Gianluca Tagliabue
Analyst · UBS. Susy, your line is now open, please go ahead
Thank you, Rodrigo, and thank you all for joining us today. Page eight, let me start by reminding briefly where we stand in terms of revenues. As we disclosed in January, revenues for the year were slightly under €1.5 billion, an increase of 15.5% over '21 in actual terms and 11% in constant currency. Both Zegna and Thom Browne segments continue to show good momentum despite the COVID well-known disruption in China of the second and fourth quarters. This disruption have generated a kind of 2-speed world in our business last year, and we want to point out our pleased 42% growth year-over-year out of Greater China, with this benefit from the success of the brands and the expansion of the footprint, especially on the Thom Browne side. We remind you also that the fourth quarter of 2022 saw the impact of the termination of the distribution license on menswear with Tom Ford, which also affects part of 2023, until the integration of the TOM FORD Fashion business will take place with the closing, which, as Gildo was mentioning before, is expected to happen in the second quarter of this year. At that point, this decline of the termination of distribution will be compensated by the line-by-line integration of Tom Ford. Moving to Page 9, profitability. The adjusted EBIT for the year was up 5.8% from 2021 to reach €157.7 million compared to an adjusted EBIT of last year it was 90 basis points higher. And this year, so we get to 10.6%. The decrease in the margin was due to the following factors: First, the step-up in marketing costs for both brands, which we anticipated in the Capital Markets Day, which will slightly continue also this year. It's a journey. Second, an increase in what we call and you will see in the new approach of segment reporting corporate costs, which have been allocated to dimension of segment reporting, and we will discuss shortly. These are €11 million of increase. Third, the cost related to the SOX Sarbanes-Oxley compliance, which occur in both the Zegna segments and Thom Browne segment. Finally, which is the biggest impact is the COVID-related disruption in Greater China in the second and fourth quarters of last year, which created an unfavorable geographical mix effect. This has created, as I said before, the largest impact. And if we want to turn it into 2023, it becomes an important tailwind for us adding into this new year. So it becomes like a credit from the recovery of China. This has been all partially offset by an important improvement in the profitability of the business everywhere else in the other geographies and in the other product lines. Adjusted profit at the end landed at €73.6, down slightly from €75 million of last year despite the improvement at the operating level that I mentioned before due to financial items and financial charges. I will mention and I will call out especially because they are peculiar, the increase of foot option liability and warrant liabilities for a total charge of €23 million in 2022 P&L as well as financial charges related to portfolio results in '22 compared to a profit in prior year. We note that after the redemption, the ups and downs of warrant liability will get out our P&L, but only from 2024, while in 2023, we expect the redemption of warrants that occurred in the last month to have a negative one-off impact that we estimate in the range of €26 million. This is coming from the mark-to-market value of the warrant redemption compared to the fair value that was posted at the end of 2022. Group profit for '22 came in at €65 million compared to a loss of €127 million last year, which was primarily attributable to the cost incurred in connection with the business combination with the SPAC [ph]. Now moving to Page 10. I don't want to go line by line into this income statement, but this is just to anticipate that this current shape of our income statement as we had the chance also of talking with some of you along the way, we are preparing in 2023 the transition to a representation of cost by destination, which is much more common in the industry, and this will allow us to report the gross margin, which in our current structure of the income statement is not visible. So this will happen with the first half results, and we hope to be able to provide you with a restated pro forma of prior years when we released our first half revenues at the end of July. Now let's go through to the profitability by segment, starting on Page 12 with the Zegna segment, which I remember both the Zegna brand, the Textile business and third-party products that is when we produce for other brands like Gucci and before end was also Tom Ford. We mentioned in prior announcement that we have traditionally allocated the corporate cost to the Zegna segment, thus affecting negatively this segment profitability. Now as I anticipated before, we have started to report corporate costs separately, and we will discuss this shortly. Under this new approach to segment reporting, the adjusted EBIT for Zegna segment came in at €141 million, up 7% from prior year, with a margin -- EBIT margin of 12% compared to the 12.7% of the prior year. The Zegna One Brand strategy and our repositioning drove improvement for the segment that we are partially offset by the country mix, mainly impact in China, the higher marketing costs, together with rebranding, higher personnel and compliance costs mostly related to the SOX compliance and higher depreciation and amortization. If we go to Page 13, Thom Browne segment saw an improvement in both the absolute adjusted EBIT as well as in the margin. The adjusted EBIT for the segment was up a strong 26% to reach €48 million, while the adjusted EBIT margin went up from 14.4% to 14.5% in 2022. As we continue to invest in the growth of Thom Browne, scale benefits are contributing to the improvement. On the other side, they were partially offset by growth-related expenses, including the expansion of the store network, of net 11 DOS higher marketing costs as for Zegna and investments to improve central processes within Thom Browne. Page 14. Now we've come, as I said before, to the topic of corporate costs. These costs include activities and functions belonging to the holdings that are not attributable to either Zegna, or Thom Browne segments. This cost, as I said, were previously included in the Zegna. These costs have increased significantly following the company's public listing in December, primarily they relate to the Board, the cost of functions that are centrally managed on behalf of the entire group, such as Group General Counsel, internal audit, investor relations, central finance, the insurance coverage for directors and offices and so on. For 2022, corporate costs came in at €31.9 million, 2.1% of revenues. This compares to €21 million, 1.6% in 2021, where all our structure was not up and running entirely. Other listing costs are posted directly in the Zegna and Thom Browne business, and these are related to the SOX compliance within the operating legal entities of the two segments. Going to Page 15, some details on cash position and we make cash situations like CapEx and working capital. We ended '22 with a cash surplus of €122 million up compared to the midyear of €103 million, in line with the guidance and down from €144 million at the end of the year. If you want to bridge end of '22 compared to end of '21, these are the driving factors. We paid within the year, €26 million in dividends, not only the dividends to the NV shareholders, but also to other minority shareholders of controlled entities, €73 million in payments for CapEx, mostly related to store network, that is on the Zegna side mostly in the remodeling and Thom Browne is mostly expansion. But I would also to have to flag IT investments, investments in manufacturing plants to expand capacity. A couple of examples we are expanding capacity and outerwear in those to improve efficiency and sustainability, we are putting several title around groups of the plant. There has been another topic that this factor affecting cash is €41 million higher trade working capital, which had a flat percentage on revenues around 21%. And €33 million in real estate settlements on stores. This P&L charge has been already accrued prior to 2022, but saw the cash outflow for some settlements related to Madison Avenue. Zegna store of converted taking place in 2022. As we look at, we believe that we have worked carefully on the optimization of our store networks and so most of the rationalization has happened at this point. As we see the specific part of the trade working capital, it's important to understand what happened to the inventory in order to be not, let's say, concern. A significant portion of the increase was planned. There is a part of the increase was related to our desire to secure pressures raw materials availability during times of volatility. So there has been aware decision to build inventory in some specific raw materials like cashmere or fine rules. And we also built solid availability of the essentials. Essentials is the continuative part of our Zegna brand, which is aimed to be never out of stock. So we made a step-up one-off of the availability of Zegna Essentials. And of course, there has been the part that was unplanned related to the fourth quarter of China, which has some stock, which we believe with the reopening in China now becoming as becoming in Q1 an opportunity in order to capture an increase in demand. And so we don't see any problem on the inventory coming from China. We expect this excess at the end of '22 to be quickly be absorbed in this last month and next month. So now I'll give it back to Gildo to talk about outlook.