Peter Evensen
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead
Thank you, Cam. Hello, everyone and thank you for joining us today for Teekay Corporation’s first quarter of 2016 earnings conference call. I am joined for the Q&A session by our CFO, Vince Lok; Chief Strategy Officer, Kenneth Hvid; and our Group Controller, Brian Fortier. During our call today, we will be taking you through the earnings presentation, which can be found on our website. Turning to Slide 3 of the presentation, I will briefly review some recent highlights for Teekay Corporation. During the first quarter, we generated consolidated cash flow from vessel operations, or CFVO of $359 million, an increase of 12% over the same period of the prior year. The increase in cash flows was driven mainly by the delivery and acquisition of various growth projects during 2015, which more than offset the lower revenues from Teekay Offshore’s Varg FPSO as the unit begins to wind down operations after almost 18 years on the Varg field, which I will touch upon in more detail later in the presentation. Teekay Corporation reported an adjusted net loss of $6 million or $0.08 per share in the first quarter compared to an adjusted net income of $16 million or $0.22 per share in the same period of the prior year. For the first quarter of 2016, Teekay Corporation declared a cash dividend of $0.055 per share consistent with our fourth quarter of 2015 dividend. To bolster the Teekay Group’s financial position, we have completed or are nearing completion a number of financing initiatives at Teekay Offshore, which addresses their 2016 and 2017 funding requirements and at Teekay Parent, which reduces our financial leverage and increases our liquidity. I will touch on these initiatives later in the presentation. Turning to Slide 4, I will review some recent highlights from our three publicly traded daughter entities. For the fourth quarter, Teekay Offshore Partners generated CFVO of $166 million, an increase of 22% from the previous quarter driven by the acquisition of the Knarr FPSO in July 2015 and continued high uptime and utilization of our offshore units. For the first quarter, Teekay Offshore declared a cash distribution of $0.11 per unit, resulting in the strong distribution coverage of 5.16x. As mentioned earlier, Teekay Offshore is completed or is nearing completion various financial initiatives. These initiatives, which have been strongly supported by our financial stakeholders fully address Teekay Offshore’s near and medium term debt maturities and fully finance its growth projects through 2018. Similar to other companies in the offshore business, Teekay Offshore has continued to be proactive during this period of rapid deflation in field development and production costs across the value chain and is implementing various cost saving initiatives across the organization, which are expected to result in sustainable cost savings of over $30 million per year in G&A and vessel operating costs. Teekay Offshore is also preparing to take delivery of its extensive pipeline of growth projects in 2016 through early 2018, which our customers require for their contracted offshore field development. For the first quarter, Teekay LNG Partners generated CFVO of $114 million, a slight decrease from the same period of the prior year. For the first quarter, Teekay LNG declared a cash distribution of $0.14 per unit, resulting in the strong distribution coverage of 4.79x. During the first quarter, Teekay LNG’s first MEGI LNG carrier newbuilding, the Creole Spirit, commenced its 5-year charter contract, with Cheniere Energy, which delivered in late February and subsequently transported its first U.S. shale gas cargo to Europe from Cheniere’s Sabine Pass LNG export facility. The partnership’s second MEGI LNG carrier newbuilding is now undergoing sea trials and it is on track to commence its 5-year charter with Cheniere in the third quarter of 2016. Over the past few months, Teekay LNG has continued to make significant progress on financing its growth projects, which delivered through 2020. The sponsors of the Yamal LNG project recently announced a significant milestone for the project in securing long-term planned financing. And our joint venture partner with China LNG has recently received multiple offers from Chinese financiers to finance our jointly owned Arc7 ice-class LNG carrier newbuildings. In addition, Teekay LNG is also in advanced discussion to finance its MEGI LNG carrier newbuildings, which deliver in 2017 and 2018, including the five vessels charter to Shell on 6 to 8-year charter contracts. Teekay Tankers continued to generate strong free cash flow of $66 million or $0.42 per share. Many of the positive tanker fundamentals in 2015 have continued into 2016 supporting crude tanker demand, including growing oil demand, high crude oil supply from OPEC, ongoing strategic and commercial stockpiling and port and ullage delays. However, spot tanker rates softened during the quarter mainly due to heavy refinery maintenance, a mild winter in the Northern Hemisphere and higher bunker fuel costs. Yesterday, Teekay Tankers declared a cash dividend of $0.09 per share based on 30% of its Q1 adjusted net income. During the quarter, Teekay Tankers continue to focus on de-levering its balance sheet, resulting in a reduction of its net debt of approximately $50 million. And lastly, based on continued positive tanker fundamentals, Teekay Tankers expects to continue generating strong free cash flow from what is anticipated to be a healthy spot tanker market in the remainder of 2016. Turning to Slide 5, we provided a summary of the current Teekay Parent financial initiatives. We are undertaking that will further de-lever our balance sheet, increase our liquidity and enhance our ability to provide continued strong sponsorship of our two MLPs, which we