Bret Richter
Analyst · Citigroup
Thank you, Vivek. Let's discuss our financial results. Our earnings release reflects both our GAAP and adjusted financial results for Q1 2023. We will focus our discussion today and my commentary will primarily relate to our Q1 2023 adjusted financial results and our comparisons to prior periods. Now let's review the summary of our quarterly financial results on Slide 4. We reported revenue of $307.1 million for the first quarter of 2023 as compared with revenue of $315.1 million for the prior year period, reflecting a decline of 2.5%. FX negatively impacted the Q1 year-over-year growth rate and if the comparable 2022 currency values were applied to our 2023 Q1 results, revenue would have declined by approximately 1.5%. Adjusted EBITDA was $94.3 million for Q1 2023 as compared with $100.8 million for the prior year period, reflecting a decline of 6.4%. Our adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was 30.7%. We reported fourth quarter adjusted diluted EPS of $1.10. While Q1 2023 was overall consistent with our expectations, we saw a wide spread in performance between some of our businesses. As Vivek noted, our technology business performance and in particular, our B2B business continues to reflect market pressures and therefore, had a disproportionately negative impact on our year-over-year results. While certain of our other businesses also declined year-over-year, as Vivek noted earlier, several exhibited year-over-year growth, primarily our connectivity and health and wellness businesses. Excluding tech, Ziff Davis Q1 2023 revenue grew more than 1% year-over-year. On Slides 5 and 6, we have provided performance summaries for our 2 primary sources of revenue, advertising and subscription. Slide 5 presents the company's advertising revenue performance. Q1 2023 advertising revenue declined by 8% as compared with the prior year period, consistent with Q4 2022. This performance was also heavily impacted by the challenges within tech. Excluding our technology vertical, year-over-year advertising decline would have been 2%. Trailing 12-month advertising revenue declined by 7%. This was also impacted by the reduction in foreign currency rates as compared with the prior year period. Our net advertising revenue retention and annual trailing 12-month statistic that we update quarterly, was approximately 91% for Q1 2023, largely consistent with the decline in advertising revenue. As defined in the slide, in the first quarter, Ziff Davis had more than 1,700 advertisers with the average quarterly revenue per advertiser of nearly $90,000. This reflects fewer customers at a higher average revenue per customer as compared with the prior year period. Slide 6 depicts our subscription revenue performance. Q1 2023 subscription revenue grew 4.5% as compared with the prior year period and was again negatively impacted by FX. Subscription revenues grew 6% during the last 12 months, excluding the contribution from certain businesses that were divested in 2021. The table on the bottom of Slide 6 includes subscription metrics for the last 9 quarters. Sequentially, total subscription customers were essentially flat primarily reflecting growth in Lose It! subscriptions, offset by slight declines in gaming and privacy. Sequentially, our average quarterly revenue per subscriber grew by 1.7% to $47.14. As noted on our prior call, since Q3 2022, these metrics reflect the inclusion of a full quarter of our recent acquisition, Lose It! which is characterized by a significant number of monthly subscribers at a significantly lower average revenue than the average of our other subscription businesses. Overall, the acquisition of Lose It! has significantly raised our number of subscribers and lowered our average quarterly revenue per subscriber as compared with the prior year period. Our overall churn rate improved 53 basis points from Q4 2022 to 3.28%. This decline reflects a number of factors, including improvements in connectivity, Humble Bundle and martech churn. Additionally, the company's Q1 2023 other revenues declined 2% year-over-year. Slide 7 provides quarterly organic and total revenue growth rates for the last 9 quarters. Revenues from businesses owned for at least a full 12 months are included in organic revenue, while acquired revenue relates to businesses we've owned for less than 12 months. First quarter 2023 organic revenue declined 6%, a small improvement as compared with Q4 2022. This decline was minus 5% adjusted for FX and primarily reflects the business unit performance trends discussed earlier. Turning to our balance sheet. Please refer to Slide 8. Our balance sheet continues to be strong. As of the end of Q1 2023, we had $722 million of cash and cash equivalents and $155 million of short- and long-term investments. We also have significant leverage capacity both on a gross and net leverage basis. As of the end of the first quarter, gross leverage was 2x trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA, and our net leverage was 0.6x and only 0.3x if you include the value of our financial investments. During Q1 2023, we continue to monetize our stake in consensus selling approximately 52,400 CCSI shares for gross proceeds of $3.2 million. As of March 31, 2023, we held approximately 1 million CCSI shares, and we will continue to be opportunistic with regards to our monetization efforts. As a reminder, we have until October 2026 to complete the disposition of our CCSI stake. Our strong balance sheet is the foundation of our capital allocation strategy. We believe that we are well positioned to continue to pursue M&A investments and other capital allocation alternatives. We closed 1 acquisition for our media business in the first quarter, and we continue to pursue multiple M&A opportunities. We acknowledge that closing transactions in the current environment has been more challenging than anticipated. However, we continue to believe that we are well positioned both operationally and financially to execute upon our aggressive M&A strategy. With regard to stock repurchases, we began repurchasing shares in the second quarter, and we intend to continue to do so at and even above the stock's current market price. Turning to Slide 10. We are reaffirming the fiscal year 2023 guidance range that we presented in February 2023. As a reminder, the high end of our guidance for 2023 revenue, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted EPS reflects growth rates of approximately 1%, 1% and negative 2% as compared with our 2022 adjusted financial results. The low end reflects declines of approximately 3%, 6% and 9%, respectively. As we discussed on our year-end 2022 earnings call, the operating environment remains challenging. Global macroeconomic pressures continue to weigh on the purchasing decisions of our largest advertising clients and in particular, our enterprise technology clients and consumers continue to navigate the pressures of high inflation and rising interest rates. Our Q1 2023 adjusted results reflect the impact of these and other factors as well as the change in certain FX rates. As we noted on our February call, our 2023 guidance reflects the carryforward impact of our 2022 results and an expectation that the macro economy will stabilize during the second half of 2023. As a whole, our performance during the first few months of 2023 was largely consistent with our expectations. As to the balance of 2023, we continue to expect a stronger second half. Assuming we realize this expectation, second half 2023 revenues would reflect approximately 55% of total 2023 revenues. This revenue phasing implies a year-over-year Q2 revenue decline with revenue growth expected in the second half of 2023. Notwithstanding the difficult environment, we have permitted investments and initiatives that we believe holds strong promise and, therefore, have continued hiring into Q2 consistent with our plan, and we expect our Q2 adjusted EBITDA margins to be near or slightly above our Q1 levels. We would anticipate margins to be stronger in the second half resulting in the overall 2023 adjusted EBITDA margins implied by our guidance. In the event we were to consummate a transaction involving our B2B business, we would anticipate adjusting our guidance. Following our business outlook slides are our supplemental materials, including reconciliation statements for the various non-GAAP measures to the nearest GAAP equivalent. This section includes a reconciliation on Slide 14 that reflects free cash flow. Q1 2023 reflects strong free cash flow conversion. Q1 2023 free cash flow was $85.3 million, a similar amount to the prior year quarter despite a lower level of EBITDA. Note that our semiannual cash interest payments on our outstanding debt occurring Q2 and Q4, which will impact Q2 free cash flow. In addition, we plan to make significantly higher cash tax payments in Q2 2023 as compared with the prior year period. Overall, we believe our Q1 2023 results position us to continue to pursue our 2023 plan, while selectively pursuing strategic alternatives for certain of our businesses and pursuing capital allocation alternatives that we believe will enhance shareholder value. With that, I would now ask the operator to rejoin us to instruct you on how to queue for questions.