Bob Daleo
Analyst · Drew McReynolds, RBC Capital Markets
Thank you Tom, and good morning and good afternoon everyone. Today, I will discuss the results for the first quarter, briefly provide an update on our integration initiatives, and provide some detail on our recent debt offering and our current capital structure. While growth rates in the first quarter certainly slowed relative to last year, they continue to be positive despite the headwinds brought on by a slowing worldwide economy. In the first quarter, 87% of our businesses recorded positive organic revenue growth, with 21% having grown 7% or more. These growth engines are more than offsetting declines in areas most directly impacted by the economic environment, such as equities and investment banking. As Tom mentioned, geographic diversity, market diversity, and product diversity are all helping to sustain our growth, and give us confidence that we will achieve our 2009 objectives. We continue to push forward and make progress with our integration and legacy savings programs, and are confident we will achieve our targeted savings of $1.4 billion. Now let's turn to the results for the first quarter. During the quarter, the strengthening US dollar relative to last year had a negative impact on our reported revenue growth. However, the strengthening dollar had a favorable impact on margins, given that we have a large component of our cost base in sterling, against which the dollar saw significant appreciation. Throughout today's presentation, I will speak to revenue before currency, for the reasons Tom previously mentioned. Reported revenues are highlighted on each of the slides. Consolidated revenues for the first quarter were $3.1 billion, up 3%, 2% of which was organic and 1% came from acquisitions. Underlying operating profit was up 2%; and the corresponding margin increased 100 basis points, primarily due to the benefit of currency, but also with integration related savings, and tight cost controls measures across the company contributing. Now, I would like to discuss the operating performance of the businesses. Professional Division revenues rose 5% in the quarter to $1.3 billion, 3% organic and 2% from acquisitions. Growth in the Division was driven by online, software, and service offerings, which represented 80% of the revenue and grew on average 4% organically. Segment operating profit rose 2% and the margin increased 10 basis points over the prior period. This is primarily driven by the benefit of currency, offset by the impact of acquisitions and other one time costs, including technology related expenses. Note that the first quarter is a relatively small quarter for the Professional Division, representing 23% of revenue and only 19% of segment operating profit in 2008. Let me also remind you that we continue to anticipate a modest decline in the Professional margins for the year as a result of investment and growth initiatives, revenue mix, and the dilutive impact of acquisitions. Let me turn to the results by segment for the Professional Division. Legal revenues grew 3%, 2% organic, 1% from acquisition. As Tom mentioned, US Westlaw continued to perform well, up 6%, and continues to be the primary driver of growth. However, we are seeing softness in areas that are more discretionary such as ancillary services, which were down 15% as law firms closely monitored their spend. This decline comes on the heels of a 13% revenue reduction in ancillary in 2008. We continued to achieve good growth in FindLaw, which was up 17%, and our international businesses grew 7%. However, our legal education related revenue declined due to lower student enrollments for the winter bar exam. For law students, financing options have contracted for those whose firms do not pay the cost of bar exams and preparation courses. This is one factor having an impact on spending on our services. In fact, the number of lenders to law school students has decreased from 19 to 4 due to the conditions in the financial markets. IP revenue showed modest growth, partly impacted by declines in trademark search volumes. Lastly, print volumes grew 1%, primarily due to a small timing benefit; but returns and cancellations increased substantially. We expect print sales to be soft throughout the year due to its more discretionary nature, and the pressure legal librarians are under to reduce costs. This by the way is similar to the 2001 and 2003 downturn. Operating profit for the quarter grew 3%. and the margin increased 110 basis points due to currency and several efficiency initiatives. Tax & Accounting's revenues grew 10%, of which 4% was organic. Organic growth was driven by continued strong performance in core product sets across the business. Organic revenue did face a difficult first quarter of a year ago comparison, when it grew 13%, and some adverse timing items. We expect organic growth to accelerate for the remainder of the year. Operating profit actually declined 8% for the quarter, and the corresponding margin decreased by 260 basis points. These anticipated declines are largely due to the dilutive impact of 2008 