Timothy Boswell
Analyst · Scott Schneeberger of Oppenheimer. Your line is open. Again, Scott Schneeberger of Oppenheimer, your line is open
Thanks, Kelly. Let’s jump into the financial review section for a bit more on the Q2 results, our improved post-merger capital structure and our updated 2020 guidance. Slide 21 captures the WillScot Q2 highlights and we’re extremely proud of the results, given the unprecedented operating environment and the completion of another transformational merger with Mobile Mini. Our revenues proved to be extremely resilient, reflecting both the end market diversification, as well as the long lease durations that lend stability and predictability to our top line. While total revenue was down slightly versus prior year, our modular leasing revenue increased 2.3% from 2019. Modular leasing revenue also increased sequentially from Q1, demonstrating that our tailwinds in pricing and value-added products persisted through the worst months of the pandemic, and our lease revenue run rate continues to increase heading into Q3. Profitability and margins continued to improve both versus prior year and sequentially. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $10 million, despite the $7 million decline in revenue. The revenue decline was confined to our lower-margin in sales and delivery and installation revenues, partly offset by growth in our modular leasing revenues. So while revenue mix contributed to the margin expansion, modular leasing revenues themselves expanded by 430 basis points year-over-year due to variable cost reductions. We realized another approximately $5 million benefit from ModSpace acquisition synergies and executed targeted reductions in other areas due to lower demand. Together, these factors drove the 11.4% increase in adjusted EBITDA and 480 basis points of margin expansion versus prior year taking adjusted EBITDA margin to 38%. GAAP net income also increased by $24 million to $12.8 million in Q2, so we delivered strong and expanding profitability across all metrics, which is exactly what we expected in this environment. In the top right chart, free cash flow continues to inflect positively, totaling $39 million in Q2 and representing our fifth consecutive quarter of free cash generation. Slide 22 highlights these accelerating free cash flow trends. Cash provided by operating activities doubled sequentially from Q1 and was up 65% versus prior year. The formula is pretty simple. Adjusted EBITDA is up due to modular leasing revenue growth and cost reductions, interest expense is down 10% year-over-year, and working capital was a modest source of cash in the quarter with stabilized accounts receivable and increases in cash from customer deposits. At the bottom of the page, we’re continuing to operate at reduced CapEx levels due to the demand environment. Net cash used in investing has been down year-over-year in each of the past three quarters and it was down 15% in Q2 versus prior year, which is roughly in line with the year-over-year delivery volume declines. Our cash used in investing over the last 12 months is approximately $135 million. And I expect, we’ll stay at about this run rate on the Modular side of the business for the foreseeable future, unless the demand environment changes materially one way or the other. Overall, we expect operating free cash flows from the Modular business to remain on this trajectory in the second-half of the year. We will have approximately $51 million of remaining transaction costs, which will be expensed and paid in cash in Q3 and another $25 million of merger-related costs that had been accrued previously and were paid at closing. Again, most of these one-time costs were paid at closing in our July 1 debt balance, but I wanted to flag this since they will appear as a headwind in both our Q3 income statement and cash from operating activities. Turning to Slide 24, I have the privilege of sharing another quarter of solid financial results from Mobile Mini. In Mini’s Q2 results, we see a similar story of portfolio resilience, supported by long lease durations and pricing power, extraordinary profitability driven by flexibility in both the cost structure and capital expenditures and consistent free cash generation, with this being Mobile Mini is 50th consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow. That’s over 12-years. Remarkably, adjusted EBITDA of $56.3 million was essentially flat to prior year, despite an $18 million decline in revenue and margins expanded 470 basis points to 42.6%. Mobile Mini’s team did an outstanding job rightsizing the cost structure to align with the Q2 demand environment, taking out approximately $6 million of cost in the quarter. Over half of the revenue decline was driven by Mobile Mini’s Tank & Pump segment, with the remainder driven by trucking revenues due to lower delivery and return activity. Similar to rental revenue trends in the WillScot business, Mobile Mini’s Storage Solutions business was remarkably resilient due to diversification and long lease duration in the portfolio and increases in pricing and managed services. Managed services generated $3.1 million of net revenue in the quarter and was up nearly 82% from Q2 of 2019. GAAP net income increased by 22% to $17.2 million and free cash flow increased 38% sequentially from Q1 to $31 million in Q2 and would have totaled $44 million if we exclude merger-related costs. Similar to the WillScot results, Mobile Mini delivered solid profitability and expanded margins at all levels. Page 25 breaks down Mobile Mini’s cash flows further. In the top chart, operating free cash flows of $39 million increased sequentially by $6 million. The decline relative to prior year is a bit misleading. We incurred $13 million of cash costs in Q2 2020 related to the merger. And in 2019, Mobile Mini drove sharp improvement in accounts receivable with days sales outstanding dropping by approximately 10 days into the low-60s. Most of that improvement occurred in the first-half of 2019, representing a $21 million source of cash last year and Mobile Mini has done a great job maintaining those DSOs into low-60s. In the bottom chart, net CapEx dropped by 65% to $8 million in Q2, with most of that investment going towards ground level office conversions, which has continued to grow units on rents in the market and achieved a 7.2% rental rate increase year-over-year in Q2. This highlights the extreme flexibility we have to manage discretionary CapEx in these businesses and this flexibility is even greater across the storage asset class. Altogether, the Mobile Mini team delivered an outstanding second quarter. Shifting quickly to our debt structure on Page 26. Given the merger closed on July 1, the right-hand column showing the July 1 debt structure is more relevant than our June 30 balance sheet, because it shows the net result of the merger-related financing activity and represents our debt structure heading into the third quarter. As reported previously, we put in place a new $2.4 billion ABL credit facility, secured by the combined asset base of WillScot Mobile Mini. At merger close, we had over $915 million of availability. So combined with our accelerating free cash flows, we have significant excess liquidity available to support any potential operating requirements. The ABL credit facility has a variable interest rate of LIBOR plus 1.875%, which is a lower spread than in WillScot’s prior facility and there is no LIBOR floor, so we are benefiting fully from the exceptionally low interest rate environment. Concurrent with closing the merger, we refinanced our old 2022 notes by issuing the new 2025 notes. We issued the 2025 notes in June contingent on closing the merger, so they show up on the June balance sheet, along with $655 million of restricted cash. And you see the 2022 notes are gone as of early July. Overall, in the pro forma financial statements that we’ll file today, you’ll see that pro forma interest expense for the combined company is down approximately $32 million, or 20% on an annualized basis relative to the combined reported 2019 results. Our annual cash interest expense going forward is approximately $115 million, excluding amortization of deferred financing costs; and our weighted average cost of debt is approximately 4.4%, representing significant value accretion to shareholders, resulting from the recapitalization of the company. We subsequently announced the redemption of 10% of our 2023 notes, which will close tomorrow, and we will continue to optimize the debt structure opportunistically. Overall, we’ve put in place a simple debt structure that gives us all of the liquidity and covenant flexibility necessary to operate this business over the long-term. Quickly shifting to our equity structure on Page 27. Similar to the debt discussion, the merger-related equity issuance took place on July 1. So you see the June 30 common share count increase by 106 million shares on July 1 to approximately $228 million – 228 million shares outstanding currently. Importantly, on June 30, TDR Capital exchanged its minority interest in our subsidiary, WillScot Holdings Corp., for 10.6 million common shares, which allowed us to collect the prior Class A and Class B structure into a single common share class. You’ll note, this also eliminates the minority interest on our June 30 balance sheet and will eliminate the minority interest in our income statement going forward. We remain committed to simplifying our equity structure over time, and moving to a single share class is an important milestone on that journey. Our revised 2020 guidance on Page 28 is the best way to wrap up the financial review and give you a sense for where we are headed. While this has already been an extraordinary year due to the pandemic in the merger, WillScot Mobile Mini expects to deliver solid 5% adjusted EBITDA growth and approximately $460 million of adjusted EBITDA less net CapEx at the midpoint of our updated guidance ranges on a pro forma basis as if we had been together since 2019. You can think of the midpoint of the guidance as approximately $390 million of EBITDA contribution from WillScot and approximately $240 million from Mobile Mini. There’s a limited synergy realization until we consolidate ERPs in the first-half of 2021, so that’s a clean kind of year-over-year comparison versus 2019. The top line will be flat on a pro forma basis, with growth in core modular and storage rental revenues being offset by lower sales and transportation revenues due to the lower demand environment, as well as declines in our Tank & Pump business. We expect adjusted EBITDA will be up 5% for the year at the midpoint of our guidance, with margins expanding 240 basis points to 38% on a combined pro forma basis. And under the hood, we think adjusted EBITDA will be up year-over-year in every operating segment with the exception of Tank & Pump. This is truly extraordinary performance in this market. And perhaps more importantly, sitting here in August, we can look confidently into 2021, given the visibility provided by lease duration, our superior competitive position and the powerful value drivers inherent in this merger that we are only beginning to execute. With that, I’ll hand it back to Brad.