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Valaris Limited (VAL)

Q1 2014 Earnings Call· Tue, Apr 29, 2014

$101.38

-0.67%

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Transcript

Executives

Management

Sean P. O'Neill - Vice President of Investor Relations & Communications Daniel W. Rabun - Chairman, Chief Executive Officer and President David Ethan Hensel - Senior Vice President of Marketing James W. Swent - Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President Steven Joseph Brady - Senior Vice President of Western Hemisphere Patrick Carey Lowe - Senior Vice President of Eastern Hemisphere John Stokes Knowlton - Senior Vice President of Technical

Analysts

Management

Robin E. Shoemaker - Citigroup Inc, Research Division Ian Macpherson - Simmons & Company International, Research Division Gregory Lewis - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division Robert J. MacKenzie - Iberia Capital Partners, Research Division Klayton Kovac - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc., Research Division David Smith Matthew D. Conlan - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division Darren Gacicia - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division John Booth Lowe - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division Todd P. Scholl - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to Ensco plc's First Quarter 2014 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Sean O'Neill, Vice President of Investor Relations, who will moderate the call. Please go ahead, sir.

Sean P. O'Neill

Analyst

Welcome, everyone, to Ensco's First Quarter 2014 Conference Call. With me today are Dan Rabun, CEO; Mark Burns, our Chief Operating Officer; Jay Swent, CFO; David Hensel, our Senior Vice President of Marketing; as well as other members of our executive management team. We issued our earnings release, which is available on our website, at enscoplc.com. As usual, we will keep our call to 1 hour. Any comments we make about expectations are forward-looking statements and are subject to risks and uncertainties. Many factors could cause actual results to differ materially. Please refer to our earnings release and SEC filings on our website that define forward-looking statements and list risk factors and other events that could impact future results. Also, please note that the company undertakes no duty to update forward-looking statements. As a reminder, our most recent Fleet Status Report was issued on April 16. Now let me turn the call over to Dan Rabun, Chairman and CEO.

Daniel W. Rabun

Analyst

Thanks, Sean, and good morning, everyone. I will start by covering highlights for the first quarter. David will then comment on the state of our markets, and Jay will review our financial results and outlook for the second quarter. Starting with highlights from the first quarter. We achieved 96% operational utilization, a major improvement from 90% last year and our best performance over the last 8 quarters. Our contracted jackups rigs led the way with 99% operational utilization for the first quarter. Our 8500 Series rigs also had 99% operational utilization, highlighting the many benefits of our standardization strategy. This improvement in our operational performance is a reflection not only of equipment and process standardization, but also our efforts to further reduce unplanned downtime by working even more closely with our vendors, our customers, regulatory authorities and industry groups, to improve the quality and reliability of equipment. While unplanned downtime has been a significant issue for our industry over the last few years, we are seeing consistent improvements on our operational performance from our efforts and initiatives. Our safety performance, as measured by our total recordable incident rate, was the best ever for our first quarter at 0.37, building up on our record-setting performance in 2013. There is nothing more important to us at Ensco than the safety of our employees. We believe that operational and safety performance like this is what differentiates Ensco's contract drilling services versus our competitors. And during the first quarter, we received the #1 total customer satisfaction ranking for the fourth consecutive year from Energy Point, an independent research firm. The technological capabilities of our jackup fleet took another step forward during the first quarter as ENSCO 120, the first of our 4 jackups in our ENSCO 120 Series, commenced drilling operations in the North…

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Thanks, Dan. This morning I will present our outlook for the floater and jackup markets and recap some of our contract signings that occurred during the quarter. Let me start by saying that we continue to believe customer demand going forward will be positively influenced by the following: stable commodity prices that are well above breakeven levels for our customers to continue drilling; healthy E&P spending that is necessary for customers to achieve their production targets; appraisal and development drilling that will follow successful new discoveries over the past few years; favorable activity in terms of new offshore lease sales, including the most recent round in the U.S. Gulf of Mexico; and longer term, the emergence of new markets, such as Mexico, in terms of deepwater opportunities. We saw continued customer demand for our floaters and jackups during the first quarter with a slight increase in tenders and inquiries relative to the fourth quarter of 2013 levels. Nevertheless, we have seen the floater market soften this year, including some floaters going out of lease recently in certain regions as the supply of new rigs coming into those markets and delays in customer drilling programs have affected the balance of supply and demand. However, the jackup market, in general, has remained fairly strong. Now as we look at specific regions, the West African market continues to show increasing customer demand across several countries, including Angola, Ghana and Nigeria. There are currently 5 open tenders for multi-year terms, and we have bid ultra-deepwater drillships and semisubmersibles into these opportunities. The announcement of regulatory approval for block 32 offshore Angola is a very positive recent development. We expect that more opportunities will emerge in the region later this year and into 2015. In addition, several operators have exploration programs planned in East Africa…

