Mike Eastwood
Analyst · Gary Bisbee from BofA Securities
Thank you, Steve, and thanks for joining us today. As a reminder, I will talk to revenue growth before currency and on an organic basis. Let me start by discussing the second quarter revenue performance of our Big 3 segments. Organic revenues and revenues at constant currency were both up 7% for the quarter. This marks the fourth consecutive quarter our Big 3 segments have grown at least 5% and represents the highest growth for our Big 3 segments in over a decade. Legal Professionals revenues increased 7%, and organic revenues were up 6%. Recurring organic revenue grew 6%, and transaction revenues increased 14% due to our Westlaw, Practical Law and Government businesses. Please note, 60% of Practical Law’s revenues are recorded in the Legal Professionals segment and 40% is recorded in the Corporates segment. Westlaw Edge continued to contribute about 100 basis points to Legal’s organic revenue growth while continuing to maintain a healthy premium. And Edge has now been adopted by all U.S. federal government courts and by courts in 44 states. Our Government business, which is reported within Legal and includes much of our risk, fraud and compliance offerings, had a strong quarter with total revenue growth of 10% and organic growth of 8%. In our Corporates segment, total and organic revenues increased 4%, led by recurring organic revenue growth of 5%. Transactions organic revenue grew 1% due to a difficult prior year comparison when $4 million of onetime CLEAR revenue was recorded and did not reoccur this year. We forecast Corporates revenue to accelerate in the second half of the year. And finally, Tax & Accounting’s total and organic revenues grew 15%. Growth was driven by the Latin American businesses, audit solutions, which includes Confirmation, and a 43% increase in transaction revenues resulting from the year-over-year timing of individual tax filing deadlines. I will remind you, last year, pay-per-return revenue shifted from the second quarter to the third quarter. Normalizing for this timing, organic revenues for Tax & Accounting were up 10% in Q2. Moving to Reuters News. Total and organic revenues increased 6% primarily due to our Professional business, which includes Reuters Events. This performance was slightly better than we had anticipated. And Global Print total and organic revenues increased 6% in the quarter. This performance was better than expected, driven by higher third-party revenues for printing services and a gradual return to office by our customers. Despite this higher performance, we still forecast full year revenues to decline between 4% and 7%. On a consolidated basis, second quarter total and organic revenues each increased 7%. Before turning to profitability, let’s look closer at recurring and transaction revenue results for the second quarter. Starting on the left side, total company organic revenue for the second quarter of 2021 was up 7% compared to a 2% decline in the second quarter of 2020 due to the impact of COVID-19. If we look at Q2 2021 performance for the Big 3, you will see organic revenues increased 7%, a strong performance and well above the 2% performance in Q2 2020. Total company recurring organic revenues grew 5% in Q2, 210 basis points above Q2 2020. And the Big 3 recurring organic revenues grew 6%, which was above last year’s second quarter growth of 4%. Turning to the graph on the bottom right of the slide, transaction revenues were up significantly year-over-year as the second quarter of 2020 was impacted by COVID-19, which affected our implementation services and the Reuters Events business. We continue to remain encouraged by the momentum in 2021, especially for recurring revenues, giving us confidence in the trajectory of the business and the sustainability of higher revenue growth beyond 2021. We are also providing guidance for the third quarter given the various impacts related to COVID-19. Starting with the total TR chart on the top left, we estimate third quarter total and organic revenues will grow between 3.5% and 4%. The Big 3 total and organic revenues are forecast to grow between 5% and 5.5% in the third quarter. Big 3 growth will be slightly depressed due to the timing of Tax & Accounting’s pay-per-return revenues in 2020 that shifted $6 million from Q2 to Q3 due to the delay in the tax filing deadline. We forecast third quarter revenue growth of low single digit for Tax & Accounting. On a normalized basis, we expect revenue growth of mid-single digits for Tax & Accounting. Moving to Reuters News. We forecast third quarter total and organic revenues to grow between 2% and 3%, driven by all Reuters News business lines. Finally, Global Print third quarter revenues are expected to decline between 5% and 8%, and we forecast full year revenues to decline between 4% and 7%. Turning to our profitability performance in the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the Big 3 segments was $487 million, up 14% from the prior year period, and the related margin increased 180 basis points due to strong margin improvement across each of the segments. The strong EBITDA margin improvement for each of the 3 businesses was driven by higher revenue growth and a benefit from 2020 cost savings initiatives. I will remind you the Change Program operating costs are recorded at the corporate level. Moving to Reuters News. Adjusted EBITDA was $35 million, $10 million more than prior year period driven by revenue growth, 2020 cost savings initiatives and timing. Global