acquisitions. Let me remind you that Tax & Accounting is a very seasonal business, with more than 50% of its operating profit generated in the fourth quarter. Healthcare & Science revenue grew 7%, all organic, driven by a 20% increase in our Payer decision-support segment as corporations continued to utilize our service as a means to help reduce healthcare costs, detect fraud, and improve the quality and efficiency of care. It's also aided by double-digit growth from the Web of Science product. Operating profit increased 4% for the quarter and the margin was essentially flat. Flow-through on the solid revenue growth was offset by technology costs related to a data center move. Healthcare & Science is also a seasonal business, with less than 20% of its operating income generated in the first quarter last year. Now this slide helps to illustrate the trends I described on the previous slide regarding the Legal segment. Working from bottom to top, online subscription-based businesses, which are largely nondiscretionary, maintained healthy growth at 7%, compared to 10% of a year ago. This is important given that online is predominantly Westlaw, which represents 50% of the Legal segment's portfolio. The slowing growth rate for the Legal segment versus the prior year is in part attributable to this 15% decline in ancillary revenues, which are primarily discretionary, as well as the softening growth in software and services. Let me point out that ancillary revenues are not headcount driven, and are impacted more by the macroeconomic or market specific conditions. They are what I would call coincident indicators, certainly first to decline and first to recover. So as the economy improves and litigation and bankruptcy work ramps up again, which they will, ancillary revenues will likely ramp up quickly, leading to faster growth in balance. Software and Services grew 3% versus 10% last year, and include client development, which is FindLaw; enterprise software; bar review courses; trademark searches; and consulting services. While FindLaw continued its growth, all these other software and services were essentially flat. Lastly, print and CD revenues did grow slightly in the first quarter of both 2008 and 2009; but as we previously mentioned, we do not expect to sustain this growth for the full year. Now the Markets Division revenues were up slightly against very tough year ago comparables. Since Tom has already discussed the results at the divisional level, I will go straight to the underlying business unit results in just a moment. Operating profit for the Division was $337 million, essentially unchanged from last year, while margins increased by 120 basis points primarily due to currency-related benefits, but also including savings from the integration program and tight cost controls. Reflected in this performance, it is important to point note, is that the Markets Division's ability to expand on a 600 basis point margin improvement from last year's first quarter, despite a slowdown in top line growth. Now, let's review the performance of the Markets Division's four business segments. Sales & Trading revenue declined 2% organically due to the twin headwinds of desktop exposure and tough comparables for foreign exchange transaction revenues. Despite these challenges, we saw good growth in Tradeweb due to strong volumes in US Treasuries, and expansion into new asset classes. Commodities & Energy grew 10% driven by customer demand for our transaction products and sophisticated information products. Investment & Advisory grew 1%. Our buy-side oriented businesses are being impacted by redemptions and lower fee income, which has resulted in customers aggressively cutting costs. Despite this, we continue to see strong growth in our Corporate business, which benefited from geographic expansion and cross selling. The Wealth Management business achieved excellent double digit revenue growth in Asia, and overall, the Investment Management business grew 2% in the quarter. Enterprise continued to deliver very strong growth, up 9% in the quarter. Our customers come to us to help them reduce costs via automation, respond to regulatory requirements for pricing transparency, and valuation services, and drive returns from high speed machine based trading. This demand has driven very strong growth for Enterprise information, although Omgeo, our Trade Processing joint venture, saw lower transaction revenues in the quarter. Finally, Media's revenue declined 8 % organically. Our agency business was broadly stable. However, consistent with the current environment, we saw marked declines in our advertising driven businesses, which serve the consumer and professional space. These advertising driven businesses are small relative to our operations as a whole. I want to examine more closely our transaction revenues, which account for about 10% of divisional revenues, and are derived from four main sources. FX transactions on our matching platform, which is part of Sales & Trading; fixed income on Tradeweb, which is also part of Sales & Trading; BETA, our brokerage processing business, which is part