Carl Merton
Analyst · Jefferies. Please go ahead. Your line is open
Thank you, Irwin, and good morning. Please note, all financial references are in Canadian dollars, unless I mention otherwise. Also some of the financial metrics discussed on this call are non-IFRS measures and I refer listeners to the company's MD&A for an explanation as to how the company calculates those metrics. I want to start by highlighting three key items from our results. These quarterly results do not include any impairments, inventory write downs or provisions for future sales returns. As Irwin discussed, we continue to execute on our growth initiatives and prioritize profitability with long term growth and success in mind, especially now, that we are in the wake of a macroeconomic uncertainty as a result of the COVID-19 global pandemic. We are pleased with our financial results, particularly our cannabis revenue growth, sequential positive adjusted EBITDA, positive operating income and our ability to maintain a strong balance sheet and cash position. The strength of the Aphria team has become even more evident as the COVID-19 health crisis continues. We are doing everything we can to continue serving our customers and executing our strategic initiatives. Irwin provided an overview of the disciplined and well-planned actions we have taken across our business and I also want to highlight a few additional industry data points related to COVID-19 that are important to keep for Aphria as we move forward. These include, the Ontario, Alberta and British Columbia Control Boards were closed to deliveries and shipments for a week at the end of March for year-end inventory counts. The Ontario Control Board temporarily canceled two weeks of purchase orders from all licensed producers while it assesses its inventory balances and is generally expecting lower volumes due to COVID-19. The Alberta Control Board's replenishments are down 40% since COVID-19. In BC, retail stores have or are voluntarily closing on COVID-19 concerns. Importantly in BC, they are trying to convert their brick and mortar locations to click-and-collect. Conversely, in Quebec, e-commerce sales are up 200% since COVID-19 restrictions came into place and the sales at their brick and mortar locations are up 40% further demonstrating what Irwin referenced with Aphria's sales being higher in Quebec compared to pre-COVID-19 restrictions. Additionally, our medical sales are up 18% since COVID-19 restrictions came into place, although, we proactively decreased selling prices 10% to help patients manage current cash flow concerns. There are many variables related to this global health crisis, and we will continue to monitor them closely and react where and when needed appropriately. From a liquidity perspective, we believe we have more than sufficient funds for at least the next 12 months. Our cash balance at the end of the quarter was CAD515 million. We maintain undrawn line of credit facilities of just under CAD4 million and an account receivable balance that is largely with Crown corporations totaling almost CAD80 million that is due within the next 60 days. Our accounts payable balance at quarter end was CAD137 million. We do not have any debt maturities occurring in the next 12 months. Our next maturity is in June of 2021 and it is less than CAD1 million. We do not anticipate any issues with our debt covenants. Further, to proactively preserve cash in this operating environment, we ceased all material new CapEx projects in mid-March and have eliminated over CAD4 million from our anticipated sales, marketing and promotion spend in the fourth quarter. Difficult times require strong leadership and they require communities coming together to support one another. At Aphria, our team is up for the challenge and is executing every day. Before getting to our financial results, I would like to take a moment to discuss the supply and demand challenges we faced this quarter. As we previously discussed, the receipt of Aphria Diamond's cultivation license last November occurred later than we anticipated. This delay led to reduction in the amount and variety of finished product to meet market demands for our brands. As a result, and as we announced last quarter, we supplemented our own supply by purchasing wholesale flower for resale. During the second and third quarters, we purchased almost CAD30 million of dried flower on the wholesale market, of which approximately half was sold during Q3. The sale resulted in approximately CAD20 million in net revenue with a gross profit of over CAD5 million. If we were able to produce the product ourselves, we believe, we could have recorded an additional CAD7.6 million of gross profit and adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter and an incremental 1,360 basis points on our adjusted cannabis margin. These figures are based on assumptions set out in the MD&A, including an all-in cost of sales of dry cannabis per gram of CAD1.69. At the end of the quarter, we maintained almost CAD14 million of purchased dried flower in our inventory, all of which, we anticipate selling in Q4. As discussed in our last quarterly conference call, at last quarter end, we identified an excess amount of extraction-grade THC-dominant harvested cannabis and trim in inventory that we plan