on the retail sector in the recent months, as you have. We have been – and we have seen that the retail tenants have a slightly stronger hand in lease negotiations in the current cycle. We have also reviewed the recent S&P Global Ratings report on the stressed U.S. retailers and over – and have overlaid their list of top of our retail portfolio. Worst case would be $0.015 to the downside, which we have factored into our guidance analysis. But we also believe that our Coastal West Coast infill locations with high quality centers will continue to outperform over the long-term, which we experienced during the great recession approximately 8 years ago. Our grocery anchored centers are not typical. They generally have four or five components that make up the outdoor lifestyle retail center. They generally include a specialty brochure, which typically has stronger operating margins than a typical brochure. They include an entertainment component like Regal theaters at Alamo Torre, Angelica Theaters at Carmel Mountain Plaza or Cinemark at Del Monte Shopping Center. They included a big box component and various dining options, to name a few. All-in-all, we feel very good about the retail portfolio that we manage on your behalf. I think it also reinforces the argument for a high quality Coastal West Coast diversified portfolio, which limits the downside risk in any one particular sector, but realizes the upside potential in each sector as well. As always, except as mentioned, our guidance excludes any impact from future acquisitions at [Technical Difficulty] issuances and repurchases. Future debt re-financings or repayments other than what we have already discussed with respect to the Pacific Ridge acquisition. Our guidance also assumes that we will receive all of Kmart’s lease revenue obligations at our Waikele Shopping Center in accordance with the terms of its lease obligations. We will continue our best to be as transparent as possible and share with you our analysis and interpretations on quarterly numbers. We are well prepared with an even stronger balance sheet than in prior years to capitalize and execute another opportunity that we believe will present themselves over the coming quarters. Operator, I will now turn the call over to you for questions.