Michael Thomson
Analyst · DeepDive Equity Research
Thank you, Peter, and good afternoon, everyone. I'd like to echo Peter's sentiments in hoping that you, your families and friends are all doing well during what continues to be a difficult time. In my discussions today, I'll refer to both GAAP and non-GAAP results. As a reminder, the reconciliations of these metrics are available in our earnings materials. Likewise, information related to discontinued operations is available on our website. As Peter had already highlighted, our revenue expectations for the full year 2020 are unchanged, and we've increased visibility into full year profitability expectations. We ended with a strong liquidity position after our most challenging COVID quarter. I'll give you a little more insight into the COVID-related impacts that uniquely affected us due to our mix of field services, the timing of our Technology renewals, the expansion of our Services margin and our strong liquidity position as well as an update on some other important topics. Let me start by reiterating that, to date, our actual and anticipated results are in line with our full year revenue expectations that we provided in the first quarter. While COVID-19 made the second quarter challenging, the portions of the business that impacted were consistent with our expectations heading into the quarter. Non-GAAP adjusted revenue was down 22% year-over-year or 18.9% on a constant currency basis. Approximately half of this decline was driven by Services non-GAAP adjusted revenue, which was down 13.3% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. To give you a little more insight here, I would note that field services was the primary driver of this decline and accounted for 8.7 points of the 13.3% decline. As we've discussed, we expected a revenue decline in our check processing joint venture, and that business accounted for an additional 2.8 points of the 13.3% decline. Excluding these 2 businesses, the rest of our Services segment was down just 3.3% year-over-year on a constant currency basis. We saw no identifiable negative revenue impact resulting from our remote work environment, as we continue to provide exceptional service to our client base as supported by a significantly higher NPS than our competitors. I'll discuss some of the opportunities we see as a result of that shortly. Services backlog ended the quarter at $3.6 billion, down 4% sequentially despite the COVID disruption in the quarter. The other half of the non-GAAP adjusted revenue decline was driven by intra-year shift in timing of ClearPath Forward contracts, which we do not believe will result in a change in our full year expectations for Technology revenue. It did, however, result in a Technology revenue being down 49.7% year-over-year in constant currency. We noted last quarter that 2 ClearPath Forward contracts were renewed earlier than expected, bringing that revenue and margin into the first quarter. Adversely, during the second quarter, we had 2 other ClearPath Forward contract renewals that were expected to be signed in the second quarter that we now expect to be signed in the third quarter. And as we have discussed, we generally recognize all revenue associated with ClearPath Forward contracts upon renewal, and this could drive lumpiness into our Technology results if contracts are accelerated or delayed. The activity, coupled with the other scheduled ClearPath Forward renewals, is expected to yield a year-over-year increase in Technology revenue in the second half of the year, and our full year outlook remains unchanged. As a reminder, we said entering into the year that we expect Technology revenue to be down high single-digit percentage year-over-year due to a lighter ClearPath Forward renewal schedule versus last year. Our current expectation is that Technology revenue will be split approximately 40% and 60% between the first and second half, with the second half revenue split being approximately 30% and 70% between the third and fourth quarters. As Peter noted, despite these numbers, our solutions continue to be highly relevant for our clients, and we saw revenue growth of 7.2% year-over-year within our public sector, indicating ongoing demand for our digital government transformation solutions, which has become an area of increased focus for us. We're optimistic about the outlook for the second half of the year. Based on the current visibility we have around improving trends, we have highlighted this throughout this discussion and assume that there are no significant negative turns in the macroeconomic conditions, we anticipate our revenue will improve sequentially and during the third and fourth quarters. This is expected to be driven in part by continued improvement in our field services and BPO businesses as they recover from the temporary disruptions brought on by COVID-19 as well as the anticipated increase in Technology revenue in the second half that I've noted. As we look at 2020 overall, the models we're currently running continue to indicate that the 10% year-over-year revenue decline we discussed on the first quarter call remains a relevant frame of reference, though ultimately, results could be better or worse than this. Moving to profitability. Non-GAAP operating profit margin for the second quarter was 20 basis points relative to 9.8% in the prior year period. Over 