to try to sell in the wholesale market during Q3. We also identified that we had a shortfall in CBD oil where we're going to look to the wholesale market for replenishment. As a result, we sold CAD10 million of excess lower potency extraction-grade THC-dominant harvested cannabis and trim which the customer accepted title and control to, even though we are temporarily storing the product for the customer. We also purchased CAD7.5 million of CBD distillate. The two transactions were with the same counterparty. We confirm that these transactions are the only transactions we have engaged in with a third-party extractor. In the third quarter, we harvested approximately 31,000 kilograms of cannabis. This includes a partial quarter of harvest from Aphria Diamond extrapolating for the last two weeks of Aphria Diamond harvest and annualizing its harvest suggest that Aphria's facilities would have harvested at an annualized production rate of 175,000 kilos at the end of the quarter. Our financial results continue to demonstrate our ability to continue to gain share. They demonstrate our continued focus on leveraging our cultivation expertise into lower cost per gram and our focus on remaining adjusted EBITDA positive. Net revenue in Q3 increased 96% over the prior year period and almost 20% from the prior quarter to CAD144.4 million. This net revenue is comprised of CAD88.3 million of distribution revenue, CAD55.6 million of cannabis revenue and CAD0.6 million of insurance recoveries. Distribution revenue increased almost CAD2 million from CAD86.4 million in Q2 and cannabis revenue increased 65% from CAD33.7 million. Adult-use net revenue increased 54% from the prior quarter to CAD44.7 million. Wholesale revenue was CAD11 million. We do not anticipate this level of wholesale revenue occurring next quarter. The company sold 14,014 kilogram equivalents of cannabis in Q3, up 98% compared to 7,062 kilogram equivalent sold in Q2. Adult-use cannabis accounted for 8,171 kilogram equivalents and medical cannabis accounted for 1,352 kilogram equivalents. The average gross selling price of adult-use cannabis increased to CAD5.46 per gram in Q3 compared to CAD5.22 per gram in Q2, primarily as a result of a shift in product mix. The average gross selling price of medical cannabis, exclusive of wholesale, decreased to CAD6.41 per gram in Q3 compared to CAD8.16 in Q2 primarily related to the introduction of a compassionate pricing program in the quarter. During the quarter, our cash cost per gram decreased from CAD1.11 last quarter to CAD0.93, bringing our cash cost per gram back under CAD1 as it has been in the past. Our all-in cost per gram decreased from CAD1.98 a gram to CAD1.69 a gram. We continue to work to lower these amounts and are pleased that the completion of the Aphria Diamond facility has already aided in lowering our cost per gram. Adjusted cannabis gross profit increased to CAD23.7 million in Q3 as a combined result of both increased sales and a reduction in costs. Adjusted cannabis gross margin was 42.7% in Q3 compared to 56.6% in Q2. The decrease was primarily due to the sale of cannabis that was purchased from other LPs and the lower margins recorded on wholesale revenues. As I mentioned earlier in my remarks today, had we been able to sell product cultivated at Aphria Diamond, instead of amounts purchased on the wholesale market, we believe, we could have recorded an additional CAD7.6 million of gross profit and adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter and an incremental 1,360 basis points on our adjusted cannabis margin. These figures are based on assumptions set out in the MD&A included in our all-in cost of sales of dried cannabis per gram of CAD1.69. Adjusted distribution gross profit increased slightly to CAD11.4 million in Q3 from CAD11 million in Q2. Adjusted distribution gross margin increased slightly to 12.9% in Q3 compared to 12.7% in Q2. SG&A costs of CAD50.9 million in Q3 were CAD1.7 million higher than in the prior quarter. The increase in SG&A was primarily related to a CAD1.8 million increase in transaction costs. During the quarter, we reclassified marketing salaries and wages from marketing and promotion costs to general and administrative costs consistent with all other corporate salaries and wages. Operating income in the third quarter was CAD8.7 million compared to a loss of CAD9.6 million in the prior quarter. We are extremely pleased to have returned to operating profitability, an important milestone in our financial success. We reported net income of CAD5.7 million or CAD0.02 per share compared to a net loss of CAD7.9 million or a loss per share of CAD0.03 in Q2 and a net loss of CAD108.2 million or CAD0.43 per share in Q3 last year. Further, for the year to date, we reported net income of CAD14.2 million or CAD0.06 per share compared to a net loss of CAD33.3 million in the prior year or a loss per share of CAD0.13. In an industry full of cash burns and heavy adjusted EBITDA losses, our focus remains on generating positive EBITDA. For the quarter, we are pleased to continue our trend and report a fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the quarter more than tripled to CAD5.7 million from the prior quarter. This includes adjusted EBITDA from cannabis operations of CAD6 million and