William L. Jasper
Analyst · First Manhattan
Thanks, James, good morning, everyone. I'm pleased with our results for the first quarter. Despite weakness in our international businesses, we increased revenues domestically and maintained strong margins in both polyester POY and DTY, had strong results in our dyed yarn, beam yarn and nylon businesses and saw continued strong shipments into the CAFTA region. In addition, I am confident in our PVA strategies and expect sustained growth through this fiscal year as several new programs come online, as Roger mentioned, adding to our sales in this important segment of our business. I have been disappointed in the results of our Brazil business which has suffered from a sluggish local economy, high inflation, the loss of a VAT benefit we previously enjoyed and a weakened currency. We are, however, seeing improvement in our results there, which we expect to continue as we take advantage of lower duties on imported POY to increase the sales of our higher margin manufactured products, increase sales of PVA products and aggressively manage price to overcome inflationary cost increases. In the longer term, we are taking action to assure we are out well positioned to profitably grow as the economy improves and the textile consumption increases in the years ahead. I remain confident in our China business model and am encouraged by the many new PVA sales opportunities in the pipeline, as well as increased activity and opportunity in Europe that Roger mentioned. Turning to our balance sheet, we have seen a temporary increase in working capital related to timing in our accounts payable, as well as an increase in inventories. Some of this inventory increase is driven by one-time preproduction purchases related to a new high-value PVA business. In addition, we reacted slowly to the loss of some low-end commodity business and produced beyond demand for a short time. We expect inventories to reduce through the current quarter and expect to be at goal levels by December. Despite the increase in working capital, we generated sufficient cash to fund $5.7 million in capital expenditures, including the purchase of 9 texturing machines from a recently closed competitor. These machines, now being installed in Yadkinville, will increase our capacity, flexibility and efficiency. We also committed $5.8 million to purchase nearly 250,000 shares of our stock, as James mentioned, while maintaining our net debt and liquidity at better-than-target levels. Over the past few years, we have discussed, on this call, the recent stabilization in growth of the U.S. and Americas region textile industry. I feel it may be helpful to delve into the details for a few minutes to better explain our continued commitment to this region. As I'm sure most of you are aware, over 70% of our revenues come from sales into the NAFTA-CAFTA region, and we have invested in growth here over the last few years. However, as the industries strength [ph] under the onslaught of cheap Asian apparel imports over the last decade, there have been misconceptions about the demise of this industry in this region. I feel it's important to clear up these misconceptions with some facts about our industry. The U.S. textile and apparel industry employs over 500,000 people, mostly in manufacturing jobs providing better pay and benefits than many service industries, such as retail and food services. In addition, we estimate there are from 1 million to 1.5 million jobs in support industries like trucking, packaging and chemicals that are directly dependent here in the U.S. on the U.S. textile industry. Compare this to about 800,000 jobs in the U.S. auto industry, which includes auto-parts workers, and 150,000 jobs in the U.S. steel industry and it becomes obvious that the U.S. textile industry is still large and important. In Mexico and Central America, we estimate there are an additional 1.5 million textile workers and the industry is an important engine of growth in many emerging economies like Honduras and El Salvador, while providing well-paying jobs and adding political stability. Textile and apparel exports are often, far and away, the largest export commodity of many countries in Central America and supply much-needed income and capital to their economies. NAFTA and CAFTA sourcing share of U.S. synthetic apparel has remained stable at 18% for the last 5 years, and supply in units has grown by 5% to 7% annually over the last 2 years as U.S. retail has grown. In the U.S., over the past 12 months, there have been about 20 new textile plant openings and expansions, and many large new investments have recently been announced for 2014. In CAFTA, over the past 12 months, an additional 10 new plant openings or expansions have occurred. Apart from apparel, regional production of items consumed at U.S. retail is important in many textile segments. For instance, 60% of pantyhose is still produced in this region, 32% of socks, 16% of upholstery for furniture, 90% of mattress fabric and 80% of light vehicle upholstery are all produced in this region. The U.S. textile and apparel industry generates over $70 billion in revenue; exports, $23 billion worth of goods, making the U.S. the third largest textile exporter in the world, and has invested over $16 billion in new equipment in the last 10 years. As wages increased in major Asian textile exporting countries, as safety and environmental standards there increased in response to some horrific tragedies in their government industries, and as cost and efficiencies improved in this region through growth and production capacity, we expect to see continued competitiveness in growth here in NAFTA-CAFTA. Now one potential threat to this region's industry is the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact currently being negotiated, which includes Vietnam. Vietnam's state-supported, and in many cases, state-owned textile industry, has significantly grown exports to the U.S. over the last few years, primarily at the expense of China and other Asian exporting countries. However, a poorly negotiated agreement could be harmful for this region. The U.S. industry has been working closely with the United States trade representatives and the Commerce Department to assure a strong set of trade rules, including a yarn forward rule of origin, reasonable market access conditions, strong customs enforcement, and strict, fair and consistent industry standards for all participating countries. Our aim for this agreement -- is for an agreement that does little damage to the growing textile industry in this region and provides export opportunities for all participating countries, including the U.S. As negotiations move forward, we will continue to provide updates. Turning back to our business. I will provide a brief update on REPREVE Renewables, our Biomass joint venture. REPREVE Renewables has continued to improve planting technology and has demonstrated costs and efficiencies which we believe are considerably better than our in kind competition. In addition, we have identified several sales opportunities for the spring 2014 planting season and are negotiating potential initial contracts. We will update you on our progress during our next conference call. Finally, looking ahead. Based on expected stable to slightly easing raw material prices and consistent sales volumes, we expect our second fiscal quarter to be comparable with the first quarter, though with 1 less shipping week due to the holidays. With that in mind, we expect adjusted EBITDA results to be about $13 million. As we expect our domestic business to remain strong and should see improvements in our international businesses as the fiscal year goes forward, our annual guidance remains in the mid- to high-50s. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions.