Chris Greiner
Analyst · Needham. Please go ahead
Thank you, David, and good afternoon, everyone. Three themes highlight another very strong set of results, all of which we will dive into more detail. First, we extended our track record of beat and raise execution with accelerating revenue growth and increasing profitability and cash generation. Second, the third quarter's outperformance was broad-based across industries, channels and use cases as well as throughout our Zeta 2025 KPIs, serving as a powerful demonstration of our ability to execute through a tough macro backdrop, along with demonstrating our business model's balance and our value proposition's durability. And third, on the back of this momentum, we're raising fourth quarter and full year 2022 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, with momentum across the business our confidence is increasing. We can exceed our targets of at least $1 billion in revenue and at least 20% adjusted EBITDA margins by 2025. Now let's dive into the results. While our overall business grew 32% this quarter, this elevated 30% plus growth rate has been evident across multiple areas of our business for many quarters now. US revenue in the third quarter was up 36%, representing 96% of total Zeta revenue. And year-to-date, the US is up 32% year-to-year. Scaled customer revenue was up 34% year-to-year, now representing 98% of total data revenue. Year-to-date, scaled customer revenue is up 30% year-to-year. Direct platform revenue was up 33% year-on-year, representing 74% of Zeta revenue. And on a year-to-date basis, direct revenue was up 35% year-to-year at a mix of 78%. And once again, six out of our top 10 industries grew 25% or more. We also executed ahead of plan against our five beta 2025 KPIs. Scaled customer count grew from 373 in 2Q to 389 in 3Q and is up 42% compared to 3Q 2021 or up 12% year-to-year. In fact, year-to-date, we've added three times more scaled customers versus a year ago, tasting twice as fast as our Zeta 2025 model of 6% scaled customer count growth year-to-year. Digging a layer deeper provides context into the quality of new customer additions we continue to make. Speaking first to their size, we added six new superscale customers quarter-to-quarter, bringing our total to $106 greater than $1 million customers. From a breadth of industry contribution perspective, of the 16 new scaled customers we added nine came from consumer retail, three came from technology and media while the remaining four came from advertising and marketing, among others. In terms of new versus existing, of the incremental 16 net new scale customers added, five were new to Zeta and 11 were existing customers that became scaled in the quarter. That's our go-to-market model working as designed. And finally, in terms of linearity, just like in 2Q, we saw steady additions in scaled customers each month of the quarter, adding six in July, three in August, and seven in September. This acceleration in new customers reflects the growth of our pipeline, which is up 50% year-to-year coupled with our strong win rates. And contributing to pipeline expansion is our growing IT analyst industry recognition from Forrester, Gartner and IDC, which has translated into third quarter RFP activity, up 70% year-to-year. Scaled customer ARPU grew 19% year-to-year in 3Q, ahead of the data 2025 model of 14% year-to-year growth. Powering ARPU expansion is the continued growth in super scale customers, whose average annualized ARPU of $4.5 million is more than 10 times greater than the 100,000 to 1 million cohort of 375,000 ARPU. The sales motion moving scaled customers to super scale customers is cross-selling more channels and use cases. This quarter, the average channels per super scaled customer increased by 25% year-to-year to 2.6 in the number of scaled customers using more than one use case grew by 36% year-to-year to 39. And this is a big future opportunity for Zeta. These data points speak to the strong productivity of our hunters and farmers and the outstanding leadership of our CROs and their sales leaders. And because we're seeing a strong ROI on our sales and marketing investment, we continue to add quota-carrying headcount, consistent with the Zeta 2025 plan we communicated in February. In that setting, from a sales capacity perspective, year-to-date, we have 121 quota carriers, pacing to our year-end projection of 120 to 130 quota carriers, but it's not just about quantity, quality matters most, our sales academy, training programs and product certification processes enable our sales teams to ramp quickly, while our sales management systems are viewing a sales excellence culture. We continue to experience good stickiness, and we are tracking to our full year guidance range for net revenue retention of 110% to 115% for total data. Third quarter direct revenue mix was 74%, with year-to-date mix of 78%, which compares to 75% year-to-date in 2021. This leaves third quarter integrated platform revenue mix of 26%, higher than a year ago of 19% due to channel mix and political candidate revenue, which was $3 million in the quarter and $2 million better than what we assumed in our third quarter guidance. As I spoke about in our second quarter call, we expected this seasonal mix change, which is the driver of our cost of revenue percentage increasing 2Q to 3Q by 100 basis points to 37.8%. It's worth noting, despite the same revenue mix as a year ago, our cost of revenue is better by 90 basis points through better scale and a more favorable mix within direct channels. Bringing it all together, we remain on track to reduce cost of revenue by 200 basis points this year, well ahead of our annual data 2025 model of 60 basis points. On a GAAP basis, our net loss was $69 million, which includes $75 million of stock-based compensation. Excluding the accelerated expensing related to our IPO stock-based compensation would have been $16 million. From an expense to revenue perspective, we continue to drive strong operating leverage in R&D and G&A, both of which decreased by 120 basis points and 170 basis points year-to-year, respectively, excluding stock-based compensation. These points of leverage helped to generate $22.4 million of adjusted EBITDA, up 40% year-to-year with 14.7% adjusted EBITDA margin, up 90 basis points year-to-year. Finally, from a cash perspective, it was also a strong quarter as we remain focused on driving higher conversion rates. Year-to-date, 42% of our adjusted EBITDA converted to free cash flow, up from 7% through the first three quarters of 2021. Cash flow from operating activities was $19.5 million with free cash flow generation of $9.4 million, up 152% year-to-year. We ended the quarter with a cash balance of $115 million after using $4.3 million for our share repurchase program. Now, I'll transition to our increased 2022 guidance. Based on the strong underlying fundamentals of our business, we're increasing our fourth quarter and full year 2022 guidance putting us ahead of pace to achieve our Zeta 2025 plan. And like last quarter, even with this increase, we believe guidance continues to have a derisked profile. Full details, including guidance ranges can be found on slide 14 of our earnings supplemental. For the fourth quarter of 2022, we're increasing the midpoint of revenue guidance by $2 million to $160 million, up 19% year-to-year. And for clarity, we're assuming $4 million of political candidate revenue contribution in the fourth quarter, no change from prior guidance assumptions. We're increasing our fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA by $300,000 to $29.5 million, up 29% year-to-year and representing 18.4% margin at the midpoint of guidance. Combination of our third quarter upside and higher fourth quarter outlook raises the midpoint of our full year 2022 revenue guidance by $13 million to $576 million, representing 26% growth year-to-year. On an adjusted EBITDA basis, we're increasing the midpoint of our full year 2022 guidance to $89.3 million, up 41% year-to-year. At the midpoint of our increased full year guidance, adjusted EBITDA margins would expand 170 basis points year-to-year to 15.5%. And as I've stated before, we're cementing a culture of high performance and a track record of consistent and predictable execution. With that, let me hand the call back to the operator for David and me to take your questions. Operator?