adjusted EBITDA from distribution operations of CAD2.6 million but partially offset by an adjusted EBITDA loss from businesses under development of CAD2.9 million, down from an adjusted EBITDA loss of CAD3.5 million in the prior quarter. Most notably, adjusted EBITDA from cannabis operations increased 78% and the adjusted EBITDA loss from business under development decreased by 20% in the quarter. Moving to liquidity, as Irwin said, we continue to possess an industry enviable balance sheet made even stronger by our CAD10 million capital raise in the quarter including a strong cash position, robust capital structure within our industry that provides flexibility during uncertain macroeconomic conditions and a cap table with minimum potential dilution. As of February 29, 2020, the company had cash of CAD515.1 million to fund planned Canadian and international growth and deal with any COVID-19 pandemic-related financial impacts. While all new material CapEx projects are currently on hold, we still have approximately CAD30 million to spend on our German expansion and CAD40 million to spend on our Colombian expansion. Further, we anticipate another CAD25 million to CAD50 million may be necessary for working capital investments. These working capital needs are likely to decrease over a reasonable time period. As a result, this leaves approximately CAD400 million plus the cash generated from future operations, all of which is available for future strategic initiatives. We believe this is more than sufficient to take advantage of any attractive distressed asset sales in Canada, U.S. expansion or other income statement accretive opportunities and protect us from any adverse effects of COVID-19. In Q3, we increased our cash position by more than CAD17 million. Cash inflows included net proceeds of CAD99.7 million from our equity raise, CAD9.7 million from the continued liquidation of our non-core investments, CAD4.5 million from increases in CC Pharma's drawdown on its line of credit, approximately CAD800,000 related to capital asset sales and CAD400,000 related to warrant exercises. Cash outflows in the quarter included approximately CAD54.4 million for investments in working capital, CAD38.3 million in CapEx and a CAD2.5 million OpEx burn, exclusive of changes in our working capital. Included in the investments in working capital were the already mentioned purchases of dried flower in the wholesale market of approximately CAD30 million. Turning to our outlook for fiscal 2020, absent COVID-19, we believe we would have achieved our guidance previously provided. However, the uncertainty around the global pandemic has now made it very difficult for us to accurately forecast our year-end results. This includes the risks associated with EU member states closing their borders to exports and the uncertainty with respect to cannabis purchases in the major provinces we serve, all as more fully disclosed in our MD&A. As a result, we are suspending our previously announced guidance for revenue of CAD575 million to CAD625 million and adjusted EBITDA of CAD35 million to CAD42 million for fiscal 2020. I would now like to also provide further comment on what Irwin referenced on Aphria's position within the cannabis industry. At this point in the industry's history, it has become convenient to blame a combination of industry oversupply and lack of retail rollout for poor sales growth. We believe these statements are too simplistic in nature. We believe we have found and believe we can continue to find pockets of industry under supply. They are there for the taking. The key is to be able to identify them, possess the capability to supply them and build brands, products and product line extensions around them. We believe that through our data insights and understanding of consumer preferences, we are well-positioned to continue to take advantage of the opportunities these under-supplied markets provide. Aphria continues to be unmatched on a variety of financial metrics including our record of consecutive quarters of positive adjusted EBITDA, focus on profitability, operational efficiency and cannabis revenue. Our strong cash position will support our strong performance and underlying our ability to hold out through the uncertain times ahead. In summary, at Aphria, we have the greenhouse space, cultivation expertise, extraction capacity, automation technology, differentiated brands, product innovation and raw materials to position us for success. As we gain scale, we will gain efficiencies in Canada. Those efficiencies will allow us to build out international distribution for our medical and adult-use cannabis. We are pleased with our financial results this quarter and we continue to execute on our strategic priorities, namely, a stronger more profitable company as we continue to provide support to our employees and the communities we operate in during these difficult times. We believe that Aphria's competitive advantages, brand strength, strong balance sheet and the resilience of our employees continue to position the company well as we navigate through these challenging times. We remain confident in our ability to create long term shareholder value. That concludes our formal remarks. Irwin and I are now available for your questions. Kensey, back to you for questions.