Lior Shemesh
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is now open
Thanks, Nir and good morning everyone. Our collections were up 47% year-over-year on a constant currency basis to $65.7 million, which exceeded our guidance, and 38% year-over-year to $61.6 million on a reported basis. Through Q3 of this year, we have reported collections of $175 million, while in constant dollars on a year-over-year basis, our collections would have been $12 million more or $187 million. This is 53% higher than the prior year, which is tremendous growth. We generate 50% of our revenue outside the U.S., which we view as a key strength and differentiator among our competitors. But obviously currency has been a headwind to our financials this year. When we provided our Q3 guidance, we stated that currency would impact our collections by about $3 million on a year-over-year basis based on FX rates at that time. However, the Brazilian real and the Russian ruble have seen significant declines against the dollar of about 30% and 20%, respectively, since Q2. While currency has impacted our results, our business in both of these locations remained very, very strong. To illustrate that, you can see in the slide number 11 in our presentation that our collections in Brazilian real has doubled this year. But this growth is obscured by the decline in the Brazilian real versus the dollar. So due to the FX rate declines and our rapid growth outside the U.S., the FX impact on Q3 collections was over $4 million on a year-over-year basis, or $1 million greater than if the rates had remained the same throughout the quarter. Excluding this impact, we actually exceeded our outlook for the quarter on a constant currency basis. Revenue on the quarter was $53.6 million on a reported basis, which also exceeded our guidance, and $56.3 million on a constant currency basis. Our average revenue per subscription is also up year-over-year, excluding the impact of currency and the mix shift to more annual plans that has taken place over the last year. The increase in ARPU is being driven by increased sales of apps in our App Market, vertical apps and other revenue sources such as domains and images. We continue to generate cash as we expanded our adjusted EBITDA in the quarter to $4.7 million, up 34% over last quarter and well ahead of our prior expectation of $3 million to 4 million. Free cash flow was $5.4 million, and our cash balance is now over $100 million, which is more cash than we had after the IPO. Our growth in profitability can be largely attributed to the increased leverage we are realizing in our model. Both last quarter and this quarter for every dollar of increased collections, we are generating incremental margin, and we expect that to continue. Most notably, our marketing expense as a percentage of collections fell from 48% in Q2 to 46% in Q3 as our older cohorts continue to generate collections, as Nir highlighted earlier I’ll now move onto our outlook for Q4 and our updated outlook for the full year. For Q4, we expect the following: Collections in the range of $66 million to $67 million. If we assume constant exchange rates from Q4 2014, our collections outlook would be about $3 million higher on a year-over-year basis. Excluding this currency impact, our collections guidance would be $69 million to $70 million. We expect revenue in the range of $55 million to $56 million and we expect continued growth in adjusted EBITDA in the range of $5 million to $6 million. We are updating our full year outlook due to currency. The incremental impacts from currencies we saw in Q3 will carry into Q4. As a result, we are lowering the top end of our reported collections outlook by $3 million. Our revised collections outlook is $241 million to $242 million on a reported basis. However, on a constant currency basis, we are actually raising midpoint of our range. Our updated range on a constant currency basis is $256 million to $257 million or $15 million higher using rates from 2014. This range represents growth of approximately 50% over last year. In summary, we are raising the midpoint of our collections guidance on a constant currency basis by $1.5 million. For revenue, our revised range is $202 million to $203 million, reflecting an increase to the bottom and to the bottom range and our previous range of $1 million. We are also raising our outlook for the full year profitability as we continue to see increasing leverage in the model through the remainder of the year. We now expect adjusted EBITDA of $12 million to $13 million, an increase from our prior range of $10 million to $12 million. So now let’s move onto your questions.