Bob Daleo
Analyst · Canadian GAAP, let me direct you to our website where you will find that presentation including the 2008 quarterly P&L on a consolidated basis, and for the Markets and Professional divisions also on a quarterly basis
Thank you, Tom, and good day to everyone. Today I am going to discuss the results for the second quarter, I’m going to briefly provide an update on our integration initiatives and finish with an update on our 2009 outlook. Now growth was sustained in the second quarter despite the weak economy and its impact on our customers. Across the company revenues from our core products continued to underpin this growth while print, ancillary and transaction related revenues continued to lag their strong 2008 performance. Our geographic market and product diversity are helping to sustain growth and give us confidence that we will achieve our 2009 objectives. And we continue to push forward and make progress with our integration and legacy savings programs, having now accelerated 2009 year end target to at least $1 billion of combined run rate savings. Now to the results for the second quarter. During the quarter the strengthening U.S. dollar had a negative impact on reported revenue growth. However, that same strengthening had a favorable impact on margins given that we have a large component of our cost based in sterling, against which the dollar saw significant appreciation. Now as Tom has noted and throughout the presentation I will speak to revenue growth before currency. Reported revenues are also highlighted on each of the slides. And let me also point out that organic revenue growth is reflected on the P&L, in the earnings release at the consolidated, divisional and segment level. Now consolidated revenues in the second quarter of $3.3 billion were up 2%, 1% organic and 1% from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit was up 11% and the corresponding margin increased 330 basis points. Now approximately two-thirds of this increase came from synergy savings and tight cost controls across the company, with the one-third coming from favorable currency. Year-to-date revenues are $6.4 billion, up 2% and with the same split, 1% organic and 1% from acquisitions. Year-to-date underlying profit is up 6% to $1.4 billion, and the corresponding margin is up 200 basis points of which half is attributable to currency. Now I’ll turn to the operating performance of the businesses. The Professional division revenues rose 4% in the quarter to $1.4 billion, 2% organic and 2% from acquisitions. Segment operating profit rose 3% and the margin increased 80 basis points over the prior period, primarily due to the benefit of currency and efficiency initiatives. But these initiatives were probably offset by both revenue mix and the dilution from recent acquisitions in Tax and Accounting. Year-to-date revenues were up $2.7 billion or 4% versus last year, 3% organic and 1% from acquisitions. The operating profit rose 3% to $743 million and the corresponding margin increased 40 basis points, all attributable to currency. Now as we had mentioned on our Q4 call which was in February of this year, we expect Professional’s margins to decline slightly this year due to the shift to a higher growth of lower margin software and services products, the impact of acquisition dilution and investments in technology, infrastructure and global expansion initiatives. Now the Legal segment grew 2% in the second quarter, 1% organic and 1% from acquisitions. Online solutions grew 5% with U.S. Westlaw 2%. Westlaw ancillary revenue remained under pressure in the quarter, falling 17% on the heels of a similar decline in the first quarter as law firms continue to closely monitor their spend. International online revenues continue to grow strongly. They were up 16%. Software and services revenue declined 3% as a 14% growth in fine law was offset by sizable declines in practice management software, which is our elite business, and our consulting revenues. Print and CD revenue was down 1% in the quarter despite some timing benefits. We expect print decline over the balance of the year. Revenue from small and solo law firms grew 4% in the quarter, and revenue from government units was up 7% helping to offset the softness at large law firms. Our intellectual property businesses declined 1% as a 9% growth in our managed services business, which really is our IP monitoring, was more than offset by a 12% decline in trademark search volumes. Year-to-date revenue was up 3% for legal, 1% organic and 2% acquisitions. Tax and accounting revenues grew 9% in the quarter, 5% organic and 4% from acquisitions. The corporate software and services segment grew 11% organically, driven by our property tax service offering. This more than offset a 4% decline in our research and guidance business, primarily resulting from a $5 million decline in print revenue. While print represents only 10% of the segment’s revenue, it had a significant impact in the quarter. Now I should note that checks points revenue grew in line with the segment’s organic growth as the recession has brought growth down from prior quarters double digit rates. The professional software and services business grew 6% organically. Year-to-date revenue in Tax and Accounting is $470 million, up 10% versus the prior year, half of which was organic and half acquisition. And we continue to expect revenue growth to accelerate over the remainder of the year. Healthcare and Science revenues grossed 7%, all organic, driven by a 20% growth in the payor segment which experienced significant demand in both the federal and employer segments, where