Vivek Shah
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question
Thank you, Scott and good morning. I hope everyone joining us today is doing well and are safe and healthy. I want to start by thanking all of j2’s employees worldwide for their dedication and determination. I continue to be inspired by our organization’s response to this crisis and impressed by the tremendous resilience shown by our people and businesses. We were early in our embrace of social distancing. We began shifting our entire workforce, which is more than 4,000 people in over 60 locations to remote work on March 10, which is well ahead of local orders. We are very thankful that our workforce remains healthy. Our ability to move everyone to remote work as seamlessly as we did is a tremendous tribute to our technology organization and the preparation and investments the company has made over the past couple of years. We have always believed that being a company that produces and delivers nearly all of its products and services digitally is an advantage even more so in this environment. We are pleased with our Q1 results, which were in line with our expectations. We are closely monitoring every part of the portfolio to evaluate the impact the pandemic is having on our businesses. Our March revenues were up 9.2% percent year-over-year, which was a tick under the first 2 months of the quarter, but in no way represents the kind of revenue drop, many of our peers are reporting in March. Our April revenues are also relatively healthy coming in flat year-over-year. As we stated in the business outlook section of last night’s press release, we anticipate Q2 2020 revenue to be slightly down and adjusted EBITDA and adjusted non-GAAP EPS to be down single-digit percentages versus Q2 2019 based on current performance. It’s important to understand that our decision to withdraw our full year financial guidance in no way reflects the lack of confidence in our business. Quite the contrary, we feel our portfolio is demonstrating remarkable resilience rather it reflects a reluctance to engage in pure guesswork as to what the world is going to look like starting in July. It might be helpful however for me to share some of the broad market trends that were observed. Let’s start on the advertising side of our business. In any downturn, the first expense cuts happened within the marketing and advertising budgets of companies. It’s the easiest thing to turn off as there are few long-term non-cancellable contracts. There are few penalties or costs associated with cancelling. And the revenue impact is felt in future periods. In this particular market, we have another factor, which is the explosion of ad inventory based on significant increases in media consumption that are causing compression on advertising rates. As a result of all of these trends, a number of the largest sellers of advertising in the world have reported significant, sudden and steep declines in revenue. At j2, however, we are cautiously optimistic that our $510 million annual ad business can perform better in relative terms. First, our advertising business has little local retail exposure in terms of customers. We have roughly 1,100 advertisers who are mostly big companies, while many of the social media companies have millions of advertisers, a good number of them, local businesses that have been hit hardest by the pandemic. Second, we have little exposure to the hardest hit ad category so far, travel, retail, food and auto. In fact, roughly 40% of our ad revenues fall into the health category, where we are seeing growth from pharma marketers. As a point of reference through April, Everyday Health has seen organic ad revenue growth of 5%. Third, the last marketing dollar cut is usually the best performing dollar, and as you know, about half of our ad business is performance-based meaning cost per click, cost per lead or cost per acquisition and the other half which is impression based display is usually measured and optimized on performance outcomes. We are hopeful moreover if these are mitigating factors for us in a punishing environment for ad sales. On the subscription side of our business, which is about $850 million annually, we are closely following subscription acquisition cancellation trends. We have not yet seen any appreciable slowdown in our subscriber ads. We are stable in the near-term we believe for a few reasons. For starters, our services are viewed as more essential in a work-from-home environment. In fact over the past 6 weeks, we have seen that net adds for eFax in North America running about 50% ahead of plan and is a rapid shift to remote works spurred orders, but we expect that will likely return to normal levels. Our voice businesses, which offer soft phone services, are relevant at a time like this and we are seeing meaningful increases in e-mail send volumes with our MarTech services. Security and privacy are as important now as at any time. Also, much of our subscription revenue employs a lighter touch sales model meaning web and phone based customer acquisition, which have been less disrupted by the pandemic. Finally, our lower ACVs likely make purchasing much