90% of that year-over-year decline in non-GAAP operating profit was due to lighter Technology renewals in the quarter relative to a largely fixed cost base in that business. Technology costs are largely related to software development, and as a result of this and a shift in Technology revenue, there was a significant impact to both gross and operating profit margin within Technology. Technology gross profit margin was 42% relative to 78.1% in the prior year period, and Technology operating profit margin was 2.2% relative to 56.7% in the prior year period. I'd also remind you that there were significant number of ClearPath Forward renewals signed in the second quarter last year, which benefited profitability in that period. With respect to Services, we were successful in quickly identifying and removing costs to mitigate a significant portion of the margin impact due to COVID-related revenue declines. We continue to automate to improve productivity, which reduces excess capacity and other associated costs. We also made progress on many of the accounts that we've been targeting for margin improvement and on the removal of the cost previously allocated to our U.S. Federal business. We have now taken steps to remove approximately $50 million of the costs previously allocated to our legacy U.S. Federal business. We expect that the remaining $10 million of such costs will be removed over the remaining portion of the year. As a result of all this, Services non-GAAP adjusted gross profit margin was up 20 basis points year-over-year to 15.5% and was up 280 basis points sequentially. Services non-GAAP operating profit margin of a negative 40 basis points was down 90 basis points year-over-year, though up 310 basis points sequentially. The year-over-year decline at the operating profit level was largely due to the flow-through impact of lower revenue on SG&A, some elements of which are more fixed in short-term than the cost of revenue. For the company overall, we saw a decrease in operating cost of $48 million on a sequential basis versus the first quarter and $69 million year-over-year. We've recognized approximately $8.5 million in restructuring charges during the period, which impacted GAAP operating profit and a total of $66.8 million of charges through net income or $1.06 per share. These charges included items related to the cost efforts I've noted as well as pension expense of $24.5 million and a onetime $28.5 million charge related to the extinguishment of debt associated with the early repayment of our senior secured notes during the period. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 11.4% relative to 16.8% in the prior year period, driven by many of the factors I've already noted with respect to revenue and operating profit. Non-GAAP diluted loss per share was $0.15 relative to non-GAAP earnings per share of $0.52 in the prior year period. As I've noted, during the quarter, we made progress enhancing margins with key contracts that we had targeted for improvement. We've also underpinned the longer-term reductions to SG&A to further improve our cost structure. Additionally, given our evolution in field services business and in part due to the impact of COVID-19, we're targeting some cost reductions in the third quarter to help make this revenue stream more profitable going forward. As I alluded to earlier, we've been very pleased with how seamlessly our associates transitioned to a remote work environment while still maintaining levels of efficiency consistent with what we've seen in recent quarters. As a result of this and due to the fact that the health and safety of our team remain a top priority, we've been reevaluating our real estate footprint as we believe we can operate successfully with a significantly more limited in-person presence at our facilities. This also provides increased flexibility for our associates, which we believe has become increasingly important, especially in the current environment with limitations on child care options. We did not provide profitability expectations at the end of the first quarter, given the significant amount of uncertainty at the time, but everything I just highlighted provides us with more visibility on this now. Given that most of the overall margin decline for the company was due to fixed costs within Technology, we expect to see operating profit margin improve in the second half of the year as Technology revenue is expected to be higher in the second half. With respect to the full year then, as we've noted last quarter, we expect 2020 profitability to be down more significantly than revenue. Based on our increased visibility, our modeling scenarios now indicate a low-end scenario at approximately 250 basis points below the guidance range we've previously provided, and a high-end scenario at 200 basis points below the high end of that same range. As a reminder, the guidance range we originally provided and subsequently withdrew for 2020 was 7.7% to 8.7%. All of these forward-looking indications are based on the current visibility that we have. And should spikes in the virus result in material negative economic consequences, our actual results may differ from our expectations. We ended the second quarter with a strong liquidity position having approximately $782 million in cash, down less than $10 million relative to the end of the first