our business is extremely well positioned. Year-to-date revenue is $414 million, up 7%, again all organic. Now let’s turn to the operating profit for the Professional segment. In legal, operating profit for the quarter was flat, but margin improved 70 basis points, half from efficiency initiatives begun early this year and half from favorable currency. Year-to-date operating profit is up 2% and the margins were up 90 basis points, nearly all attributable to currency. We continue to expect second half margins in legal to decline versus prior year due to revenue mix, incremental investments and growth initiatives like Cobalt that we discussed in February, and the slower top line growth. Tax and Accounting’s operating profit was 6% for the quarter and margins declined 30 basis points. Flow through on revenue was more than offset by higher software amortization resulting from acquisition accounting and also the decline in print revenues. Year-to-date operating profit is down 1% and the margin is down 150 basis points. The impact of revenue mix and acquisitions is expected to continue to negatively impact Tax and Accounting margins for the remainder of the year. I will remind you that this is a growing business in which we continue to make significant investments to build share and market position. Understandably, the margin in the short term is not indicative of the long term potential. Healthcare and Science operating profit increased 26% with the corresponding margin increasing 400 basis points. Over half the margin increase is attributable to flow through on revenues with the remainder resulting from the benefits of currency. Year-to-date operating profit is up 18% and the margins are up 230 basis points. Turning to the Markets division, as Tom noted we are pleased with the performance of Markets through the first half of the year. Revenue was up slightly in the second quarter despite challenging trading conditions and the difficult year ago comps already mentioned which are at 7% growth. Recurring subscription revenue grew by 2% despite a decline in recoveries revenue. Now these recoveries are low margin revenue that we collect and forward to third party providers such as exchange fees. Non-recurring transactional revenues fell 9% due to lower foreign exchange volumes. Again, there were tough year ago comparables and also the lower volumes at Omgeo. If current market conditions persist we will continue to face tough comparables through the third quarter. Transaction revenue growth will resume as markets recover and will have an immediate impact on the top line. [Outlined] revenues or one time sales also declined as client purchases of large software systems slowed. Now by region, organic revenue for Asia and EMEA grew 2% each, while Americas was down 2%. You should note that in the quarter we benefited from some one time revenues that contributed to growth. Operating profit was up 16% to $424 million, a 430 basis point improvement in the margin resulting from integration savings, tight cost controls and about a 100 basis points from favorable currency. On a year-to-date basis operating profit grew 8% and the margin expanded by 270 basis points. Now we are now at more than 15 months into the merger, a year plus into the financial crisis and we feel our relative position continues to improve. We have grown and are making large investments in the future of our business, at the same time have been very disciplined about managing costs. And while we are very pleased with the margin improvement Markets delivered in the first six months of this year, this probably represents a high point [away] station until revenues pick up later in the recovery. When growth returns, we believe margins in Markets will have further room to expand. Now let me review the performance of Markets four business units. Sales and trading revenue declined 1% organically in the quarter due to lower foreign exchange transactional volumes, a 6% decline in recoveries and declines in desktops, partially offset by growth in commodities and energy and Tradeweb. Investment and Advisory revenue was flat on an organic basis in the quarter. Buy-side customers continue to be impacted by lower fee income, which is resulting in headcount reductions and cost cutting. Despite these challenges we continue to make good progress, with sales of high value analytics, content in data [b] form and business intelligence products. Within our investment banking segment, we’ve enjoyed success among boutique advisors which have helped limit the revenue decline to 3% this quarter, which is a substantial improvement from the double digit decline we saw in the first quarter. We also made progress on cost reductions, shutting down legacy products such as Ilex and migrating customers to Thomson ONE Advisor. Enterprise once again delivered excellent growth in the quarter, 7%, all organic. And this is against a 14% organic growth in the prior year’s quarter. The Enterprise segment continues to see healthy customer demand for data feeds driven by increased regulatory and reporting requirements and the need to cut costs through automation of front, middle and back office processes. We also saw good growth in Enterprise information, which is benefiting from demand for reference data and our independent, high quality pricing services. Now finally, Media’s second quarter revenue declined 6%. Our agency business experienced a modest decline of 4% in the quarter driven by consolidation of traditional media outlets. We continue to see sharp declines in our professional publishing segment and weakness in our advertising driven consumer