Bret Richter
Analyst · SIG. Shyam, your line is live
Thank you, Vivek. Let's discuss our financial results. Our earnings release reflects both our GAAP and adjusted financial results for Q2, 2023. We will focus our discussion today, and my commentary will primarily relate to our Q2, 2023 adjusted financial results, and comparisons to prior periods. Slide 4, reflects the summary of our second quarter financial results. We reported revenue of $326 million for the second quarter of 2023, as compared with revenue of $337.4 million for the 2022 comparable period, reflecting a decline of 3.4%. FX did not have a meaningful impact on the second quarter's year-over-year results. Q2, 2023 adjusted EBITDA was $106.7 million, as compared with $118 million for the prior-year period, reflecting a decline of 9.6%. Our adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 32.7%, a 200 basis points sequential increase. We reported second quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $1.27. Our technology business performance continues to weigh on the company's overall performance, and this vertical was the most significant contributor to our year-over-year revenue decline. However, overall, Q2, 2023 was better than our expectations, and we believe we are building momentum going into the second half of 2023. On Slides 5 and 6, we have provided performance summaries for our two primary sources of revenue, advertising and subscription. Slide 5 presents the company's advertising revenue performance. Advertising revenue declined by 7% in Q2, 2023 as compared with the prior-year period. This performance was, also heavily impacted by the challenges within tech, excluding our technology vertical, the year-over-year advertising revenue decline would have been 2%. Trailing 12-month advertising revenue declined by 8%. In our non-tech businesses, we have seen some stabilization in the overall advertising market, and strength in certain of our verticals, including our consumer health business. We expect our second half advertising revenue to meaningfully improved, as compared with the first half, supporting our overall expectations for a stronger second half 2023 performance. Our net advertising revenue retention, an annual trailing 12-month statistic measured quarterly was approximately 90% for Q2, 2023, which reflects the year-over-year decline in advertising revenue. As defined in the slide, during the second quarter, Ziff Davis served 1,924 advertisers, with an average quarterly revenue per advertiser of more than $90,000. Slide 6, depicts our subscription revenue performance. Q2, 2023 subscription revenue grew 3%, as compared with the prior-year period, and 4% during the last 12 months, excluding the contribution from certain businesses, that were divested in 2021. The table on the bottom of Slide 6 includes subscription metrics for the last six quarters. We had nearly 3.2 million subscribers in Q2, 2023. The significant increase on a year-over-year basis primarily reflects the inclusion of Lose It! subscribers for a full quarter in 2023, versus a partial quarter in 2022. There were sequential gains within Humble Bundle and Lose It!, offset in part by a modest reduction in cybersecurity subscribers. Our subscriber metrics have been adjusted to reflect greater transparency into a reseller relationship in our cybersecurity and Martech business, enabling us to identify the underlying subscribers served through this relationship. Historically, we have reflected this reseller as a single subscriber in these metrics. These metrics now reflect the underlying subscribers served by this reseller. Certain other adjustments were also made to subscribers in the cybersecurity and Martech business to further conform to the company's subscriber definition. Please note, that the historical subscriber metrics have been recast to conform with the current quarter's data. Our Q2, 2023 average quarterly revenue per subscriber was $44.51. This metric reflects the inclusion of a full quarter of Lose It! subscribers as compared with the prior-year period, which only included a partial quarter. Overall, the June 2022 acquisition of Lose It! has significantly raised our number of subscribers, and lowered our average quarterly revenue per subscriber, as compared with the periods prior to the acquisition. Our overall churn rate increased 18 basis points from Q1, 2023. The company's Q2, 2023 other revenues declined approximately 9% year-over-year, primarily reflecting lower Humble Bundle publishing revenue, which was partly offset by higher Ekahau hardware sales, amongst other smaller factors. Our Humble Bundle publishing revenue is, highly dependent on the timing of game releases. We expect a stronger release calendar in the second half of 2023. Slide 7, provides quarterly organic and total revenue growth rates to the last 10 quarters. Revenues from businesses owned, for at least a full 12 months, are included in organic revenue, while acquired revenue relates, to businesses we've owned for less than 12 months. Second quarter 2023 organic revenue declined 6%, consistent with Q1, 2023. This decline reflects, the business unit performance trends discussed earlier. Turning to our balance sheet, please refer to Slide 8. As of the end of Q2, 2023, we had $679 million of cash and cash