Maurice Taylor
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Well, the first thing is very few people tell you this, but the true fact is which I said earlier. I love price, it is through material, it is a commodity. So if we have to pay it, my friendly Japanese have to pay it, my friendly Chinese have to pay it, and of course the friends over in India have to pay it. So, it is in a case when you are dealing with natural rubber that only the US boys get it, okay, so they are going to get it too. And so then what will happen is it will get passed out. It is also depends on a lot of the contracts we have which are basically OEs and tires. Aftermarket isn't much bigger for us, it is two thirds of what OE comes to tires, so what would we look for is passing it there, and now to answer your question that comes also from your competition from across a lot of ways. Now and that's an unknown variable, but what I personally believe is that they will try and of course we are going to put it out there, so we have at this stage, it will give us a bounce, and the reason it gives us the bounce, because as mentioned earlier, one of the things that we have that is pretty good is all of our mounted assemblies that can go in and out, it will give us a bigger bounce there. So that problem child as you go, does it keep going or does it stop or does it do a flip and come back down, and I personally believe that the reason you are going to see -- you see it go up is real simple. It is automotive driven. I mean folks, the pneumatic tire business in the world runs about $160 billion, $150 billion, and what your total worldwide every farm tire, every construction tire, and every mining tire, and you put them all together, it's probably now – it’s high was $6 billion. It is probably down to around $4 billion today. So that's -- we are so small into that whole big target, which uses and consumes the rubber, so once automotive moves down, then, hell man, price of natural rubber is going to drop like a rocket, and that's when I don't want see it, okay.