Kenneth S. Parks
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, John, and good morning. I'm going to review the results against the outlook that we provided in July during our second quarter earnings call. At the second quarter earnings call, we expected third quarter consolidated sales to grow between 5% and 7% year-over-year. Sales in the quarter reached $2.1 billion. That's a record level and an increase of 7.6% year-over-year. This includes 6.7% organic growth and 1.8% growth from acquisitions, which was partially offset by 90 basis points of unfavorable foreign exchange impact. The U.S. business grew approximately 8% organically compared to last year's third quarter, while the Canadian business led by EECOL grew by approximately 5% on a constant currency basis. Pricing for the third quarter had a positive impact of approximately 50 basis points, and that's consistent with the first 2 quarters of the year. Monthly organic sales growth per workday accelerated as we moved through the quarter. July grew 5%, August grew 6% and September grew 9%. Sequentially, organic sales per workday increased 3%. That's at the higher end of the Q2-to-Q3 seasonal improvement that we typically see and was driven by improving markets and increasing traction from our One WESCO strategy. Core backlog was flat from yearend and was down approximately 3% from last year's third quarter. The U.S. backlog expanded 7% from year end and 8% year-over-year, reflecting a continuation of the improving U.S. economy as well as nonresidential construction market. Backlog in Canada declined 4% from the second quarter and approximately 9% from the end of 2013 on a local currency basis. October's off to a solid start, with month-to-date sales growth at a low single-digit rate, and book-to-bill ratio in October remains strong in the U.S. and Canada, where both are running above 1.0 month-to-date. In July, we estimated that third quarter gross margin would be approximately 20.6%, and gross margin came in at 20.3%, short of our outlook and down 20 basis points year-over-year and sequentially, both due to business mix. Large Datacom wins, growth in Construction and the ramp-up of Utility programs have put pressure on gross margins over the last several quarters. SG&A expenses for the third quarter were $272 million compared to $255 million in the prior year. Core SG&A for the third quarter increased $10 million, while acquisitions contributed the remainder of the growth. Core SG&A increased primarily due to higher employment and employment-related costs but declined 20 basis points as a percentage of sales from last year's third quarter. Sequentially, third quarter core SG&A decreased by approximately $8 million as a result of ongoing cost controls and additional cost-reduction actions that were implemented during the second and third quarters. As a result of the cost controls, core employment at the end of the third quarter was approximately 1% lower than yearend and is flat year-over-year. Core sales personnel increased approximately 1% versus last year's third quarter as we continue to selectively invest in our growth engines and operational excellence initiatives while maintaining operating cost discipline. In July, we estimated third quarter operating margin would be in the range of 6.3% to 6.5%. Operating profit for the third quarter grew to $133 million. That's a record level and was 6.4% of sales or up 60 basis points sequentially. Core operating profit pull-through was approximately 44% year-over-year and over 100% sequentially. Interest expense in the third quarter was $20.8 million versus $21.3 million in the prior year. The impact of overall lower borrowing levels was somewhat moderated by a slightly higher weighted average borrowing rate versus the third quarter of last year. Our borrowing rate remained unchanged from the first half of the year at 4.1%. Net income for the third quarter was $80.8 million, and earnings per diluted share were $1.52 on 53.2 million shares, and that compares to $1.42 on 52.5 million shares last year. Organic growth contributed approximately $0.15 to EPS and acquisitions added another $0.02 in the quarter, while foreign currency translation, primarily in Canada, reduced EPS by approximately $0.02. Growth in our diluted share count reduced EPS by approximately $0.02 as well, while the slightly higher tax rate reduced third quarter EPS by approximately $0.03 a share. WESCO has a record of consistently generating solid free cash flow in all business cycles. We redeploy that cash for organic growth and acquisition investments to strengthen and profitably grow our business. At the same time, we target to maintain a financial leverage ratio of between 2 to 3.5x EBITDA. At the end of the third quarter, our leverage ratio was 3.2x EBITDA, within our target range and down from 3.4x EBITDA at the end of the second quarter following the completion of the LaPrairie, Hazmasters and Hi-Line acquisitions, which were completed in the first half of the year. Leverage on a debt net of cash basis was 3x EBITDA, also sequentially lower. Liquidity, defined as invested cash plus committed borrowing capacity, was $539 million at the end of the third quarter, and that's essentially unchanged from last year. Free cash flow for the third quarter was $85 million or approximately 105% of net income. Our working capital metrics remain solid, and we expect free cash flow to accelerate as we move into the seasonally slower portion of the year. On a year-to-date basis, we've generated $124 million of free cash flow or 61% of net income. I'll now turn my comments to the fourth quarter and full year 2014 outlook. We expect fourth quarter sales to be up 5% to 8% over last year's fourth quarter, including the impact of the 3 acquisitions completed year-to-date. As a reminder, the fourth quarter does have 1 last workday than last year's fourth quarter. Assuming the current rate environment, foreign exchange is expected to negatively impact fourth quarter year-over-year sales comparisons by approximately 180 basis points. In the fourth quarter, we expect gross margin to be approximately 20.4% to 20.6% and operating margin to be in the range of 6.4% to 6.6%. The fourth quarter effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 28%. Based upon the third quarter results, we've narrowed our outlook for the full year. We now expect sales to be up approximately 5%, including the 3 completed acquisitions. This compares to our previous outlook of 4% to 5% growth provided in July. We now expect gross margin to be approximately 20.5%, down 10 basis points from our previous outlook and reflective of our year-to-date performance, including the continuing nonresidential construction recovery and the highly competitive pricing environment, especially on larger projects. Our outlook for operating margin is unchanged at approximately 6%. Operating margin is a key financial metric that we're focused on consistently improving through both gross margin expansion and operating cost leverage. As always, we will continue to exercise tight cost discipline as we move through the balance of the year to help mitigate any gross margin pressures. The full year effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 28%, and that's consistent with previous guidance. As a result of these revisions, we've narrowed our earnings per diluted share outlook to $5.25 to $5.35 compared to our prior range of $5.20 to $5.40 provided in July. We continue to expect free cash flow to be approximately 80% of net income for the full year. Now with that, I'll open up the conference call for your questions.