believe strengthens the entire Teekay Group. This includes bank refinancings and a new common equity issuance. Our bank financing initiatives include a $150 million refinancing of the equity margin revolver, which immediately increases our liquidity by $114 million. Between $112 million and $150 million refinancing of the TPO facility secured by three FPSOs, including the Petrojarl Banff, the Petrojarl Foinaven and the Hummingbird Spirit and a $50 million refinancing of the Shoshone Spirit VLCC tanker facility. In May, we closed the $50 million VLCC tanker refinancing and we received all the bank commitments to refinance the equity margin loan and the minimum amount on the FPSO facility. We also announced we priced $100 million common equity private placement issuance yesterday with $40 million of the common shares issued to the two trusts established by Teekay Corporation’s Founder, one of which is our largest shareholder, with the remaining to a group of institutional investors. Lastly, we have reviewed our upcoming capital commitments. And in mid-May, we agreed to sell our 50% interest in the Prelude infield support vessel tugs to our joint venture partner, KOTUG for $8 million. We expect to complete all of these initiatives by June 30. On completion of these initiatives on a pro forma basis, Teekay Parent will substantially reduce its financial leverage to 41% from 48% on a net debt to estimated fair value basis and increase our liquidity to $335 million from $148 million. On Slide 6, we provided a summary of the current Teekay Offshore financing initiatives, which we are undertaking to address TOO’s upcoming funding needs in 2016 and 2017. Since early this year, Teekay Offshore has been working on a number of important initiatives involving each of our main sources of capital. This includes new bank facilities, amendments to certain of our existing Norwegian unsecured bonds and a new preferred equity issuance, all of which are expected to be completed by June 30 of this year. Teekay Offshore’s bank financing initiatives include a new $250 million pre and post-delivery debt facility to finance our three newbuilding shuttle tankers, which are being constructed to service our East Coast Canada contracts. A new $40 million debt facility secured by a fleet of six of our currently un-mortgaged shuttle tankers and FSO units, a $35 million add-on trench our existing loan facility financing the Samba Spirit and Lambada Spirit shuttle tankers and the $75 million refinancing of the Petrojarl Varg FPSO. In April, TOO closed the $35 million shuttle tanker and-on trench and we have received commitments for the new $250 million and $40 million facilities. TOO has received commitments for the majority of the existing Varg syndicate banks and we expect to secure the remaining commitments for this financing within the next week. Our bondholder initiatives relate to amendments to two of TOO’s existing Norwegian kroner bonds due in January 2017 and 2018 respectively. Through negotiations with the largest holders of these two bond series, we have reached an agreement whereby the final maturity dates will be extended to November and December of 2018, respectively. For the $101 million January 2017 bonds, 30% of the issuance will amortize in each of October 2016 and 2017. And for the $144 million January 2018 bonds, 20% of the issuance will amortize in January 2018. TOO has now issued a summons package to all of the bondholders of these two bonds to formally vote on the agreement in early June, which only requires approval from two-thirds of those voting. As of today, bondholders representing more than a majority of the outstanding bonds have already given their undertaking to vote in favor of the proposal, which makes us confident in securing the requisite approval level. TOO is also in advance discussions with a select group of equity investors for a new $200 million issuance of preferred units, with a warrant structure, which we expect to finalize in the next two weeks, following the completion of due diligence and documentation. To minimize the effects on near-term liquidity during the first 2 years, dividends on these new units would be paid in kind with new common units of Teekay Offshore. Finally, we have also reviewed TOO’s existing asset base and upcoming capital commitments to free up additional liquidity. In the fourth quarter of 2015, we completed the sale of two of our conventional tankers. And in the first quarter of 2016, we completed the sale lease back of our remaining two conventional tankers, with both initiatives bringing in a combined $60 million of liquidity. In addition, we are in discussions with the shipyard to defer delivery of our final two UMS newbuildings, which would result in the deferral of approximately $400 million of CapEx payments. Turning to Slide 7, we provided an update on TOO’s proportionally consolidated run rate 2017 CFVO estimate, incorporating our latest assumptions on the delivery of our growth projects over the next 2 years and the impact of our cost savings initiatives. CFVO is expected to increase from a combination of various cost saving initiatives where – which are expected to translate into OpEx and G&A cost savings and the scheduled delivery of various growth projects. Our growth projects include the delivery of four state-of-the-art long distance towing and offshore installation vessels during 2016 and 2017, the upgrade of the Petrojarl 1 FPSO and the commencement of its 5-year charter with QGEP in the fourth quarter of 2016. The Gina Krog FSO, which is scheduled to commence its contract will start early in the first quarter of 2017 and the newbuilding, Libra FPSO, which is scheduled to commence its 12-year charter contract with the Petrobras led consortium of major oil companies in 2017 and finally, the delivery of two of three newbuilding