Lior Shemesh
Analyst · J.P. Morgan. Your line is open
Thanks Nir and good morning everyone. Collections in Q4 were up 43% year-over-year on a constant currency basis to $70.7 million, which has exceeded our prior guidance of $69 million to $70 million. On a reported basis, collections were up 36% year-over-year to $66.9 million. FX impacted us in the quarter once again as several currencies continued to decline relative to the Dollar, mainly the Euro and British Pound. In total, foreign currencies impacted our collections by about $3.8 million in Q4. For the full year, on a constant currency basis, collections were $257.8 million, which is an increase of 51% over the prior year and above our guidance range. Currency impacted the full year by about $16 million, as reported collections were $241.7 million, or 41% increase year-over-year. While currency continues to impact our reported results, sustained growth of our business internationally is strong and is a key differentiator for Wix. Revenue on the quarter was $56.8 million on a reported basis, which also exceeded our guidance, and $59.8 million on a constant currency basis. For the full year, revenue was $203.5 million on a reported basis, up 43% year-over-year, and $212.3 million on a constant currency basis, a 50% increase over last year. We continued to see year-over-year growth in average revenue per subscription, when adjusted for currency and the mix shift to annual plans. In the last several months, we have launched several new vertical products, and early indications are that they will contribute to ARPS growth. As Avishai mentioned, we have exceeded our top line guidance every quarter we have been public. The consistent performance of our cohorts provides us with a great deal of visibility into our future top line and is a testament to the predictability of our business. This, along with our high margin profile are key attributes of strong SaaS business models. Our business grew by more than 50% on top line this year, excluding the impact of foreign currency changes. And at the same time we actually increased our cash flow and profitability throughout the year. In the fourth quarter, our adjusted EBITDA was $7 million, which is 51% higher than the previous quarter and double what it was two quarters ago. For the full year, our adjusted EBITDA was $14.7 million. Our original projection for the year was $5 million in adjusted EBITDA. For the full year, cash flow from operations was $21 million. This outperformance is further evidence of our strong user cohorts, which generate ongoing conversions and allow us to leverage our investments in marketing and R&D. Marketing expense in the quarter was $29.4 million, or 44% of collections, an improvement from last quarter when marketing was 46% of collections and from Q4 2014, when it was 54%. For the full year, marketing expense was 48% of collections, which is at the low-end of the guidance we provided a year ago. It is also down from 56% of collections in 2014. Both R&D and G&A also fell as a percentage of collections over the last year. Our cash balance at year-end was $110 million, and our total employees at year-end totaled 1,119. I’ll now move onto our outlook for 2016. With several product updates and new product launches in the past year, along with upcoming releases, we expect strong growth to remain through 2016 along with the growth in profitability. We generated incremental margins on our growth throughout 2015, and we expect this trend to continue in 2016. In Q1, we expect, collections of $73 million to $74 million. Assuming constant exchange rates from Q1 2015, our guidance would be higher by approximately $2 million, or $75 million to $76 million. We expect revenue in the range of $60 million to $61 million, and adjusted EBITDA of $1 million to $2 million. Keep in mind that our profitability in Q1 is lower than any other quarter of the year. We increase marketing activities significantly during the first quarter as traffic is high industry wide. Q1 will also include all of our Super Bowl campaign expenses this year. We expect marketing expenses to be approximately 52% of collections in Q1. We anticipate marketing to fall to a range of 43% to 45% of collections for the full year of 2016, down from 48% in 2015. For our outlook for the full year 2016, we expect collections in the range of $314 million to $320 million. Assuming FX rates remain the same from 2015 to 2016, our collections guidance would be approximately $6 million higher, or $320 million to $326 million. We expect revenue in the range of $270 million to $274 million, and adjusted EBITDA for the full year is expected to be in the range of $27 million to $30 million. Regarding R&D, as Avishai mentioned we recognize that there are significant opportunities to expand on our leadership position and accelerate growth with new product innovation. Our business performed well this year as we grew our top line and generated cash ahead of expectations. As a result, we began adding to our R&D headcount in Q4 beyond our original plans to increase our focus on two key products that we plan to launch later this year. We anticipate total R&D expense will be approximately 30% to 32% higher than it was in 2015, which includes roughly $5 million more than our original plans. This additional investments in R&D is included in the guidance we are providing today. Upside from these two new products, are not part of our current top line forecast in 2016, but we believe they will create incremental growth beginning next year. A few other modeling notes. We expect CAPEX will be in the range of $6 million to $7 million for the year. We expect stock based compensation expenses of between $24 million to $25 million for the full year, and our basic shares outstanding will be approximately 42.5 million at the end of the year. In summary, we are very happy with our execution in Q4 and in 2015 and are excited about the upcoming year. With that, we’ll now take your questions.