business. However, I will remind you these two advertising driven niches are relatively small relative to our business as a whole. Now let me turn to our adjusted earnings per share calculation which is shown on this chart. Earnings attributable to common shares and ordinary shares was $315 million in the second quarter. Now to arrive at adjusted earnings we make the following adjustments. First, we remove fair value adjustments which negatively impacted operating profits by $87 million in the quarter. You will recall that this item relates to contracts that are pricing at currency other than the normal operating currency of either party and therefore must be mark-to-market on a quarterly basis. This has no cash impact whatsoever. Second, remove the negative impact of other finance income and expense which in the second quarter relates to foreign exchange losses realized on inter-company funding. Again, this has no cash impact. Third, we remove the positive impact of the tax on these items I just mentioned. An additional tax adjustment is also included within other on this chart when we normalize our tax rate to the rate expected for the full year to account for some really wide seasonality impact based upon the source income in a given quarter. Now it’s important that we note we are now normalizing to a full year tax rate that we believe will be in the 20 to 22% range, down from our previous assumption of guidance of 24 to 26%. Finally, remove the amortization of intangible assets related to acquisitions. The result is $485 million of adjusted earnings in the quarter, which is $0.58 per diluted share versus $0.39 per share last year, representing an increase of some 49%. Year-to-date adjusted diluted earnings per share are $0.98 versus last year’s $0.84, representing a 17% increase. Free cash flow is $789 million compared with $791 of a year ago. Excluding one time integration and legacy program costs, underlying free cash flow is $988 million. Now let me remind you that the 2008 free cash flow figures are not pro forma and these headline numbers mask a very strong performance for two reasons. First, the 2008 figures did not include a Q1 cash outflow from the legacy Reuter’s business which approximates seasonality about $100 million. And second, interest payments were over $200 million lower in the first half of last year than this year as we benefited from having only a partial year of interest related to the Reuters acquisition debt and also had the benefits of the Thomson learning proceeds sitting in investments. Excluding these two items, normalized free cash flow is tracking well ahead of the prior year driven by higher operating profit and lower cash tax payments. Now within the cash flows year-to-date capital expenditures increased approximately $110 million to $466 million. And this reflects the investments we continue to make in new platforms in both Legal and Markets, as well as other growth and product development initiatives across the company. Now I will remind you this increased level of spending is consistent with our guidance we gave where CapEx would run between 8.5 to 9% of revenue for this year. The underlying strength and cash generative nature of our businesses allow us to fund these important investments that will position us for growth on the upswing of the cycle. Our integration programs are proceeding in an accelerated fashion, and as such we have increased our 2009 year end run rate projection from $975 million to at least $1 billion. The second quarter run rate of savings has increased by $75 million from Q1 to $925 million. This represents over $400 million of incremental run rate savings over the last four quarters. The increase is attributable to the elimination of redundant positions as well as the sun setting of some legacy products. This [ogo] performance is certainly reflected in the first half results. The most significant portion of savings to date is related to headcount, and the vast majority of initiatives have now been completed. The remaining synergy savings are largely centered on technology and product rationalization. Since these projects tend to be longer term, we expect our remaining run rate segment of growth figures to slow relative to those achieved since the close of the acquisition. That said, we remain confident in our ability to achieve the target savings figure of $1.4 billion by the end of 2011. Now the associated costs in the quarter for these savings was $107 million and a total of $195 million year-to-date. Now, as Tom mentioned we are again affirming our full year outlook. Our performance is tracking to our outlook. We expect revenue growth to slow in the second half of the year and we continue to expect full year margin performance will be comparable to last year in spite of the fact that we are a bit ahead at the present time. And there are several factors weighing on the second half margins which I mentioned in both the Professional and Market results, including certain timing benefits and investments and slower revenue growth. In addition, we do expect higher corporate costs related to higher pension expense. We discussed that in our IFRS conference call last month. And some higher benefit costs which will hit the second half of the year. Now in closing I’d like to say that we remain absolutely confident that our investments in new products and services, and the actions we have taken and continue to take to integrate and streamline our operations will position us for accelerated growth and increased profitability over the longer term. And with that let me turn it over to Frank for your questions.