James W. Swent

Analyst

Thanks, David. Today, I'm going to cover highlights of our first quarter results, our outlook for the second quarter and our financial position. Now let's start with first quarter results versus prior year. As noted in our press release, certain discrete tax items influence first quarter 2014. Excluding these discrete tax items, our earnings would have been $1.31 per share. Prior year earnings were $1.36 per share. Total revenue for the quarter was $1.19 billion, up 3% from last year. This was driven by a 14% increase in our total average day rate to $239,000, which was partially offset by a decline in total utilization to 78% from 86% a year ago. Utilization measures the amount of time in days that a rig does not receive day rate due to a combination of factors, including: uncontracted time; planned downtime related to upgrades and surveys; and unplanned downtime caused purely by operational matters, such as mechanical issues. The decline in utilization year-to-year was driven solely by nonoperational factors, primarily uncontracted rigs and planned upgrade projects. In fact, our operational performance improved significantly as highlighted by our 6 percentage point increase in operational utilization, which adjusts for uncontracted time and planned downtime to 96%. Floater revenues increased 3% to $741 million from the prior year due to the addition of ENSCO DS-7 to the active fleet, a full quarter of operations of ENSCO DS-6 and increasing day rates for several other floaters. Year-over-year, the average day rate for the floater segment grew 18% to $447,000. Reported floater utilization declined to 68% from 83% a year ago due in part to planned shipyard upgrades. As noted in our press release, ENSCO 5004 and ENSCO 5006 will be completing shipyard upgrades in preparation for multi-year contracts commencing later this year. 3 rigs, ENSCO 8503,…

Sean P. O'Neill

Analyst

Okay. Operator, you may now open it up for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is Robin Shoemaker from Citi.

Robin E. Shoemaker - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

I was wondering, David, if the DS-8 contract or likely contract you mentioned, would the timing of that would be such that the rig could start operations in 2014, or should we think about it starting sometime after that?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

It's unlikely that, that will start in 2014.

Robin E. Shoemaker - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. On another topic, there was some news recently on the ENSCO 8506 in the Gulf of Mexico incident or something. Is that rig in operation or...

Steven Joseph Brady

Analyst

Hi, Robin. This is Steve Brady, the Senior Vice President of Western Hemisphere. ENSCO 8506 is operating. We did have a brief incident. We were hit by some weather. And the rig briefly off the clock, but it is back on day rate now and has been working ever since. So it was actually a pretty minor incident that got reported.

Robin E. Shoemaker - Citigroup Inc, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And just one other thing for me. David, I think you mentioned the Gulf of Mexico jackup market being soft and with some pressure on rates. Is -- do you have any kind of backdrop or kind of broader context for that? Is it something that's just occurred here recently? And is it perhaps due to some changes in property ownership, some transactions that have occurred? Just curious as to what -- how you would put that in context.

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, Robin, I don't think I described it as being soft. I think it's a little bit different than it has been. The pressure that we're seeing, if you would call it pressure, is really more associated with the impending hurricane season and the locations that are accessible and supportable during hurricane season. You mentioned that the change in properties. That is 1 factor, but it doesn't seem to be affecting us significantly.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Ian Macpherson from Simmons. Ian Macpherson - Simmons & Company International, Research Division: Can you talk to us about your bidding strategy for the 8500s with regard to your willingness to stack one or more of those rigs and preserve a day rate more or maximize utilization at whatever price? That's sort of the broad question. And then also could you talk about how the international bidding opportunities for those rigs are shaping up? And what type of contract term visibility you would need to justify moving one or more of those rigs out of the Gulf?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, our contracting philosophy is really, we look to combine day rate operating costs and other factors to maximize our returns, and we've been able to do that successfully over the years. We are in a fortunate position in the Gulf of Mexico, in particular, to be able to operate those rigs at lower rates than what the market has previously supported and still generate superior returns. With respect to international opportunities, we're looking at opportunities, primarily in West Africa and Mediterranean and Brazil. With respect to the amount of term that would be required, I would say it will depend on the specifics of that particular opportunity. But in general, maybe a year or more. Ian Macpherson - Simmons & Company International, Research Division: Okay. And follow-up, I guess, what is the outlook for 1 or more year term contract opportunities right now in the various markets you mentioned? And then any update with regard to the 7500, and whether that rig has different opportunities in Brazil to get to work on later this year or next year?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