equivalents, and $150 million of short and long-term investments. We also have a significant leverage capacity, both on a gross and net leverage basis. During the quarter, we repurchased 980,000 shares of our common stock, for a cost of approximately $63.9 million. In July, we repurchased an additional 105,000 shares of our common stock, at an aggregate cost of $7.5 million. We have more than 5 million remaining shares authorized under our stock repurchase program, and we will continue to be opportunistic with regard to future stock repurchases. Our second quarter leverage ratios reflect our recent stock repurchase activity. As of the end of the second quarter, gross leverage was 2.1 times trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA, and our net leverage was 0.7 times and 0.4 times, if you include the value of our financial investments. Vivek discussed our recent investment in Xyla, a transaction that we are very excited about. As Vivek noted, during the second quarter, our Everyday Health Group acquired Mom Media, an influencer network, and events business focused on the pregnancy and parenting space. We acknowledge that our current pace of closed acquisitions reflects, a historic low. Our M&A program, however, has not changed. We remain very active in sourcing and evaluating transactions, and we continue to manage a robust deal pipeline. The uncertainty in the current macro environment, has had a chilling effect on M&A activity across the market. We are patient, and we will continue to exercise, the discipline that has been a hallmark of our acquisition program. On our last call, we shared that we were exploring strategic alternatives for our B2B business. While we do not have a specific update to share at this time, we remain engaged in active exploration. We continue to believe that we are well positioned both operationally and financially to execute upon our M&A strategy. And we will support this strategy with capital allocation, when we identify transactions that we believe will generate long-term value creation for our stakeholders. We're also nimble and well-capitalized, and when the right opportunities arise, we believe that we can act decisively. Turning to Slide 10. We are reaffirming the fiscal 2023 guidance range that we originally presented in February 2023. While certain of our businesses continue to be challenged by the macroeconomic environment such as our technology business, we are beginning to see stabilization in a number of our other businesses. As we noted on our February call, our 2023 guidance reflects the carryforward impact of our 2022 results, and an expectation that the macro-economy will stabilize during the second half of 2023. This view has not changed, and our first half of 2023 performance is, consistent with this outlook. We continue to expect a stronger second half of 2023, and we expect Q3, to reflect an improvement in our rate of organic growth. Assuming we realize this expectation, second half 2023 revenues, would reflect approximately 55% of total 2023 revenues, with approximately 30% of the 2023 revenue in the fourth quarter, again, consistent with our original expectation. We continue to invest in areas of our business, where we see opportunity for growth. We expect adjusted EBITDA margins in the third quarter of 2023, to move closer to those experienced in Q3 2022, and for the fourth quarter to be our strongest quarter, reflecting the annual seasonal strength in certain of our businesses. As we stated last quarter, in the event we were to consummate a transaction, involving our B2B technology business, we would anticipate adjusting our guidance. Following our business outlook slides are certain supplemental materials including reconciliation statements for the various non-GAAP measures to their nearest GAAP equivalent. This section includes a reconciliation on Slide 14 that, reflects free cash flow. Year-to-date 2023 free cash flow was approximately $100 million. Year-to-date 2023 free cash flow reflects, lower adjusted EBITDA as compared with the 2022 comparable period, similar CapEx, lower net cash interest, and higher cash taxes. Changes in working capital negatively impacted year-to-date free cash flow in 2023, as compared with 2022, and the change in working capital contributed to free cash flow. As I noted on our fiscal year 2022 earnings call in February, we recently transitioned to a new company-wide financial ERP system and as expected, this transition has impacted our regular timing of receipts and payments. We expect to continue to progress back towards our normal cadence of working capital during the coming months. Overall, we are pleased with our Q2, 2023 results. We are excited by our recent strategic transaction with Xyla, and believe that we are positioning ourselves to take advantage of the power of artificial intelligence tools and capabilities. Our profitable businesses continue to produce cash, to strengthen our balance sheet, and provide incremental capital for our capital allocation strategy, including in support of our recent stock repurchases. We will continue to thoughtfully, and patiently deploy this capital, in order to enhance long-term shareholder value. With that, I would now ask the operator to rejoin us, to instruct you on how to queue for questions.