easier than larger ticket items. Where we have seen customer acquisition impact is where field sales and/or physical contact are necessary. Larger cloud fax deployments, which require in-person sales efforts, and Ekahau, which sells tools for commercial Wi-Fi deployments have seen slowdowns. We have also seen meaningful reductions in corporate fax page volumes from healthcare customers who have suspended elective surgeries and therefore have lesser movement of medical records. On the cancel side, we have not yet observed higher rates of cancellations evidenced by a slight decline in Q1 cancel rate from Q4 2019. But if past recessions are any indication and we would expect to see increasing cancels, as credit card statements and accounts payable ledgers all around the world get even greater scrutiny. Another headwind we have on subscription side is Forex, which has already cost us $1.5 million in the first 4 months of the year. All taken together, we are cautiously optimistic that the headwinds and tailwinds will cancel each other out, but much depends on the broader environment. Across the entire company, we have developed contingency plans to manage expenses, including pauses on hiring, delays on salary increases, delays on certain development projects, reducing less productive marketing spend, renegotiations with vendors and suppliers and reductions in our real estate footprint. At the same time, we have not had to resort to the more draconian measures that we are observing by many in the industries in which we operate. And we are also funding some key growth initiatives of the company given our very strong balance sheet and free cash flow. In the category of longer term themes that we believe will emerge out of this crisis, we have identified four that are important to j2. The first is our belief that healthcare will finally embrace digital transformation. There are two areas in which we believe we can benefit. The first is in our cloud fax business. As we said in the past, we estimate that the vast majority of healthcare faxes are done with machines and servers. This crisis underscores the need to move from an on-prem to cloud solution. Furthermore, we recently launched a new platform called Consensus, which combines an improved enterprise cloud fax solution with secured direct messaging and patient record query capabilities. We believe that this will be an important platform as healthcare moves to the cloud. To learn more about it, please visit consensus.com. The second area, where we see opportunities and what’s referred to as detailing in the pharmacy industry. Historically, that’s meant sending sales reps in to see doctors. We believe that, that will be replaced almost entirely by e-detailing, which is reaching doctors digitally through websites, e-mail and webinars. Everyday Health Pro is in this business and our flagship site, Medpage Today, saw 33% increase in its physician promo revenues in Q1. The second theme is the rise of remote working. In Cloud Services, we are focusing our product development, marketing and sales at our security, privacy and voice businesses on work-from-home needs. What might have taken months of development is now being rolled out in weeks. A prime example of that the eVoice Meet product, which is a fully encrypted videoconferencing solution for our customers, you can try the beta for yourself at meet.evoice.com. The third theme is our belief that video game play will only grow and establish itself as a leading form of entertainment. The spikes in consumption are evident and our ambition at Humble Publishing to be the leading indie game publisher is as promising as ever. We expect to launch 19 games this year and another 60 games are in development for the future. The fourth theme is our belief that e-commerce will become the dominant form of retail. Prior to the pandemic, e-commerce has only represented 11% of all retail sales. Now, the entire public is growing accustomed to shopping online. As you know, we have long focused on being a driver of qualified traffic to online retailers, to our editorial sites such as PCMag, IGN and Mashable as well as our deal sites like offers.com and our Black Friday sites. Now, a few words about M&A, we are pleased to have consummated two transactions in Q1. While small it’s nice to see us get our first cloud fax deal done in a few years as well as add a condition specific site to the Everyday Health portfolio. During this pandemic, we are very reluctant to close on transactions without visiting companies. Right now, we are planting a ton of seeds and when the clouds lift, we think we are going to be very well positioned strategically and financially to act on some very interesting opportunities. We are also very focused on building our cash balance through ongoing free cash flow from our operations. Before I hand the call back to Scott, let me reiterate my utmost confidence in j2 and its prospects. I personally bought $1 million worth of shares during our open window in March. The resilience and strength we are showing convinced even our biggest doubters to j2’s portfolio, operating discipline and capital allocation are special. Scott?