Kevin C. Robert
Analyst · ISI Group
Thanks, Dan. This morning I will recap activity levels, highlight some of our contract signings that occurred during the quarter and present our outlook for the floater and jackup markets. Before I do though, let me make a few macro comments about our industry. Numerous organizations have recently published their midyear assessments of global economic growth, energy supply and demand trends and associated spending levels. The conclusions reached in these studies forecast continued energy growth for decades, driven by expanding prosperity across a rising global population. Growing transportation requirements, rising electricity needs for homes and increasing energy needs to power industry will require exploration and development of oil and gas reserves at a faster pace. Oil will remain the #1 global fuel, but natural gas will overtake coal for the #2 spot. Safely delivering new technology and innovation to develop hard-to-produce energy resources is a key requirement of the drilling industry. A recent IHS study examined the source of oil and gas discoveries from 2007 to 2012 and found that almost 80% of reserve additions were from new deepwater basins. These basins are common on both sides of the Atlantic Ocean but have also been found in East Africa, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Cyprus, India, Eastern Canada, Eastern South America and the Arctic. Production from shallow water wells continues to supply more than 1/3 of worldwide production, and improved technology is critical to our clients as they seek to produce more from existing shallow water basins. Regarding sector activity, we experienced a large increase in combined tender and inquiry activity, rising from 55 to 60 per quarter to a new high of 80 in the second quarter. Floating rig formal bid activity was steady, but we saw a significant increase in the number of floater inquiries. We believe the jump in floater inquiries is an indication that clients are realizing that rig supply in 2014 is tightening. Additionally, customers are spending more time selecting rigs for their drilling programs, resulting in earlier discussions with operators for specific rig availability. On the jackup side, the number of formal bids doubled versus the first quarter, reflecting clients' urgency to get production onstream. Increasing activity in the jackup market resulted in higher rates and lengthening terms in every jackup market where we operate. Beginning in the West Africa floater market, there were a couple of deepwater commitments made against open tenders, and there remain several active tenders in the region. We expect these active tenders will absorb another 4 to 7 deepwater floaters before the end of 2013. As Dan mentioned, we received final approval on a 1-year extension for ENSCO DS-2 with Total in the high $430,000 per day range in Angola. This deal represents a cooperative effort with Total, where the underlying contract fundamentals were agreed upon over a year ago in order to facilitate a major upgrade project for the rig. The scope of this upgrade underscores the increasing specifications that customers are requiring for floater projects in West Africa. Most new tenders in the region typically require a minimum 5 ram BOP, 0 discharge and the ability to handle larger subsea trees. We are also seeing work for high-spec moored floaters begin to materialize in the region. Therefore, our outlook for West Africa activity remains bullish. The West African jackup market, which has been a lagging market, showed signs of increasing activity as the process began on 4 tenders offering multiyear terms for standard rigs. We are seeing more inquiries about rig availability indicating incremental future activity in the region. In the U.S. Gulf of Mexico, floater demand remains robust. As expected, a number of contracts were announced for ultra-deepwater drillships during the quarter. These contract announcements have been for 3-year terms with rates in the mid- to high $500,000 per day range for drillships with 2 BOPs. Rig availability for the region is effectively gone for 2013, so the new contracts were for rigs commencing operations in mid- to late 2014. We continued adding backlog to our ultra-deepwater fleet in the U.S. Gulf as we extended ENSCO 8502 with LLOG in the low 500s and then booked the rig for work with Marathon into first quarter 2014 at $530,000 per day. After Marathon, ENSCO 8502 will work for Stone into the third quarter of 2014. Marathon is a new direct client for Ensco that they have previously partnered with other operators using the 8500 Series rigs in the U.S. Gulf. We are also in discussions for our next available rig in the region, ENSCO 8503, and have multiple prospects for the rig when the current operator completes their program in first quarter 2014. Permitting activity in the U.S. Gulf is back to normal, and the last fleet sale in the region proved very successful. We expect the floater market to remain very active through 2014 and into 2015. We already have a number of clients in the pre-qualification stages for work commencing in late 2015. We expect that our new drillships, ENSCO DS-9 and ENSCO DS-10, will be strong contenders for these projects. Jackup demand in the U.S. Gulf continues to outstrip supply, and activity for our premium rigs is brisk. We were able to contract several rigs at higher rates and longer terms during the quarter, including ENSCO 81, ENSCO 87 and ENSCO 99. In fact, rates and terms increased appreciably over just a few months. For ENSCO 82, we were able to increase the rate and term twice in the second quarter alone. Early in the quarter, we executed a 6-month contract at an increased rate of $135,000 per day. Subsequently, we were able to contract ENSCO 82 for an additional year in the low 140s. As we look forward, we expect the U.S. Gulf jackup market to remain strong, given the limited rig supply and compelling drilling economics. In Mexico, Pemex picked up 3 more jackups through direct negotiation and now