There are several opportunities of 1 year or more, both in West Africa and in the Mediterranean. So we're actively looking at those. With respect to the 7500, we continued to have extended and substantive conversations with a customer for the 7500 in Brazil, and we're also actively marketing her for other international prospects.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Greg Lewis, Crédit Suisse. Gregory Lewis - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: In just sort of keeping with the thought process behind continually renewing and upgrading the fleet, you mentioned previously in the prepared remarks about strength and opportunity in the North Sea potentially for mid-water -- new mid-water equipment. Does it make sense at a certain point for Ensco to get involved, and if they are weighing in the North Sea with potentially placing some mid-water semi orders for that market?

Patrick Carey Lowe

Analyst

Yes. Greg, this is Carey Lowe. You're right. There is potentially an opportunity for harsh environment semi in the North Sea. We're watching that very carefully, and we're looking at various designs. Gregory Lewis - Crédit Suisse AG, Research Division: Okay. And then just -- and thinking about the constant renewal process, and you had placed the 2 newbuild jack orders. We're hearing that there's opportunities for rig resales out of the yards. Is that something that Ensco is actively pursuing, or it's simply, yes, there's -- there are new rigs being built at these yards but these aren't the type of rigs that Ensco is looking for.

Daniel W. Rabun

Analyst

Yes. They're generally not the rigs that we're looking for. We're -- part of our philosophy has always been the standardization of equipment and the asset throughout the fleet. And we evaluate all of these opportunities, but I can't say that we've found a whole lot that we're interested in.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Rob MacKenzie, Iberia Capital Partners.

Robert J. MacKenzie - Iberia Capital Partners, Research Division

Analyst

Actually, I wanted to follow up a little on the last question, if I may, guys. Once you get the DS-8 under contract, what would be the thought or the appetite perhaps for a further spec newbuilds in the probably DS-11, the later delivery to use some of the excess free cash on the out years?

James W. Swent

Analyst

I think, at this point, Rob -- this is Jay. We had an option on DS-11. We let that lapse. And I think, for the time being, we're on the sidelines, but always keeping an eye on the market obviously.

Robert J. MacKenzie - Iberia Capital Partners, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. So then coming back to your comments about the methodical high-grading or upgrading of the fleet, would it be more likely then to see further additions along the jackup side than the deepwater side?

James W. Swent

Analyst

Well, I mean, you've certainly seen that of late, and I think we feel like we've got a lot in the pipeline right now. And the age and complexion of our jackup fleets says that we're going to always be selling a few rigs and buying a few rigs every year. So I think you're going to always see us making investments in that fleet. Our floater fleet's a lot newer. And so obviously, probably less investment there in the near term.

Robert J. MacKenzie - Iberia Capital Partners, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And that leads me to my final question, Jay. So a fair amount of comments there on the call about the age of the floater and the jackup fleet, potential for retirements there. What is Ensco's view about participating either on the sale of retirement of your floater fleet? You've been pretty active in the jackup side, but not so much on the floater side. Any kind of view as to what -- how you stand on the older assets in your fleet?

James W. Swent

Analyst

Well, I think we, like everyone else, will certainly look at some of the old or the really older rigs and the mid-water rigs that are less competitive. I think the reality is if you look at the number of floaters that have been sold in the last several years, the number is pretty low. So trying to figure out where there is a market and how to access it, I think, is going to be a problem for everybody. But clearly, we've -- we're looking at that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Clayton Kovac from Tudor. Klayton Kovac - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc., Research Division: So first question, are you guys seeing any increase in sublet activity on any of your contracted floaters?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

No. I wouldn't say relative to what we've experienced over the last 12 to 24 months, we're not seeing an increase, no. Klayton Kovac - Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co. Securities, Inc., Research Division: Okay. And then second question, it seems like there's been a lot of talk about incremental rig demand in West Africa, but it just hasn't materialized. So what's your take on the root cause of the bottleneck in deepwater rig tenders for the region?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, the root cause, things always take longer than we would like them to in West Africa. And I think that's a number of different reasons, whether it's regulatory approval, getting final investment decision approvals for the operator partners -- operating partners. Those are probably the 2 primary reasons.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is David Smith, Heikkinen Energy Advisors.