of Investment & Advisory; and Omgeo, our trade processing joint venture , which is part of Enterprise. As mentioned earlier, transaction revenues in the first quarter declined 12%. This decline was due in large measure to the tough comps of a year ago, when foreign exchange revenues were up 22%. Given the current markets, we will likely continue to face some tough transaction related comparables in the second and third quarters, but they ease considerably in the fourth quarter. Encouraging relative to last quarter of 2008, transaction revenues in this quarter were more stable. Transactions are an important part of our Markets Division strategy. Similar to what I discussed about Legal's ancillary revenues, Markets' transactional revenues are more quickly impacted, both positively and negatively, by macroeconomic changes and market specific developments such as market volatility and interest rate spreads. They are not headcount driven. Transaction revenues growth will resume as market conditions recover, and will have an immediate beneficial impact on our top line. Our transactions capability also adds value to desktop products, as clients can analyze investment opportunities, locate liquidity, and trade, what we call, view and do. Now, free cash flow, which we believe is a critical measure for any company, free cash flow for the quarter was $51 million, and this compares with $155 million for the standalone Thomson in the first quarter of 2008. I will remind you, 2008 is not pro forma in free cash flow, and these headline numbers mask a very strong performance. As you can see, net cash from operations before interest rose 66% or $161 million to over $400 million. Operations cash, I should point out, also reflects within the Markets Division, the typical and rather significant use of cash in the legacy Reuters business. This is roughly about $100 million. Net cash interest saw a swing of $194 million, reflecting our positive net cash position in 2008, when we had the cash from the sale of our Learning business, and versus the higher more consistent current debt level resulting from the Reuters transaction. Lastly, capital expenditures increased $85 million and reflect investments we continue to make in new platforms both in Legal and Markets, as well as other growth and product development initiatives across the company. This increased level of spending is consistent with our CapEx guidance of 8.5% to 9% of revenue for 2009. We believe 2009 will peak for the year for capital spending, and expect that over time, we will settle between our long-term guidance of 7% to 8% of revenue. All of these factors continue to be indicative of the underlying strength and cash generative nature of our business, which allows us to fund important investments that position us for growth on the upswing of the cycle. Let me turn to synergy savings at our integration programs. As Tom mentioned, the integration programs are ahead of our original schedule, and we continue to be extremely pleased with the progress we are making across the organization. Current run rate savings totaling $850 million as of March 31 are $100 million higher than at the end of 2008. P&L integration costs were $88 million for the quarter, primarily related to severance and technology costs. One year into the combination, we have essentially completed the first wave of integration initiatives, including real estate integration, the rationalization of redundant positions; and the harmonization of infrastructure tools to support the business. We remain confident that we will hit our year-end target of $975 million and our total program goal of $1.4 billion by 2011. Before I conclude, let me spend a moment updating you on our recently completed debt offering. In March, we issued the equivalent of $600 million in Canada. This is roughly C$750 million; of seven year bonds at a rate of under 7%. We were again proactive, taking advantage of an attractive window in debt markets and essentially pre-funding our 2009 debt redemption requirements. Issuing early will result in slightly higher carry costs, which we expect to have a dilutive effect of about $0.02 per share this year. However this cost, in our judgment, is well worth the certainty and liquidity that the pre-funding afforded us. Our net debt at the end of the quarter was $6.9 billion, and we remain in line with our target of a 2 times net debt to EBITDA ratio. In summary, we are pleased with the continued growth of the business, and we are delivering on our plan despite the difficult economic environment. We are managing the business accordingly, given the environment, and have the benefit of a significant integration program to sustain our margins in these downtimes while offering significant future operating leverage. Like all companies, we continue to face challenges. We are encountering some challenging dynamics in our growth, but we continue to grow. Our performance through the first quarter is in line with our expectations, enabling us to affirm our guidance for the full year. With that, let me turn it over to Frank for the questions-and-answers.