quarter. Given the repayment of our senior secured notes and our current cash position -- cash contribution schedule, we have limited near-term cash requirements outside of normal operational funding. Adjusted free cash flow was a negative $37.1 million relative to $14.3 million in the prior year period. As I noted, with respect to profitability, the strong Technology renewals in the second quarter of last year also contributed to a more significant cash flow than has been typical. We had no negative impact on cash collections due to COVID-19 and continue to be in line with historic norms. CapEx was 11% lower year-over-year, and we're currently targeting $150 million of CapEx for 2020. In addition to the operational and cost improvements that we've discussed, we've also made progress during the second quarter in refining our capital structure plans. With respect to our pension obligations, first, I'll note that based on market conditions as of June 30, required contributions through 2025 would have been reduced by $175 million relative to the calculations as of the end of the first quarter, and the pension deficit would have increased by less than $60 million. From a legislative perspective, there are elements included in the house version of the next phase of the economic stimulus package that are aimed at permanent pension relief. If these elements remain in the bill when finalized, they'll have a significant positive impact on our future cash contributions. In fact, post our anticipated remaining contributions in 2020, we would not be required to make an additional contribution until 2026, and the magnitude of that contribution would be about 1/5 of the value of our current annual contribution schedule. There are also discussions regarding the immediate monetization of certain U.S. general business tax credits. And depending on specific details, the companies could recognize significant cash benefits from these proposals. We'll continue to work towards a permanent solution for pension relief and the overall passage of this economic stimulus legislation. We announced that our Board of Directors unanimously approved the early termination of our tax asset protection plan that we put in place in conjunction with the sale of our U.S. Federal business, specifically to protect our deferred tax assets. That plan has served its intended purpose and is no longer needed. So we're advancing the expiration date from February 5, 2021 to August 4, 2020. As we've discussed, the sale of the U.S. Federal business significantly improved our leverage and liquidity. Now that we've reduced our leverage and addressed our near-term pension obligations, we're focusing on optimizing our balance sheet and progressing towards a more normalized capital structure. A positive step in our path to normalcy came this quarter as we've received a credit rating agency upgrade from S&P, and we plan to utilize traditional debt to further mitigate our pension deficit thereby reducing its variability. However, since there are no contribution requirements for the U.S. plan for the next 2 years, we plan to be opportunistic in tapping the debt markets. We've also begun executing our liability reduction program within our global pension plans. We're targeting approximately $1 billion worth of global pension liability reduction over the next 8 months, which we intend to accomplish through a combination of bulk lump sum buyouts, annuity purchases and transfers to multi-client, multi-employer plans. We started the process to begin executing against these targets with the intention that this round of liability reduction will be completed by the end of the first quarter 2021. In conjunction with this and some other initiatives, we're expecting 3 key charges in the third quarter. First, a significant removal of pension liability along the lines of what we're considering would be construed from a GAAP perspective as a settlement of that liability and could be accompanied by noncash settlement charges. In this case, we're anticipating a charge that could be as large as $100 million, but this would allow us to fully remove one of our international plans, and again, would be noncash. We're currently modeling this as a third quarter action. However, if there are processing delays, it could slide into a later period. The second charge we expect is related to our EMEA optimization plan, which we've previously discussed, which requires a closing of certain entities, which in turn creates noncash currency translation adjustment write-offs. This is also a onetime noncash charge and expected to be approximately $20 million in the third quarter. Thirdly, we expect to take a cash charge associated with our reassessment of our real estate portfolio, likely in the third quarter. The magnitude of this charge is expected to be between $5 million and $10 million and is still being evaluated. We expect the annualized run rate savings related to this charge to be between $20 million and $30 million. So between these 3 initiatives, we're expecting approximately $125 million to $130 million in charges in the third quarter, all of which would be onetime, and $120 million of which would be noncash. Overall, we're looking forward to the improvement in the second half of the year and progress on the initiatives we've discussed. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Peter.