David Smith

Analyst

A couple of quick questions regarding the 8500 Series, in particular. If the client wanted 1 of those rigs in saltwater depth, what's kind of the minimum depth that you would feel comfortable operating in DP mode? And second, if the client really wanted the 8500 rig, but needed it to be moored, what would be the all-in cost in superior time to accommodate that?

John Stokes Knowlton

Analyst

This is -- David, this is John Knowlton. So the water depth kind of varies a lot -- quite a bit depending on where you're operating, but somewhere around 1,500 foot is sort of the minimum water depth for DP. But it can be stretched either way depending on the weather. We've also -- can put more up the 8500 series, and we are looking at that, and there is a potential to do that. And probably -- we'd rather not talk about what the total cost is, but it's not significant money to do it.

David Smith

Analyst

But in terms of maybe downtime preparation, I guess that might be the bigger factor, and how could we think about the out-of-service time to accommodate that?

John Stokes Knowlton

Analyst

Yes. There would be some out-of-service time. But again, it's not really very significant, a matter of months, few months.

David Smith

Analyst

Okay. I appreciate that. And a follow-up question was on the ENSCO 5000. I thought I heard from the last call that you had stacked that rig in 4Q 13. The fleet status -- full service status was 1 stacked. I wanted to ask, how should we think about that rig in terms of marketability and cost compared to the other mid-water rigs?

John Stokes Knowlton

Analyst

Well, the rig is stacked. And while we continue to market it, it's a challenging market for that particular rig. So that's where it stands.

David Smith

Analyst

So incurring, generally, full crew cost of -- et cetera that you normal incur?

John Stokes Knowlton

Analyst

No, no. We are not incurring full cost -- full crew costs.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Matt Conlan, Wells Fargo.

Matthew D. Conlan - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Just a little bit clarification on the DS-8, which you hope to have a contract announced soon. That rig, I believe, has been committed for some time. When you do announce the contract, will that day rate reflect the current market conditions, or was that rate agreed to a long time ago? Could you just help us put it in proper context?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, Matt, good morning. As usual, we're not going to comment on the day rates. So just leave it at that.

Matthew D. Conlan - Wells Fargo Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Can you comment on the timing of the day rate agreement?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

No. I'd rather not. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Darren Gacicia, Guggenheim.

Darren Gacicia - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

So in your initial comments, if I -- just to make sure I heard the numbers right, we talked about the floater downturn maybe having a shorter duration. And I believe you said there are probably about 11 floaters subject to potential cold stacking, which kind of from the follow-on comments seems like cold stacking means they may permanently go away. If that's happening, and we're thinking about the market balance, what does that mean for the rig? If -- and you're seeing kind of more activity starting to come or potentially coming in the back half of this year and the next. When does the market turn in terms of the balance? And what's the order of magnitude that we need to see happen to make that turn? Because if you have 11 rigs going down, I don't know where do you think the theoretical oversupply is. What's the turning point?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, only time will tell, Darren, how long the current dynamic -- current market dynamics will be in play. As we said, we still have the perspective that it's shorter term in nature. The current fundamentals are still strong. So with respect to the rigs that will ultimately be stacked and/or retired, again, time will tell there with respect to what our competitors will do on those rigs.

Darren Gacicia - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Does that mean -- do you think that the rates -- that rates firm and maybe strengthen in '15? Is that where that kind of -- where that leads us? Because it seems like a lot of the questions on the call, and there are good questions about kind of what the near-term contracting impact is that of having kind of choppy market's one thing, but understanding maybe kind of the exit rates and maybe that coming in '15 is probably -- is equally as important. And that's what I'm trying to sort of identify in terms of what the thought process is, especially if you think about duration of near-term contracts and how to play that into the market.

James W. Swent

Analyst

Well, I think -- Darren, this is Jay. The problem is nobody really knows the answer to this question. And we can speculate as much as anybody else, but the reality is we don't know. I think the one thing that we feel really good about is that we -- as David said, we have a real cost advantage in all markets that we operate in and, certainly, with the 8500 Series fleets. And so at the moment, we are focused on utilization, keeping those rigs working and generating good rates of return. And as we see the market right now, we feel very comfortable about our ability to continue to generate good profitability with those rigs. And the market will turn when it turns, and we will react accordingly.