has 44 rigs under contract. We expect a strong jackup market to continue as Pemex plans to add 5 to 10 incremental jackups to its existing fleet. We continue to evaluate moving more jackups to Mexico. But at present, we do not have available rigs. Pemex also has a tender due for bid this month for a floater in 1,000 feet of water for a 2-year term. Pemex is evaluating adding a second floater, plus a deepwater rig to their fleets, so we expect incremental demand in Mexico. Turning to Brazil. Petrobras continues to focus on maintaining production in their existing basins as evidenced by our previously-announced contracts for ENSCO 6001 and 6002. Petrobras committed both rigs for 5 years at a rate in the mid- 370s, plus upgrade costs and day rates while in the shipyard. We submitted bids in the latest market inquiry as Petrobras is looking to add deepwater work over and intervention rigs to help stimulate production. Petrobras also continues its efforts to develop pre-salt as they're working to renew rigs with contracts expiring in 2015 to ensure their resources are efficiently applied toward the high-priority pre-salt developments. ENSCO 5000 is due for a mandatory survey and recertification work, and we plan to mobilize this rig to a South African shipyard. We will continue to evaluate opportunities for this rig. Recently, we were the successful bidder for multiyear work with ENSCO 5004 in the Mediterranean. And currently, we are in final negotiations with the customer, so the rig will mobilize out of Brazil following its current contract with OGX. We have identified opportunities for ENSCO 5002 in Brazil, as well as other markets, like the Mediterranean and Mexico, when the rig completes its contract in November. Brazil had a very successful lease sale in May, which bodes well for future high-spec floater activity as successful bidders come to market for rigs to drill their new exploration acreage in a couple of years. We expect independent oil companies to be the primary customers for increased drilling activity from the May lease sale. In fourth quarter 2013, Brazil is planning to have a lease sale that will include several pre-salt blocks, which should also generate more drilling demand in the future. Moving to the North Sea. The U.K., Danish and Dutch sectors of the jackup market remain tight with demand exceeding supply, driving customers to lock up rigs well in advance of the start of their drilling programs. We continued adding backlog with repeat customers to our fleet, adding 2 years of work for ENSCO 70, 1 year for ENSCO 72 and 8 months for ENSCO 92. Earlier this year, ENSCO 121 was awarded a contract with Wintershall for a 2-year term. And we have some very good prospects under consideration for Ensco 122, our last 120 Series newbuild. We continue to see new tenders entering the market, reinforcing our expectation for a continued tight market in the Northwest Europe jackup sector. Supply and demand remain in balance in the U.K. floater market, and we expect there will be opportunities for incremental harsh environment floaters in the region over the next few years. In the Mediterranean, I mentioned the multiyear work for ENSCO 5004. Additionally, 2 new floater tenders emerged during the quarter for commencement in the third quarter 2014, which may create opportunities for our rigs. In the Middle East, all but 1 of our 9 marketed jackups is under contract into 2014 or beyond. Bid activity during the second quarter remain steady as tender process has commenced on projects in Abu Dhabi, Saudi Arabia and Qatar. We expect these tenders to contract up to 8 incremental rigs for multiple year terms for standard and high-spec rigs. In India, we extended the contract for ENSCO 54 for another 6 months to the mid-140s. As we mentioned on our first quarter call, ONGC contracted additional rigs as expected, adding 5 rigs during the quarter and increasing their total fleet to 38 units. As expected, ONGC recently entered the market to add up to 10 incremental jackups to their fleet. The Asia-Pacific jackup market remained strong and continues to support increases in backlog and day rates. We added backlog on several rigs during the quarter, and we also experienced a significant increase in the number of tenders received. We continue to see evidence of high activity, and we are evaluating multiple opportunities for follow-on work for all of our rigs. We expect the region to continue to be balanced through the end of 2014. The floater market in Asia Pacific also continues to present new opportunities. We are working on numerous opportunities for ENSCO 5005 when it becomes available from the yard in first quarter 2014. Additionally, work is being tendered for Vietnam, Myanmar, Indonesia, Australia and China for moored floaters, and we expect Indonesia to add a deepwater floater in the future. Regarding a worldwide order book for floating rigs, we count approximately 42 new rigs to be delivered before the end of 2014, of which about 18 are uncontracted. Of the 18 that are uncontracted, we believe about 13 are in negotiations with operators, and we expect forthcoming contract announcements. In addition, 8 of the 25 floater deliveries in 2014 are not scheduled until the fourth quarter. Based on our estimates of the number of active and expected tenders, we believe all of the newbuild floaters will be absorbed into the market as they are delivered. On the newbuild jackup side, we count about 64 new rigs to be delivered before the end of 2014, of which approximately 47 are available. Based on our estimates of the number of active and expected tenders, we believe all of the newbuild jackups will be absorbed into the market as they are delivered. So in summary, we maintain our positive outlook in terms of customer demand for both deep and shallow water offshore markets. Based on visible demand from customers, we expect the market to be fairly balanced for the foreseeable future, even with the additional rig supply from newbuild deliveries. Now let me turn the call over to Jay.