shuttle tankers in 2017 that will operate under 15-year contracts for a consortium of oil companies in East Coast Canada. These increases will more than offset the cash flow reductions resulting from the Varg FPSO contract termination, the redelivery of the Navion Saga FPSO and the sale of our four conventional tankers. We continued to receive strong interest from customers to utilize the NORSOK compliant Varg FPSO on various fields in Norway as a low cost and quick to market solution. Factoring in all of these initiatives, we are now expecting to generate run rate 2017 CFVO of approximately $850 million. Assuming the projects are operating for full year, which represents an increase of 25%. This excludes of course, the additional contribution from the third East Coast Canada shuttle tanker, which we will deliver in early 2018. Turning now to Slide 8, we have provided an update on Teekay LNG’s projected run rate CFVO, including the proportionate share from its equity accounted investments. We currently anticipate a CFVO run rate of approximately $470 million and we expect this to be relatively stable, increasing moderately as we take delivery of the Cheniere LNG carriers and begin to take delivery of TGP’s other MEGI LNG carriers in 2017, partially offset this year by the 1-year deferral of a significant portion of charter payments on two of our 52% owned LNG carriers, which are on fixed rate charter to the Yemen LNG project, which is related to the political unrest in Yemen and the subsequent closing of that LNG facility. The sale of two conventional tankers related to the charter exercising its option under the charter contract to purchase both vessels and the planned sale of one of the conventional tankers over the next year. Given the back end loaded nature of TGP’s newbuilding deliveries, Teekay LNG’s run rate CFVO will really begin to ramp up post-2017 when we expect to add an incremental $250 million of annual run rate CFVO by 2020. Turning to Slide 9 and looking ahead, Teekay will take a phased approach to creating value for its shareholders with the ultimate goal of returning to begin an asset light high dividend owner of two GP, two general partners. The first step towards value creation is to strengthen Teekay Parent and Teekay Offshore’s balance sheets, which will occur upon the completion of various financing initiatives we have been working on and talked about today, including the equity raise announced by Teekay. We believe that having a strong sponsor will benefit our daughters and will assist with our discussions with rating agencies. In addition, in today’s uncertain energy markets, we believe financial strength is increasingly important to our customers and the completion of these initiatives will aid in current and future discussions. I am pleased to report we have received the majority of these financial commitments as I have talked about and we are on track to close all of them by the end of June. The second phase of our approach to value creation is to optimize the asset portfolio by selling all or a portion of certain assets where it makes sense and to focus on redeploying our assets on the new charters or extensions. A strong asset and contract portfolio will in turn allow us to optimize our balance sheets across the Teekay Group. Upon completion of the initiatives announced at Teekay Parent and Teekay Offshore, we will have successfully funded all of Teekay Offshore’s growth projects and dealt with a majority medium-term maturities at both entities and this runway will provide us with flexibility to focus on optimizing our balance sheets. The last phase of our approach is to create value at Teekay is to increase the cash distributions at Teekay LNG and Teekay Offshore, which benefits Teekay as the owner of both GPs. When we reduced our distributions in December of last year, we told you that the cuts were temporary and the reaction to dislocated capital markets. It was not an issue related to the underlying cash flows of our businesses. The completion of the financing initiatives we have talked about today will position both partnerships to increase their distributions in the future, which will benefit our IDRs and allow us to revert back to a high dividend GP. Importantly, unlike other early phased GPs where it can take several years to get the distributions up the IDR steps, we have the ability to get there quickly to unlock the GP value, because of the current high coverage ratios of our two MLPs and the stability of the underlying cash flows, which continued to grow as I have talked about. Looking at Slide 10, we have recreated our sum of the parts analysis and compared this values from where we were in September 2015 with where we are today. As you can see, the value of our direct owned assets has actually gone up since then and our net debt has decreased. The only real change during this time is to the value of our equity ownerships and most importantly, the value of our GPs, which is now adding only $0.26 per share to today’s value. As I mentioned on the previous slides, the ability to increase the distributions at both MLPs will materially affect the value of our LP units, but more importantly, the value of our two general partners. This is why at today’s stock price, we don’t believe the markets are ascribing any value to the expected recovery in our LP or GP ownerships, which provides Teekay shareholders with tremendous option value, especially given the progress we have made on the financing initiatives outlined on this call. Finally, as I said earlier on the Teekay Offshore call, I really want to thank all of our financial partners and stakeholders who have participated in the financing initiatives and shown confidence in our business model and strategy. Thank you for joining us on the call today. And operator, we are now ready to take questions.