Print’s adjusted EBITDA was $56 million with a margin of 37.9%, a decline of about 260 basis points due to higher costs and the dilutive impact of lower-margin third-party print revenue. So in aggregate, total company adjusted EBITDA was $502 million, a 5% increase versus Q2 2020. The increase resulted in higher revenues partially offset by Change Program costs, which I will address in a moment. The second quarter’s adjusted EBITDA margin was 32.7% and was 35.4% on an underlying basis, excluding costs related to the Change Program. This slide provides more granularity regarding our expectations for our reported adjusted EBITDA margin for the full year 2021. For the first 6 months, total company adjusted EBITDA margin was 34.1%, and the Big 3 segment’s adjusted EBITDA margin was 40.5%. On an underlying basis, excluding Change Program cost, total company adjusted EBITDA margin was 35.7%. And as Steve mentioned, we are increasing our full year total company guidance for adjusted EBITDA margin to a range of 31% to 32%, and for the Big 3 segments to approximately 39%. And while first half performance is impressive, we continue to recommend you assess our adjusted EBITDA margin on a full year basis as we expect the margin to decline in the second half for several reasons. First, we expect to increase our investment in the Change Program, which will have a negative impact of between 150 to 200 basis points for the total company. Second, we forecast additional business-as-usual investments outside of the Change Program in advance of 2022. For example, we will invest more in go-to-market initiatives, enterprise technology and data and analytics capabilities. This will dilute the margin between 150 and 200 basis points for the total company and between 200 and 250 basis points for the Big 3 segments. And finally, savings from the Change Program are forecast to provide a benefit to total company and Big 3 adjusted EBITDA margin of 100 to 150 basis points. We believe we have good visibility into the levers at our disposal to achieve our updated full year margin guidance and are confident in our ability to achieve our target of 31% to 32%. Now let me turn to our earnings per share, free cash flow performance and Change Program cost. Starting with earnings per share. Adjusted EPS was $0.48 per share versus $0.44 per share in the prior year period, a 9% increase. The increase was mainly driven by higher adjusted EBITDA. Currency had no impact on adjusted EPS in the quarter. Let me now turn to our free cash flow performance for the first half. Our reported free cash flow was $618 million versus $340 million in the prior year period, an improvement of $278 million. Consistent with previous quarters, this slide removes the distorting factors impacting free cash flow performance. Working from the bottom of the page upwards, the cash outflows from discontinued operations component of our free cash flow was $36 million more than the prior year period. This was primarily due to payments to the U.K. tax authority related to the operations of our former Refinitiv business. Also in the first half, we made $28 million of Change Program payments as compared to Refinitiv-related separation cost of $76 million in the prior year period. So if you adjust for these items, comparable free cash flow from continuing operations was $692 million, $311 million better than the prior year period. This increase is primarily due to higher EBITDA, favorable working capital movements and dividends from our interest in LSEG. Now an update on our Change Program costs for the second quarter and the rest of 2021. Let me start by saying none of the annual estimates have changed from what we provided last quarter for the full year. Spend during the second quarter was within the range provided last quarter at $71 million, including $41 million of OpEx plus $29 million of CapEx. This brings the first half total spend to $91 million. We now anticipate spending between $210 million and $260 million in the second half, OpEx plus CapEx. Spend is forecast to step up related to cloud migration, streamlining internal systems, third-party contractors to support the Change Program and higher capital expenditures. For the full year, we expect Change Program spend, OpEx plus CapEx to be at the lower end of the range of $300 million to $350 million. And there is no change in the anticipated split of about 60% OpEx and 40% CapEx. We will continue to provide quarterly updates on our Change Program spend as we move through the year. Now an update on our run rate Change Program savings for the second quarter. In the second quarter, we achieved $71 million of annual run rate operating expense savings. This brings the total annual run rate operating expense savings up to $90 million for the Change Program. We are currently on track with our run rate savings expectations. As a reminder, we anticipate operating expense savings of $600 million by 2023 while reinvesting $200 million back into the business for a net savings of $400 million. We will continue to provide quarterly updates on our annual run rate Change Program savings as we move through the year. And as Steve outlined, today, we increased our full year outlook for revenue growth, margin and free cash flow, which is reflected on the slide. Lastly, we reaffirmed the balance of our full year 2021 guidance as well as our 2022 and 2023 guidance previously provided and we remain confident in achieving the targets for all metrics. Let me now turn it back to Frank for questions.