Ken Cook
Analyst · Barclays. Your line is now open. Please go ahead
Thank you, Kirk, and good morning, everyone. I am thrilled to be here with you today as Wendy's Chief Financial Officer. It is an honor to be part of the Wendy's team, and we are committed to acting decisively and driving operational excellence to unlock our full potential. I will cover four topics with you this morning. First, I will share our fourth quarter results followed by details on our updated capital allocation policy. Next, I'll review our 2025 outlook for sales and profit, and I'll finish by discussing our CapEx and cash flow expectations. In the fourth quarter, results were in line with our expectations. Global systemwide sales increased 5.4% on a constant currency basis and reached $3.7 billion, driven by same-restaurant sales growth of 4.1% in the U.S. and 4.9% in our international business. U.S. SRS growth was driven by increases in traffic and average check with growth across all dayparts. U.S. SRS was strongest in October, up over 10% year-over-year, driven by the SpongeBob collaboration. This was the strongest monthly SRS growth since 2021 and demonstrates what we can accomplish when we combine two iconic brands with multigenerational appeal. For the last two months of the quarter, our SRS performed in line with the category. Company-operated restaurant revenue grew 2.7% year-over-year to $232.8 million. Franchise royalty revenue increased $6 million year-over-year to $133.8 million, driven by the increase in systemwide sales. Franchise fees increased $13.7 million to $34.2 million, primarily due to the termination fees from restaurants that closed during the fourth quarter. Our U.S. company restaurant margin was 16.5%, a 300 basis point increase compared to the prior year, driven by a combination of sales leverage from a higher average check and customer count growth and savings from productivity initiatives. G&A expense was $67.2 million, and the Company's investment in breakfast advertising was $7.1 million in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased 8.6% to $137.5 million. Walking through the rest of the income statement, we had $33.2 million of depreciation expense, $4.1 million of cloud computing amortization, $31.1 million of interest expense and other income of $5.5 million. Our adjusted tax rate for the quarter was 32.4%, and which was 1.8% higher than last year, primarily due to a discrete state tax item. This resulted in $50.5 million of adjusted net income. Adjusted earnings per share was $0.25, which was a $0.04 increase over the prior year. Moving on to cash flow and our balance sheet. On a full year basis in 2024, we generated $355.3 million of cash from operations. We invested $94.4 million in capital expenditures, including $53.4 million to accelerate our digital strategy and $24.9 million on development of new company-owned restaurants, bringing our free cash flow to $279 million. Additionally, we invested $41.2 million in our build-to-suit program which supported the development of over 50 new restaurants with 23 of them opening in 2024. And as a reminder, build-to-suit cash flows are reflected on their own line in the investing section of our cash flow statement and are currently not part of our free cash flow calculation. Through the end of fiscal year 2024, we repurchased approximately 4.3 million shares and had approximately $235 million remaining on our $500 million share repurchase authorization, which expires in February 2027. We ended the year with an unrestricted cash and cash equivalents balance of $451 million and net debt of approximately $2.3 billion, which equated to a leverage ratio of 4.3x our full year adjusted EBITDA of $544 million. Next, I'd like to share with you our updated capital allocation policy. As Kirk mentioned, in order to maximize long-term shareholder value, we are updating our policy to ensure we have sufficient flexibility to invest in the opportunities we have identified to drive growth. Our first priority continues to be investing in our business. We are increasing CapEx in 2025 to between $100 million and $110 million as we invest in building new restaurants globally and add technology to our existing restaurants, including digital menu boards and kiosks to enhance the customer experience, drive loyalty and increase efficiency. In addition to our CapEx investments, we plan to invest around $70 million through our build-to-suit program in 2025 to accelerate new restaurant development. Build-to-suit is one of our incentive programs where the Company co-invests in new restaurants with our franchisees in exchange for higher royalty and rent payments, expanding the pool of franchisees to build more restaurants. Our next priority is paying an attractive dividend. This morning, we announced our first quarter dividend payment of $0.25 per share. The Company's new target dividend payout ratio is 50% to 60% of adjusted earnings. Beginning in the second quarter, this equates to a quarterly dividend payment of $0.14 per share. For the full year 2025, we expect to pay out $0.67 per share in dividends. Our third priority is to maintain a strong balance sheet. We have established a target net leverage ratio of 3.5x to 5x adjusted EBITDA. And lastly, we will return excess cash to our shareholders through share repurchases. This morning, we announced our plan to increase share repurchases to up to $200 million in 2025 with the majority of this activity happening in the next few months. We believe that cash belongs to our shareholders and through the combination of dividends and share repurchases, we expect to return up to $325 million of cash to shareholders in 2025, which represents an increase of $40 million compared to 2024. We view the changes to our capital allocation policy and this year's increase in planned share repurchases as a demonstration of the confidence we have in our growth plans for 2025 and beyond, and we look forward to sharing more with you at our Investor Day on March 6. Before diving into our financial outlook for 2025, I'd like to share my approach to guidance. We want to strengthen our credibility with investors. To do that, we will set realistic and achievable targets and then execute our plans with an increased level of intensity to deliver them. Let's turn to our financial outlook. We began planning for 2025 by looking at multiple third-party forecasts for both food away from home and industry traffic. These indicate that consumer spending for food away from home is expected to remain pressured and traffic in the QSR burger category is expected to be flat to down 1% compared to last year. Our 2025 outlook does not include any impact from new tariffs. Based on those forecasts, we anticipate full year 2025 global system-wide sales growth of approximately 2% to 3%, driven by the combination of same-restaurant sales and new unit growth. As a reminder, our system-wide sales growth rate in 2025 is negatively impacted due to the actions we took in the fourth quarter to close underperforming restaurants and strengthen our system. Additionally, we expect global net new unit growth to be between 2% and 3% in 2025. We expect U.S. company-operated restaurant margin of around 16%, plus or minus 50 basis points. Margin performance will be supported by restaurant productivity initiatives and sales growth leverage. We are redeploying company breakfast advertising spend to investments in field operations that will improve the customer experience across all dayparts and drive efficiency in our restaurants. As such, we anticipate G&A to increase to between $285 million and $290 million. In addition to the investments in field resources, we expect higher incentive compensation in 2025, assuming payouts at target levels, compared to the favorability we experienced with incentive compensation in 2024. We will continue to maintain discipline in this area and anticipate G&A to represent approximately 1.9% and of 2025 system-wide sales. We expect adjusted EBITDA to increase to between $550 million and $560 million. We anticipate interest expense of approximately $127 million as we plan to refinance $400 million of debt maturing in 2025 and 2026. Taking all these items into account, we expect adjusted EPS to range from $0.98 to $1.02 per share. Free cash flow is expected to be between $275 million and $285 million, driven by earnings growth, partially offset by capital expenditures of $100 million to $110 million. The increase in CapEx is primarily related to investments in new company restaurants and technology, both of which help accelerate sales and earnings growth. In closing, we are proud of our fourth quarter results and the strong foundation we are building for sustainable, profitable growth. In 2025, we are setting realistic and achievable goals and taking decisive action on what we can control including increasing our operational intensity and elevating the customer experience. Throughout the year, we will take advantage of opportunities that strengthen the business and drive long-term success. I'm excited about the road ahead and look forward to sharing more at our upcoming Investor Day. I'll now hand it over to Aaron to share our Q1 Investor Relations calendar.