Daniel W. Rabun

Analyst

Yes. Just a couple of points on perspective. I don't think we've ever seen a sustained drop in rates for deepwater rigs with probably commodity pricing. So as you see a moderation in day rates, you will probably see operators take advantage of that and snap up rigs. And you could see -- you could visualize a scenario where this could be a very short duration.

Darren Gacicia - Guggenheim Securities, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Great. Well, one follow-up. Just on the -- it seems like you're -- all of the commentary is moving a little bit on the opposite direction on the jackup side given some fear with the kind of overhang of newbuilds coming to market. Is that sort of a cautionary tone that we should be reading into when we think about what rates may get printed over the next 12 months on the jackup side?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

No, not necessarily. Again, time will tell with respect to what the -- what rates the market will support. But certainly, we're keeping an eye on the supply side with the continued delivery of units on the jackup side.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is J.B. Lowe, Cowen and Company.

John Booth Lowe - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

You guys have given guidance for full year 2014 on your last conference call. Are you guys kind of sticking with those numbers that you provided a couple months ago?

James W. Swent

Analyst

Well, I think we've given some guidance -- updated guidance with respect to the tax rate. So that's going to have an impact on the full year versus what we've said before. And I think we're certainly a little bit light on revenue. So I think you can expect that we're down a bit, but not dramatically.

John Booth Lowe - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And in those numbers, what kind of assumptions are you making for the rigs that you have that are currently stacked? Are you assuming that some of those will go back to work? Are you assuming that all of those stays stacked for the remainder of the year?

James W. Swent

Analyst

A little bit of both.

John Booth Lowe - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then on the DS-8, does that -- if the project of that rig gets signed too, it doesn't start until later in 2015. Would you guys be willing to look for -- stick in the short-term contract in between the delivery and the start-up of -- maybe it's multi-year term?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Certainly, we would. J.B., this is David. Yes. Certainly, we would.

John Booth Lowe - Cowen and Company, LLC, Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then just lastly, I'm just curious as to how you guys are looking at the South American market outside of Brazil. I know there are some opportunities in Uruguay and Colombia. Have you guys been hearing any sort of pickup in activity from maybe some other countries outside of Brazil down there?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Yes, we are, and we're looking at opportunities in various countries. If you remember, several years ago, we sent a rig down to French Guiana. So we're are looking at all of the countries in South America.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is Todd Scholl, Wunderlich Securities.

Todd P. Scholl - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Analyst

I just had a question relating to your decision to build the 140 Series jackup. You guys had previously in an analyst event kind of talked about building 130 Series jackups. It seemed like they would be more appropriate -- built for appropriate in the North Sea. What was the decision like -- what was the process that you guys kind of went through to decide to build rigs more suited for the Mid East versus the North Sea, particularly given the fact that you do have a number of rigs that are going to be rolling off contract in the next 2 years or so in the Mid East, where you seem to have a little bit more term with the existing rigs in North Sea?

James W. Swent

Analyst

Right. I think the reality is, the 130 Series is a great design, but we haven't found a lot of customers that really have enough need to justify building them yet. And we're still in touch with a lot of customers around that, so I wouldn't say we're never going to build one. But I think we felt like given the breadth of the market in the Middle East and the appetite in Saudi Aramco and other customers there, that having some renewed rigs to address that market was going to be a real competitive advantage for us. And more of one than a couple of 130 Series rigs might be in the North Sea at the current moment. But we're still talking to customers about that rig.

Todd P. Scholl - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And as far as the new rigs, the 140 Series rigs, should we think of those as going to be -- as rigs being incremental to the fleet? Or should we think of them as probably being replacement for some of the older rigs you have in the Middle East?

James W. Swent

Analyst

I think, over time, they play out as replacements.

Todd P. Scholl - Wunderlich Securities Inc., Research Division

Analyst

Okay. And then one last question kind of on the Middle East. You guys have said that the 5 jackups that you have that are rolling off contract this year with Aramco, you're already in discussions, and you're hopeful that those rigs will be retained. Are you thinking that you'll actually be able to push pricing with those rigs? Or should we expect those rigs to remain at around the same levels?

David Ethan Hensel

Analyst

Well, again, Todd, we don't typically comment on rates.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Sean O'Neill for any closing remarks.

Sean P. O'Neill

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, very much for your interest in Ensco. Have a fantastic day.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.